Josh Taylor
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 33
LHP
6'5" / 245 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 146 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 95105vR 114
ERA4.07
FIP4.16
K%26.4%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%17.6%
ROS IP146
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 146 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2692.8
Whiff%
p8030.0%
K%
p9031.3%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
SL-2.5
FB-3.1
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | 24 | 24 | 127 | 555 | 123 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 3.96 | 4.25 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | 24 | 24 | 127 | 555 | 123 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 1.4% | 3.96 | 3.02 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 133 | 587 | 123 | 42 | 11 | 92% | 5.1 | 16.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 5.36 | 3.72 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 133 | 587 | 123 | 42 | 11 | 92% | 5.1 | 21.0% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 1.9% | 5.36 | 3.27 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 14 | 98 | 439 | 92 | 46 | 7 | 41% | 2.9 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 4.96 | 4.23 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 14 | 98 | 439 | 92 | 46 | 7 | 41% | 2.9 | 21.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 1.6% | 4.96 | 3.56 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 54 | 244 | 60 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 3.35 | 3.28 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 54 | 244 | 60 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 0.8% | 3.35 | 2.58 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 72 | 1 | 71 | 291 | 94 | 26 | 7 | 1% | 1.0 | 31.0% | 9.1% | 21.9% | 2.4% | 2.93 | 2.96 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 72 | 1 | 71 | 291 | 94 | 26 | 7 | 1% | 1.0 | 32.3% | 8.9% | 23.4% | 2.4% | 2.93 | 2.83 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 8 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.4% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.82 | 6.27 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 8 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.4% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.82 | 6.78 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 61 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 60 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 28.7% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 0.9% | 3.40 | 2.41 | +1.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 61 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 60 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 28.7% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 1.0% | 3.40 | 2.39 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 12 | 57 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 54% | 0.9 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 15.8% | 5.3% | 6.00 | 4.88 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 12 | 57 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 54% | 0.9 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 15.8% | 5.3% | 6.00 | 5.10 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 1 | 23 | 108 | 31 | 9 | 5 | 5% | 1.0 | 31.3% | 9.6% | 21.7% | 5.2% | 7.83 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 1 | 23 | 108 | 31 | 9 | 5 | 5% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 8.3% | 20.4% | 4.6% | 7.83 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 3.6% | 7.94 | 5.51 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 3.6% | 7.94 | 5.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | KC | 145 | 0 | 153 | 645 | 170 | 56 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 3.3% | 4.07 | 4.16 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | KC | 132 | 0 | 139 | 587 | 150 | 54 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 3.6% | 4.31 | 4.46 | +1.5 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | KC | 119 | 0 | 125 | 527 | 129 | 52 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 4.60 | 4.80 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | KC | 105 | 0 | 110 | 466 | 110 | 49 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 4.94 | 5.17 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.5% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 3.6% | 4.31 | 4.46 | — |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 4.60 | 4.80 | — |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 4.94 | 5.17 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 138 | 2 | 120 | 522 | 155 | 48 | 13 | 1% | 0.9 | 29.7% | 9.2% | 20.5% | 2.5% | 4.35 | 3.12 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 230 | 3 | 200 | 870 | 258 | 80 | 22 | 1% | 0.9 | 29.7% | 9.2% | 20.5% | 2.5% | 4.35 | 3.12 | +5.3 | ||
| Career | — | 314 | 71 | 578 | 2554 | 514 | 243 | 56 | 23% | 1.8 | 20.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 4.53 | 3.80 | +10.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 25 | 200 | 884 | 178 | 84 | 19 | 23% | 1.8 | 20.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 4.53 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Taylor (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.16 | 26.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.78 | 24.6% | 14.8% | 374 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.51 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .286 | 3.60 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 52 | -0.91 | 3.60 | 190 | 60 |
| Rich Hill L 2028 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.25 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .239 | 3.22 | 29.0% | 21.2% | 379 | -0.03 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 58 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 58 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 57 |
| Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 56 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.23 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .322 | 4.77 | 19.5% | 7.4% | 204 | +0.54 | 3.07 | 650 | 55 |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.89 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .316 | 6.84 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 21 | +2.95 | 3.19 | 564 | 54 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.18 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 5.42 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.24 | 2.97 | 294 | 54 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.25 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .304 | 3.85 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 152 | -0.40 | 1.67 | 421 | 54 |
| Jaime García L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.76 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 540 | 53 |
| Josh Edgin L 2024 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 53 |
| David Huff L 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.00 | 19.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 158 | 52 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 52 |
| Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 52 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.23 | 31.8% | 14.0% | 3.7% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 205 | 51 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 49 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.40 | 28.4% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 713 | 49 |
| Brady Feigl L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.45 | 24.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | .312 | 3.55 | 22.7% | 14.2% | 14 | -0.90 | 2.69 | 212 | 49 |
| Anthony Gose L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.88 | 27.0% | 13.1% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.79 | 22.3% | 7.5% | 71 | +1.91 | 3.88 | 207 | 48 |
| Colt Hynes L 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 47 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 132 | 25.1% | 9.5% | 1.44 | 4.44 |
| Triston McKenzie ('24) | 4 | 105 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 1.52 | 3.94 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Kutter Crawford ('24) | 3 | 130 | 23.9% | 7.2% | 1.45 | 4.47 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ('21) | 6 | 134 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 1.46 | 4.45 |