Brendan McKay — OGILVIE

Brendan McKay P Montgomery Biscuits

Age 30 LHP 6'2" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.7 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.25

FIP4.42

K%22.5%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3893.7

Whiff%

p3923.7%

p7025.9%

xwOBA vs

p410.322

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	17	78	299	103	14	3	89%	4.1	25.7%	5.4%	20.3%	1.5%	2.41	2.44	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	17	78	299	103	14	3	89%	4.1	34.4%	4.7%	29.8%	1.0%	2.41	1.50	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	24	123	494	158	34	11	86%	4.4	28.6%	7.2%	21.5%	2.4%	2.71	2.90	+3.0
2019	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	24	123	494	158	34	11	86%	4.4	32.0%	6.9%	25.1%	2.2%	2.71	2.52	+3.7
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	13	60	13	5	6	100%	1.8	21.7%	8.3%	13.3%	10.0%	7.82	7.81	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	7	13	60	13	5	6	100%	1.8	21.7%	8.3%	13.3%	10.0%	7.82	8.39	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	7	5	15	65	14	6	2	71%	2.2	21.5%	9.2%	12.3%	3.1%	2.93	4.14	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	7	5	15	65	14	6	2	71%	2.2	21.5%	9.2%	12.3%	3.1%	2.93	4.14	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	5	5	18	67	17	1	1	100%	3.6	20.6%	1.6%	18.9%	1.9%	1.00	2.60	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	5	5	18	67	17	1	1	100%	3.6	20.6%	1.6%	18.9%	1.9%	1.00	2.60	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	5	5	18	67	17	1	1	100%	3.6	25.4%	1.5%	23.9%	1.5%	1.00	2.10	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			13	11	49	216	56	16	8	85%	3.8	25.9%	7.4%	18.5%	3.7%	5.14	3.92	+0.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	TB	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	22.5%	8.5%	14.1%	3.2%	4.25	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	TB	3	3	20	84	18	8	3	100%	6.7	21.9%	8.9%	13.0%	3.4%	4.48	4.64	+0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	TB	1	1	6	25	6	2	1	100%	6.0	21.9%	8.9%	13.0%	3.5%	4.54	4.70	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	12	55	242	62	18	9	86%	3.9	25.5%	7.6%	17.9%	3.7%	5.07	3.93	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		51	44	200	877	224	65	33	86%	3.9	25.5%	7.6%	17.9%	3.7%	5.07	3.93	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		66	58	247	985	259	64	26	88%	3.7	26.3%	6.5%	19.8%	2.6%	2.77	3.12	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	47	200	798	210	52	21	88%	3.7	26.3%	6.5%	19.8%	2.6%	2.77	3.12	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brendan McKay (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	22.5%	8.5%	3.2%	—	4.64	21.9%	13.0%	20	+0.22	—	—	—
Ryan Verdugo L 2017 · 3.36 FIP	30	SP-	3.36	22.7%	5.4%	2.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	153	68
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	67
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	65
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2020 · 3.76 FIP	32	SP	3.76	15.6%	6.5%	2.1%	.214	4.21	17.7%	9.5%	107	+0.45	3.76	146	65
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	225	65
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	65
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	65
Alejandro Soto L 2016 · 3.96 FIP	30	SP	3.96	14.9%	6.4%	2.4%	.367	4.15	15.9%	10.3%	97	+0.19	3.96	280	64
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	63
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.59	21.7%	7.5%	95	-0.11	2.97	294	62
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	62
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	61
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	60
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	60
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	59
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	59
Misael Siverio L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	28	SP	4.32	17.3%	9.1%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	185	58
Jose De Paula L 2019 · 3.31 FIP	31	SP	3.31	19.0%	7.6%	1.6%	.394	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	118	58
Ryan Bollinger L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	27	SP	3.56	17.1%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	112	58
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	57