Andre Jackson projections, WAR, contract

Andre Jackson P Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs MLB

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.67

FIP4.73

K%22.6%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP82

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—35

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p4424.4%

p5022.2%

xwOBA vs

p160.352

FB+3.1

SL+2.2

CH-5.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	68	308	76	45	3	94%	3.8	17.7%	17.3%	0.3%	1.2%	4.10	4.44	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	17	68	308	76	45	3	94%	3.8	24.7%	14.6%	10.1%	1.0%	4.10	3.42	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	115	483	141	57	6	100%	4.6	22.2%	13.7%	8.5%	1.6%	3.06	3.84	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	115	483	141	57	6	100%	4.6	29.2%	11.8%	17.4%	1.2%	3.06	2.81	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	19	107	441	113	36	20	76%	4.3	21.8%	9.0%	12.8%	5.5%	3.53	5.40	-0.6
2021	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	25	19	107	441	113	36	20	76%	4.3	25.6%	8.2%	17.5%	4.5%	3.53	4.43	+0.6
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	19	85	397	85	65	10	76%	3.4	18.8%	18.0%	0.8%	3.1%	4.64	5.50	-0.6
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	19	85	397	85	65	10	76%	3.4	21.4%	16.4%	5.0%	2.5%	4.64	4.92	-0.0
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	11	100	420	101	45	16	31%	2.8	22.6%	10.2%	12.4%	4.0%	5.06	4.69	-0.2
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	11	100	420	101	45	16	31%	2.8	22.6%	10.2%	12.4%	4.0%	5.06	4.69	-0.2
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	11	100	420	101	45	16	31%	2.8	24.0%	10.7%	13.3%	3.8%	5.06	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			26	7	83	349	76	32	12	27%	3.2	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	3.4%	4.25	4.31	+0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.6%	10.2%	12.4%	3.4%	4.67	4.73	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	77	324	77	31	12	100%	5.9	23.8%	9.5%	14.3%	3.6%	4.63	4.64	+0.2
2028	32	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	71	299	69	30	11	100%	5.9	22.9%	9.9%	13.1%	3.8%	4.76	4.87	+0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	73	308	73	29	11	100%	6.1	23.8%	9.5%	14.3%	3.6%	4.63	4.64	+0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	PIT	11	11	67	283	65	28	11	100%	6.1	22.9%	9.9%	13.1%	3.8%	4.76	4.87	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	30	223	941	214	89	34	61%	4.5	22.8%	9.5%	13.3%	3.6%	4.53	4.35	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		44	27	200	844	192	80	31	62%	4.5	22.8%	9.5%	13.3%	3.6%	4.53	4.35	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		128	91	475	2049	427	273	65	71%	3.7	20.9%	13.3%	7.5%	3.2%	4.02	4.76	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	38	200	863	180	115	27	71%	3.7	20.9%	13.3%	7.5%	3.2%	4.02	4.76	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andre Jackson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.73	22.6%	10.2%	3.4%	—	4.75	23.4%	13.7%	148	+0.02	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	78
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	76
Raynel Espinal R 2022 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	23.9%	10.5%	3.6%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	507	71
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	70
Aaron Wilkerson R 2019 · 4.67 FIP	30	SP-	4.67	20.9%	9.8%	3.8%	.291	3.33	24.6%	19.0%	112	-1.34	2.75	902	68
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	68
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	67
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	66
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	581	66
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	64
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	64
Michael Mariot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	30	SP	5.01	19.8%	11.1%	4.0%	.333	5.03	15.8%	7.4%	182	+0.02	2.40	701	64
Jared Fernandez R 2002 · 4.23 FIP	30	SP-	4.23	15.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.323	3.57	11.8%	5.6%	38	-0.66	3.57	101	64
Luke Hudson R 2006 · 3.81 FIP	29	SP-	3.81	14.5%	8.4%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	235	64
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	63
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	63
Bryan Brickhouse R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	30	SP-	4.78	18.8%	11.7%	3.2%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	214	63
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	63
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	384	63
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	313	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	78	22.7%	9.7%	1.37	4.57
Brian Matusz ('16)	2.6	76	19.8%	8.7%	1.34	4.92
Josh Lindblom ('21)	1.0	52	22.1%	9.6%	1.25	4.78
Adam Conley ('21)	2.2	87	19.8%	9.4%	1.16	4.71
Bobby Ayala ('99)	2.9	72	21.3%	9.7%	1.11	4.78
Randall Delgado ('18)	2.7	78	20.1%	8.8%	1.11	4.10
Joe Biagini ('21)	1.7	83	19.0%	7.9%	1.28	5.03