Brian Gonzalez
P
San Antonio Missions
Age 30
LHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 23 | 23 | 106 | 468 | 81 | 59 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 12.8% | 14.9% | -2.1% | 2.8% | 5.71 | 5.42 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 23 | 23 | 106 | 468 | 81 | 59 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 17.3% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 5.71 | 4.23 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 27 | 27 | 148 | 619 | 111 | 58 | 9 | 100% | 5.5 | 13.3% | 11.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.50 | 4.59 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 27 | 27 | 148 | 619 | 111 | 58 | 9 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 2.50 | 3.57 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 21 | 21 | 106 | 491 | 85 | 52 | 9 | 100% | 5.1 | 13.3% | 12.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 4.91 | 4.37 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 21 | 21 | 106 | 491 | 85 | 52 | 9 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 4.91 | 4.07 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 131 | 591 | 112 | 57 | 18 | 96% | 5.3 | 15.1% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 4.88 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 131 | 591 | 112 | 57 | 18 | 96% | 5.3 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 4.48 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 1 | 45 | 183 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 5% | 2.2 | 16.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.03 | 6.16 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 1 | 45 | 183 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 5% | 2.2 | 20.8% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 4.9% | 4.03 | 4.82 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 1 | 45 | 214 | 67 | 28 | 6 | 3% | 1.2 | 24.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 4.37 | 4.89 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 1 | 45 | 214 | 67 | 28 | 6 | 3% | 1.2 | 31.3% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 3.72 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 37 | 0 | 42 | 190 | 42 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 3.40 | 4.22 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 37 | 0 | 42 | 190 | 42 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 3.40 | 3.57 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 4 | 19 | 85 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 50% | 2.4 | 21.1% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.66 | 6.12 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 4 | 19 | 85 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 50% | 2.4 | 27.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 2.4% | 4.66 | 3.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.5 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SD | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.18 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 31 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 32 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 199 | 101 | 643 | 2841 | 431 | 342 | 80 | 51% | 3.2 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.89 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 31 | 200 | 884 | 134 | 106 | 25 | 51% | 3.2 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.89 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brian Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.56 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 73 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 67 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.41 | 22.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 153 | 66 |
| Roy Merritt L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 64 |
| Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 63 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 62 |
| Travis Blackley L 2028 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 62 |
| Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 62 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.86 | 17.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 523 | 58 |
| David Huff L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 57 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 56 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 56 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 56 |
| Max Green L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.33 | 15.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 169 | 55 |
| Mike Kickham L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.00 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .311 | 5.91 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 61 | +1.91 | 3.00 | 368 | 54 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2024 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 53 |
| Everett Teaford L 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 53 |
| Andy Otero L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.38 | 14.5% | 8.9% | 2.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 200 | 52 |
| Josh Outman L 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 52 |
| Mike Montgomery L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.32 | 17.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | .337 | 4.73 | 15.6% | 4.4% | 86 | -0.59 | 3.36 | 764 | 52 |