Brian Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Brian Gonzalez P San Antonio Missions

Age 30 LHP 6'3" / 230 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102110vR 118

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%23.0%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%12.8%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	23	23	106	468	81	59	8	100%	4.6	12.8%	14.9%	-2.1%	2.5%	5.71	5.26	—
2015	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	23	23	106	468	81	59	8	100%	4.6	17.3%	12.6%	4.7%	1.7%	5.71	4.23	—
2016	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	27	27	148	619	111	58	9	100%	5.5	13.3%	11.1%	2.2%	2.0%	2.50	4.50	—
2016	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	27	27	148	619	111	58	9	100%	5.5	17.9%	9.4%	8.6%	1.5%	2.50	3.57	—
2017	21	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	21	21	106	491	85	52	9	100%	5.1	13.3%	12.2%	1.2%	1.9%	4.91	4.53	—
2017	21	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	21	21	106	491	85	52	9	100%	5.1	17.3%	10.6%	6.7%	1.8%	4.91	4.07	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	131	591	112	57	18	96%	5.3	15.1%	10.8%	4.4%	3.3%	4.93	5.02	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	131	591	112	57	18	96%	5.3	19.0%	9.6%	9.3%	3.0%	4.93	4.48	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	45	183	38	12	9	5%	2.2	16.6%	7.1%	9.5%	6.4%	4.03	6.11	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	1	45	183	38	12	9	5%	2.2	20.8%	6.6%	14.2%	4.9%	4.03	4.82	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	45	214	67	28	6	3%	1.2	24.0%	12.3%	11.7%	4.1%	4.37	4.86	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	1	45	214	67	28	6	3%	1.2	31.3%	13.1%	18.2%	2.8%	4.37	3.72	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	37	0	42	190	42	26	2	0%	1.1	17.9%	15.1%	2.9%	1.3%	3.40	4.20	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	37	0	42	190	42	26	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	13.7%	8.4%	1.1%	3.40	3.57	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	4	19	85	23	10	2	50%	2.4	21.1%	14.3%	6.8%	4.2%	4.66	5.46	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	4	19	85	23	10	2	50%	2.4	21.1%	14.3%	6.8%	4.2%	4.66	5.46	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	4	19	85	23	10	2	50%	2.4	27.1%	11.8%	15.3%	2.4%	4.66	3.62	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	SD	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	23.0%	10.2%	12.8%	3.0%	4.49	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	SD	3	3	20	84	19	9	3	100%	6.7	22.7%	10.4%	12.2%	3.2%	4.59	4.67	+0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	SD	1	1	6	25	6	3	1	100%	6.0	22.7%	10.4%	12.2%	3.2%	4.59	4.67	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	6	3	1	100%	6.3	22.7%	10.4%	12.2%	3.2%	4.59	4.29	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	192	96	32	100%	6.4	22.7%	10.4%	12.2%	3.2%	4.59	4.29	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		199	101	643	2841	431	342	79	51%	3.2	15.2%	12.0%	3.1%	2.8%	4.29	4.88	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	31	200	884	134	106	25	51%	3.2	15.2%	12.0%	3.1%	2.8%	4.29	4.88	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brian Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	23.0%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.67	22.7%	12.2%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.59	21.7%	7.5%	95	-0.11	2.97	294	74
Hector Hernandez L 2019 · 3.39 FIP	28	SW	3.39	20.2%	9.0%	1.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	121	66
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	64
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	64
Ryan Verdugo L 2017 · 3.36 FIP	30	SP-	3.36	22.7%	5.4%	2.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	153	64
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	225	62
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.59	249	61
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	277	61
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	58
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	57
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	56
David Huff L 2015 · 3.40 FIP	30	SW	3.40	17.1%	3.8%	2.3%	.271	4.06	19.5%	14.6%	52	+0.66	3.40	158	56
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	55
Mike Kickham L 2019 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.311	5.98	18.8%	8.7%	61	+1.86	3.00	368	55
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	54
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	53
Andy Otero L 2022 · 4.36 FIP	30	SW	4.36	14.5%	8.9%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	200	53
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	52
Josh Outman L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	31	SU	4.53	15.3%	3.7%	4.1%	.323	5.73	12.8%	-1.0%	86	+1.20	4.53	106	51
Logan Darnell L 2019 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP-	3.97	12.8%	6.1%	2.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	430	51