Scott Blewett
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 30
RHP
6'6" / 245 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 59 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126116vR 107
ERA4.63
FIP4.82
K%20.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 107 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p6527.6%
K%
p2118.0%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
FB-1.4 (37%)
SL-5.1 (44%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | 18 | 18 | 81 | 353 | 60 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 4.5 | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 5.20 | 4.06 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | 18 | 18 | 81 | 353 | 60 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 5.20 | 3.47 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | 25 | 25 | 129 | 569 | 121 | 51 | 10 | 100% | 5.2 | 15.7% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 4.31 | 3.88 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | 25 | 25 | 129 | 569 | 121 | 51 | 10 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 1.8% | 4.31 | 3.42 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 27 | 27 | 153 | 658 | 129 | 51 | 16 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.07 | 5.65 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 27 | 27 | 153 | 658 | 129 | 51 | 16 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 2.4% | 4.07 | 3.77 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 26 | 25 | 148 | 650 | 100 | 47 | 12 | 96% | 5.7 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.79 | 4.25 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 26 | 25 | 148 | 650 | 100 | 47 | 12 | 96% | 5.7 | 15.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 4.79 | 3.75 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 107 | 503 | 90 | 54 | 26 | 91% | 4.6 | 15.3% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.34 | 6.33 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 107 | 503 | 90 | 54 | 26 | 91% | 4.6 | 17.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.34 | 6.10 | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 1.78 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 1.43 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 12 | 78 | 356 | 70 | 36 | 20 | 43% | 2.8 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.88 | 6.31 | -1.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 12 | 78 | 356 | 70 | 36 | 20 | 43% | 2.8 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 5.88 | 6.02 | -1.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 123 | 556 | 109 | 48 | 17 | 93% | 4.6 | 16.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.78 | 4.57 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 123 | 556 | 109 | 48 | 17 | 93% | 4.6 | 19.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 5.78 | 4.30 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 17 | 13 | 73 | 308 | 76 | 29 | 7 | 76% | 4.3 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 4.21 | 5.28 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 17 | 13 | 73 | 308 | 76 | 29 | 7 | 76% | 4.3 | 24.7% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 2.3% | 4.21 | 3.46 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 3 | 75 | 323 | 72 | 22 | 5 | 6% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 1.6% | 3.24 | 3.14 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 3 | 75 | 323 | 72 | 22 | 5 | 6% | 1.5 | 22.3% | 6.8% | 15.5% | 1.5% | 3.24 | 2.93 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 4 | 53 | 237 | 41 | 21 | 10 | 11% | 1.5 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 6.11 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 4 | 53 | 237 | 41 | 21 | 10 | 11% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 6.11 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 37 | 2 | 49 | 222 | 63 | 19 | 5 | 5% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 2.5% | 5.18 | 3.49 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | STL | 56 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 50 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | STL | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | STL | — | — | 107 | 470 | 113 | 42 | 13 | — | — | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.22 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | STL | — | — | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | STL | 52 | 0 | 55 | 231 | 46 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 4.83 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | STL | 48 | 0 | 51 | 214 | 41 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | STL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 196 | 37 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 5.26 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | STL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 4.83 | 5.00 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | STL | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | STL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 5.26 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 124 | 2 | 158 | 677 | 130 | 66 | 25 | 2% | 1.3 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 3 | 200 | 856 | 164 | 83 | 32 | 2% | 1.3 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 315 | 175 | 1072 | 4751 | 772 | 443 | 163 | 56% | 3.4 | 16.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.05 | 4.79 | +7.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 33 | 200 | 887 | 144 | 83 | 30 | 56% | 3.4 | 16.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.05 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Scott Blewett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 3.4% | — | 5.20 | 19.3% | 9.2% | 152 | +0.38 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 74 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 72 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 71 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 70 |
| Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 69 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 68 |
| Tim Dillard R 2028 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 68 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 68 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 68 |
| Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 67 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 67 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 67 |
| Eder Llamas R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.21 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .301 | 3.27 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 64 | -0.94 | 3.27 | 171 | 66 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 66 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 66 |
| Paul Clemens R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 65 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .346 | 7.46 | 8.6% | 1.4% | 39 | +2.92 | 4.54 | 224 | 64 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.47 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 300 | 64 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 63 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 53 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 1.42 | 4.92 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |