Scott Blewett
P
Memphis Redbirds
+0.1
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'6" / 245 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.50
FIP4.60
xFIP4.58
SIERA4.40
K%20.3%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%11.5%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4545
CMD4040
K†5050
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p6527.6%
K%
p2118.0%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
FB-1.4 (37%)
SL-5.1 (44%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | 18 | 18 | 81 | 353 | 60 | 24 | 6 | 12.6% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 5.20 | 4.18 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | 25 | 25 | 129 | 569 | 121 | 51 | 10 | 15.7% | 10.6% | 1.7% | 4.31 | 4.03 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 27 | 27 | 153 | 658 | 129 | 51 | 16 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 4.07 | 4.89 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 26 | 25 | 148 | 650 | 100 | 47 | 12 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 4.79 | 4.26 | +1.7 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 23 | 21 | 107 | 503 | 90 | 54 | 26 | 15.3% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 7.34 | 6.35 | -1.3 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 28 | 12 | 78 | 356 | 70 | 36 | 20 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.88 | 6.40 | -1.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 27 | 25 | 123 | 556 | 109 | 48 | 17 | 16.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 5.78 | 4.72 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 17 | 13 | 73 | 308 | 76 | 29 | 7 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.21 | 4.69 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 50 | 3 | 75 | 323 | 72 | 22 | 5 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 3.24 | 3.16 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 35 | 4 | 53 | 237 | 41 | 21 | 10 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 6.11 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 6 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 13 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 7.56 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | STL | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 41 | 19 | 7 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | STL | — | — | 55 | 238 | 54 | 25 | 9 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 5.08 | 4.06 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | STL | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.74 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | STL | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.83 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | STL | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | STL | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 18.9% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 5.05 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | STL | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 18.2% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 5.19 | 5.29 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | STL | 34 | — | 34 | 146 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 17.4% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 5.35 | 5.45 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 284 | 173 | 1031 | 4571 | 730 | 429 | 152 | 16.0% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 5.06 | 4.76 | +6.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 34 | 200 | 886 | 142 | 83 | 29 | 16.0% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 5.06 | 4.76 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Scott Blewett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | — | 4.92 | 20.0% | 10.2% | 129 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 83 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 81 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.58 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.79 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.79 | 3.73 | 164 | 80 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 80 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 78 |
| Logan Kensing R 2029 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 78 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2029 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 77 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 77 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.06 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .301 | 3.94 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | -0.12 | 1.69 | 468 | 76 |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 76 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.83 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 3.54 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.29 | 3.54 | 348 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 76 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 76 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 76 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.24 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | .349 | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.70 | 3.05 | 227 | 76 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 75 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 75 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.82 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 101 | 75 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.98 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .288 | 3.64 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 144 | -0.34 | 3.10 | 256 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.