Jonathan Bermúdez
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 30
LHP
6'2" / 226 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111120vR 129
ERA4.88
FIP4.88
K%19.5%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%8.7%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH (12%)
SL-1.0 (39%)
FB-3.9 (50%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Astros | 10 | 0 | 14 | 57 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 11.9% | 11.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.29 | 4.83 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Astros | 10 | 0 | 14 | 57 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 3.29 | 3.69 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 10 | 78 | 321 | 93 | 31 | 4 | 43% | 3.4 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 3.71 | 3.81 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 10 | 78 | 321 | 93 | 31 | 4 | 43% | 3.4 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 1.2% | 3.71 | 2.57 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 111 | 457 | 146 | 34 | 10 | 80% | 4.4 | 26.5% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 2.4% | 3.24 | 3.22 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 111 | 457 | 146 | 34 | 10 | 80% | 4.4 | 31.9% | 7.4% | 24.5% | 2.2% | 3.24 | 2.56 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 24 | 19 | 81 | 390 | 81 | 44 | 23 | 79% | 3.4 | 18.3% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.00 | 6.70 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 24 | 19 | 81 | 390 | 81 | 44 | 23 | 79% | 3.4 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 9.00 | 6.42 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 19 | 18 | 94 | 410 | 109 | 39 | 14 | 95% | 5.0 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 4.58 | 4.51 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 19 | 18 | 94 | 410 | 109 | 39 | 14 | 95% | 5.0 | 26.6% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 3.96 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 19 | 108 | 459 | 103 | 52 | 14 | 79% | 4.5 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.67 | 4.82 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 19 | 108 | 459 | 103 | 52 | 14 | 79% | 4.5 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 3.67 | 4.32 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 68 | 285 | 56 | 31 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 52 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 58 | 246 | 48 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 5.08 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 9 | 9 | 54 | 226 | 43 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.0% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 5.26 | 5.40 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 5.08 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.0% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 5.26 | 5.40 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 15 | 91 | 390 | 73 | 42 | 15 | 88% | 5.4 | 18.6% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 5.34 | 4.97 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 33 | 200 | 855 | 160 | 92 | 33 | 88% | 5.3 | 18.6% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 5.34 | 4.97 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 125 | 86 | 486 | 2094 | 442 | 225 | 73 | 69% | 3.9 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 4.63 | 4.60 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 35 | 200 | 862 | 182 | 93 | 30 | 69% | 3.9 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 4.63 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonathan Bermúdez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 19.5% | 10.8% | 3.1% | — | 5.20 | 19.3% | 8.0% | 175 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Everett Teaford L 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 74 |
| Travis Blackley L 2028 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 72 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 68 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 68 |
| Roy Merritt L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 67 |
| Nico Tellache L 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 67 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2024 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 66 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 65 |
| James Gillheeney L 2023 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.80 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 129 | 64 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 64 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.16 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | .345 | 5.04 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | -0.12 | 5.04 | 175 | 64 |
| Darin Gorski L 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.39 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 63 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.73 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 0.6% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 108 | 63 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.86 | 17.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 523 | 63 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.64 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .354 | 3.90 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.74 | 3.90 | 137 | 62 |
| Matt Lujan L 2024 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 62 |
| Orlando Lara L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.00 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.09 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | +0.09 | 3.82 | 426 | 61 |
| Aríel Miranda L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.31 | 17.9% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 431 | 61 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.28 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .367 | 4.16 | 15.9% | 10.3% | 97 | -0.12 | 3.97 | 280 | 61 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.68 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.43 | 3.68 | 146 | 60 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 61 | 19.3% | 11.1% | 1.31 | 5.03 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |