Gregory Soto
P
Pittsburgh Pirates
Age 31
LHP
6'1" / 247 lbs
MLB
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7382vR 91
ERA3.64
FIP3.29
K%27.0%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%17.8%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8597.0
Whiff%
p6227.2%
K%
p7627.0%
xwOBA vs
p790.284
FB+2.4 (56%)
SL+1.7 (43%)
SI (36%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers | 9 | 5 | 37 | 166 | 40 | 25 | 0 | 56% | 4.1 | 16.4% | 18.8% | -2.4% | 0.0% | 2.19 | 4.10 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers | 9 | 5 | 37 | 166 | 40 | 25 | 0 | 56% | 4.1 | 24.1% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 2.19 | 2.96 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 124 | 518 | 144 | 65 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.7% | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 2.25 | 3.86 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 124 | 518 | 144 | 65 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 27.8% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 0.8% | 2.25 | 2.77 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 25 | 23 | 113 | 517 | 115 | 70 | 4 | 92% | 4.5 | 17.1% | 15.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 4.45 | 3.97 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 25 | 23 | 113 | 517 | 115 | 70 | 4 | 92% | 4.5 | 22.2% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 0.8% | 4.45 | 3.38 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 43 | 16 | 98 | 457 | 92 | 51 | 13 | 37% | 2.3 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 5.58 | 4.76 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 43 | 16 | 98 | 457 | 92 | 51 | 13 | 37% | 2.3 | 20.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 5.58 | 4.50 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 27 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.6% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 2.2% | 4.30 | 3.51 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 27 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.6% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 2.0% | 4.30 | 3.40 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 62 | 0 | 64 | 276 | 76 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 3.39 | 4.04 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 62 | 0 | 64 | 276 | 76 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 2.5% | 3.39 | 3.93 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 64 | 0 | 60 | 263 | 60 | 33 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 0.8% | 3.28 | 3.22 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 64 | 0 | 60 | 263 | 60 | 33 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 0.8% | 3.28 | 3.18 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 69 | 0 | 60 | 250 | 65 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.0% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 4.62 | 3.29 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 69 | 0 | 60 | 250 | 65 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.0% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 2.4% | 4.62 | 3.33 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 66 | 0 | 53 | 244 | 65 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 26.6% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 1.5% | 4.42 | 2.93 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 66 | 0 | 53 | 244 | 65 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 26.6% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 1.6% | 4.42 | 2.99 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 70 | 0 | 60 | 279 | 70 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.1% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 1.4% | 4.18 | 2.82 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 70 | 0 | 60 | 279 | 70 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.1% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 1.4% | 4.18 | 2.79 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40 | 0 | 40 | 163 | 44 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 3.83 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | PIT | 13 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 3.29 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | PIT | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 3.29 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 54 | 223 | 60 | 23 | 6 | — | — | 27.0% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 3.94 | 3.68 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 54 | 228 | 60 | 23 | 6 | — | — | 26.3% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 2.8% | 3.94 | 3.67 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 55 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 2.6% | 3.95 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 4.10 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 40 | 0 | 42 | 176 | 43 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 55 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 2.6% | 3.95 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 4.10 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 43 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 576 | 7 | 570 | 2490 | 618 | 266 | 57 | 1% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 4.19 | 3.62 | +11.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 202 | 2 | 200 | 873 | 217 | 93 | 20 | 1% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 4.19 | 3.62 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 498 | 67 | 733 | 3231 | 717 | 410 | 55 | 13% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 1.7% | 3.89 | 3.76 | +14.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 18 | 200 | 881 | 195 | 112 | 15 | 13% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 1.7% | 3.89 | 3.76 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gregory Soto (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.46 | 27.1% | 8.7% | 2.1% | — | 4.19 | 25.4% | 15.3% | 138 | +0.73 | — | — | — |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.18 | 27.2% | 11.9% | 1.6% | .312 | 3.35 | 31.7% | 18.8% | 144 | +0.17 | 2.33 | 455 | 72 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 70 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.14 | 25.4% | 7.1% | 2.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 455 | 70 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 26.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.09 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 54 | +0.53 | 2.48 | 420 | 69 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2029 · 2.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.56 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 0.6% | .307 | 3.34 | 22.6% | 14.3% | 71 | +0.78 | 2.56 | 109 | 69 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 66 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 66 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 2.44 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.44 | 30.5% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .207 | 3.84 | 28.5% | 17.9% | 32 | +1.40 | 2.44 | 113 | 66 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 65 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 20.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .316 | 3.48 | 25.6% | 21.2% | 121 | -0.56 | 1.52 | 350 | 65 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 64 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.85 | 22.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | .353 | 3.52 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 56 | -0.33 | 3.44 | 152 | 64 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 62 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 62 |
| Tony Sipp L 2027 · 2.70 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.70 | 28.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 4.25 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 120 | +1.55 | 2.18 | 195 | 62 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.47 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .269 | 4.81 | 24.3% | 12.6% | 78 | +1.34 | 2.37 | 296 | 61 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2028 · 3.05 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.05 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% | .352 | 3.71 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 89 | +0.66 | 3.05 | 117 | 61 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2024 · 3.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.02 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 146 | 61 |
| Zach Phillips L 2025 · 2.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.86 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 0.5% | .301 | 3.65 | 19.1% | 10.6% | 36 | +0.79 | 2.29 | 202 | 60 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2028 · 2.78 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.78 | 27.9% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .304 | 2.62 | 28.3% | 21.7% | 119 | -0.16 | 1.56 | 219 | 60 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 25.9% | 9.7% | 1.03 | 4.03 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |