Gregory Soto — OGILVIE

Gregory Soto P Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 31 LHP 6'1" / 247 lbs MLB peak 0.7 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7078vR 87

ERA3.41

FIP3.07

K%27.5%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%18.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3540

CMD4045

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8797.1

Whiff%

p6828.1%

p8127.9%

xwOBA vs

p900.270

FB+2.4 (55%)

SL+1.7 (45%)

SI (38%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers	9	5	37	166	40	25	0	56%	4.1	16.4%	18.8%	-2.4%	0.0%	2.19	4.10	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	GCL Tigers	9	5	37	166	40	25	0	56%	4.1	24.1%	15.1%	9.0%	0.0%	2.19	2.96	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	124	518	144	65	4	100%	5.4	20.7%	14.7%	6.0%	1.0%	2.25	3.78	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	124	518	144	65	4	100%	5.4	27.8%	12.5%	15.3%	0.8%	2.25	2.77	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	25	23	113	517	115	70	4	92%	4.5	17.1%	15.6%	1.6%	0.8%	4.45	4.04	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	25	23	113	517	115	70	4	92%	4.5	22.2%	13.5%	8.7%	0.8%	4.45	3.38	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	43	16	98	457	92	51	13	37%	2.3	18.5%	11.4%	7.1%	3.1%	5.58	4.70	-0.2
2019	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	43	16	98	457	92	51	13	37%	2.3	20.1%	11.2%	9.0%	2.8%	5.58	4.50	+0.1
2020	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	27	0	23	98	29	13	2	0%	0.9	29.6%	13.3%	16.3%	2.1%	4.30	3.45	+0.3
2020	25	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	27	0	23	98	29	13	2	0%	0.9	29.6%	13.3%	16.3%	2.0%	4.30	3.40	+0.3
2021	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	62	0	64	276	76	38	7	0%	1.0	27.5%	13.8%	13.8%	2.6%	3.39	3.97	+0.4
2021	26	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	62	0	64	276	76	38	7	0%	1.0	27.5%	13.8%	13.8%	2.5%	3.39	3.93	+0.5
2022	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	64	0	60	263	60	33	2	0%	0.9	22.8%	12.5%	10.3%	0.8%	3.28	3.20	+1.0
2022	27	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	64	0	60	263	60	33	2	0%	0.9	22.8%	12.5%	10.3%	0.8%	3.28	3.18	+1.0
2023	28	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	69	0	60	250	65	22	6	0%	0.9	26.0%	8.8%	17.2%	2.2%	4.62	3.25	+0.9
2023	28	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	69	0	60	250	65	22	6	0%	0.9	26.0%	8.8%	17.2%	2.2%	4.62	3.25	+0.9
2023	28	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	69	0	60	250	65	22	6	0%	0.9	26.0%	8.8%	17.2%	2.4%	4.62	3.33	+0.9
2024	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	66	0	53	244	65	24	4	0%	0.8	26.6%	9.8%	16.8%	1.7%	4.42	3.00	+1.0
2024	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	66	0	53	244	65	24	4	0%	0.8	26.6%	9.8%	16.8%	1.7%	4.42	3.00	+1.0
2024	29	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	66	0	53	244	65	24	4	0%	0.8	26.6%	9.8%	16.8%	1.6%	4.42	2.99	+1.0
2025	30	MLB MLE	New York Mets	70	0	60	279	70	23	4	0%	0.9	25.1%	8.2%	16.8%	1.4%	4.18	2.81	+1.3
2025	30	MLB MLE	New York Mets	70	0	60	279	70	23	4	0%	0.9	25.1%	8.2%	16.8%	1.4%	4.18	2.81	+1.3
2025	30	MLB RAW	New York Mets	70	0	60	279	70	23	4	0%	0.9	25.1%	8.2%	16.8%	1.4%	4.18	2.79	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			454	7	441	1948	483	209	39	2%	1.0	24.8%	10.7%	14.1%	2.0%	4.13	3.48	+5.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	63	0	62	262	73	24	5	0%	1.0	27.9%	9.2%	18.7%	2.1%	3.32	3.04	+1.1
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	63	0	62	262	73	24	5	0%	1.0	27.9%	9.2%	18.7%	2.1%	3.32	3.04	+1.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	MLB RAW	PIT	63	0	62	262	73	24	5	0%	1.0	27.9%	9.2%	18.7%	1.9%	3.32	2.95	+1.2
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	PIT	63	0	62	262	73	24	5	0%	1.0	27.9%	9.2%	18.7%	1.9%	3.32	2.95	+1.2
ROS	31	MLB MLE	PIT	4	0	5	19	5	2	0	0%	1.1	27.5%	8.9%	18.6%	2.1%	3.41	3.07	+0.1
ROS	31	MLB CTX	PIT	5	0	5	21	6	2	0	0%	1.0	27.5%	8.9%	18.6%	2.1%	3.41	3.07	+0.1
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	67	281	78	26	5	—	—	27.8%	9.1%	18.7%	1.9%	3.33	3.04	+1.3
FULL	31	MLB A+C	PIT	—	—	67	282	78	26	5	—	—	27.7%	9.1%	18.6%	1.9%	3.33	2.96	+1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	PIT	48	0	50	211	56	20	5	0%	1.0	26.6%	9.3%	17.3%	2.3%	3.71	3.68	+0.5
2028	33	MLB MLE	PIT	44	0	46	194	50	19	5	0%	1.0	25.8%	9.8%	16.0%	2.6%	3.86	3.96	+0.3
2029	34	MLB MLE	PIT	40	0	42	176	44	18	5	0%	1.0	24.9%	10.3%	14.6%	2.9%	4.10	4.26	+0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	PIT	48	0	50	211	56	20	5	0%	1.0	26.6%	9.3%	17.3%	2.3%	3.71	3.68	+0.5
2028	33	MLB CTX	PIT	44	0	46	194	50	19	5	0%	1.0	25.8%	9.8%	16.0%	2.6%	3.86	3.96	+0.3
2029	34	MLB CTX	PIT	40	0	42	177	44	18	5	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.3%	14.6%	2.9%	4.10	4.26	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		589	7	583	2549	638	268	54	1%	1.0	25.0%	10.5%	14.5%	2.1%	4.06	3.49	+7.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		202	2	200	874	219	92	19	1%	1.0	25.0%	10.5%	14.5%	2.1%	4.06	3.49	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		521	67	756	3330	746	417	54	13%	1.5	22.4%	12.5%	9.9%	1.6%	3.84	3.69	+6.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	18	200	881	197	110	14	13%	1.5	22.4%	12.5%	9.9%	1.6%	3.84	3.69	+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gregory Soto (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.48	27.1%	8.8%	2.1%	—	3.95	25.8%	16.0%	138	+0.47	—	—	—
Jake Diekman L 2018 · 3.27 FIP	31	SU	3.27	27.2%	11.9%	1.7%	.312	3.41	31.7%	18.8%	144	+0.14	2.36	455	79
Justin Wilson L 2019 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	26.5%	10.8%	2.4%	.290	4.05	22.1%	12.0%	54	+0.49	2.49	420	75
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	70
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2015 · 2.58 FIP	34	SU	2.58	24.2%	9.2%	0.7%	.307	3.30	22.6%	14.3%	71	+0.72	2.58	109	69
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	223	69
Boone Logan L 2016 · 2.58 FIP	31	SU	2.58	30.5%	8.0%	1.9%	.207	3.74	28.5%	17.9%	32	+1.16	2.58	113	69
Jake McGee L 2018 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	20.7%	6.6%	3.9%	.316	3.59	25.6%	21.2%	121	-0.74	1.39	350	67
Josh Edgin L 2018 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	29.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	113	65
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	65
Ryan Buchter L 2018 · 3.54 FIP	31	SU	3.54	25.2%	8.6%	2.7%	.269	4.95	24.3%	12.6%	78	+1.41	2.37	296	65
Fernando Abad L 2017 · 3.53 FIP	31	SU	3.53	20.3%	7.1%	2.2%	.281	2.37	23.3%	21.0%	44	-1.16	2.37	306	65
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	65
Aaron Loup L 2018 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	24.0%	7.7%	2.0%	.364	2.50	25.1%	18.8%	82	-0.66	2.07	363	64
Colt Hynes L 2016 · 3.55 FIP	31	SU	3.55	22.3%	4.8%	3.1%	.353	3.75	14.1%	9.5%	56	+0.20	3.42	152	64
Mike Dunn L 2016 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.6%	6.2%	3.0%	.311	4.63	22.4%	8.9%	85	+0.92	3.71	181	64
Tony Sipp L 2015 · 2.80 FIP	32	SU	2.80	28.7%	6.5%	2.4%	.267	4.45	23.8%	15.0%	120	+1.65	2.22	195	62
Zack Britton L 2019 · 3.51 FIP	31	SU	3.51	21.6%	12.7%	1.1%	.222	3.66	20.3%	7.2%	37	+0.15	1.58	309	62
Sam Freeman L 2018 · 3.35 FIP	31	SU	3.35	26.9%	13.9%	1.4%	.304	5.60	16.8%	5.5%	59	+2.25	3.03	299	61
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	61
Oliver Pérez L 2015 · 2.88 FIP	33	SU	2.88	27.9%	7.1%	2.2%	.304	2.63	28.3%	21.7%	119	-0.25	1.58	219	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	48	26.2%	9.5%	0.95	3.86
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Keone Kela ('19)	1.1	43	30.1%	9.4%	0.92	3.23