Eric Lauer

P Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 32 LHP 6'3" / 209 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBSPD6040-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	29	AAAHOU	19	16	75	5.26	3.95	25.3%	9.1%	—	K 21.8% · BB 8.2% · FIP 4.47
2025	30	MIX2 levels	33	20	129	3.43	3.63	23.3%	5.9%	2.0	K 22.7% · BB 5.8% · FIP 3.74
2026	31	MLBLAD	22	18	108	5.23	5.86	15.5%	7.5%	-1.1
2027PROJ	32	MLBLAD	9	9	55	4.87	5.26	17.4%	7.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ	33	MLBLAD	14	14	84	5.38	5.65	16.5%	7.7%	-0.6
2029PROJ	34	MLBLAD	13	13	76	5.56	5.68	17.6%	7.4%	-0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs24

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsArturo Lopez (age 32) · Jorge Castillo (age 33) · Tomas Solis (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA4.87

FIP5.26

K%17.4%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%10.1%

Proj IP55

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.1

Whiff%

p1018.6%

p1015.5%

xwOBA vs

p240.342

SL+0.7 (8%)

CT (23%)

CU (12%)

CH-1.8 (15%)

FB-2.9 (42%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	6	27	9	2	1	100%	2.0	33.3%	7.4%	25.9%	3.7%	4.50	3.26	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	3	6	27	9	2	1	100%	2.0	33.3%	7.4%	25.9%	3.7%	4.50	3.27	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	123	511	132	36	10	95%	5.6	20.3%	7.9%	12.3%	2.6%	3.30	3.80	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	123	511	132	36	10	95%	5.6	25.8%	7.0%	18.8%	2.0%	3.30	2.89	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	28	136	601	126	54	16	100%	4.9	20.2%	9.1%	11.2%	2.7%	3.96	4.00	+1.5
2018	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	28	136	601	126	54	16	100%	4.9	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	2.7%	3.96	3.97	+1.5
2019	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	30	29	150	651	138	47	20	97%	5.0	21.2%	7.2%	14.0%	3.0%	4.45	3.87	+1.8
2019	24	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	30	29	150	651	138	47	20	97%	5.0	21.2%	7.2%	14.0%	3.1%	4.45	3.94	+1.7
2020	25	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	4	2	11	61	12	9	2	50%	2.8	19.7%	14.8%	4.9%	3.1%	13.09	5.02	-0.0
2020	25	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	4	2	11	61	12	9	2	50%	2.8	19.7%	14.8%	4.9%	3.3%	13.09	5.74	-0.1
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	21	124	506	129	42	16	84%	4.9	23.9%	8.2%	15.7%	3.1%	3.06	3.83	+1.6
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	21	124	506	129	42	16	84%	4.9	25.5%	8.3%	17.2%	3.2%	3.06	3.71	+1.8
2022	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	29	29	159	661	157	59	27	100%	5.5	23.8%	8.9%	14.8%	3.9%	3.69	4.36	+1.0
2022	27	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	29	29	159	661	157	59	27	100%	5.5	23.8%	8.9%	14.8%	4.1%	3.69	4.45	+0.8
2023	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	19	91	420	109	48	22	83%	4.0	23.5%	10.7%	12.8%	5.4%	5.81	5.44	-0.6
2023	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	19	91	420	109	48	22	83%	4.0	26.0%	11.4%	14.5%	5.2%	5.81	5.42	-0.5
2024	29	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	19	16	75	340	86	31	11	84%	4.0	21.8%	8.2%	13.5%	3.9%	5.26	4.47	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	19	16	75	340	86	31	11	84%	4.0	21.8%	8.2%	13.5%	3.9%	5.26	4.47	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	19	16	75	340	86	31	11	84%	4.0	25.3%	9.1%	16.2%	3.2%	5.26	3.95	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	20	129	528	123	31	17	61%	3.9	22.7%	5.8%	17.0%	3.3%	3.43	3.74	+1.8
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	20	129	528	123	31	17	61%	3.9	22.7%	5.8%	17.0%	3.3%	3.43	3.74	+1.8
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	20	129	528	123	31	17	61%	3.9	23.3%	5.9%	17.4%	3.2%	3.43	3.63	+2.0
2026	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	22	18	108	466	72	35	26	82%	4.9	15.5%	7.5%	7.9%	5.4%	5.23	5.68	-0.9
2026	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	22	18	108	466	72	35	26	82%	4.9	15.5%	7.5%	7.9%	5.4%	5.23	5.68	-0.9
2026	31	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	22	18	108	466	72	35	26	82%	4.9	15.5%	7.5%	7.9%	5.6%	5.23	5.86	-1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			170	145	810	3469	741	283	137	85%	4.8	21.4%	8.2%	13.2%	3.9%	4.28	4.52	+3.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	LAD	9	9	55	232	40	17	10	100%	6.1	17.4%	7.3%	10.1%	4.2%	4.87	5.26	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAD	14	14	84	353	58	27	16	100%	6.0	16.5%	7.7%	8.8%	4.5%	5.27	5.54	-0.6
2029	34	MLB MLE	LAD	13	13	76	321	57	24	15	100%	5.9	17.6%	7.4%	10.2%	4.8%	5.45	5.57	-0.6
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAD	14	14	84	355	59	27	17	100%	6.0	16.5%	7.7%	8.8%	4.7%	5.38	5.65	-0.6
2029	34	MLB CTX	LAD	13	13	76	321	57	24	16	100%	5.8	17.6%	7.4%	10.2%	5.0%	5.56	5.68	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		197	172	969	4143	856	334	170	87%	4.9	20.7%	8.1%	12.6%	4.1%	4.47	4.63	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	35	200	855	177	69	35	87%	4.9	20.7%	8.1%	12.6%	4.1%	4.47	4.63	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		238	206	1112	4772	1027	392	172	87%	4.7	21.5%	8.2%	13.3%	3.6%	4.21	4.30	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	37	200	859	185	70	31	87%	4.7	21.5%	8.2%	13.3%	3.6%	4.21	4.30	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eric Lauer (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	17.4%	7.3%	4.2%	—	5.55	17.1%	9.5%	160	+0.29	—	—	—
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	70
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	69
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	69
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	66
Orlando Lara L 2017 · 4.39 FIP	32	SP	4.39	14.7%	6.5%	3.1%	.346	4.09	22.0%	14.2%	104	-0.30	3.85	426	64
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	208	62
Kelvin Marte L 2019 · 5.25 FIP	31	SP	5.25	12.0%	10.8%	3.3%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	360	57
Matt Dermody L 2022 · 4.22 FIP	32	SP-	4.22	17.9%	5.5%	3.5%	.302	3.87	20.7%	16.1%	49	-0.35	2.38	348	55
Sean Nolin L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	31	SP-	4.54	20.4%	8.9%	3.7%	.316	5.87	19.3%	12.9%	23	+1.33	3.79	309	54
Kaz Ishii L 2005 · 5.23 FIP	31	SP	5.23	13.3%	11.5%	3.3%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	564	54
Mark Hendrickson L 2006 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP-	4.33	13.8%	8.6%	2.4%	.288	4.28	14.8%	8.8%	361	-0.05	3.04	1,169	53
Darrell May L 2004 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP	5.17	14.4%	6.1%	4.6%	.315	5.59	11.6%	4.3%	66	+0.42	4.24	657	49
Mike Montgomery L 2021 · 4.49 FIP	32	SP	4.49	18.5%	12.4%	2.5%	.347	4.44	15.5%	3.4%	147	-0.05	3.43	764	49
Anthony Vasquez L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	32	SW	6.00	14.6%	7.3%	5.9%	.383	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	671	48
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	409	47
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	43
Randy Keisler L 2007 · 5.51 FIP	31	SP-	5.51	6.5%	6.5%	3.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	135	43
Paul Oseguera L 2016 · 5.62 FIP	32	SP	5.62	5.6%	12.5%	2.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	162	42
Tim Adleman R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	31	SP	4.30	22.8%	7.8%	3.9%	.266	4.71	18.5%	11.1%	90	+0.41	3.63	605	37
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	36

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.2	103	20.5%	8.2%	1.58	4.48
George Caster ('34-'46, 6 WAR*)	6.9	115	21.0%*	8.6%*	1.44*	4.43*
Jerry Garvin ('77-'82, 4 WAR*)	3.0	101	19.3%*	8.4%*	1.44*	4.52*
Mark Leiter ('90-'01, 5 WAR*)	5.9	118	20.7%*	7.8%*	1.36*	4.61*
Chase Anderson ('24)	5.5	101	19.7%	8.1%	1.48	4.41
Drew Smyly ('24)	5.7	104	23.1%	7.7%	1.49	4.20
Daniel Norris ('23)	2.9	73	21.5%	8.9%	1.39	4.73