Joe Jiménez — OGILVIE

Joe Jiménez P Atlanta Braves

+0.3 WAR

INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 277 lbs MLB Svc 8.0 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.9 · 2027

ERA3.24

FIP3.52

xFIP3.52

SIERA3.04

K%27.3%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%19.1%

IP61

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2027

K†6565

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p9032.9%

p9029.6%

xwOBA vs

p900.253

SL+9.1 (50%)

FB+7.2 (46%)

CH+1.2 (4%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2015	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	40	0	43	162	61	11	2	27.9%	8.0%	1.7%	1.47	2.69	+1.1
2016	21	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	55	0	54	203	78	16	1	31.1%	8.7%	0.6%	1.51	1.89	+1.9
2017	22	MLB	Detroit Tigers	51	1	45	206	54	19	5	24.2%	9.7%	2.4%	6.00	3.62	+0.7
2018	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	68	0	63	267	78	19	5	29.2%	7.1%	2.0%	4.31	2.62	+1.7
2019	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	66	0	60	257	82	22	13	31.9%	8.6%	5.4%	4.37	4.44	+0.3
2020	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	25	0	23	101	22	6	7	21.8%	5.9%	7.2%	7.15	5.94	-0.3
2021	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	53	0	46	214	58	34	7	27.1%	16.2%	2.9%	6.02	4.48	+0.2
2022	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	62	0	57	231	77	13	4	33.3%	5.6%	1.8%	3.49	2.00	+1.9
2023	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	59	0	56	238	73	14	9	30.7%	5.9%	3.6%	3.04	3.24	+1.1
2024	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	69	0	69	277	82	22	2	29.6%	7.9%	0.8%	2.62	2.04	+2.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	ATL	18	—	18	77	22	6	2	28.0%	8.2%	2.5%	3.13	3.50	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	32	MLB	ATL	59	—	59	247	68	21	6	27.4%	8.3%	2.5%	3.42	3.62	+0.9
2028	33	MLB	ATL	56	—	56	236	63	20	6	26.7%	8.5%	2.6%	3.62	3.75	+0.8
2029	34	MLB	ATL	53	—	53	225	58	20	6	26.0%	8.7%	2.7%	3.78	3.89	+0.6
2030	35	MLB	ATL	50	—	50	212	53	19	6	25.3%	8.9%	2.8%	3.93	4.04	+0.5
2031	36	MLB	ATL	47	—	47	198	48	18	6	24.5%	9.2%	3.0%	4.09	4.20	+0.4
2032	37	MLB	ATL	43	—	43	183	43	17	6	23.7%	9.5%	3.1%	4.26	4.38	+0.3
2033	38	MLB	ATL	40	—	40	168	38	16	5	22.8%	9.8%	3.2%	4.44	4.56	+0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			548	1	515	2156	630	181	57	29.2%	8.4%	2.6%	3.76	3.14	+12.6
/ 200 IP	—			213	0	200	838	245	70	22	29.2%	8.4%	2.6%	3.76	3.14	+4.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe Jiménez (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.50	28.0%	8.2%	2.5%	—	3.75	26.7%	18.2%	168	+0.25	—	—	—
Chad Gaudin R 2028 · 2.66 FIP	33	SU	2.66	22.8%	6.8%	1.1%	.325	3.16	21.8%	13.9%	58	+0.50	2.02	102	75
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP	31	SW	3.73	24.5%	8.2%	3.0%	.325	3.80	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.07	3.65	137	75
Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.03 FIP	33	SU	3.03	27.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.305	5.07	21.4%	9.7%	88	+2.04	2.83	239	74
Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.33 FIP	32	SW	3.33	23.7%	7.2%	2.4%	.342	4.98	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.65	3.33	122	74
Rubby De La Rosa R 2025 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	27.7%	8.0%	4.5%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	281	73
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP	31	SW	3.85	25.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	102	72
C.C. Lee R 2026 · 3.02 FIP	31	SU	3.02	34.7%	9.1%	3.1%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	121	72
Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.00 FIP	31	SW	3.00	28.1%	6.1%	2.7%	.257	3.13	20.5%	15.1%	89	+0.13	2.73	316	72
Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	21.9%	6.4%	2.9%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.62	3.10	120	72
Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP	33	SU	4.26	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.44	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.82	1.94	112	72
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.38 FIP	31	SW	3.38	26.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.241	3.98	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.60	3.38	212	72
Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.23 FIP	31	SU	3.23	29.1%	9.2%	2.6%	.345	2.77	23.7%	17.8%	118	-0.46	2.11	300	71
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.39 FIP	31	SW	3.39	25.5%	9.1%	2.4%	.254	3.70	22.8%	11.1%	129	+0.31	2.80	410	71
Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.09 FIP	31	SW	4.09	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.53	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	403	71
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	31	SW	3.48	23.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.57	2.00	380	70
Luis García R 2026 · 3.04 FIP	31	SU	3.04	25.0%	8.3%	1.8%	.341	4.21	22.5%	13.9%	113	+1.17	2.26	602	70
Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.21 FIP	31	SW	3.21	25.2%	6.0%	2.7%	.286	3.66	21.9%	12.2%	152	+0.45	2.80	284	70
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP	31	SU	3.89	22.3%	8.6%	2.9%	.246	3.65	28.8%	20.4%	145	-0.24	1.69	468	70
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP	31	SU	4.63	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	70
Ryan Madson R 2029 · 2.94 FIP	34	SW	2.94	23.4%	5.2%	2.1%	.244	2.97	23.9%	18.7%	176	+0.03	1.43	240	70

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 8.355 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+0.3	$1M	-$7M
Totals		$9M		$1M	-$7M