Joe Jiménez P Atlanta Braves
Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 277 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8374vR 65
ERA3.29
FIP3.27
K%29.5%
BB%7.5%
K-BB%22.0%
ROS IP64
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
K: +5.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+5KBB: +1.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -0.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +3.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: +1.02 (63 IP)+1.0WAR
0.60.60.42628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6565
CTRL5050
CMD6565
K†6565
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p9032.9%
K%
p9029.6%
xwOBA vs
p900.253
SL+9.1 (50%)
FB+7.2 (46%)
CH+1.2 (4%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201520AWest Michigan Whitecaps40043162611120%1.127.9%8.0%19.9%1.8%1.472.73
201520AWest Michigan Whitecaps40043162611120%1.137.7%6.8%30.9%1.2%1.471.63
201621MIX3 levels55054203781610%1.031.1%8.7%22.4%0.7%1.511.95
201621MIX3 levels55054203781610%1.038.4%7.9%30.5%0.5%1.511.33
201722MIX3 levels51145206541952%0.924.2%9.7%14.5%2.7%6.003.75+0.4
201722MIX3 levels51145206541952%0.926.2%9.2%17.0%2.4%6.003.41+0.6
201823MLBDetroit Tigers68063267781950%0.929.2%7.1%22.1%2.0%4.312.66+1.4
201823MLBDetroit Tigers68063267781950%0.929.2%7.1%22.1%1.9%4.312.56+1.5
201924MLBDetroit Tigers660602578222130%0.931.9%8.6%23.3%5.5%4.374.52+0.0
201924MLBDetroit Tigers660602578222130%0.931.9%8.6%23.3%5.1%4.374.29+0.2
202025MLBDetroit Tigers2502310122670%0.921.8%5.9%15.8%7.6%7.156.17-0.4
202025MLBDetroit Tigers2502310122670%0.921.8%5.9%15.8%6.9%7.155.97-0.4
202126MIX2 levels53046214583470%0.927.1%16.2%11.0%3.1%6.024.57-0.0
202126MIX2 levels53046214583470%0.927.1%15.9%11.2%3.3%6.024.76-0.1
202227MLBDetroit Tigers62057231771340%0.933.3%5.6%27.7%1.9%3.492.04+1.7
202227MLBDetroit Tigers62057231771340%0.933.3%5.6%27.7%1.7%3.491.99+1.7
202328MLBAtlanta Braves59056238731490%1.030.7%5.9%24.8%3.8%3.043.33+0.8
202328MLBAtlanta Braves59056238731490%1.030.7%5.9%24.8%3.8%3.043.33+0.8
202429MLBAtlanta Braves69069277822220%1.029.6%7.9%21.7%0.7%2.622.00+2.2
202429MLBAtlanta Braves69069277822220%1.029.6%7.9%21.7%0.7%2.622.05+2.2
▸ 2026 Season
202631MLBATL41043181541440%1.029.5%7.5%22.0%2.4%3.293.27+0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBATL56059250722070%1.128.7%7.9%20.8%2.7%3.433.53+0.7
202833MLBATL52054229641970%1.027.9%8.4%19.5%3.0%3.663.81+0.5
202732MLBATL56059249722070%1.128.7%7.9%20.8%2.7%3.433.53+0.7
202833MLBATL51054228641970%1.127.9%8.4%19.5%3.0%3.663.81+0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career53305042158624178630%0.928.9%8.2%20.6%2.9%4.263.32+12.3
/ 200 IP211020085624771250%0.928.9%8.2%20.6%2.9%4.263.32+4.9
Career54815152156630181590%0.929.2%8.4%20.8%2.7%3.763.20+13.2
/ 200 IP213020083824570230%0.929.2%8.4%20.8%2.7%3.763.20+5.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Joe Jiménez (OGILVIE) 3.27 29.5%7.5%2.4% 3.66 28.3%20.2%113 +0.39
Mark Lowe R 2027 · 2.37 FIP 32 SU 2.37 28.4%5.1%1.9%.302 5.17 19.2%9.9%98 +2.80 2.37 153 79
Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.04 FIP 31 SU 3.04 28.1%6.1%2.8%.257 3.20 20.5%15.1%89 +0.16 2.82 316 79
Anthony Swarzak R 2026 · 2.45 FIP 31 SU 2.45 30.0%5.9%2.1%.277 5.30 23.7%12.8%80 +2.85 2.45 260 78
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 77
Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.20 FIP 31 SU 3.20 25.2%6.0%2.7%.286 3.68 21.9%12.2%152 +0.48 2.82 284 77
Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 76
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 31 SU 3.41 26.5%9.6%2.4%.241 3.66 23.3%13.2%105 +0.25 3.41 212 75
C.C. Lee R 2026 · 3.00 FIP 31 SU 3.00 34.7%9.1%3.0%.275 2.50 121 75
Josh Lueke R 2025 · 2.50 FIP 30 SU 2.50 30.0%4.1%2.6%.264 2.50 107 75
Shawn Kelley R 2026 · 2.34 FIP 31 SU 2.34 30.7%5.4%2.1%.291 4.06 29.3%24.4%133 +1.72 2.34 232 74
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP 31 SU 3.40 25.5%9.1%2.4%.254 3.69 22.8%11.1%129 +0.29 2.73 410 74
Ryan Madson R 2029 · 2.97 FIP 34 SU 2.97 23.4%5.2%2.2%.244 2.98 23.9%18.7%176 +0.01 1.42 240 74
Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.09 FIP 33 SU 3.09 27.9%8.7%2.3%.305 5.10 21.4%9.7%88 +2.01 2.74 239 74
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 31 SU 3.58 23.5%6.6%3.0%.258 2.93 26.6%18.9%183 -0.65 2.01 380 74
Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.45 FIP 31 SU 3.45 31.1%9.0%3.3%.222 3.03 25.3%18.2%171 -0.42 2.45 394 73
Jay Jackson R 2026 · 2.91 FIP 31 SU 2.91 32.4%9.1%2.5%.272 3.61 29.4%19.9%41 +0.70 2.41 261 73
Pedro Strop R 2026 · 2.48 FIP 31 SU 2.48 32.1%7.5%2.1%.211 3.23 25.5%16.3%162 +0.75 2.48 277 73
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 31 SU 3.52 25.3%9.3%2.5%.364 3.05 210 73
Chad Gaudin R 2028 · 2.66 FIP 33 SU 2.66 22.8%6.8%1.1%.325 3.46 21.8%13.9%58 +0.80 2.02 102 73
Rubby De La Rosa R 2025 · 4.04 FIP 30 SU 4.04 27.7%8.0%4.1%.269 3.97 281 73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35228.7%8.0%1.053.47
Diego Castillo ('22)55228.1%8.9%1.073.12
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63
Pedro Báez ('19)56326.1%8.3%0.973.06
Keone Kela ('19)54330.1%9.4%0.923.23
Colin Poche ('24)45227.0%9.2%1.343.63
Sean Doolittle ('21)54928.7%6.2%1.183.31