Joe Jiménez — OGILVIE

Joe Jiménez P Atlanta Braves

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 277 lbs MLB Svc 8.0 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.8 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8577vR 69

ERA3.29

FIP3.27

K%29.5%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%22.0%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL5050

CMD6565

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p9032.9%

p9029.6%

xwOBA vs

p900.253

SL+9.1 (50%)

FB+7.2 (46%)

CH+1.2 (4%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 8.355 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.7M	+0.1	$0.3M	-$0.4M
Totals		$0.7M		$0.3M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	40	0	43	162	61	11	2	0%	1.1	27.9%	8.0%	19.9%	1.7%	1.47	2.68	—
2015	20	A RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	40	0	43	162	61	11	2	0%	1.1	37.7%	6.8%	30.9%	1.2%	1.47	1.63	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	0	54	203	78	16	1	0%	1.0	31.1%	8.7%	22.4%	0.6%	1.51	1.90	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	55	0	54	203	78	16	1	0%	1.0	38.4%	7.9%	30.5%	0.5%	1.51	1.33	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	51	1	45	206	54	19	5	2%	0.9	24.2%	9.7%	14.5%	2.6%	6.00	3.71	+0.4
2017	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	51	1	45	206	54	19	5	2%	0.9	26.2%	9.2%	17.0%	2.4%	6.00	3.41	+0.6
2018	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	68	0	63	267	78	19	5	0%	0.9	29.2%	7.1%	22.1%	2.0%	4.31	2.61	+1.5
2018	23	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	68	0	63	267	78	19	5	0%	0.9	29.2%	7.1%	22.1%	1.9%	4.31	2.56	+1.5
2019	24	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	66	0	60	257	82	22	13	0%	0.9	31.9%	8.6%	23.3%	5.3%	4.37	4.39	+0.1
2019	24	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	66	0	60	257	82	22	13	0%	0.9	31.9%	8.6%	23.3%	5.1%	4.37	4.29	+0.2
2020	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	25	0	23	101	22	6	7	0%	0.9	21.8%	5.9%	15.8%	7.2%	7.15	5.99	-0.4
2020	25	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	25	0	23	101	22	6	7	0%	0.9	21.8%	5.9%	15.8%	6.9%	7.15	5.97	-0.4
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	46	214	58	34	7	0%	0.9	27.1%	16.2%	11.0%	3.0%	6.02	4.50	+0.0
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	46	214	58	34	7	0%	0.9	27.1%	15.9%	11.2%	3.3%	6.02	4.76	-0.1
2022	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	62	0	57	231	77	13	4	0%	0.9	33.3%	5.6%	27.7%	1.8%	3.49	1.99	+1.7
2022	27	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	62	0	57	231	77	13	4	0%	0.9	33.3%	5.6%	27.7%	1.7%	3.49	1.99	+1.7
2023	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	59	0	56	238	73	14	9	0%	1.0	30.7%	5.9%	24.8%	3.8%	3.04	3.33	+0.8
2023	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	59	0	56	238	73	14	9	0%	1.0	30.7%	5.9%	24.8%	3.8%	3.04	3.33	+0.8
2023	28	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	59	0	56	238	73	14	9	0%	1.0	30.7%	5.9%	24.8%	3.8%	3.04	3.33	+0.8
2024	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	69	0	69	277	82	22	2	0%	1.0	29.6%	7.9%	21.7%	0.7%	2.62	2.00	+2.1
2024	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	69	0	69	277	82	22	2	0%	1.0	29.6%	7.9%	21.7%	0.7%	2.62	2.00	+2.1
2024	29	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	69	0	69	277	82	22	2	0%	1.0	29.6%	7.9%	21.7%	0.7%	2.62	2.05	+2.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			425	0	391	1680	488	139	50	0%	0.9	29.0%	8.3%	20.8%	3.0%	4.47	3.33	+5.7
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	ATL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	29.5%	7.5%	22.0%	2.4%	3.29	3.27	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	ATL	56	0	59	250	72	20	7	0%	1.1	28.7%	7.9%	20.8%	2.7%	3.43	3.53	+0.7
2028	33	MLB MLE	ATL	52	0	54	229	64	19	7	0%	1.0	27.9%	8.4%	19.5%	3.0%	3.66	3.81	+0.5
2027	32	MLB CTX	ATL	56	0	59	249	72	20	7	0%	1.1	28.7%	7.9%	20.8%	2.7%	3.43	3.53	+0.7
2028	33	MLB CTX	ATL	51	0	54	228	64	19	7	0%	1.1	27.9%	8.4%	19.5%	3.0%	3.66	3.81	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		533	0	504	2158	624	178	63	0%	0.9	28.9%	8.2%	20.6%	2.9%	4.26	3.32	+7.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		211	0	200	856	247	71	25	0%	0.9	28.9%	8.2%	20.6%	2.9%	4.26	3.32	+2.9
Career	—	MLE		548	1	515	2156	630	181	57	0%	0.9	29.2%	8.4%	20.8%	2.6%	3.76	3.15	+6.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		213	0	200	838	245	70	22	0%	0.9	29.2%	8.4%	20.8%	2.6%	3.76	3.15	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe Jiménez (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.27	29.5%	7.5%	2.4%	—	3.66	28.3%	20.2%	113	+0.39	—	—	—
Tommy Hunter R 2017 · 2.99 FIP	31	SU	2.99	28.1%	6.1%	2.7%	.257	3.16	20.5%	15.1%	89	+0.17	2.78	316	84
Anthony Swarzak R 2017 · 2.35 FIP	31	SU	2.35	30.0%	5.9%	1.9%	.277	5.30	23.7%	12.8%	80	+2.95	2.35	260	82
Mark Lowe R 2015 · 2.37 FIP	32	SU	2.37	28.4%	5.1%	1.9%	.302	5.22	19.2%	9.9%	98	+2.85	2.37	153	79
Brad Brach R 2017 · 3.36 FIP	31	SU	3.36	25.5%	9.1%	2.3%	.254	3.68	22.8%	11.1%	129	+0.32	2.69	410	79
Jumbo Diaz R 2015 · 3.16 FIP	31	SU	3.16	25.2%	6.0%	2.6%	.286	3.65	21.9%	12.2%	152	+0.49	2.80	284	78
Josh Fields R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	26.9%	6.3%	4.3%	.216	5.01	20.5%	12.9%	66	+1.03	1.90	238	78
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	78
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	78
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	77
Jason Adam R 2023 · 3.40 FIP	31	SU	3.40	31.1%	9.0%	3.2%	.222	2.95	25.3%	18.2%	171	-0.45	2.42	394	77
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	76
Wade Davis R 2017 · 3.17 FIP	31	SU	3.17	32.6%	11.2%	2.6%	.254	3.92	26.1%	14.5%	108	+0.75	2.00	320	76
Pedro Strop R 2016 · 2.56 FIP	31	SU	2.56	32.1%	7.5%	2.2%	.211	3.30	25.5%	16.3%	162	+0.74	2.56	277	76
Josh Lueke R 2015 · 2.29 FIP	30	SU	2.29	30.0%	4.1%	2.2%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	75
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	75
Kenley Jansen R 2019 · 3.10 FIP	31	SU	3.10	30.4%	6.1%	3.3%	.266	2.77	31.9%	22.5%	157	-0.33	0.89	681	74
Jay Jackson R 2019 · 2.80 FIP	31	SU	2.80	32.4%	9.1%	2.3%	.272	3.59	29.4%	19.9%	41	+0.79	2.36	261	74
Shawn Kelley R 2015 · 2.23 FIP	31	SU	2.23	30.7%	5.4%	1.9%	.291	4.09	29.3%	24.4%	133	+1.86	2.23	232	74
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	74
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	28.7%	7.9%	1.04	3.45
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Keone Kela ('19)	1.1	43	30.1%	9.4%	0.92	3.23
Sean Doolittle ('21)	1.2	49	28.7%	6.2%	1.18	3.31
Seunghwan Oh ('18)	1.0	69	27.7%	5.9%	1.00	2.78