Ryan Hendrix — OGILVIE

Ryan Hendrix P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.70

FIP4.63

K%27.0%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%13.4%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7596.3

Whiff%

p9032.9%

p6324.6%

xwOBA vs

p190.349

FB+1.1

CH-0.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	35	148	36	13	0	0%	1.7	20.9%	8.6%	12.3%	0.0%	3.57	2.43	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	35	148	36	13	0	0%	1.7	24.3%	8.8%	15.5%	0.0%	3.57	2.17	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	62	263	88	26	6	0%	1.3	25.1%	11.5%	13.6%	2.9%	2.90	4.02	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	62	263	88	26	6	0%	1.3	33.5%	9.9%	23.6%	2.3%	2.90	2.78	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	44	0	51	218	79	24	2	0%	1.2	27.9%	12.7%	15.2%	1.1%	1.76	2.94	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	44	0	51	218	79	24	2	0%	1.2	36.2%	11.0%	25.2%	0.9%	1.76	1.92	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	2	24	98	31	8	0	10%	1.2	23.0%	10.9%	12.1%	0.0%	1.85	2.53	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	2	24	98	31	8	0	10%	1.2	31.6%	8.2%	23.5%	0.0%	1.85	1.54	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	47	215	50	23	12	0%	0.9	22.4%	10.9%	11.5%	5.3%	6.85	5.51	-0.5
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	47	215	50	23	12	0%	0.9	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	5.6%	6.85	5.74	-0.7
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	47	215	62	36	3	0%	0.9	26.4%	18.4%	8.0%	1.5%	5.17	4.00	+0.3
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	47	215	62	36	3	0%	0.9	28.8%	16.7%	12.1%	1.4%	5.17	3.59	+0.5
2023	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	3	0	3	12	2	1	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	3.00	7.32	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	3	0	3	12	2	1	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	3.00	7.32	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	3	0	3	12	2	1	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	3.00	7.10	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	207	60	32	5	0%	1.2	22.8%	13.8%	9.0%	2.3%	7.84	4.19	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	207	60	32	5	0%	1.2	22.8%	13.8%	9.0%	2.3%	7.84	4.19	—
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	41	207	60	32	5	0%	1.2	29.0%	15.5%	13.5%	2.4%	7.84	4.09	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			45	0	40	180	44	19	8	0%	0.9	24.4%	10.6%	13.9%	4.4%	5.85	4.92	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	KC	4	0	4	17	5	2	1	0%	1.0	27.0%	13.6%	13.4%	3.1%	4.70	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	KC	49	0	51	216	56	29	7	0%	1.0	25.9%	13.6%	12.3%	3.3%	4.78	4.85	-0.2
2028	33	MLB MLE	KC	45	0	47	198	49	27	7	0%	1.0	24.8%	13.7%	11.1%	3.6%	4.95	5.09	-0.3
2029	34	MLB MLE	KC	41	0	43	181	43	25	7	0%	1.0	23.9%	14.0%	9.9%	3.9%	5.18	5.36	-0.4
2027	32	MLB CTX	KC	18	0	19	80	21	11	3	0%	1.1	25.9%	13.6%	12.3%	3.3%	4.78	4.85	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	KC	25	0	26	110	27	15	4	0%	1.0	24.8%	13.7%	11.1%	3.6%	4.95	5.09	-0.2
2029	34	MLB CTX	KC	21	0	22	93	22	13	4	0%	1.0	23.9%	14.0%	9.9%	3.9%	5.18	5.36	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		108	0	106	460	114	58	18	0%	1.0	24.7%	12.5%	12.2%	3.9%	5.31	4.76	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		203	0	200	865	214	109	34	0%	1.0	24.7%	12.5%	12.2%	3.9%	5.31	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		272	2	311	1376	334	174	30	1%	1.1	24.3%	12.6%	11.7%	2.2%	4.31	3.86	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		175	1	200	884	215	112	19	1%	1.1	24.3%	12.6%	11.7%	2.2%	4.31	3.86	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Hendrix (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	27.0%	13.6%	3.1%	—	5.08	24.9%	11.2%	141	+0.45	—	—	—
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	86
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	75
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	74
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	73
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	72
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	71
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	71
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	71
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	71
Adam Ottavino R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	25.9%	15.2%	2.9%	.296	2.60	33.3%	22.0%	162	-1.84	2.10	488	69
Huascar Brazobán R 2022 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	28.5%	11.4%	3.0%	.275	3.49	23.2%	12.9%	187	-0.28	3.08	366	68
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	67
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	67
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	67
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	67
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	67
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	66
Simon Castro R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	29	SU	3.99	28.3%	10.3%	3.6%	.256	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	185	65
Parker Markel R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	31	SU	4.47	25.5%	15.5%	2.9%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	266	65
Justin Miller R 2018 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	27.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.248	4.82	24.8%	18.8%	66	+0.58	2.63	279	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	25.5%	13.7%	1.33	4.89
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84