Ryan Hendrix
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.83
FIP4.78
K%28.1%
BB%15.5%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p9032.9%
K%
p6324.6%
xwOBA vs
p190.349
FB+1.1
CH-0.6
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 36 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 0.0% | 3.57 | 2.43 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 36 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 0.0% | 3.57 | 2.17 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 88 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 2.90 | 4.05 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 88 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 33.5% | 9.9% | 23.6% | 2.3% | 2.90 | 2.78 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 44 | 0 | 51 | 218 | 79 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.9% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 1.0% | 1.76 | 2.91 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 44 | 0 | 51 | 218 | 79 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.2% | 11.0% | 25.2% | 0.9% | 1.76 | 1.92 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 2 | 24 | 98 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 10% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 1.85 | 2.53 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 2 | 24 | 98 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 10% | 1.2 | 31.6% | 8.2% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 1.85 | 1.54 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 47 | 215 | 50 | 23 | 12 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.85 | 5.48 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 47 | 215 | 50 | 23 | 12 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 6.85 | 5.74 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 47 | 215 | 62 | 36 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.4% | 18.4% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 5.17 | 3.86 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 47 | 215 | 62 | 36 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.8% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | 5.17 | 3.59 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.00 | 7.32 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.00 | 7.10 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 41 | 207 | 60 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 7.84 | 4.37 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 41 | 207 | 60 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.0% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 2.4% | 7.84 | 4.09 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | KC | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 66 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.1% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.83 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | KC | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 58 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.8% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | KC | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 51 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 5.07 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | KC | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 45 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 5.29 | 5.48 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | KC | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.99 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | KC | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 5.07 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | KC | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 5.29 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 108 | 0 | 106 | 460 | 116 | 62 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 5.38 | 4.84 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 203 | 0 | 200 | 865 | 218 | 117 | 34 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 5.38 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 272 | 2 | 311 | 1376 | 337 | 178 | 30 | 1% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 4.31 | 3.86 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 1 | 200 | 884 | 217 | 115 | 19 | 1% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 4.31 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Hendrix (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 28.1% | 15.5% | 3.1% | — | 5.22 | 25.8% | 10.4% | 141 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 72 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 71 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.22 | 25.9% | 15.2% | 2.5% | .296 | 2.55 | 33.3% | 22.0% | 162 | -1.67 | 1.99 | 488 | 70 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 69 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.89 | 22.2% | 13.5% | 3.5% | .302 | 2.69 | 27.3% | 19.4% | 98 | -2.20 | 1.51 | 544 | 68 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 68 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 67 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.74 | 28.5% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .275 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 12.9% | 187 | -0.26 | 3.08 | 349 | 66 |
| Cody Hall R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.95 | 25.9% | 17.5% | 1.5% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 134 | 66 |
| Leonel Campos R 2025 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 168 | 65 |
| Parker Markel R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.12 | 25.5% | 15.5% | 2.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 266 | 65 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.66 | 21.1% | 15.3% | 2.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 24.4% | 10.4% | 46 | -1.03 | 2.40 | 231 | 65 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 64 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 63 |
| Simon Castro R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 28.3% | 10.3% | 3.7% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 185 | 62 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 62 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.44 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 2.6% | .293 | 3.55 | 27.6% | 18.2% | 147 | -0.89 | 3.07 | 363 | 61 |
| Héctor Rondón R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | .257 | 5.52 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 20 | +1.00 | 2.37 | 318 | 61 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.24 | 27.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | .248 | 4.79 | 24.8% | 18.8% | 66 | +0.55 | 2.54 | 279 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 49 | 26.4% | 15.4% | 1.33 | 5.01 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |