Tyler Danish

P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 32 RHP 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	27	MIX3 levels	42	0	51	4.91	4.21	21.2%	9.0%	0.2	K 18.5% · BB 6.9% · FIP 4.69
2023	28	AAAWSH	26	0	29	3.72	4.17	15.3%	11.5%	—	K 13.1% · BB 10.3% · FIP 4.17
2024	29	AAACOL	11	10	40	7.71	5.37	12.6%	14.6%	—	K 10.9% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.91
2027PROJ	32	MLBCOL	155	0	163	4.60	4.69	20.7%	9.8%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBCOL	52	0	55	4.78	4.93	20.0%	10.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBCOL	42	0	44	5.00	5.18	19.2%	10.3%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022

K%25

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsAustin Bibens-Dirkx (age 32) · Todd Redmond (age 30) · Pete Walker (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA4.60

FIP4.69

K%20.7%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%10.9%

Proj IP163

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 163 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5555

CTRL4550

CMD5050

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.3

Whiff%

p1019.2%

p2518.5%

xwOBA vs

p100.378

SL+4.0

CH-0.5

CT-1.4

FB-5.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	20	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	26	26	142	635	90	60	13	100%	5.5	11.5%	10.4%	1.1%	2.2%	4.50	4.67	—
2015	20	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	26	26	142	635	90	60	13	100%	5.5	14.2%	9.4%	4.7%	2.0%	4.50	4.29	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	17	106	454	68	28	3	77%	4.8	12.8%	6.4%	6.4%	0.9%	4.91	3.31	+2.1
2016	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	17	106	454	68	28	3	77%	4.8	15.0%	6.2%	8.8%	0.7%	4.91	2.98	+2.5
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	26	143	657	77	53	18	96%	5.3	9.9%	7.8%	2.1%	2.7%	5.27	4.74	+0.3
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	26	143	657	77	53	18	96%	5.3	11.7%	8.1%	3.7%	2.7%	5.27	4.77	+0.2
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	2	78	331	58	32	8	5%	1.9	15.5%	9.8%	5.7%	1.7%	3.35	3.94	+0.6
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	2	78	331	58	32	8	5%	1.9	17.5%	9.7%	7.9%	2.4%	3.35	4.18	+0.3
2019	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	6	4	16	101	10	9	9	67%	2.6	8.7%	9.4%	-0.6%	9.3%	21.26	8.68	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	6	4	16	101	10	9	9	67%	2.6	9.9%	8.9%	1.0%	8.9%	21.26	11.01	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	3	70	295	79	14	10	9%	2.2	22.7%	5.7%	17.0%	4.2%	3.84	4.21	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	3	70	295	79	14	10	9%	2.2	26.8%	4.7%	22.0%	3.4%	3.84	3.30	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	51	222	47	20	7	0%	1.2	18.5%	6.9%	11.6%	4.1%	4.91	4.69	-0.1
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	51	222	47	20	7	0%	1.2	21.2%	9.0%	12.2%	3.2%	4.91	4.21	+0.2
2023	28	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	26	0	29	131	20	15	2	0%	1.1	13.1%	10.3%	2.8%	1.6%	3.72	4.17	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	26	0	29	131	20	15	2	0%	1.1	15.3%	11.5%	3.8%	1.5%	3.72	4.17	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	11	10	40	206	26	30	4	91%	3.6	10.9%	13.1%	-2.3%	1.9%	7.71	4.91	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	11	10	40	206	26	30	4	91%	3.6	10.9%	13.1%	-2.3%	1.9%	7.71	4.91	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	11	10	40	206	26	30	4	91%	3.6	12.6%	14.6%	-1.9%	1.9%	7.71	5.37	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			43	1	53	239	43	24	9	2%	1.2	18.0%	10.0%	7.9%	3.8%	5.06	5.03	-0.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	COL	155	0	163	688	143	67	22	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.8%	10.9%	3.1%	4.60	4.69	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	COL	143	0	150	632	126	63	22	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	3.4%	4.78	4.93	-0.6
2029	34	MLB MLE	COL	130	0	136	575	111	60	21	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.3%	8.9%	3.7%	5.00	5.18	-0.9
2028	33	MLB CTX	COL	52	0	55	232	46	23	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	3.4%	4.78	4.93	-0.2
2029	34	MLB CTX	COL	42	0	44	186	36	19	7	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.3%	8.9%	3.7%	5.00	5.18	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		137	1	152	657	125	66	24	1%	1.1	19.1%	10.1%	8.9%	3.6%	4.94	4.75	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		180	1	200	863	164	87	31	1%	1.1	19.1%	10.1%	8.9%	3.6%	4.94	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		232	88	676	3032	404	260	79	38%	2.9	13.3%	8.6%	4.7%	2.6%	5.10	4.49	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	26	200	897	119	77	23	38%	2.9	13.3%	8.6%	4.7%	2.6%	5.10	4.49	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Danish (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	20.7%	9.8%	3.1%	—	5.05	19.6%	9.5%	286	+0.36	—	—	—
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	14.0%	6.6%	4.2%	.268	5.28	17.5%	9.7%	166	+0.25	3.97	567	66
Todd Redmond R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	30	SW	3.86	15.4%	7.1%	2.1%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	247	62
Pete Walker R 2002 · 4.59 FIP	33	SP-	4.59	13.4%	7.7%	3.0%	.279	5.16	12.0%	2.8%	139	+0.57	4.45	327	60
Toru Murata R 2016 · 3.63 FIP	31	SW	3.63	12.9%	5.7%	1.6%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	267	58
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	468	57
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	57
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	56
Spencer Bivens R 2024 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	18.0%	5.8%	3.2%	.265	3.88	18.2%	10.9%	157	-0.19	3.52	391	56
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	3.84	193	55
Nick Martinez R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	32	SU	3.62	23.0%	8.5%	2.5%	.286	3.71	17.3%	13.0%	488	+0.09	2.94	1,288	55
Kenshin Kawakami R 2009 · 3.97 FIP	34	SP-	3.97	15.7%	7.6%	2.2%	.277	4.06	15.1%	9.5%	87	+0.09	3.97	244	53
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	53
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	52
Daniel McCutchen R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	32	SP-	4.30	13.9%	4.4%	3.3%	.268	4.74	10.8%	4.9%	155	+0.44	4.13	476	51
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	51
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	49
Junior Guerra R 2017 · 5.24 FIP	32	SP-	5.24	19.4%	12.8%	3.9%	.255	3.99	22.2%	12.5%	248	-1.25	3.18	646	48
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	48
Ramon Delgado R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	30	SW	4.31	11.2%	4.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	135	48
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	48

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	126	19.8%	10.1%	1.33	4.81
Jerry Casale ('58-'62, -1 WAR*)	1.9	93	18.7%*	11.2%*	1.44*	5.30*
Charlie Puleo ('81-'89, 1 WAR*)	3.2	90	18.5%*	11.5%*	1.22*	4.73*
Bob McGraw ('17-'29, -2 WAR*)	3.0	99	16.8%*	11.0%*	1.21*	5.01*
Felipe Paulino ('14)	2.0	101	20.7%	9.5%	1.14	5.22
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61