Gavin Collins

C Memphis Redbirds

Age 32 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	29	AAASTL	216	.264/.336/.461	9	0	74	—	.226/.280/.367
2025	30	AAASTL	299	.221/.303/.297	2	4	39	—	.191/.252/.257
2027PROJ10% MLB	32	MLBSTL	25	.214/.274/.308	0	0	64	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	33	MLBSTL	65	.209/.268/.299	1	0	60	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

Whiff%96

K%94

Z-Con%94

Speed62

BB%42

Chase%39

CompsMichel Hernandez (age 32) · Carlos Maldonado (age 32) · Alberto Castillo (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .274 / .308

PA25

HR0

K%20

BB%8

BABIP254

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	142	39	16	0	4	13	45	3	1	1	275	348	472	820	197	361	28	8	354	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A	Lake County Captains	—	159	141	38	5	1	8	14	30	2	0	0	270	344	489	833	220	286	19	9	363	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	252	228	53	20	1	5	14	46	6	1	2	232	294	395	689	162	270	18	6	303	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	ROK	AZL Indians 2	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	214	18	0	182	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	389	347	91	21	2	7	30	52	5	1	2	262	330	395	725	133	286	13	8	320	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	43	37	6	2	0	1	3	8	1	1	0	162	244	297	541	135	167	19	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	174	148	27	3	0	5	19	44	6	1	1	182	301	304	605	122	220	25	11	282	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	139	119	28	4	0	4	12	28	5	0	1	235	331	370	701	134	270	20	9	314	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	193	51	11	0	9	17	35	4	0	0	264	336	461	798	197	280	16	8	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	263	58	10	2	2	28	32	3	4	1	221	303	297	599	76	240	11	9	274	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	147	31	11	0	4	8	61	3	1	1	211	266	367	633	156	302	38	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	159	145	32	4	1	5	10	41	2	0	0	221	280	366	646	145	262	26	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	252	234	42	14	1	5	8	62	6	1	2	179	226	312	538	132	217	25	3	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 2	—	17	17	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	118	118	176	294	59	163	24	0	120	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	389	357	78	15	1	7	20	70	5	1	2	218	270	325	595	106	244	18	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	174	154	24	3	0	3	13	53	6	1	1	156	249	234	482	78	205	30	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	139	122	25	3	0	3	9	32	5	0	1	205	287	303	590	98	243	23	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	199	45	10	0	6	11	44	4	0	0	226	280	367	647	141	252	20	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	272	52	8	2	2	19	40	3	4	1	191	252	257	509	66	208	13	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	291	64	15	1	9	19	102	5	1	1	220	279	371	650	151	296	32	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	321	283	77	21	1	12	27	75	5	1	1	272	346	481	827	208	322	23	8	358	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	269	251	45	15	1	5	8	67	6	1	2	179	223	307	529	127	222	25	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	269	245	56	21	1	5	14	49	6	1	2	229	287	384	670	155	266	18	5	295	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	395	88	17	2	8	22	78	6	2	2	223	274	337	611	114	252	18	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	432	384	97	23	2	8	33	60	6	2	2	253	322	385	707	133	275	14	8	312	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	174	154	24	3	0	3	13	53	6	1	1	156	249	234	482	78	212	30	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	—	174	148	27	3	0	5	19	44	6	1	1	182	301	304	605	122	220	25	11	282	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	139	122	25	3	0	3	9	32	5	0	1	205	287	303	590	98	247	23	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	—	139	119	28	4	0	4	12	28	5	0	1	235	331	370	701	134	270	20	9	314	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	199	45	10	0	6	11	44	4	0	0	226	280	367	647	141	260	20	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	193	51	11	0	9	17	35	4	0	0	264	336	461	798	197	280	16	8	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	272	52	8	2	2	19	40	3	4	1	191	252	257	509	66	214	13	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	263	58	10	2	2	28	32	3	4	1	221	303	297	599	76	240	11	9	274	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	294	64	15	1	9	19	102	5	1	1	218	279	367	647	150	282	32	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	269	253	45	15	1	5	8	67	6	1	2	178	223	304	527	126	214	25	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	401	88	17	2	8	22	78	6	2	2	219	274	332	606	112	244	18	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	174	153	24	3	0	3	13	53	6	1	1	157	249	235	484	78	205	30	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	139	124	25	3	0	3	9	32	5	0	1	202	287	298	585	97	243	23	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	199	45	10	0	6	11	44	4	0	0	226	280	367	647	141	252	20	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	275	52	8	2	2	19	40	3	4	1	189	252	255	506	65	208	13	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	199	45	10	0	6	11	44	4	0	0	226	280	367	647	141	252	20	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	275	52	8	2	2	19	40	3	4	1	189	252	255	506	65	208	13	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	32	MLB MLE	STL	10%	336	308	66	13	2	4	21	63	4	5	1	214	273	309	581	95	252	19	6	263	64	-14	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	32	MLB CTX	STL	10%	25	23	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	214	274	308	582	94	254	20	8	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	STL	27%	237	218	46	9	1	3	15	46	2	2	1	209	267	299	566	90	249	19	6	257	60	-11	+0	-4	+4	+5	-0.6
2028	33	MLB CTX	STL	27%	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	13	1	0	0	209	268	299	567	89	251	20	6	257	60	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	13	1	0	0	200	262	283	545	83	239	20	6	257	58	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	120	20	0	10	40	130	10	0	0	200	262	283	545	83	239	20	6	257	58	-31	+0	-12	+12	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2337	2131	438	90	8	42	132	509	40	15	10	206	265	314	579	109	247	22	6	254	58	-22	+0	-4	+9	+11	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	122	25	2	12	37	142	11	4	3	206	266	315	581	110	247	22	6	254	58	-29	+1	-6	+12	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Collins (OGILVIE)	32	50	35	45	45	212/271/306	94	252	3	4	19%	6%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michel Hernandez 2011 · MLB	32	48	38→40	45→40	48	227/274/302	76	256	7	7	15%	6%	63	-1.3	220/280/309	89	252	6	6	15%	6%	68	-1.0	210/273/287	77	241	3	1	14%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Carlos Maldonado 2011 · AAA	32	41→50	41→40	45→40	44	206/258/300	94	256	9	7	24%	6%	57	-1.8	197/265/302	105	268	11	6	29%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/280	106	230	11	0	28%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Alberto Castillo 2002 · MLB	32	44	39→30	44→30	49	213/280/295	82	255	7	6	19%	8%	65	-1.2	221/285/338	117	266	11	7	20%	8%	76	-0.4	226/301/297	71	274	2	2	17%	10%	72	-0.2
✕Elliot Soto 2022 · AAA	32	46→52	39→40	48→50	44	218/278/304	86	291	6	10	26%	7%	66	-1.1	193/255/272	79	276	5	16	30%	7%	50	-2.3	174/240/240	67	253	4	20	31%	7%	35	-1.9
✕Chris Ashby 2007 · AAA	32	48	40	42→45	46	230/276/317	87	265	8	6	17%	5%	68	-1.0	220/281/334	114	267	12	7	22%	7%	74	-0.5	177/252/275	98	210	12	0	22%	9%	48	-0.7
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2016 · MLB	32	45→43	41→45	45→40	44	218/260/316	98	254	8	7	18%	5%	61	-1.5	204/261/314	110	251	11	4	23%	6%	62	-1.4	184/245/283	99	232	9	1	24%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Juan Graterol 2021 · MLB	32	48	38→40	45→30	45	225/263/304	78	246	6	5	12%	4%	59	-1.6	226/275/312	86	253	8	8	14%	4%	66	-1.1	225/270/285	59	251	5	5	12%	3%	56	-0.5
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2019 · MLB	31	43→49	38→40	44→50	46	204/262/281	77	251	5	7	21%	6%	55	-2.0	204/259/305	101	267	10	8	26%	6%	59	-1.6	176/219/292	116	227	14	2	29%	4%	39	-1.1
✕José Yépez 2014 · AAA	33	46	38→40	47→30	46	218/274/297	79	252	5	5	16%	5%	63	-1.4	201/252/276	75	243	6	7	19%	5%	49	-2.4	154/187/183	29	190	3	4	21%	3%	2	-1.4
✕Nicolas Garcia 2012 · AAA	32	46→56	39→40	47→45	45	218/257/301	83	244	6	8	14%	4%	57	-1.8	227/266/301	74	278	5	9	19%	4%	60	-1.6	229/262/272	43	283	1	6	19%	3%	47	-0.7
✕Jorge Velandia 2007 · AAA	32	49→51	41→40	50→45	43	240/275/337	97	283	8	11	19%	4%	72	-0.7	218/265/305	87	278	7	8	23%	5%	61	-1.5	206/257/280	74	267	6	5	24%	6%	50	-1.7
✕Juan Martinez 2019 · AAA	32	46→50	43→40	44→40	42	228/264/337	109	273	11	6	21%	4%	68	-1.0	230/273/332	102	302	10	5	26%	5%	70	-0.8	227/266/308	81	303	8	0	27%	4%	59	-1.0
✕J.J. Furmaniak 2011 · AAA	32	46→49	38→45	48→50	45	217/270/299	82	270	5	10	21%	6%	61	-1.5	209/256/298	89	264	6	12	22%	5%	56	-1.9	188/227/263	75	237	5	11	22%	4%	34	-2.4
✕Munenori Kawasaki 2013 · MLB	32	45→54	40→30	45→50	51	218/284/302	84	253	8	11	17%	8%	68	-1.0	230/303/296	66	277	3	11	16%	9%	74	-0.6	230/302/281	51	280	1	11	16%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Sean Kazmar Jr. 2017 · AAA	32	47→51	39→45	41→45	42	225/255/316	91	255	6	5	15%	4%	59	-1.7	220/253/315	95	245	10	6	15%	3%	58	-1.7	215/250/309	94	236	10	4	14%	3%	53	-1.3
✕Jose Heberto Felix 2019 · AAA	31	50	39→40	43→40	45	235/261/313	77	251	8	6	11%	3%	60	-1.6	229/272/328	99	259	10	8	16%	4%	69	-0.9	224/257/288	64	247	7	3	13%	2%	50	-0.7
✕Ed Rogers 2011 · AAA	32	46→50	39→40	49→50	42	222/263/308	86	265	7	14	19%	4%	61	-1.5	222/272/320	98	269	9	12	20%	5%	68	-1.0	245/292/305	60	291	9	12	19%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Rocky Gale 2019 · AAA	31	48→45	38→40	43→30	42	228/265/306	78	277	5	3	20%	4%	61	-1.5	221/255/304	83	283	7	6	23%	4%	56	-1.9	217/246/275	57	283	4	3	24%	3%	42	-0.9
✕Ali Castillo 2022 · AAA	33	46→56	38→40	48→55	43	218/256/293	75	255	6	9	17%	4%	54	-2.0	220/262/281	61	262	3	12	17%	5%	53	-2.1	227/264/259	32	268	0	13	15%	5%	47	-1.6
✕Jonathan Diaz 2017 · MLB	32	42→48	35→30	46→50	50	198/269/256	58	245	3	8	20%	8%	52	-2.2	209/292/294	85	265	7	9	22%	9%	70	-0.8	184/294/250	66	235	6	4	22%	10%	61	-0.6