Matt Krook
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 31
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 149 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94103vR 112
ERA4.10
FIP4.10
K%27.6%
BB%16.5%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP149
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 188 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CT+0.5 (24%)
SL (27%)
SI (34%)
FB (34%)
CH-1.2 (15%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants | 2 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 2.8 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 3.41 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants | 2 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 2.8 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 3.45 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 25 | 17 | 91 | 418 | 105 | 66 | 4 | 68% | 3.7 | 19.3% | 18.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 5.12 | 4.41 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 25 | 17 | 91 | 418 | 105 | 66 | 4 | 68% | 3.7 | 25.1% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 1.0% | 5.12 | 3.54 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 37 | 6 | 74 | 326 | 95 | 50 | 3 | 16% | 2.0 | 23.6% | 16.9% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 4.26 | 3.87 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 37 | 6 | 74 | 326 | 95 | 50 | 3 | 16% | 2.0 | 29.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 0.9% | 4.26 | 3.09 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 32 | 18 | 50 | 225 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 56% | 1.6 | 18.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.50 | 4.55 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 32 | 18 | 50 | 225 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 56% | 1.6 | 23.1% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 4.50 | 3.72 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 106 | 445 | 132 | 60 | 5 | 88% | 4.4 | 25.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 1.0% | 2.89 | 3.31 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 106 | 445 | 132 | 60 | 5 | 88% | 4.4 | 29.7% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 1.1% | 2.89 | 2.92 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 29 | 22 | 139 | 603 | 155 | 73 | 19 | 76% | 4.8 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.09 | 4.68 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 29 | 22 | 139 | 603 | 155 | 73 | 19 | 76% | 4.8 | 25.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.09 | 4.22 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 38 | 168 | 58 | 32 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.3% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 3.79 | 2.65 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 38 | 168 | 58 | 32 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.5% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 0.6% | 3.79 | 2.92 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 56 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 4.23 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 56 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.2% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 51 | 220 | 64 | 33 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | 3.33 | 3.71 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 51 | 220 | 64 | 33 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 1.4% | 3.33 | 3.29 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 38 | 0 | 39 | 192 | 54 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 0.0% | 6.23 | 2.37 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | OAK | 142 | 0 | 149 | 628 | 173 | 104 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +2.3 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | OAK | 142 | 0 | 149 | 629 | 173 | 104 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +2.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 188 | 820 | 227 | 130 | 17 | — | — | 27.7% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 2.1% | 4.54 | 3.74 | +3.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 159 | 670 | 227 | 130 | 17 | — | — | 33.9% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 2.6% | 5.37 | 4.09 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 140 | 0 | 147 | 620 | 160 | 103 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.06 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 128 | 0 | 135 | 569 | 142 | 93 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.25 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 132 | 0 | 139 | 587 | 151 | 97 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.06 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 122 | 0 | 128 | 540 | 135 | 88 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.25 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 417 | 0 | 434 | 1861 | 480 | 308 | 55 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.63 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 857 | 221 | 142 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 305 | 85 | 639 | 2816 | 668 | 434 | 46 | 28% | 2.1 | 23.7% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 4.13 | 3.94 | +10.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 27 | 200 | 882 | 209 | 136 | 14 | 28% | 2.1 | 23.7% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 4.13 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Krook (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 27.6% | 17.0% | 2.4% | — | 5.15 | 25.4% | 8.9% | 282 | +0.51 | — | — | — |
| Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.48 | 26.4% | 20.5% | 1.9% | .386 | 2.67 | 26.6% | 13.7% | 58 | -1.81 | 2.51 | 160 | 69 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 64 |
| Adam Loewen L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 63 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 63 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 63 |
| Adam Conley L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.37 | 22.5% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .210 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 674 | 60 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 59 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.98 | 33.9% | 18.0% | 2.7% | .356 | 4.23 | 31.8% | 17.8% | 53 | +0.25 | 3.10 | 205 | 58 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 137 | 58 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.75 | 20.5% | 21.1% | 1.3% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 154 | 58 |
| James Jones L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 58 |
| Anthony Gose L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.72 | 30.4% | 14.1% | 4.4% | .234 | 4.93 | 24.4% | 10.8% | 82 | +0.21 | 3.88 | 207 | 57 |
| Luke Westphal L 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 57 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 56 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 56 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 55 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .284 | 5.42 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.63 | 2.79 | 181 | 55 |
| Chris Rusin L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 19.5% | 10.4% | 2.2% | .302 | 5.03 | 12.5% | 5.0% | 98 | +1.04 | 2.80 | 488 | 54 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 54 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 26.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.09 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 54 | +0.53 | 2.48 | 420 | 53 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 147 | 26.2% | 16.7% | 1.12 | 4.89 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |