Matt Krook
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.2
WAR
Age 31
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
xFIP4.55
SIERA4.15
K%25.3%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%11.4%
IP36
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL3030
CMD5050
K†6060
CT+0.5 (24%)
SL (27%)
SI (34%)
FB (34%)
CH-1.2 (15%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants | 2 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.59 | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 25 | 17 | 91 | 418 | 105 | 66 | 4 | 19.3% | 18.2% | 1.2% | 5.12 | 4.42 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 37 | 6 | 74 | 326 | 95 | 50 | 3 | 23.6% | 16.9% | 1.1% | 4.26 | 3.86 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 32 | 18 | 50 | 225 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 18.7% | 15.6% | 1.8% | 4.50 | 4.47 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 24 | 21 | 106 | 445 | 132 | 60 | 5 | 25.4% | 14.3% | 1.1% | 2.89 | 3.38 | +2.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 29 | 22 | 139 | 603 | 155 | 73 | 19 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 4.09 | 4.69 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 31 | 0 | 38 | 168 | 58 | 32 | 1 | 34.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 3.79 | 2.65 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 42 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 56 | 32 | 5 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 4.23 | 4.47 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Athletics | 45 | 0 | 51 | 220 | 64 | 33 | 3 | 26.2% | 16.4% | 1.5% | 3.33 | 3.79 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 4 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.15 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | OAK | 36 | — | 36 | 151 | 40 | 23 | 4 | 26.5% | 14.9% | 2.5% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 40 | 176 | 49 | 27 | 4 | 27.8% | 15.1% | 2.1% | 4.45 | 4.01 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 25.9% | 14.5% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 25.4% | 14.3% | 2.7% | 4.59 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 25.0% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 24.5% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 271 | 85 | 604 | 2649 | 625 | 414 | 46 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 1.7% | 3.99 | 4.05 | +8.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 28 | 200 | 877 | 207 | 137 | 15 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 1.7% | 3.99 | 4.05 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Krook (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 26.5% | 14.9% | 2.5% | — | 4.64 | 25.4% | 11.1% | 99 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.43 | 26.9% | 13.9% | 1.5% | .304 | 5.61 | 16.8% | 5.5% | 59 | +2.18 | 3.06 | 299 | 76 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.39 | 26.4% | 20.5% | 1.7% | .386 | 2.71 | 26.6% | 13.7% | 58 | -1.68 | 2.58 | 160 | 74 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.80 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.13 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.33 | 2.37 | 130 | 73 |
| Luke Westphal L 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 68 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 68 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.70 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 223 | 66 |
| Adam Loewen L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.84 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.5% | .287 | 3.62 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.22 | 2.96 | 176 | 65 |
| Adam Conley L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.44 | 22.5% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .210 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 674 | 65 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.85 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 1.7% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 137 | 65 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.08 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 145 | 64 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 64 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.62 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 113 | 63 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.4% | .284 | 5.47 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.75 | 2.71 | 181 | 63 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.49 | 26.5% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.06 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 54 | +0.57 | 2.43 | 420 | 63 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.27 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 62 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 155 | 62 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.68 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .281 | 2.38 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.30 | 2.38 | 306 | 62 |
| Anthony Gose L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.02 | 30.4% | 14.1% | 4.9% | .234 | 4.80 | 24.4% | 10.8% | 82 | -0.22 | 3.98 | 173 | 62 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.12 | 33.9% | 18.0% | 2.9% | .356 | 4.23 | 31.8% | 17.8% | 53 | +0.11 | 3.16 | 205 | 62 |
| James Jones L 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.27 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .230 | 4.67 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.40 | 3.58 | 127 | 61 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.