Daniel Missaki

P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 31 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2015	19	AClinton Lumbe…	6	6	34	3.41	1.56	25.6%	3.8%	—	K 18.9% · BB 4.4% · FIP 2.06
2024	28	MIX3 levels	20	1	33	4.68	4.11	31.4%	16.4%	—	K 26.7% · BB 18.2% · FIP 5.39
2025	29	AATEX	30	8	74	4.38	3.30	25.0%	9.0%	—	K 20.2% · BB 9.9% · FIP 4.07
2027PROJ	31	MLBTEX	62	0	65	4.69	4.69	20.5%	10.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	32	MLBTEX	18	0	19	4.79	4.88	20.3%	10.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ51% MLB	33	MLBTEX	27	0	28	4.95	5.09	20.1%	11.1%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control50Command50

CompsYoanner Negrin (age 31) · Dustin Molleken (age 31) · Felipe Arredondo (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%20.5%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%10.1%

Proj IP65

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	19	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	6	6	34	133	34	5	0	100%	5.7	18.9%	4.4%	14.5%	0.0%	3.41	2.06	—
2015	19	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	6	6	34	133	34	5	0	100%	5.7	25.6%	3.8%	21.8%	0.0%	3.41	1.56	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	1	33	140	44	23	4	5%	1.6	26.7%	18.2%	8.6%	4.1%	4.68	5.39	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	1	33	140	44	23	4	5%	1.6	26.7%	18.2%	8.6%	4.1%	4.68	5.39	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	1	33	140	44	23	4	5%	1.6	31.4%	16.4%	15.0%	2.9%	4.68	4.11	—
2025	29	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	30	8	74	332	83	30	7	27%	2.5	20.2%	9.9%	10.3%	2.6%	4.38	4.07	—
2025	29	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	30	8	74	332	83	30	7	27%	2.5	20.2%	9.9%	10.3%	2.6%	4.38	4.07	—
2025	29	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	30	8	74	332	83	30	7	27%	2.5	25.0%	9.0%	16.0%	2.1%	4.38	3.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	TEX	62	0	65	274	56	29	8	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.4%	10.1%	2.9%	4.69	4.69	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	TEX	57	0	60	254	52	27	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.7%	9.6%	3.2%	4.79	4.88	-0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	TEX	53	0	55	233	47	26	8	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.1%	9.0%	3.5%	4.95	5.09	-0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	TEX	18	0	19	80	16	9	3	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.7%	9.6%	3.2%	4.79	4.88	-0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	TEX	27	0	28	118	24	13	4	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.1%	9.0%	3.5%	4.95	5.09	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		45	0	47	199	40	22	7	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.9%	9.3%	3.4%	4.89	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	93	30	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.9%	9.3%	3.4%	4.89	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		56	15	141	605	130	64	14	27%	2.5	21.5%	10.6%	10.8%	2.4%	4.21	3.94	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	21	200	858	184	91	20	27%	2.5	21.5%	10.6%	10.8%	2.4%	4.21	3.94	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Missaki (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	20.5%	10.4%	2.9%	—	4.98	20.2%	9.3%	115	+0.29	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	80
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	77
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	76
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	75
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	74
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	73
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	73
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	72
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	72
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	71
Chris Jakubauskas R 2009 · 4.97 FIP	30	SW	4.97	12.1%	6.2%	3.9%	.250	4.42	15.7%	7.8%	72	-0.55	4.42	165	70
Spencer Bivens R 2024 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	18.0%	5.8%	3.2%	.265	3.88	18.2%	10.9%	157	-0.19	3.52	391	70
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	69
Clay Hensley R 2011 · 4.78 FIP	31	SW	4.78	15.5%	9.8%	3.2%	.249	4.37	17.9%	5.9%	51	-0.41	2.58	517	69
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	69
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	69
Robert Stock R 2021 · 4.18 FIP	31	SW	4.18	23.0%	8.5%	3.5%	.301	7.20	14.3%	0.1%	23	+3.02	2.74	378	69
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	68
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	2.92	432	68
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	20.3%	10.7%	1.24	4.80
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Josh Lindblom ('21)	1.0	52	22.1%	9.6%	1.25	4.78
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*