Duane Underwood Jr.

P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 33 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	28	MIX4 levels	57	3	65	4.02	2.62	21.9%	9.6%	1.5	K 22.0% · BB 9.3% · FIP 2.64
2023	29	MIX2 levels	35	1	44	5.68	4.50	14.3%	9.0%	0.0	K 13.3% · BB 8.7% · FIP 4.60
2024	30	AAAScranton/Wilk…	32	2	39	3.26	4.91	23.4%	14.0%	—	K 20.1% · BB 12.6% · FIP 5.03
2027PROJ	33	MLBNYY	150	0	158	4.39	4.32	23.9%	9.5%	0.4
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBNYY	8	0	8	4.53	4.62	23.0%	10.0%	-0.0
2029PROJ1% MLB	35	MLBNYY	1	0	1	4.79	4.96	22.0%	10.6%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.5 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023

FB Velo37

Whiff%13

K%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsGiovanni Carrara (age 33) · Chris Jakubauskas (age 32) · Toru Murata (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.39

FIP4.32

K%23.9%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%14.4%

Proj IP158

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 158 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5060

CTRL4550

CMD4550

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3793.6

Whiff%

p1320.1%

p1014.0%

xwOBA vs

p100.385

CT+4.9

FB-0.5

CH-0.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	78	306	54	24	6	100%	4.9	12.8%	9.6%	3.2%	2.9%	2.41	4.84	—
2015	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	16	78	306	54	24	6	100%	4.9	17.6%	7.8%	9.8%	2.0%	2.41	3.64	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	18	18	73	330	62	35	7	100%	4.1	13.6%	12.4%	1.2%	2.9%	4.32	5.12	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	18	18	73	330	62	35	7	100%	4.1	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.1%	4.32	4.09	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	25	24	138	585	98	50	13	96%	5.5	13.6%	9.4%	4.2%	3.0%	4.43	4.80	—
2017	23	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	25	24	138	585	98	50	13	96%	5.5	16.8%	8.5%	8.2%	2.2%	4.43	3.99	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	21	123	528	108	39	9	75%	4.4	18.0%	7.4%	10.7%	1.9%	4.45	3.54	+2.0
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	21	123	528	108	39	9	75%	4.4	20.5%	7.4%	13.1%	1.7%	4.45	3.25	+2.5
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	10	93	420	108	42	10	22%	2.1	23.0%	10.5%	12.5%	2.5%	5.11	3.85	+0.8
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	10	93	420	108	42	10	22%	2.1	25.7%	10.0%	15.7%	2.4%	5.11	3.53	+1.1
2020	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	17	0	21	88	27	5	5	0%	1.2	30.7%	5.7%	25.0%	5.9%	5.66	4.47	+0.0
2020	26	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	17	0	21	88	27	5	5	0%	1.2	30.7%	5.7%	25.0%	5.7%	5.66	4.36	+0.0
2021	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	43	0	73	320	65	26	9	0%	1.7	20.3%	8.1%	12.2%	3.0%	4.33	4.08	+0.4
2021	27	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	43	0	73	320	65	26	9	0%	1.7	20.3%	8.1%	12.2%	2.8%	4.33	3.99	+0.5
2022	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	57	3	65	292	64	28	1	5%	1.1	22.0%	9.3%	12.7%	0.4%	4.02	2.64	+1.5
2022	28	MIX RAW	4 levels	57	3	65	292	64	28	1	5%	1.1	21.9%	9.6%	12.3%	0.3%	4.02	2.62	+1.5
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	44	189	27	17	5	3%	1.3	13.3%	8.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.68	4.60	-0.0
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	1	44	189	27	17	5	3%	1.3	14.3%	9.0%	5.3%	2.6%	5.68	4.50	+0.0
2024	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	32	2	39	171	40	24	6	6%	1.2	20.1%	12.6%	7.5%	3.7%	3.26	5.03	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	32	2	39	171	40	24	6	6%	1.2	20.1%	12.6%	7.5%	3.7%	3.26	5.03	—
2024	30	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	32	2	39	171	40	24	6	6%	1.2	23.4%	14.0%	9.4%	3.5%	3.26	4.91	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			144	2	191	834	179	72	21	1%	1.3	21.5%	8.6%	12.8%	2.5%	4.63	3.79	+1.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	NYY	150	0	158	667	159	63	20	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.5%	14.4%	3.0%	4.39	4.32	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	NYY	137	0	144	607	139	61	20	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.3%	4.53	4.62	-0.1
2029	35	MLB MLE	NYY	123	0	129	545	120	58	20	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.6%	11.4%	3.6%	4.79	4.96	-0.6
2028	34	MLB CTX	NYY	8	0	8	34	8	3	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.3%	4.53	4.62	-0.0
2029	35	MLB CTX	NYY	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.6%	11.4%	3.6%	4.79	4.96	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		153	2	200	873	188	76	22	1%	1.3	21.5%	8.7%	12.8%	2.6%	4.62	3.79	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		153	2	200	873	188	76	22	1%	1.3	21.5%	8.7%	12.8%	2.6%	4.62	3.79	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		316	95	747	3229	571	304	84	30%	2.4	17.7%	9.4%	8.3%	2.6%	4.30	4.23	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	25	200	864	153	81	23	30%	2.4	17.7%	9.4%	8.3%	2.6%	4.30	4.23	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Duane Underwood Jr. (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	23.9%	9.5%	3.0%	—	4.78	22.5%	12.2%	273	+0.46	—	—	—
Giovanni Carrara R 2001 · 4.06 FIP	33	SU	4.06	20.1%	6.0%	3.5%	.249	4.28	15.7%	7.9%	173	+0.22	2.50	462	55
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	55
Toru Murata R 2016 · 3.63 FIP	31	SW	3.63	12.9%	5.7%	1.6%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	267	51
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	51
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	51
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	51
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	50
D.J. Carrasco R 2010 · 3.45 FIP	33	SU	3.45	19.7%	9.4%	1.5%	.275	4.47	12.0%	6.7%	49	+1.02	3.23	490	50
Aquilino López R 2008 · 3.70 FIP	33	SU	3.70	17.7%	5.2%	2.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	207	50
Tim Dillard R 2016 · 3.13 FIP	33	SU	3.13	22.6%	8.2%	1.7%	.358	4.14	13.7%	6.9%	250	+1.01	2.92	432	50
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	50
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	50
Angel Castro R 2016 · 5.42 FIP	33	SW	5.42	12.3%	9.1%	4.0%	.304	3.51	14.5%	7.1%	139	-1.91	3.51	292	50
Alan Busenitz R 2024 · 3.57 FIP	33	SU	3.57	18.6%	6.8%	2.1%	.304	7.93	16.1%	9.7%	25	+4.36	2.92	436	49
Jim Miller R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	33	SU	3.95	18.8%	4.1%	3.5%	.275	5.43	20.4%	6.3%	17	+1.48	3.95	140	49
Casey Lawrence R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	33	SP-	4.08	20.0%	5.2%	3.7%	.284	4.99	15.9%	10.6%	440	+0.91	3.57	1,374	49
Pete Walker R 2002 · 4.59 FIP	33	SP-	4.59	13.4%	7.7%	3.0%	.279	5.16	12.0%	2.8%	139	+0.57	4.45	327	49
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.54	21.9%	11.8%	195	+0.02	3.08	370	48
Shawn Camp R 2009 · 3.73 FIP	33	SU	3.73	17.4%	7.5%	2.1%	.272	3.57	14.4%	9.7%	216	-0.16	2.79	589	47
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	47

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	89	22.5%	9.7%	1.18	4.58
Odell Jones ('75-'88, 2 WAR*)	2.7	78	20.8%*	8.8%*	1.18*	4.62*
Jim Lindsey ('22-'37, 0 WAR*)	2.2	86	22.0%*	10.3%*	1.04*	4.66*
Tom Acker ('56-'59, 3 WAR*)	1.9	95	23.8%*	9.3%*	1.17*	4.30*
Scott Sanders ('99)	3.4	97	21.2%	9.3%	1.23	4.86
Brad Peacock ('21)	2.8	93	24.7%	10.1%	1.27	4.11
Félix Peña ('21)	1.3	65	23.9%	8.5%	1.35	4.66