Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 65 | 256 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.4 | 11.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 0.8% | 3.18 | 3.09 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 65 | 256 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.4% | 3.5% | 12.9% | 0.8% | 3.18 | 2.62 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 24 | 24 | 130 | 542 | 100 | 35 | 13 | 100% | 5.4 | 13.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.46 | 4.53 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 24 | 24 | 130 | 542 | 100 | 35 | 13 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.5% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 3.46 | 3.67 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 166 | 668 | 90 | 45 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.04 | 5.02 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 166 | 668 | 90 | 45 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 3.04 | 4.32 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 12 | 58 | 244 | 44 | 15 | 4 | 92% | 4.4 | 14.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 3.75 | 4.24 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 12 | 58 | 244 | 44 | 15 | 4 | 92% | 4.4 | 18.0% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 1.6% | 3.75 | 3.26 | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 2.2 | 4.3% | 8.7% | -4.3% | 8.7% | 12.46 | 8.61 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 2.2 | 4.3% | 8.7% | -4.3% | 8.7% | 12.46 | 10.02 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 24 | 21 | 91 | 422 | 85 | 26 | 27 | 88% | 3.8 | 17.7% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 8.77 | 5.30 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 24 | 21 | 91 | 422 | 85 | 26 | 27 | 88% | 3.8 | 20.1% | 6.2% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 8.77 | 5.94 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 61 | 246 | 58 | 17 | 16 | 2% | 1.5 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 4.11 | 6.26 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 61 | 246 | 58 | 17 | 16 | 2% | 1.5 | 23.6% | 6.9% | 16.7% | 6.5% | 4.11 | 5.43 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 24 | 1 | 28 | 124 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 4% | 1.2 | 16.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.08 | 5.56 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 24 | 1 | 28 | 124 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 4% | 1.2 | 21.8% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 4.8% | 5.08 | 4.90 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 1 | 12 | 54 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 33% | 3.9 | 14.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.45 | 6.08 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 20 | 200 | 925 | 137 | 86 | 51 | 37% | 3.7 | 14.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.45 | 6.08 | -1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 167 | 98 | 604 | 2525 | 358 | 178 | 95 | 59% | 3.6 | 14.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.35 | 4.87 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 32 | 200 | 837 | 119 | 59 | 32 | 59% | 3.6 | 14.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.35 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José Mujica (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.58 | 22.5% | 13.1% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 69 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 66 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.22 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | .333 | 4.92 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.30 | 2.32 | 676 | 66 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.52 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.31 | 3.21 | 425 | 64 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 62 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 62 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 62 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 61 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 61 |
| Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 61 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 114 | -0.51 | 3.26 | 493 | 61 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 60 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 60 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 60 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 60 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 59 |
| Chris Mazza R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.90 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .348 | 3.84 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 111 | -0.06 | 3.27 | 563 | 59 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 59 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 59 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 58 |