Germán Márquez
P
San Diego Padres
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 230 lbs
MLB
ERA5.73
FIP5.22
xFIP4.57
SIERA4.50
K%15.7%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%7.6%
IP103
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†4045
FB Velo
p4794.3
Whiff%
p3823.6%
K%
p2819.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.366
SL+0.6 (8%)
CH (3%)
SI (10%)
CU (40%)
FB-4.2 (48%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | 26 | 23 | 139 | 596 | 104 | 29 | 6 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 3.56 | 3.49 | +2.9 |
| 2016 | 21 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 32 | 29 | 187 | 775 | 170 | 44 | 16 | 18.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 3.36 | 3.49 | +3.8 |
| 2017 | 22 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 32 | 31 | 172 | 738 | 165 | 46 | 27 | 21.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 3.88 | +2.8 |
| 2018 | 23 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 33 | 33 | 196 | 817 | 230 | 52 | 24 | 28.2% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 3.77 | 3.05 | +5.0 |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 28 | 28 | 174 | 721 | 175 | 35 | 29 | 24.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.76 | 3.58 | +3.4 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 13 | 13 | 82 | 344 | 73 | 25 | 6 | 21.2% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 3.75 | 3.11 | +1.9 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 32 | 32 | 180 | 756 | 176 | 59 | 21 | 23.3% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 4.40 | 3.43 | +3.8 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 31 | 31 | 182 | 779 | 150 | 63 | 30 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 4.04 | +2.6 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 4 | 20 | 80 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 21.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.95 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 8 | 8 | 23 | 110 | 27 | 9 | 5 | — | — | — | 7.04 | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 28 | 28 | 134 | 621 | 93 | 48 | 24 | 14.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 6.53 | 5.12 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 3 | 3 | 13 | 59 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 16.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.54 | 7.18 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | COL | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 16.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 5.68 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | COL | — | — | 44 | 192 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 16.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.64 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 73 | 310 | 56 | 22 | 13 | 18.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.57 | 5.23 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 44 | 19 | 11 | 17.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.44 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | COL | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 35 | 16 | 9 | 16.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.47 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | COL | 40 | — | 40 | 169 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.57 | 5.64 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | COL | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 15.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.71 | 5.81 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 270 | 263 | 1501 | 6396 | 1323 | 429 | 180 | 20.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.75 | +26.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 35 | 200 | 852 | 176 | 57 | 24 | 20.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.75 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Germán Márquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | — | 5.34 | 17.5% | 10.1% | 183 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.79 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .311 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.11 | 3.93 | 337 | 68 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.22 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.06 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.16 | 4.06 | 219 | 67 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.38 | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .283 | 3.66 | 19.4% | 11.5% | 210 | -0.72 | 2.96 | 358 | 66 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 65 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.65 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .282 | 3.52 | 20.9% | 15.1% | 136 | -1.13 | 3.01 | 260 | 65 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 65 |
| Marco Carrillo R 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.13 | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .278 | 5.98 | 9.9% | 0.8% | 104 | +0.85 | 5.13 | 194 | 64 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 64 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.61 | 13.4% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .286 | 4.13 | 9.8% | 0.3% | 53 | -0.48 | 4.13 | 156 | 63 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.35 | 11.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 135 | 63 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.49 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 149 | 63 |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 158 | 63 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.82 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 101 | 63 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2027 · 4.99 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.99 | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | .244 | 4.90 | 9.9% | 2.0% | 107 | -0.09 | 4.78 | 160 | 63 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 63 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.81 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .281 | 4.04 | 12.1% | 4.4% | 139 | -0.77 | 3.17 | 273 | 63 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.75 | 14.3% | 8.1% | 3.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 205 | 63 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.53 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.3% | .270 | 4.84 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 63 | +0.31 | 2.99 | 227 | 62 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.80 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.86 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.06 | 4.80 | 104 | 62 |
| Grant Black R 2024 · 5.70 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.70 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 215 | 62 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.