Germán Márquez

Germán Márquez P San Diego Padres

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 9 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.10

FIP4.93

K%14.5%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%5.7%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 102 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5194.6

Whiff%

p1019.0%

p1015.7%

xwOBA vs

p100.362

SL+0.6 (12%)

CH (3%)

SI (14%)

CU (33%)

FB-4.2 (52%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	26	23	139	596	104	29	6	88%	5.3	13.4%	5.6%	7.8%	1.5%	3.56	3.51	—
2015	20	A+ RAW	Charlotte Stone Crabs	26	23	139	596	104	29	6	88%	5.3	17.4%	4.9%	12.6%	1.0%	3.56	2.79	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	29	187	775	170	44	16	91%	5.9	18.4%	6.1%	12.3%	2.1%	3.36	3.47	+3.3
2016	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	29	187	775	170	44	16	91%	5.9	21.9%	5.7%	16.3%	2.1%	3.36	3.10	+4.2
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	31	172	738	165	46	27	97%	5.4	21.0%	6.6%	14.4%	3.2%	4.29	3.90	+2.1
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	31	172	738	165	46	27	97%	5.4	22.4%	6.2%	16.1%	3.7%	4.29	4.02	+1.8
2018	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	33	33	196	817	230	52	24	100%	5.9	28.2%	6.4%	21.8%	2.6%	3.77	2.96	+4.8
2018	23	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	33	33	196	817	230	52	24	100%	5.9	28.2%	6.4%	21.8%	2.9%	3.77	3.14	+4.3
2019	24	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	28	28	174	721	175	35	29	100%	6.2	24.3%	4.9%	19.4%	3.6%	4.76	3.62	+2.7
2019	24	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	28	28	174	721	175	35	29	100%	6.2	24.3%	4.9%	19.4%	4.0%	4.76	3.86	+2.2
2020	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	13	13	82	344	73	25	6	100%	6.3	21.2%	7.3%	14.0%	1.5%	3.75	3.08	+1.9
2020	25	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	13	13	82	344	73	25	6	100%	6.3	21.2%	7.3%	14.0%	1.7%	3.75	3.19	+1.7
2021	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	32	32	180	756	176	59	21	100%	5.6	23.3%	7.8%	15.5%	2.5%	4.40	3.47	+3.1
2021	26	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	32	32	180	756	176	59	21	100%	5.6	23.3%	7.8%	15.5%	2.8%	4.40	3.64	+2.7
2022	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	31	31	182	779	150	63	30	100%	5.9	19.3%	8.1%	11.2%	3.4%	4.95	4.37	+1.1
2022	27	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	31	31	182	779	150	63	30	100%	5.9	19.3%	8.1%	11.2%	3.9%	4.95	4.64	+0.6
2023	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	4	4	20	80	17	3	4	100%	5.0	21.2%	3.8%	17.5%	4.4%	4.95	4.21	+0.2
2023	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	4	4	20	80	17	3	4	100%	5.0	21.2%	3.8%	17.5%	4.4%	4.95	4.21	+0.2
2023	28	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	4	4	20	80	17	3	4	100%	5.0	21.2%	3.8%	17.5%	5.0%	4.95	4.45	+0.1
2024	29	MIX MLE	6 levels	8	8	23	110	27	9	5	100%	2.9	24.5%	8.2%	16.4%	4.5%	7.04	4.56	+0.1
2024	29	MIX MLE	6 levels	8	8	23	110	27	9	5	100%	2.9	24.5%	8.2%	16.4%	4.5%	7.04	4.56	+0.1
2024	29	MIX RAW	6 levels	8	8	23	110	27	9	5	100%	2.9	24.5%	8.2%	16.4%	4.5%	7.04	4.75	+0.0
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	134	621	93	48	24	100%	4.8	14.0%	8.0%	6.1%	3.5%	6.53	4.82	+0.1
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	134	621	93	48	24	100%	4.8	14.0%	8.0%	6.1%	3.5%	6.53	4.82	+0.1
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	134	621	93	48	24	100%	4.8	15.0%	7.7%	7.2%	3.9%	6.53	5.12	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			216	210	1199	5143	1106	364	179	97%	5.6	21.5%	7.1%	14.4%	3.5%	4.70	4.11	+11.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	24	19	94	425	64	44	22	79%	3.9	14.0%	9.9%	4.1%	5.3%	5.19	6.07	-1.2
YTD	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	24	19	94	425	64	44	22	79%	3.9	14.0%	9.9%	4.1%	5.3%	5.19	6.07	-1.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	SD	11	9	41	189	27	20	8	82%	3.7	14.3%	10.6%	3.7%	4.2%	5.09	5.56	—
2026	31	MLB RAW	SD	13	10	53	236	37	24	14	77%	4.1	15.7%	10.2%	5.5%	5.9%	5.26	6.32	-0.8
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	SD	13	10	53	236	37	24	14	77%	4.1	15.7%	10.2%	5.5%	5.9%	5.26	6.32	-0.8
ROS	31	MLB MLE	SD	1	1	9	37	5	3	1	100%	8.7	14.5%	8.8%	5.7%	3.5%	5.10	4.93	-0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	SD	2	2	9	38	5	3	1	100%	4.5	14.5%	8.8%	5.7%	3.6%	5.15	4.98	-0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	102	462	69	47	23	—	—	15.0%	10.2%	4.8%	5.0%	5.18	5.97	-1.2
FULL	31	MLB A+C	SD	—	—	62	261	69	47	23	—	—	26.6%	18.1%	8.5%	9.0%	8.60	8.06	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	SD	15	15	89	376	54	35	17	100%	5.9	14.5%	9.3%	5.2%	4.4%	5.83	5.86	-0.9
2028	33	MLB MLE	SD	14	14	82	345	47	34	16	100%	5.8	13.7%	9.8%	3.9%	4.7%	6.02	6.14	-1.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	SD	15	15	89	376	54	35	17	100%	5.9	14.5%	9.3%	5.2%	4.5%	5.89	5.92	-0.9
2028	33	MLB CTX	SD	14	14	82	346	47	34	17	100%	5.9	13.7%	9.8%	3.9%	4.8%	6.08	6.20	-1.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		246	240	1379	5901	1213	436	214	98%	5.6	20.6%	7.4%	13.2%	3.6%	4.86	4.29	+9.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	35	200	856	176	63	31	98%	5.6	20.6%	7.4%	13.2%	3.6%	4.86	4.29	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		291	279	1582	6762	1372	467	199	96%	5.4	20.3%	6.9%	13.4%	2.9%	4.45	3.87	+9.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		37	35	200	855	173	59	25	96%	5.4	20.3%	6.9%	13.4%	2.9%	4.45	3.87	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Germán Márquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	15.0%	8.1%	3.3%	—	5.99	14.1%	4.5%	171	+0.92	—	—	—
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	75
Matt Garza R 2015 · 4.61 FIP	31	SP	4.61	15.6%	8.1%	3.3%	.315	4.30	15.5%	7.7%	216	-0.31	4.00	365	73
Nate Long R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	29	SP	4.67	14.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	151	72
Matt Buschmann R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	31	SP	4.03	17.2%	8.7%	2.3%	.282	4.84	12.8%	4.4%	142	+0.81	4.03	277	72
Josh Roenicke R 2015 · 4.85 FIP	32	SP	4.85	10.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.353	3.35	19.2%	11.5%	160	-1.50	3.27	283	72
Miguel González R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	31	SP	4.53	17.5%	7.9%	3.5%	.289	4.23	15.9%	9.0%	325	-0.30	3.72	469	71
Felipe Paulino R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	31	SP	4.55	15.8%	11.8%	2.3%	.312	4.93	15.0%	4.8%	26	+0.38	4.55	150	71
Edgar Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	32	SP	4.29	11.0%	4.7%	2.8%	.293	3.62	10.8%	5.2%	216	-0.67	3.19	450	70
Justin De Fratus R 2019 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP	4.90	13.3%	6.4%	3.8%	.298	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	500	69
Yovani Gallardo R 2017 · 5.31 FIP	31	SP-	5.31	16.3%	9.9%	4.3%	.283	4.33	14.9%	5.3%	144	-0.98	3.90	577	69
Cory Riordan R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	30	SP	4.24	14.3%	5.0%	3.1%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	154	69
Cesar Carrillo R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	31	SP	4.14	13.8%	9.7%	1.8%	.307	4.46	12.6%	2.6%	145	+0.32	4.14	325	69
Patrick Johnson R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	30	SP	4.14	15.7%	9.3%	2.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	248	69
Nestor Molina R 2019 · 4.27 FIP	30	SP	4.27	16.1%	7.4%	2.9%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	401	68
Cody Mincey R 2022 · 5.56 FIP	30	SP	5.56	13.9%	8.4%	4.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	147	68
Thad Weber R 2016 · 4.40 FIP	31	SP	4.40	10.5%	5.9%	2.6%	.316	5.25	13.2%	8.8%	55	+0.85	4.40	363	67
Homer Bailey R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	31	SP	4.29	16.0%	9.5%	2.4%	.334	4.33	18.5%	12.0%	307	+0.04	4.06	509	67
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	66
Jose Samayoa R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP	4.05	19.4%	7.0%	3.1%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	262	66
David Martinez R 2017 · 4.88 FIP	29	SP	4.88	15.0%	8.2%	3.7%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	297	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	89	14.4%	9.0%	1.59	5.68
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Daniel Mengden ('19)	1.5	73	17.3%	7.7%	1.24	4.68
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14