Alex Bregman
3B Chicago Cubs
Age 33
R/R
5'10" / 190 lbs
MLB
HR -8%
Svc 9.407 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2031
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30 | MLBHOU | 634 | .260/.317/.453 | 26 | 3 | 113 | 3.5 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLBBOS | 495 | .273/.361/.462 | 18 | 1 | 125 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLBCHC | 702 | .265/.358/.464 | 28 | 3 | 130 | 4.5 |
| 2027PROJ | 33 | MLBCHC | 622 | .257/.342/.442 | 23 | 4 | 121 | 3.5 |
| 2028PROJ | 34 | MLBCHC | 572 | .246/.330/.418 | 20 | 2 | 111 | 2.0 |
| 2029PROJ | 35 | MLBCHC | 515 | .234/.317/.391 | 16 | 2 | 101 | 1.0 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 11.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 6.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractCONFIRMED
Control thru2030Service9.407First FA2031Options1
2027Ext$35M2028Ext$35M2029Ext$35M2030Ext$35M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%90
xwOBA68
Avg EV49
Bat Spd39
Barrel%37
Form.283/.363/.549 ▲▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .256/.339/.443
CompsHerbert Perry Jr. (age 33) · Jay Payton (age 33) · Juan Uribe (age 32)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 124121vR 113
AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .342 / .442
PA622
HR23
K%14
BB%10
BABIP269
ISO189
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$86M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 65 / POW 55
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1252 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
355
897
—
wRC+
114
121
▶R
wOBA
336
347
▶R
ISO
155
196
▶▶R
BABIP
278
278
—
K%
12.7%
14.5%
◀L
BB%
10.1%
7.5%
◀◀L
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 178 | 160 | 51 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 319 | 370 | 475 | 845 | 156 | 336 | 10 | 7 | 363 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 133 | 112 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 259 | 371 | 330 | 702 | 71 | 283 | 10 | 13 | 326 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 217 | 201 | 53 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 264 | 315 | 478 | 792 | 214 | 317 | 24 | 7 | 345 | 118 | +5 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +5 | 1.4 |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 83 | 78 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 333 | 373 | 641 | 1.015 | 308 | 333 | 14 | 6 | 438 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 285 | 236 | 70 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 297 | 415 | 559 | 975 | 263 | 286 | 9 | 15 | 425 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 626 | 556 | 158 | 39 | 5 | 19 | 55 | 97 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 284 | 356 | 475 | 831 | 191 | 311 | 15 | 9 | 363 | 128 | +21 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 4.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 705 | 594 | 170 | 51 | 1 | 31 | 96 | 85 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 286 | 396 | 532 | 928 | 246 | 289 | 12 | 14 | 406 | 157 | +48 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +15 | 6.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 690 | 554 | 164 | 37 | 2 | 41 | 119 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 296 | 428 | 592 | 1.020 | 296 | 281 | 12 | 17 | 437 | 180 | +66 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +15 | 8.7 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 180 | 153 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 352 | 451 | 803 | 209 | 254 | 14 | 13 | 356 | 122 | +5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 400 | 348 | 94 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 53 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 359 | 422 | 781 | 152 | 286 | 13 | 11 | 348 | 116 | +7 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 44 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 386 | 417 | 803 | 167 | 242 | 5 | 16 | 365 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 656 | 548 | 142 | 38 | 0 | 23 | 87 | 77 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 259 | 372 | 454 | 826 | 195 | 260 | 12 | 13 | 364 | 130 | +23 | -1 | +6 | +2 | +14 | 4.6 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 724 | 622 | 163 | 28 | 4 | 25 | 92 | 87 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 262 | 364 | 441 | 805 | 178 | 270 | 12 | 13 | 360 | 128 | +24 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +16 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 634 | 581 | 151 | 30 | 2 | 26 | 44 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 260 | 317 | 453 | 770 | 193 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 338 | 113 | +10 | +0 | +8 | +2 | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 495 | 433 | 118 | 28 | 0 | 18 | 51 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 361 | 462 | 823 | 189 | 288 | 14 | 10 | 365 | 125 | +15 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 702 | 608 | 161 | 33 | 2 | 28 | 76 | 102 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 265 | 358 | 464 | 822 | 199 | 275 | 15 | 11 | 362 | 130 | +25 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +15 | 4.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 6029 | 5198 | 1411 | 326 | 20 | 237 | 703 | 818 | 79 | 46 | 16 | 271 | 367 | 479 | 845 | 207 | 280 | 14 | 12 | 372 | 138 | +271 | +3 | +32 | +23 | +131 | 46.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 178 | 163 | 47 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 288 | 329 | 423 | 753 | 135 | 305 | 14 | 5 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 133 | 119 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 218 | 295 | 277 | 573 | 59 | 245 | 14 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 217 | 201 | 52 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 310 | 468 | 778 | 209 | 317 | 24 | 7 | 342 | 118 | +5 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +5 | 1.4 |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 83 | 79 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 301 | 506 | 808 | 241 | 281 | 19 | 5 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 285 | 248 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 254 | 349 | 448 | 796 | 194 | 254 | 11 | 11 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 626 | 558 | 157 | 37 | 5 | 20 | 53 | 97 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 281 | 351 | 473 | 824 | 192 | 311 | 15 | 8 | 357 | 128 | +21 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 4.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 705 | 596 | 168 | 48 | 1 | 32 | 94 | 85 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 282 | 390 | 527 | 917 | 245 | 289 | 12 | 13 | 401 | 157 | +48 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +15 | 6.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 690 | 556 | 163 | 35 | 2 | 42 | 117 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 293 | 424 | 590 | 1.014 | 297 | 281 | 12 | 17 | 434 | 180 | +66 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +15 | 8.7 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 180 | 154 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 341 | 435 | 776 | 201 | 254 | 14 | 13 | 348 | 122 | +5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 400 | 352 | 93 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 53 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 346 | 412 | 758 | 148 | 286 | 13 | 10 | 339 | 116 | +7 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 44 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 341 | 395 | 736 | 158 | 218 | 5 | 11 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 656 | 549 | 141 | 36 | 0 | 24 | 86 | 77 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 368 | 454 | 822 | 197 | 260 | 12 | 13 | 360 | 130 | +23 | -1 | +6 | +2 | +14 | 4.6 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 724 | 623 | 161 | 26 | 4 | 26 | 91 | 87 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 360 | 438 | 798 | 180 | 270 | 12 | 13 | 357 | 128 | +24 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +16 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 634 | 582 | 150 | 28 | 2 | 27 | 43 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 314 | 452 | 766 | 194 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 335 | 113 | +10 | +0 | +8 | +2 | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 495 | 436 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 18 | 48 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 347 | 443 | 790 | 181 | 288 | 14 | 10 | 353 | 125 | +15 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 702 | 610 | 161 | 32 | 2 | 29 | 74 | 102 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 355 | 466 | 820 | 202 | 275 | 15 | 11 | 361 | 130 | +25 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +15 | 4.5 |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 282 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 259 | 315 | 358 | 673 | 99 | 289 | 14 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 311 | 272 | 80 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 30 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 294 | 370 | 415 | 786 | 121 | 314 | 10 | 9 | 347 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 585 | 528 | 136 | 30 | 5 | 23 | 49 | 97 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 258 | 328 | 464 | 792 | 206 | 276 | 17 | 8 | 345 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 585 | 515 | 149 | 35 | 5 | 28 | 62 | 90 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 289 | 372 | 540 | 912 | 250 | 304 | 15 | 11 | 397 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 626 | 558 | 157 | 37 | 5 | 20 | 53 | 97 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 281 | 351 | 473 | 824 | 192 | 306 | 15 | 8 | 357 | 128 | +21 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 4.4 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 626 | 556 | 158 | 39 | 5 | 19 | 55 | 97 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 284 | 356 | 475 | 831 | 191 | 311 | 15 | 9 | 363 | 128 | +21 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 4.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 705 | 596 | 168 | 48 | 1 | 32 | 94 | 85 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 282 | 390 | 527 | 917 | 245 | 282 | 12 | 13 | 401 | 157 | +48 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +15 | 6.7 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 705 | 594 | 170 | 51 | 1 | 31 | 96 | 85 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 286 | 396 | 532 | 928 | 246 | 289 | 12 | 14 | 406 | 157 | +48 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +15 | 6.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 690 | 556 | 163 | 35 | 2 | 42 | 117 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 293 | 424 | 590 | 1.014 | 297 | 276 | 12 | 17 | 434 | 180 | +66 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +15 | 8.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 690 | 554 | 164 | 37 | 2 | 41 | 119 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 296 | 428 | 592 | 1.020 | 296 | 281 | 12 | 17 | 437 | 180 | +66 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +15 | 8.7 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 180 | 154 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 341 | 435 | 776 | 201 | 244 | 14 | 13 | 348 | 122 | +5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 180 | 153 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 352 | 451 | 803 | 209 | 254 | 14 | 13 | 356 | 122 | +5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 444 | 390 | 101 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 55 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 343 | 408 | 751 | 149 | 270 | 12 | 10 | 336 | 113 | +7 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 444 | 384 | 103 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 55 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 361 | 422 | 783 | 154 | 281 | 12 | 11 | 350 | 113 | +7 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 656 | 549 | 141 | 36 | 0 | 24 | 86 | 77 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 368 | 454 | 822 | 197 | 255 | 12 | 13 | 360 | 130 | +23 | -1 | +6 | +2 | +14 | 4.6 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 656 | 548 | 142 | 38 | 0 | 23 | 87 | 77 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 259 | 372 | 454 | 826 | 195 | 260 | 12 | 13 | 364 | 130 | +23 | -1 | +6 | +2 | +14 | 4.6 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 724 | 623 | 161 | 26 | 4 | 26 | 91 | 87 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 360 | 438 | 798 | 180 | 264 | 12 | 13 | 357 | 128 | +24 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +16 | 4.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 724 | 622 | 163 | 28 | 4 | 25 | 92 | 87 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 262 | 364 | 441 | 805 | 178 | 270 | 12 | 13 | 360 | 128 | +24 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +16 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 634 | 582 | 150 | 28 | 2 | 27 | 43 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 314 | 452 | 766 | 194 | 260 | 14 | 7 | 335 | 113 | +10 | +0 | +8 | +2 | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 634 | 581 | 151 | 30 | 2 | 26 | 44 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 260 | 317 | 453 | 770 | 193 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 338 | 113 | +10 | +0 | +8 | +2 | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 495 | 436 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 18 | 48 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 347 | 443 | 790 | 181 | 274 | 14 | 10 | 353 | 125 | +15 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 3.2 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 495 | 433 | 118 | 28 | 0 | 18 | 51 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 361 | 462 | 823 | 189 | 288 | 14 | 10 | 365 | 125 | +15 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 702 | 610 | 161 | 32 | 2 | 29 | 74 | 102 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 355 | 466 | 820 | 202 | 272 | 15 | 11 | 361 | 130 | +25 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +15 | 4.5 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | — | 702 | 608 | 161 | 33 | 2 | 28 | 76 | 102 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 265 | 358 | 464 | 822 | 199 | 275 | 15 | 11 | 362 | 130 | +25 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +15 | 4.5 |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 285 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 256 | 315 | 354 | 669 | 98 | 279 | 14 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 585 | 525 | 136 | 30 | 5 | 23 | 49 | 97 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 259 | 328 | 467 | 794 | 208 | 281 | 17 | 8 | 345 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 626 | 561 | 157 | 37 | 5 | 20 | 53 | 97 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 280 | 351 | 471 | 822 | 191 | 311 | 15 | 8 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 705 | 593 | 168 | 48 | 1 | 32 | 94 | 85 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 283 | 390 | 530 | 920 | 246 | 289 | 12 | 13 | 401 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 690 | 559 | 163 | 35 | 2 | 42 | 117 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 292 | 424 | 587 | 1.011 | 295 | 281 | 12 | 17 | 434 | 180 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 180 | 153 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 341 | 438 | 779 | 203 | 254 | 14 | 13 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 444 | 391 | 101 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 55 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 343 | 407 | 750 | 148 | 279 | 12 | 10 | 336 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 656 | 554 | 141 | 36 | 0 | 24 | 86 | 77 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 368 | 449 | 818 | 195 | 260 | 12 | 13 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 724 | 619 | 161 | 26 | 4 | 26 | 91 | 87 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 260 | 360 | 441 | 801 | 181 | 270 | 12 | 13 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 634 | 581 | 150 | 28 | 2 | 27 | 43 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 314 | 453 | 767 | 194 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 495 | 435 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 18 | 48 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 347 | 444 | 791 | 182 | 288 | 14 | 10 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 702 | 610 | 161 | 32 | 2 | 29 | 74 | 102 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 355 | 466 | 820 | 202 | 275 | 15 | 11 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 634 | 581 | 150 | 28 | 2 | 27 | 43 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 314 | 453 | 767 | 194 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 495 | 435 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 18 | 48 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 347 | 444 | 791 | 182 | 288 | 14 | 10 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 702 | 610 | 161 | 32 | 2 | 29 | 74 | 102 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 355 | 466 | 820 | 202 | 275 | 15 | 11 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB MLE | CHC | 100% | 622 | 546 | 139 | 29 | 1 | 23 | 61 | 90 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 256 | 341 | 444 | 785 | 187 | 267 | 14 | 10 | 347 | 121 | +16 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB CTX | CHC | 100% | 622 | 546 | 141 | 30 | 2 | 23 | 61 | 90 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 342 | 442 | 784 | 185 | 269 | 14 | 10 | 347 | 121 | +16 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 34 | MLB MLE | CHC | 100% | 572 | 504 | 124 | 25 | 1 | 20 | 55 | 87 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 329 | 420 | 749 | 174 | 258 | 15 | 10 | 333 | 111 | +8 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB MLE | CHC | 100% | 515 | 455 | 106 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 48 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 316 | 393 | 709 | 160 | 248 | 16 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB MLE | CHC | 100% | 452 | 402 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 76 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 303 | 366 | 669 | 145 | 238 | 17 | 9 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB CTX | CHC | 100% | 572 | 504 | 124 | 25 | 1 | 20 | 55 | 87 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 330 | 418 | 748 | 172 | 260 | 15 | 10 | 333 | 111 | +8 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB CTX | CHC | 100% | 515 | 455 | 106 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 317 | 391 | 708 | 158 | 250 | 16 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB CTX | CHC | 100% | 452 | 402 | 88 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 76 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 303 | 364 | 668 | 143 | 240 | 17 | 9 | 300 | 90 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 7568 | 6559 | 1729 | 388 | 23 | 286 | 847 | 1064 | 100 | 51 | 18 | 264 | 357 | 461 | 817 | 197 | 274 | 14 | 11 | 361 | 125 | +274 | +3 | +21 | +28 | +164 | 50.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 563 | 149 | 33 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 91 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 265 | 359 | 464 | 822 | 199 | 274 | 14 | 11 | 361 | 125 | +24 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 4.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8913 | 7771 | 2019 | 427 | 29 | 338 | 947 | 1244 | 121 | 75 | 29 | 260 | 349 | 453 | 802 | 193 | 269 | 14 | 11 | 354 | 125 | +289 | +3 | +24 | +31 | +177 | 53.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 567 | 147 | 31 | 2 | 25 | 69 | 91 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 259 | 349 | 453 | 803 | 194 | 268 | 14 | 11 | 354 | 125 | +23 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 4.3 | |