Robert Gsellman
P
Rochester Red Wings
+0.1
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'4" / 237 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
xFIP4.26
SIERA4.28
K%21.8%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%11.8%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p4324.3%
K%
p1014.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.396
SL+1.7
FB-2.4
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 24 | 24 | 143 | 583 | 86 | 36 | 5 | 11.7% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 2.89 | 3.50 | +2.9 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | New York Mets | 28 | 27 | 160 | 666 | 130 | 44 | 11 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 3.55 | 3.43 | +3.4 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 27 | 138 | 634 | 94 | 47 | 18 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 5.09 | 4.44 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | 68 | 0 | 80 | 345 | 70 | 22 | 8 | 20.3% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 4.28 | 3.51 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 52 | 0 | 64 | 277 | 60 | 21 | 7 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 4.66 | 3.54 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | New York Mets | 6 | 4 | 14 | 71 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 12.7% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 9.64 | 6.53 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 23 | 3 | 35 | 152 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 14.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 4.89 | 4.03 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 18 | 9 | 44 | 191 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 5.68 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 17 | 4 | 36 | 169 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 17.7% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 8.75 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 26 | — | 26 | 110 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 266 | 98 | 714 | 3088 | 497 | 228 | 68 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 4.47 | 3.89 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 27 | 200 | 865 | 139 | 64 | 19 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 4.47 | 3.89 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Gsellman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.68 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 26 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 97 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 87 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 86 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 82 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 81 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 81 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 80 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .286 | 3.13 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.70 | 2.31 | 403 | 80 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 80 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 79 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.61 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .335 | 2.56 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -1.05 | 2.56 | 144 | 79 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | .312 | 5.01 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.27 | 2.30 | 153 | 78 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 227 | 78 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 78 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 77 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 77 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.18 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.28 | 2.80 | 284 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.