Robert Gsellman
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 33
RHP
6'4" / 237 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION19 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.67
FIP4.55
xFIP4.26
SIERA4.28
K%21.7%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%11.8%
IP19
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p4324.3%
K%
p1014.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.396
SL+1.7
FB-2.4
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 24 | 24 | 143 | 583 | 86 | 36 | 5 | 11.7% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 2.89 | 3.45 | +3.3 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | New York Mets | 28 | 27 | 160 | 666 | 130 | 44 | 11 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 3.55 | 3.38 | +3.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 27 | 138 | 634 | 94 | 47 | 18 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 4.34 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | 68 | 0 | 80 | 345 | 70 | 22 | 8 | 20.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 4.28 | 3.47 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 52 | 0 | 64 | 277 | 60 | 21 | 7 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.66 | 3.63 | +0.7 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | New York Mets | 6 | 4 | 14 | 71 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 12.7% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 9.64 | 6.56 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 23 | 3 | 35 | 152 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 14.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 4.89 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 18 | 9 | 44 | 191 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 5.68 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 17 | 4 | 36 | 169 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 17.7% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 8.75 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 19 | — | 19 | 81 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 266 | 98 | 714 | 3088 | 497 | 228 | 66 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 4.47 | 3.85 | +12.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 27 | 200 | 865 | 139 | 64 | 18 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 4.47 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Gsellman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.85 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 20 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 89 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 88 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 87 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 82 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 82 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 81 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 81 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 80 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.40 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 300 | 80 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 80 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 79 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 79 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.46 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 148 | 79 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 78 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.91 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 78 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.80 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 149 | 77 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.23 | 12.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | .318 | 4.18 | 23.7% | 15.5% | 155 | -1.05 | 3.15 | 244 | 76 |
| Steve Cishek R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 21.3% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .234 | 3.81 | 23.2% | 12.9% | 155 | -0.22 | 2.80 | 453 | 75 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.59 | 20.4% | 14.1% | 2.6% | .344 | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 43 | +0.56 | 2.00 | 320 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.