Jordan Romano — OGILVIE

Jordan Romano P Colorado Rockies

Age 33 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.24

FIP4.15

K%25.2%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%16.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4193.9

Whiff%

p6026.8%

p5823.7%

xwOBA vs

p640.298

FB (42%)

SL-1.6 (56%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	23	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	15	14	73	294	72	27	3	93%	4.8	18.1%	10.8%	7.3%	1.4%	2.11	3.69	—
2016	23	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	15	14	73	294	72	27	3	93%	4.8	24.5%	9.2%	15.3%	1.0%	2.11	2.77	—
2017	24	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	28	26	138	612	138	54	2	93%	4.9	17.4%	10.1%	7.2%	0.3%	3.39	3.10	—
2017	24	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	28	26	138	612	138	54	2	93%	4.9	22.5%	8.8%	13.7%	0.3%	3.39	2.46	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	142	593	128	45	15	100%	5.5	17.7%	7.9%	9.8%	3.3%	4.11	4.43	—
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	142	593	128	45	15	100%	5.5	21.6%	7.6%	14.0%	2.5%	4.11	3.62	—
2019	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	3	54	244	74	23	12	7%	1.3	28.1%	9.8%	18.2%	5.3%	6.17	4.89	-0.2
2019	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	3	54	244	74	23	12	7%	1.3	30.3%	9.4%	20.9%	4.9%	6.17	4.53	+0.0
2020	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	15	0	15	57	21	5	2	0%	1.0	36.8%	8.8%	28.1%	3.5%	1.23	3.03	+0.3
2020	27	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	15	0	15	57	21	5	2	0%	1.0	36.8%	8.8%	28.1%	3.5%	1.23	3.03	+0.3
2021	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	62	0	63	253	85	25	7	0%	1.0	33.6%	9.9%	23.7%	2.8%	2.14	3.03	+1.1
2021	28	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	62	0	63	253	85	25	7	0%	1.0	33.6%	9.9%	23.7%	2.8%	2.14	3.04	+1.1
2022	29	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	63	0	64	258	73	17	4	0%	1.0	28.3%	6.6%	21.7%	1.6%	2.11	2.40	+1.7
2022	29	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	63	0	64	258	73	17	4	0%	1.0	28.3%	6.6%	21.7%	1.6%	2.11	2.43	+1.6
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	0	60	252	72	19	6	0%	1.0	29.0%	7.7%	21.4%	2.4%	2.85	2.95	+1.1
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	0	60	252	72	19	6	0%	1.0	29.0%	7.7%	21.4%	2.4%	2.85	2.95	+1.1
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	60	0	60	252	72	19	6	0%	1.0	28.6%	7.5%	21.0%	2.4%	2.85	2.95	+1.1
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	15	70	14	7	4	0%	0.9	21.0%	4.8%	16.1%	6.5%	6.14	5.48	-0.2
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	15	70	14	7	4	0%	0.9	21.0%	4.8%	16.1%	6.5%	6.14	5.48	-0.2
2024	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	15	70	14	7	4	0%	0.9	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	5.7%	6.14	6.17	-0.3
2025	32	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	49	0	43	187	47	16	10	0%	0.9	25.1%	8.6%	16.6%	5.0%	8.23	4.80	-0.1
2025	32	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	49	0	43	187	47	16	10	0%	0.9	25.1%	8.6%	16.6%	5.0%	8.23	4.80	-0.1
2025	32	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	49	0	43	187	47	16	10	0%	0.9	25.1%	8.6%	16.6%	5.3%	8.23	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			313	0	301	1271	363	110	39	0%	1.0	28.6%	8.7%	19.9%	3.1%	3.89	3.47	+3.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	43	0	38	169	41	17	5	0%	0.9	23.7%	12.2%	11.5%	1.4%	4.93	3.39	+0.5
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	43	0	38	169	41	17	5	0%	0.9	23.7%	12.2%	11.5%	1.4%	4.93	3.39	+0.5
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	ROK RAW	COL	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.27	—
2026	33	AAA RAW	COL	9	0	9	34	10	0	3	0%	1.0	29.4%	0.0%	29.4%	8.8%	4.15	5.46	—
2026	33	MLB RAW	COL	33	0	29	131	31	16	2	0%	0.9	23.7%	12.2%	11.5%	1.5%	5.34	3.49	+0.4
SO FAR	33	MLB RAW	COL	33	0	29	131	31	16	2	0%	0.9	23.7%	12.2%	11.5%	1.5%	5.34	3.49	+0.4
ROS	33	MLB MLE	COL	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.2%	9.1%	16.1%	3.7%	4.24	4.15	+0.0
ROS	33	MLB CTX	COL	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.2%	9.1%	16.1%	3.7%	4.24	4.15	+0.0
2026 TOT	33	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	43	190	46	19	6	—	—	24.4%	10.0%	14.4%	3.0%	4.85	3.48	+0.6
FULL	33	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	34	142	46	19	6	—	—	32.6%	13.3%	19.3%	4.1%	6.25	4.27	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	COL	47	0	50	209	51	20	8	0%	1.1	24.5%	9.7%	14.8%	3.6%	4.56	4.64	-0.1
2028	35	MLB MLE	COL	42	0	44	187	44	19	7	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.3%	13.3%	4.0%	4.81	4.98	-0.2
2027	34	MLB CTX	COL	45	0	47	198	49	19	7	0%	1.0	24.5%	9.7%	14.8%	3.6%	4.56	4.64	-0.0
2028	35	MLB CTX	COL	38	0	40	169	40	17	7	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.3%	13.3%	4.0%	4.81	4.98	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		401	0	393	1661	457	149	54	0%	1.0	27.5%	9.0%	18.6%	3.2%	4.07	3.69	+4.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		204	0	200	845	232	76	27	0%	1.0	27.5%	9.0%	18.6%	3.2%	4.07	3.69	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		420	69	704	2989	687	271	74	16%	1.7	23.0%	9.1%	13.9%	2.5%	3.73	3.67	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	20	200	849	195	77	21	16%	1.7	23.0%	9.1%	13.9%	2.5%	3.73	3.67	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Romano (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	26.2%	8.1%	3.8%	—	4.80	24.1%	14.1%	94	+0.40	—	—	—
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	80
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	80
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	80
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	79
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	79
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	78
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	77
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	75
Bud Norris R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	33	SU	3.65	27.3%	7.3%	3.5%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	316	75
Mark Lowe R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	33	SU	5.40	21.9%	8.5%	5.6%	.312	5.03	16.4%	6.4%	49	-0.37	2.37	153	75
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	75
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	74
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	73
Brad Brach R 2019 · 3.43 FIP	33	SU	3.43	24.8%	12.0%	1.7%	.356	4.65	23.0%	9.8%	66	+1.22	2.69	410	73
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	73
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	73
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	73
Kevin Jepsen R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	24.3%	10.0%	5.3%	.279	6.61	10.4%	-2.6%	17	+1.36	3.47	160	73
Nate Jones R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	32	SU	4.09	23.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.279	5.85	21.4%	13.8%	38	+1.76	2.57	157	72
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	24.8%	9.3%	1.48	4.61
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63