Josh Bell — OGILVIE

Josh Bell1B Minnesota Twins

Age 33 S/R 6'3" / 261 lbs MLB Svc 9.308 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION375 act + 250 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7687vR 114

AVG/OBP/SLG.253 / .323 / .436

PA250

HR9

K%20

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO182

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 42 / POW 62

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT42

Whiff%

788.1%

xwOBA

710.333

POWER62

Barrel%

619.9

Avg EV

5889.7

Bat Spd

5271.5

EYE50

Chase%

9023.2%

SPEED31

Sprint

2026.0

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1241 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

368

873

—

wRC+

116

▶▶R

wOBA

297

336

▶R

ISO

150

173

▶R

BABIP

243

278

▶R

19.0%

18.0%

▶R

BB%

9.8%

9.5%

—

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 9.308 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$8M	+0.4	$2M	-$6M
2027	Ext	$20M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$27M		$1M	-$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	66	62	14	4	0	1	2	26	0	1	0	226	250	339	589	113	351	39	3	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	66	62	17	5	0	1	2	21	0	1	0	274	297	403	700	129	381	32	3	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A	West Virginia Power	—	519	481	106	30	1	10	30	126	3	1	2	220	270	349	620	129	274	24	6	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A	West Virginia Power	—	519	459	128	37	2	13	52	90	3	1	2	279	356	453	809	174	319	17	10	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+	3 teams	—	562	529	148	22	5	6	25	97	3	11	6	280	316	374	690	95	333	17	4	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+	3 teams	—	562	509	156	30	4	9	45	68	3	11	6	306	366	434	800	128	339	12	8	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	2 teams	—	572	516	155	24	7	8	39	82	3	9	4	300	353	421	774	120	336	14	7	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	2 teams	—	572	489	155	24	9	7	65	65	3	9	4	317	400	446	845	129	346	11	11	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA	2 teams	—	636	576	157	28	5	17	51	105	4	3	8	273	336	427	763	155	305	17	8	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA	2 teams	—	636	549	159	31	4	17	78	93	4	3	8	290	382	454	835	164	320	15	12	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	620	549	141	26	6	26	66	117	1	2	4	257	338	468	806	211	280	19	11	346	123	+16	-1	-11	-11	+18	1.0
2017	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	620	549	140	26	6	26	66	117	1	2	4	255	336	466	802	211	278	19	11	352	127	+19	-1	-11	-11	+18	1.4
2018	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	583	501	132	31	4	12	77	104	0	2	5	263	362	413	775	150	308	18	13	341	119	+13	-2	-6	-10	+17	1.1
2018	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	583	501	131	31	4	12	77	104	0	2	5	261	360	411	771	150	305	18	13	345	122	+14	-2	-6	-10	+17	1.3
2019	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	613	527	147	37	3	37	74	118	5	0	1	279	373	571	944	292	290	19	12	387	154	+38	-0	-8	-11	+17	3.6
2019	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	613	527	146	37	3	37	74	118	5	0	1	277	371	569	941	292	288	19	12	403	167	+46	-0	-8	-11	+17	4.5
2020	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	223	195	44	3	0	8	22	59	2	0	0	226	311	364	675	138	273	26	10	288	78	-5	+0	-3	-4	+6	-0.7
2020	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	223	195	44	3	0	8	22	59	2	0	0	226	311	364	675	138	273	26	10	301	89	-3	+0	-3	-4	+6	-0.4
2021	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	568	498	130	24	1	27	65	101	2	0	0	261	349	476	825	215	276	18	11	356	131	+20	+0	-3	-10	+16	2.3
2021	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	568	498	130	24	1	27	65	101	2	0	0	261	349	476	825	215	276	18	11	363	136	+23	+0	-3	-10	+16	2.6
2022	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	647	555	151	31	3	18	81	102	5	0	1	272	370	436	806	164	302	16	13	351	127	+20	-0	-8	-12	+18	1.8
2022	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	647	552	147	29	3	17	81	102	5	0	1	266	363	422	786	156	296	16	13	350	126	+19	-0	-8	-12	+18	1.8
2023	30	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	617	549	140	29	0	23	63	134	2	0	1	255	334	434	767	179	296	22	10	336	115	+10	-0	-4	-11	+17	1.3
2023	30	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	617	547	135	28	0	22	63	134	2	0	1	247	326	419	744	172	287	22	10	331	111	+8	-0	-4	-11	+17	1.0
2024	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	603	543	131	22	2	18	51	120	6	0	1	241	313	389	702	147	277	20	8	311	96	-3	-0	-11	-11	+17	-0.7
2024	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	603	538	134	23	2	19	51	120	6	0	1	249	318	405	724	156	286	20	8	321	104	+3	-0	-11	-11	+17	-0.2
2025	32	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	533	468	111	16	1	22	57	88	5	0	3	237	326	417	743	179	247	17	11	326	108	+5	-1	-4	-10	+15	0.5
2025	32	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	533	468	111	16	1	22	57	88	5	0	3	237	326	417	743	179	247	17	11	331	112	+7	-1	-4	-10	+15	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	MLB	MIN	—	375	343	85	21	1	13	28	81	2	1	0	248	308	429	737	181	287	22	7	321	104	+2	+0	-0	-7	+11	0.6
YTD	33	MLB	MIN	—	375	343	85	21	1	13	28	81	2	1	0	248	308	429	737	181	287	22	7	325	107	+3	+0	-0	-7	+11	0.7
ROS	33	MLB	MIN	100%	250	225	57	12	1	9	21	51	2	1	0	253	323	436	758	182	284	20	8	332	112	+4	+0	-1	-4	+7	0.6
ROS	33	MLB	MIN	100%	250	225	57	12	1	9	21	51	2	1	0	253	323	436	758	182	284	20	8	328	109	+3	+0	-1	-4	+7	0.5
FULL	33	MLB	MIN	—	625	568	142	33	2	22	49	132	4	2	0	250	314	431	745	181	288	21	8	324	106	+4	+0	-1	-11	+18	1.0
TOT	33	MLB	MIN	—	625	568	142	33	2	22	49	132	4	2	0	250	314	431	745	181	288	21	8	326	107	+5	+0	-1	-11	+18	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	MIN	100%	470	424	103	20	2	17	40	99	3	1	0	243	313	420	732	177	275	21	9	321	104	+2	+0	-7	-8	+13	0.0
2027	34	MLB	MIN	100%	470	424	103	20	2	17	40	99	3	1	0	243	313	420	732	177	275	21	9	316	100	+0	+0	-7	-8	+13	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5879	5152	1313	257	23	219	638	1112	33	6	17	255	340	441	781	186	283	19	11	344	122	+143	-6	-72	-114	+167	12.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	145	28	3	24	71	123	4	1	2	254	341	440	781	186	283	19	11	344	122	+16	-1	-8	-13	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	8082	7198	1867	359	41	259	764	1529	46	31	36	259	334	429	763	169	294	19	9	331	112	+107	-8	-72	-144	+229	11.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	150	29	3	21	61	123	4	2	3	259	334	428	762	169	293	19	9	331	112	+9	-1	-6	-12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	66	62	17	5	0	1	2	21	0	1	0	274	297	403	700	129	381	32	3	301	88	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2013	20	A	West Virginia Power	—	519	459	128	37	2	13	52	90	3	1	2	279	356	453	809	174	319	17	10	357	131	+18	-1	—	—	+15	3.3
2014	21	AA	Altoona Curve	—	102	94	27	2	0	0	8	12	0	4	1	287	343	309	652	21	329	12	8	302	89	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2014	21	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	363	331	111	20	4	9	25	43	2	5	4	335	385	502	887	166	364	12	7	387	154	+22	-1	—	—	+10	3.3
2014	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	97	84	18	8	0	0	12	13	1	2	1	214	320	310	629	95	254	13	12	293	82	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2015	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	145	121	42	7	3	2	21	15	1	2	0	347	448	504	952	157	377	10	14	417	178	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2015	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	427	368	113	17	6	5	44	50	2	7	4	307	383	427	810	120	335	12	10	354	129	+14	-0	—	—	+12	2.6
2016	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	152	128	35	8	0	3	21	19	0	0	1	273	376	406	782	133	294	12	14	348	124	+4	-0	-5	-11	+4	-0.9
2016	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	484	421	124	23	4	14	57	74	4	3	7	295	384	468	852	173	328	15	12	378	147	+26	-2	—	—	+14	3.8
2017	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	620	549	140	26	6	26	66	117	1	2	4	255	336	466	802	211	278	19	11	352	127	+19	-1	-11	-11	+18	1.4
2018	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	583	501	131	31	4	12	77	104	0	2	5	261	360	411	771	150	305	18	13	345	122	+14	-2	-6	-10	+17	1.3
2019	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	613	527	146	37	3	37	74	118	5	0	1	277	371	569	941	292	288	19	12	403	167	+46	-0	-8	-11	+17	4.5
2020	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	223	195	44	3	0	8	22	59	2	0	0	226	311	364	675	138	273	26	10	301	89	-3	+0	-3	-4	+6	-0.4
2021	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	568	498	130	24	1	27	65	101	2	0	0	261	349	476	825	215	276	18	11	363	136	+23	+0	-3	-10	+16	2.6
2022	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	647	552	147	29	3	17	81	102	5	0	1	266	363	422	786	156	296	16	13	350	126	+19	-0	-8	-12	+18	1.8
2023	30	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	617	547	135	28	0	22	63	134	2	0	1	247	326	419	744	172	287	22	10	331	111	+8	-0	-4	-11	+17	1.0
2024	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	603	538	134	23	2	19	51	120	6	0	1	249	318	405	724	156	286	20	8	321	104	+3	-0	-11	-11	+17	-0.2
2025	32	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	533	468	111	16	1	22	57	88	5	0	3	237	326	417	743	179	247	17	11	331	112	+7	-1	-4	-10	+15	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5159	4503	1153	225	20	193	577	962	28	4	17	256	343	443	787	187	283	19	11	348	124	+141	-6	-65	-101	+146	11.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Anthony Rizzolast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,336 PA	14	7,336	303	72	261	361	467	-131	-79	28.6	27.3
	/162	664	27	7	261	361	467	-11.9	-7.1	2.6	pk7: 26
#2Brandon Beltlast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,483 PA	13	5,483	194	47	261	357	460	-96	-62	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	23	6	261	357	460	-11.7	-7.5	2.3	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	6,618	246	8	255	335	441	-118	-106	19.7	18.1
	/162	664	25	1	255	335	441	-11.9	-10.6	2.0	pk7: 16
#3Carlos Penalast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,856 PA	13	5,856	285	29	231	346	462	-98	-110	14.2	15.3
	/162	664	32	3	231	346	462	-11.2	-12.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#4Kevin Millarlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,972 PA	10	4,972	161	6	273	357	454	-74	-93	13.7	13.9
	/162	664	22	1	273	357	454	-9.8	-12.5	1.8	pk7: 14
#5Adam LaRochelast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,329 PA	12	6,329	255	13	260	336	462	-113	-125	10.7	12.1
	/162	664	27	1	260	336	462	-11.9	-13.1	1.1	pk7: 13
#6Lyle Overbaylast yr '14 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,790 PA	12	5,790	151	19	266	348	429	-103	-102	8.8	10.3
	/162	664	17	2	266	348	429	-11.9	-11.7	1.0	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Bell (OGILVIE)	33	42	62	31	50	250/314/431	181	288	22	2	21%	8%	107	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shelley Duncan 2013 · MLB	33	42→45	54→60	40→45	51	222/300/400	178	255	22	4	23%	9%	97	+1.5	191/257/319	128	235	15	4	25%	8%	58	-1.2	154/212/252	99	192	11	0	26%	6%	20	-2.8
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2011 · AAA	32	50→52	53→55	37→40	52	255/334/427	172	309	20	3	24%	10%	118	+3.0	231/303/392	161	311	20	4	31%	8%	96	+1.5	205/293/384	179	285	23	3	35%	10%	90	+0.6
●Aaron Guiel 2005 · MLB	32	46→53	52→60	37→45	50	235/313/404	169	268	19	6	20%	8%	104	+2.0	233/315/424	191	267	23	6	22%	8%	110	+2.4	228/313/423	195	258	24	4	22%	8%	107	+2.1
✕Felix Perez 2017 · AAA	32	48→52	54→65	38→50	44	251/297/431	180	286	22	5	21%	6%	104	+2.0	244/295/435	191	284	26	5	24%	5%	104	+2.0	231/285/456	225	252	34	0	25%	5%	107	+1.0
✕Edgard Clemente 2010 · AAA	34	49	54→55	39→40	49	252/318/426	175	293	22	6	22%	8%	111	+2.5	258/315/431	173	312	21	8	24%	7%	111	+2.5	236/297/411	175	299	24	9	29%	6%	95	+0.3
✕Daryle Ward 2007 · MLB	32	51→56	54→60	37→30	53	264/329/444	180	280	21	3	15%	8%	120	+3.1	258/340/429	171	297	18	4	19%	11%	121	+3.2	238/320/387	149	278	17	2	20%	10%	91	+0.4
●Greg Norton 2006 · MLB	34	46	52→60	40	50	238/303/403	164	275	20	4	22%	8%	98	+1.6	261/345/431	170	310	20	4	21%	11%	123	+3.3	270/367/437	167	321	20	2	21%	13%	126	+1.7
✕Brett Harper 2013 · AAA	32	49→50	55→60	38→30	41	254/306/428	174	309	24	5	26%	5%	107	+2.2	250/308/422	172	311	24	6	27%	7%	105	+2.1	239/296/402	163	290	26	0	27%	6%	94	+0.7
✕Jake Lamb 2023 · MLB	32	43→53	53→60	40→45	47	223/305/398	175	299	22	3	32%	9%	98	+1.6	226/303/361	135	299	15	3	28%	8%	88	+0.9	217/297/333	115	288	12	1	27%	8%	76	+0.0
●John Lindsey 2010 · AAA	33	46→53	52→65	41→30	43	239/304/404	165	289	20	2	24%	6%	99	+1.7	233/295/405	172	293	20	2	27%	5%	96	+1.5	229/309/457	227	279	33	0	30%	7%	114	+2.0
✕Marcus Thames 2010 · MLB	33	44→46	62→70	35→40	47	244/304/464	220	281	32	3	26%	8%	115	+2.8	247/310/427	180	297	25	4	25%	8%	108	+2.3	272/336/447	175	329	27	0	25%	8%	121	+1.4
✕Scott Seabol 2007 · MLB	32	44→45	53→60	38→40	45	233/288/410	177	276	21	3	24%	7%	94	+1.3	241/294/434	193	277	24	7	22%	7%	103	+1.9	239/293/445	205	266	26	5	21%	7%	105	+2.0
✕Stephen Drew 2017 · MLB	34	41→51	54→55	38→45	53	217/290/397	180	233	22	3	19%	9%	92	+1.2	241/309/398	157	281	17	6	20%	8%	99	+1.7	245/302/347	102	303	6	0	20%	8%	80	+0.1
✕Justin Smoak 2020 · MLB	33	43→53	59→65	40→30	61	234/345/448	214	263	27	1	23%	14%	128	+3.6	227/320/416	189	276	23	5	26%	11%	109	+2.4	184/259/382	198	230	25	0	32%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Brian Burgamy 2016 · AAA	35	47	52→55	41→50	48	241/309/406	165	297	20	5	26%	9%	102	+1.8	228/297/349	121	312	12	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	222/296/329	107	310	9	10	29%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Izzy Alcantara 2007 · AAA	34	49	55→60	40→45	53	253/332/432	179	286	23	8	21%	10%	118	+3.0	241/306/420	179	288	22	8	24%	8%	105	+2.1	226/292/425	199	264	26	2	25%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Yangervis Solarte 2019 · MLB	32	48→58	52→55	40→45	50	248/303/414	165	256	21	3	14%	7%	102	+1.8	238/291/384	146	267	17	6	18%	7%	88	+0.9	238/272/350	112	287	8	0	20%	4%	64	-0.2
●Matt Joyce 2017 · MLB	32	46→53	51→60	37→50	62	231/349/399	167	280	18	3	23%	14%	117	+2.9	246/348/442	196	284	23	4	21%	13%	127	+3.6	248/350/442	194	284	23	2	20%	13%	125	+2.0
✕Ty Wigginton 2011 · MLB	33	50→55	51→60	37→50	50	253/313/412	159	275	20	2	16%	7%	105	+2.1	226/299/366	140	262	16	6	20%	9%	87	+0.8	215/295/350	135	249	16	7	20%	9%	76	+0.1
●Steve Pearce 2017 · MLB	34	49→56	57→60	39→50	54	256/335/455	199	282	25	4	20%	10%	125	+3.5	248/327/426	178	282	21	3	20%	9%	115	+2.7	237/319/407	170	272	20	0	21%	9%	104	+0.8