Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 27 | 5 | 59 | 274 | 55 | 20 | 1 | 19% | 2.2 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 0.7% | 4.25 | 3.25 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 27 | 5 | 59 | 274 | 55 | 20 | 1 | 19% | 2.2 | 20.1% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 0.4% | 4.25 | 2.48 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 2 | 26 | 108 | 27 | 10 | 0 | 9% | 1.2 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.70 | 2.54 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 2 | 26 | 108 | 27 | 10 | 0 | 9% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 0.0% | 0.70 | 2.16 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 28 | 0 | 34 | 152 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 3.97 | 3.96 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 28 | 0 | 34 | 152 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 2.0% | 3.97 | 3.39 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 58 | 261 | 79 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 9.7% | 18.0% | 2.7% | 5.90 | 3.49 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 58 | 261 | 79 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.3% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 3.4% | 5.90 | 3.84 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 8.0% | 28.0% | -20.0% | 0.0% | 17.18 | 5.97 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 8.0% | 28.0% | -20.0% | 0.0% | 17.18 | 7.74 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 44 | 181 | 58 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.5% | 10.8% | 19.7% | 3.8% | 2.89 | 4.00 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 44 | 181 | 58 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.0% | 9.9% | 22.1% | 3.3% | 2.89 | 3.47 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 55 | 0 | 53 | 215 | 66 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 7.8% | 19.2% | 1.9% | 3.88 | 2.88 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 55 | 0 | 53 | 215 | 66 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.7% | 7.4% | 23.3% | 1.9% | 3.88 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 15 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 7% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 6.6% | 18.7% | 5.1% | 6.05 | 4.62 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 15 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 7% | 1.3 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 22.5% | 3.8% | 6.05 | 3.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | DET | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | DET | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 4.48 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | DET | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 4.48 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 28 | 0 | 19 | 100 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 0.7 | 18.1% | 17.5% | 0.6% | 3.2% | 9.52 | 5.52 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 289 | 0 | 200 | 1026 | 185 | 175 | 31 | 0% | 0.7 | 18.1% | 17.5% | 0.6% | 3.2% | 9.52 | 5.52 | -0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 248 | 8 | 297 | 1296 | 299 | 120 | 28 | 3% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 4.24 | 3.50 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 5 | 200 | 873 | 201 | 81 | 19 | 3% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 4.24 | 3.50 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miguel Del Pozo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.59 | 22.9% | 13.4% | 20 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Grant Dayton L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.5% | 49 | -0.17 | 1.73 | 277 | 78 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.25 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .304 | 3.85 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 152 | -0.40 | 1.67 | 421 | 71 |
| Phil Coke L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 71 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 68 |
| Zach Phillips L 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 68 |
| Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.96 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 245 | 68 |
| Josh Edgin L 2024 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 67 |
| Edward Paredes L 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 21.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 130 | 66 |
| Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 66 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.45 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.79 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.34 | 3.77 | 127 | 64 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.51 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .286 | 3.60 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 52 | -0.91 | 3.60 | 190 | 64 |
| Anthony Gose L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.88 | 27.0% | 13.1% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.79 | 22.3% | 7.5% | 71 | +1.91 | 3.88 | 207 | 63 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.19 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 256 | 63 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.23 | 31.8% | 14.0% | 3.7% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 205 | 62 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .443 | 5.09 | 19.8% | 8.6% | 74 | +1.20 | 3.89 | 154 | 61 |
| Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 61 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 60 |
| Brady Feigl L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.45 | 24.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | .312 | 3.55 | 22.7% | 14.2% | 14 | -0.90 | 2.69 | 212 | 60 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.87 | 15.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 159 | 59 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 59 |