Jakob Junis
P
Texas Rangers
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 238 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9686vR 77
ERA3.22
FIP3.31
K%19.8%
BB%4.7%
K-BB%15.1%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1892.2
Whiff%
p1019.3%
K%
p2718.9%
xwOBA vs
p590.303
SL+1.9 (43%)
CH+1.5 (20%)
FB+0.8 (38%)
SI (19%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 160 | 646 | 126 | 30 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.2% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 3.78 | 4.74 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 160 | 646 | 126 | 30 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 4.6% | 14.9% | 1.7% | 3.78 | 2.98 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 149 | 619 | 143 | 34 | 18 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.0% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.05 | 4.15 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 149 | 619 | 143 | 34 | 18 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 5.5% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 4.05 | 3.44 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 28 | 169 | 710 | 166 | 39 | 21 | 88% | 5.3 | 21.9% | 5.6% | 16.3% | 3.3% | 3.72 | 3.76 | +3.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 28 | 169 | 710 | 166 | 39 | 21 | 88% | 5.3 | 23.4% | 5.5% | 17.9% | 3.0% | 3.72 | 3.44 | +3.9 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 30 | 30 | 177 | 758 | 164 | 42 | 32 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 5.5% | 16.1% | 4.5% | 4.37 | 4.45 | +2.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 30 | 30 | 177 | 758 | 164 | 42 | 32 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 5.5% | 16.1% | 4.2% | 4.37 | 4.31 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 31 | 31 | 175 | 771 | 164 | 57 | 31 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.3% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 4.3% | 5.24 | 4.60 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 31 | 31 | 175 | 771 | 164 | 57 | 31 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.3% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 5.24 | 4.50 | +1.8 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 8 | 6 | 25 | 114 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 75% | 3.2 | 16.7% | 4.4% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 6.39 | 5.85 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 8 | 6 | 25 | 114 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 75% | 3.2 | 16.7% | 4.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 6.39 | 5.78 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 15 | 62 | 275 | 67 | 20 | 12 | 60% | 2.5 | 22.6% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 4.6% | 5.34 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 15 | 62 | 275 | 67 | 20 | 12 | 60% | 2.5 | 24.4% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 4.4% | 5.34 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 22 | 127 | 551 | 111 | 29 | 19 | 79% | 4.5 | 19.9% | 5.5% | 14.4% | 3.7% | 4.74 | 4.15 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 22 | 127 | 551 | 111 | 29 | 19 | 79% | 4.5 | 20.1% | 5.3% | 14.9% | 3.4% | 4.74 | 3.98 | +2.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 40 | 4 | 86 | 367 | 96 | 20 | 12 | 10% | 2.1 | 26.2% | 5.4% | 20.7% | 3.6% | 3.87 | 3.53 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 40 | 4 | 86 | 367 | 96 | 20 | 12 | 10% | 2.1 | 26.2% | 5.4% | 20.7% | 3.3% | 3.87 | 3.38 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 8 | 71 | 269 | 55 | 10 | 8 | 31% | 2.7 | 20.2% | 3.2% | 17.0% | 3.0% | 2.65 | 3.44 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 8 | 71 | 269 | 55 | 10 | 8 | 31% | 2.7 | 20.4% | 3.7% | 16.7% | 3.0% | 2.65 | 3.44 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 57 | 0 | 67 | 274 | 55 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 5.8% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 2.97 | 3.15 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 57 | 0 | 67 | 274 | 55 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 5.8% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 2.97 | 3.15 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 31 | 1 | 35 | 143 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 3.5% | 15.4% | 1.4% | 2.80 | 2.72 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TEX | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 4.7% | 15.1% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 3.31 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TEX | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 4.7% | 15.1% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 3.31 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 57 | 233 | 45 | 9 | 4 | — | — | 19.2% | 4.0% | 15.3% | 1.8% | 2.96 | 2.94 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 57 | 239 | 45 | 9 | 4 | — | — | 18.7% | 3.9% | 14.9% | 1.7% | 2.96 | 2.95 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 45 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 5.2% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 3.83 | 3.98 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 48 | 0 | 50 | 213 | 39 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.12 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 32 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 4.46 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 45 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 5.2% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 3.83 | 3.98 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.12 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 4.46 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 444 | 117 | 1055 | 4477 | 929 | 255 | 153 | 26% | 2.4 | 20.8% | 5.7% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 4.25 | 3.95 | +17.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 22 | 200 | 849 | 176 | 48 | 29 | 26% | 2.4 | 20.8% | 5.7% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 4.25 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 362 | 199 | 1305 | 5497 | 1122 | 317 | 207 | 55% | 3.6 | 20.4% | 5.8% | 14.6% | 3.8% | 4.17 | 4.18 | +18.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 31 | 200 | 843 | 172 | 49 | 32 | 55% | 3.6 | 20.4% | 5.8% | 14.6% | 3.8% | 4.17 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jakob Junis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.85 | 20.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | — | 4.30 | 18.2% | 12.4% | 151 | +0.45 | — | — | — |
| Joe Blanton R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.30 | 22.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.78 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 124 | +0.48 | 3.13 | 240 | 64 |
| Sam LeCure R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.27 | 16.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 171 | 62 |
| Casey Lawrence R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.98 | 20.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | .284 | 5.00 | 16.1% | 10.2% | 440 | +1.02 | 3.50 | 1,320 | 62 |
| Dillon Gee R 2024 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.88 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 380 | 61 |
| Mitch Lively R 2024 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 61 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .358 | 4.13 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +0.98 | 3.15 | 352 | 57 |
| Rob Wooten R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.19 | 14.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | .418 | 5.04 | 16.1% | 12.5% | 29 | +1.85 | 3.19 | 191 | 56 |
| Jerome Williams R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | .326 | 5.94 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.15 | 4.79 | 195 | 56 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .278 | 5.32 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 252 | +0.29 | 3.69 | 521 | 55 |
| Tom Koehler R 2024 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 55 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.66 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% | .308 | 4.62 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.96 | 3.66 | 348 | 54 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.26 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.22 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | -0.04 | 4.22 | 171 | 54 |
| Toru Murata R 2024 · 3.55 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.55 | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 267 | 54 |
| Scott Feldman R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.92 | 16.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | .301 | 4.64 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 111 | +0.72 | 3.92 | 297 | 53 |
| Chris Young R 2029 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .209 | 6.29 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.62 | 4.67 | 242 | 53 |
| Thad Weber R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.86 | 13.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | .398 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55 | 363 | 53 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.28 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .327 | 4.03 | 23.9% | 13.3% | 60 | -0.25 | 2.88 | 533 | 53 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.03 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | .303 | 3.99 | 22.5% | 16.9% | 190 | -1.04 | 2.03 | 804 | 52 |
| Jason Berken R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.31 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 219 | 52 |
| César Valdez R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.98 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | .296 | 2.90 | 18.7% | 15.4% | 162 | -1.08 | 1.91 | 882 | 52 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 52 | 18.8% | 5.6% | 1.11 | 4.02 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Nick Vincent ('20) | 6 | 45 | 22.7% | 6.3% | 1.13 | 3.71 |
| Brandon Kintzler ('21) | 6 | 50 | 16.2% | 6.3% | 0.91 | 3.57 |
| Tommy Hunter ('23) | 7 | 41 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 1.00 | 3.72 |