Jakob Junis — OGILVIE

Jakob Junis P Texas Rangers

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 238 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10496vR 88

ERA3.49

FIP3.57

K%18.4%

BB%5.0%

K-BB%13.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4545

CTRL6565

CMD6060

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2192.4

Whiff%

p1018.2%

p1016.4%

xwOBA vs

p440.319

SL+1.9 (44%)

CH+1.5 (19%)

FB+0.8 (37%)

SI (18%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	160	646	126	30	11	100%	5.9	15.2%	5.3%	9.8%	2.9%	3.78	4.07	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	160	646	126	30	11	100%	5.9	19.5%	4.6%	14.9%	1.7%	3.78	2.98	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	149	619	143	34	18	100%	5.5	19.0%	6.0%	13.0%	3.4%	4.05	4.13	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	149	619	143	34	18	100%	5.5	23.1%	5.5%	17.6%	2.9%	4.05	3.44	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	28	169	710	166	39	21	88%	5.3	21.9%	5.6%	16.3%	3.3%	3.72	3.74	+2.4
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	28	169	710	166	39	21	88%	5.3	23.4%	5.5%	17.9%	3.0%	3.72	3.44	+3.0
2018	25	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	30	30	177	758	164	42	32	100%	5.9	21.6%	5.5%	16.1%	4.6%	4.37	4.48	+0.9
2018	25	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	30	30	177	758	164	42	32	100%	5.9	21.6%	5.5%	16.1%	4.2%	4.37	4.31	+1.2
2019	26	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	31	31	175	771	164	57	31	100%	5.7	21.3%	7.4%	13.9%	4.3%	5.24	4.63	+0.6
2019	26	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	31	31	175	771	164	57	31	100%	5.7	21.3%	7.4%	13.9%	4.0%	5.24	4.50	+0.8
2020	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	8	6	25	114	19	5	7	75%	3.2	16.7%	4.4%	12.3%	6.6%	6.39	5.89	-0.3
2020	27	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	8	6	25	114	19	5	7	75%	3.2	16.7%	4.4%	12.3%	6.1%	6.39	5.78	-0.3
2021	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	15	62	275	67	20	12	60%	2.5	22.6%	8.1%	14.5%	4.7%	5.34	4.81	+0.1
2021	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	15	62	275	67	20	12	60%	2.5	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	4.4%	5.34	4.42	+0.4
2022	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	22	127	551	111	29	19	79%	4.5	19.9%	5.5%	14.4%	3.7%	4.74	4.14	+1.2
2022	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	22	127	551	111	29	19	79%	4.5	20.1%	5.3%	14.9%	3.4%	4.74	3.98	+1.4
2023	30	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	40	4	86	367	96	20	12	10%	2.1	26.2%	5.4%	20.7%	3.5%	3.87	3.52	+1.1
2023	30	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	40	4	86	367	96	20	12	10%	2.1	26.2%	5.4%	20.7%	3.5%	3.87	3.52	+1.1
2023	30	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	40	4	86	367	96	20	12	10%	2.1	26.2%	5.4%	20.7%	3.3%	3.87	3.38	+1.2
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	8	71	269	55	10	8	31%	2.7	20.2%	3.2%	17.0%	2.9%	2.65	3.41	+1.0
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	8	71	269	55	10	8	31%	2.7	20.2%	3.2%	17.0%	2.9%	2.65	3.41	+1.0
2024	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	8	71	269	55	10	8	31%	2.7	20.4%	3.7%	16.7%	3.0%	2.65	3.44	+1.0
2025	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	57	0	67	274	55	16	5	0%	1.2	20.1%	5.8%	14.2%	1.8%	2.97	3.15	+1.1
2025	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	57	0	67	274	55	16	5	0%	1.2	20.1%	5.8%	14.2%	1.8%	2.97	3.15	+1.1
2025	32	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	57	0	67	274	55	16	5	0%	1.2	20.1%	5.8%	14.2%	1.8%	2.97	3.15	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			297	117	897	3819	803	219	134	39%	3.0	21.0%	5.7%	15.3%	3.5%	4.30	3.98	+6.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	48	1	50	214	35	10	4	2%	1.0	16.4%	4.7%	11.7%	1.7%	3.40	3.27	+0.8
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	48	1	50	214	35	10	4	2%	1.0	16.4%	4.7%	11.7%	1.7%	3.40	3.27	+0.8
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	MLB RAW	TEX	48	1	50	214	35	10	4	2%	1.0	16.4%	4.7%	11.7%	1.9%	3.40	3.34	+0.7
SO FAR	33	MLB RAW	TEX	48	1	50	214	35	10	4	2%	1.0	16.4%	4.7%	11.7%	1.9%	3.40	3.34	+0.7
ROS	33	MLB MLE	TEX	5	0	5	22	4	1	1	0%	1.0	18.4%	5.0%	13.3%	2.5%	3.49	3.57	+0.1
ROS	33	MLB CTX	TEX	5	0	5	21	4	1	1	0%	1.0	18.4%	5.0%	13.3%	2.5%	3.49	3.57	+0.1
2026 TOT	33	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	56	236	39	11	5	—	—	16.5%	4.7%	11.8%	1.9%	3.41	3.29	+0.9
FULL	33	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	56	235	39	11	5	—	—	16.6%	4.7%	11.9%	1.9%	3.41	3.36	+0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	TEX	54	0	56	237	42	13	6	0%	1.0	17.9%	5.5%	12.3%	2.7%	3.99	4.14	+0.3
2028	35	MLB MLE	TEX	48	0	50	213	36	13	6	0%	1.1	16.9%	6.1%	10.8%	3.0%	4.28	4.48	+0.0
2029	36	MLB MLE	TEX	42	0	45	188	30	13	6	0%	1.1	15.9%	6.7%	9.2%	3.4%	4.62	4.85	-0.2
2027	34	MLB CTX	TEX	53	0	56	236	42	13	6	0%	1.1	17.9%	5.5%	12.3%	2.7%	3.99	4.14	+0.3
2028	35	MLB CTX	TEX	48	0	50	211	36	13	6	0%	1.0	16.9%	6.1%	10.8%	3.0%	4.28	4.48	+0.0
2029	36	MLB CTX	TEX	43	0	45	190	30	13	6	0%	1.0	15.9%	6.7%	9.2%	3.4%	4.62	4.85	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		446	117	1054	4479	915	259	154	26%	2.4	20.4%	5.8%	14.7%	3.4%	4.29	3.99	+7.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		85	22	200	850	174	49	29	26%	2.4	20.4%	5.8%	14.7%	3.4%	4.29	3.99	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		379	199	1320	5568	1130	322	201	53%	3.5	20.3%	5.8%	14.5%	3.6%	4.18	4.10	+10.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	30	200	844	171	49	31	53%	3.5	20.3%	5.8%	14.5%	3.6%	4.18	4.10	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jakob Junis (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.84	20.5%	5.3%	2.6%	—	4.46	17.0%	10.9%	151	+0.62	—	—	—
Dillon Gee R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	31	SP-	3.85	18.0%	5.9%	2.8%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	380	68
Sam LeCure R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	32	SW	4.17	16.6%	6.5%	3.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.17	171	66
Edwin Jackson R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	33	SP-	5.02	18.7%	9.5%	4.2%	.278	5.25	16.9%	6.9%	252	+0.23	3.77	521	63
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	62
Joe Blanton R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	34	SW	3.45	22.4%	4.6%	3.0%	.272	3.70	23.5%	17.0%	124	+0.25	3.01	240	62
Scott Feldman R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	33	SU	3.92	16.6%	4.7%	3.0%	.301	4.58	19.7%	12.7%	111	+0.66	3.92	297	61
Casey Lawrence R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	33	SP-	4.08	20.0%	5.2%	3.7%	.284	5.01	15.6%	10.2%	440	+0.93	3.57	1,365	61
Jesse Chavez R 2017 · 4.89 FIP	33	SP-	4.89	20.3%	7.3%	4.7%	.303	4.02	22.5%	16.9%	190	-0.87	2.03	804	60
Tim Dillard R 2016 · 3.13 FIP	33	SU	3.13	22.6%	8.2%	1.7%	.358	4.14	13.7%	6.9%	250	+1.01	3.13	352	59
Tom Koehler R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	31	SP-	4.66	22.4%	9.0%	4.2%	.298	—	—	—	—	—	4.38	474	59
Toru Murata R 2016 · 3.63 FIP	31	SW	3.63	12.9%	5.7%	1.6%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	267	58
Jerome Williams R 2015 · 4.72 FIP	33	SP-	4.72	13.4%	5.6%	3.7%	.326	5.81	11.7%	5.6%	74	+1.09	4.72	195	57
Brad Peacock R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	33	SP-	4.70	21.0%	9.8%	3.9%	.327	3.82	23.9%	13.3%	60	-0.88	2.97	533	57
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	57
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	219	57
Roberto Hernandez R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	34	SP-	4.38	11.8%	6.7%	2.6%	.287	4.38	13.8%	6.8%	86	+0.00	4.38	171	57
Tommy Hunter R 2018 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	18.9%	5.2%	2.1%	.296	2.78	24.5%	18.6%	25	-0.52	2.78	316	56
Rob Wooten R 2018 · 3.19 FIP	33	SW	3.19	14.2%	1.7%	1.9%	.418	4.98	16.1%	12.5%	29	+1.79	3.19	191	56
Chris Young R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	36	SP-	4.69	16.6%	8.6%	3.5%	.209	6.33	21.1%	11.4%	119	+1.64	4.69	242	55
Steven Wright R 2018 · 3.87 FIP	33	SW	3.87	16.8%	9.8%	1.7%	.263	4.22	20.3%	5.1%	63	+0.35	3.58	439	55

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	53	18.0%	5.8%	1.12	4.12
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Brandon Kintzler ('21)	1.5	50	16.2%	6.3%	0.91	3.57
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Adam Cimber ('24)	1.6	52	18.3%	6.6%	0.75	3.75
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38