Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | 38 | 0 | 57 | 223 | 74 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 1.91 | 3.03 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | 38 | 0 | 57 | 223 | 74 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.2% | 9.9% | 23.3% | 0.4% | 1.91 | 1.88 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 68 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.3% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 3.77 | 4.02 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 68 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 1.9% | 3.77 | 3.42 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 60 | 258 | 64 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.80 | 4.20 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 60 | 258 | 64 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.27 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 37 | 1 | 59 | 264 | 66 | 35 | 5 | 3% | 1.6 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 4.88 | 4.37 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 37 | 1 | 59 | 264 | 66 | 35 | 5 | 3% | 1.6 | 25.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 1.9% | 4.88 | 3.74 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | 20 | 0 | 25 | 101 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 2.2% | 2.55 | 3.88 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | 20 | 0 | 25 | 101 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.7% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 2.0% | 2.55 | 3.38 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 51 | 212 | 59 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 7.0% | 16.5% | 0.9% | 4.03 | 2.48 | +1.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 51 | 212 | 59 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.8% | 7.5% | 20.3% | 2.4% | 4.03 | 3.00 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 56 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 81 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.7% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 1.8% | 3.84 | 3.11 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 56 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 81 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.5% | 10.1% | 21.4% | 1.9% | 3.84 | 2.80 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 30 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 3.03 | 3.97 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 30 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 3.03 | 3.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 12 | 54 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 24.3% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 8.07 | 6.03 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 256 | 0 | 200 | 912 | 221 | 119 | 51 | 0% | 0.8 | 24.3% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 8.07 | 6.03 | -1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 325 | 1 | 404 | 1710 | 395 | 198 | 32 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 1.8% | 3.74 | 3.63 | +8.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 0 | 200 | 846 | 195 | 98 | 16 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 1.8% | 3.74 | 3.63 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alberto Baldonado (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.63 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Phil Coke L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 76 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 73 |
| Zach Phillips L 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 73 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.19 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 256 | 72 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 5.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.55 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 5.4% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 113 | 71 |
| Josh Edgin L 2024 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 70 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.25 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .304 | 3.85 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 152 | -0.40 | 1.67 | 421 | 70 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.45 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.79 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.34 | 3.77 | 127 | 70 |
| Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 70 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.51 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .286 | 3.60 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 52 | -0.91 | 3.60 | 190 | 69 |
| Edward Paredes L 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 21.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 130 | 68 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 66 |
| Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 65 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .443 | 5.09 | 19.8% | 8.6% | 74 | +1.20 | 3.89 | 154 | 64 |
| Anthony Gose L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.88 | 27.0% | 13.1% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.79 | 22.3% | 7.5% | 71 | +1.91 | 3.88 | 207 | 64 |
| Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.96 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 245 | 63 |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.89 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .316 | 6.84 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 21 | +2.95 | 3.19 | 564 | 63 |
| Adam Loewen L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 63 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.87 | 15.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 159 | 62 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2024 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 137 | 62 |