Trevor Williams

P Texas Rangers

Age 35 RHP 6'3" / 231 lbs MLB peak 1.0 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	32	MIX2 levels	15	15	74	2.07	2.67	22.1%	6.6%	2.1	K 22.7% · BB 6.9% · FIP 2.69
2025	33	MLBWSH	17	17	83	6.21	4.02	17.4%	5.6%	0.9
2026	34	MIX6 levels	21	7	44	4.30	4.05	26.8%	7.2%	0.3	K 28.3% · BB 8.3% · FIP 3.46
2027PROJ	35	MLBTEX	12	12	75	4.17	4.33	19.7%	7.3%	0.5
2028PROJ	36	MLBTEX	11	11	67	4.62	4.83	18.7%	8.0%	0.2
2029PROJ	37	MLBTEX	10	10	58	5.01	5.25	17.6%	8.6%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%83

Whiff%67

xwOBA vs60

FB Velo10

CompsJesse Estrada (age 35) · Kenshin Kawakami (age 35) · Yohan Pino (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.17

FIP4.33

K%19.7%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%12.4%

Proj IP75

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.8

Whiff%

p6727.9%

p8328.3%

xwOBA vs

p600.302

SI (8%)

SL-0.8 (36%)

CH-3.0 (13%)

FB-9.4 (51%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	131	565	101	43	9	96%	5.2	14.6%	8.3%	6.3%	2.0%	3.85	3.99	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	131	565	101	43	9	96%	5.2	17.9%	7.6%	10.3%	1.6%	3.85	3.44	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	21	128	537	89	33	9	75%	4.6	14.6%	6.6%	8.0%	2.0%	2.95	3.78	+1.7
2016	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	21	128	537	89	33	9	75%	4.6	16.6%	6.1%	10.4%	1.7%	2.95	3.40	+2.3
2017	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	31	25	150	642	117	48	14	81%	4.8	18.2%	7.5%	10.7%	2.4%	4.07	3.80	+2.0
2017	25	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	31	25	150	642	117	48	14	81%	4.8	18.2%	7.5%	10.7%	2.2%	4.07	3.71	+2.2
2018	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	31	31	171	701	126	52	15	100%	5.5	18.0%	7.4%	10.6%	2.3%	3.11	3.79	+2.3
2018	26	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	31	31	171	701	126	52	15	100%	5.5	18.0%	7.4%	10.6%	2.1%	3.11	3.68	+2.5
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	149	650	118	42	27	100%	5.5	17.8%	6.4%	11.3%	4.6%	5.39	4.94	-0.1
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	149	650	118	42	27	100%	5.5	18.2%	6.5%	11.7%	4.2%	5.39	4.72	+0.3
2020	28	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	11	11	55	252	49	21	15	100%	5.0	19.4%	8.3%	11.1%	6.4%	6.18	6.05	-0.7
2020	28	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	11	11	55	252	49	21	15	100%	5.0	19.4%	8.3%	11.1%	6.0%	6.18	5.99	-0.7
2021	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	19	110	479	105	34	12	70%	4.1	21.5%	7.1%	14.4%	2.5%	3.85	3.57	+1.8
2021	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	19	110	479	105	34	12	70%	4.1	21.9%	7.1%	14.8%	2.5%	3.85	3.54	+1.8
2022	30	MLB MLE	New York Mets	30	9	90	372	84	22	12	30%	3.0	22.6%	5.9%	16.7%	3.2%	3.21	3.72	+0.9
2022	30	MLB RAW	New York Mets	30	9	90	372	84	22	12	30%	3.0	22.6%	5.9%	16.7%	3.2%	3.21	3.70	+0.9
2023	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	30	30	144	659	111	52	34	100%	4.8	16.8%	7.9%	9.0%	5.2%	5.55	5.51	-1.0
2023	31	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	30	30	144	659	111	52	34	100%	4.8	16.8%	7.9%	9.0%	5.2%	5.55	5.71	-1.3
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	74	289	64	19	3	100%	4.9	22.7%	6.9%	15.8%	1.2%	2.07	2.69	+2.1
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	74	289	64	19	3	100%	4.9	22.7%	6.9%	15.8%	1.2%	2.07	2.69	+2.1
2024	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	15	74	289	64	19	3	100%	4.9	22.1%	6.6%	15.6%	1.0%	2.07	2.67	+2.1
2025	33	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	17	17	83	373	65	21	11	100%	4.9	17.4%	5.6%	11.8%	2.9%	6.21	3.96	+0.9
2025	33	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	17	17	83	373	65	21	11	100%	4.9	17.4%	5.6%	11.8%	2.9%	6.21	3.96	+0.9
2025	33	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	17	17	83	373	65	21	11	100%	4.9	17.4%	5.6%	11.8%	2.9%	6.21	4.02	+0.9
2026	34	MIX MLE	6 levels	21	7	44	194	52	14	8	33%	2.1	28.3%	8.3%	20.0%	3.1%	4.30	3.46	+0.6
2026	34	MIX MLE	6 levels	21	7	44	194	52	14	8	33%	2.1	28.3%	8.3%	20.0%	3.1%	4.30	3.46	+0.6
2026	34	MIX RAW	6 levels	21	7	44	194	52	14	8	33%	2.1	26.8%	7.2%	19.6%	4.1%	4.30	4.05	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			234	179	1038	4481	859	321	150	76%	4.4	19.2%	7.2%	12.0%	3.3%	4.42	4.25	+7.9
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	35	MLB	TEX	12	12	75	317	62	23	9	100%	6.2	19.7%	7.3%	12.4%	2.9%	4.17	4.33	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	TEX	11	11	67	281	53	22	9	100%	6.1	18.7%	8.0%	10.7%	3.3%	4.49	4.70	+0.2
2029	37	MLB MLE	TEX	10	10	58	245	43	21	9	100%	5.8	17.6%	8.6%	9.0%	3.7%	4.86	5.10	-0.1
2028	36	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	67	283	53	22	10	100%	6.1	18.7%	8.0%	10.7%	3.5%	4.62	4.83	+0.2
2029	37	MLB CTX	TEX	10	10	58	245	43	21	10	100%	5.8	17.6%	8.6%	9.0%	3.9%	5.01	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		255	200	1162	5008	955	364	170	78%	4.6	19.1%	7.3%	11.8%	3.4%	4.46	4.27	+8.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		44	34	200	862	164	63	29	78%	4.6	19.1%	7.3%	11.8%	3.4%	4.46	4.27	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		293	236	1329	5713	1053	411	178	81%	4.5	18.4%	7.2%	11.2%	3.1%	4.17	4.16	+7.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	36	200	860	158	62	27	81%	4.5	18.4%	7.2%	11.2%	3.1%	4.17	4.16	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trevor Williams (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	19.7%	7.3%	2.9%	—	4.89	18.2%	9.9%	125	+0.56	—	—	—
Jesse Estrada R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SP-	4.34	14.4%	6.6%	2.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	257	58
Kenshin Kawakami R 2010 · 4.06 FIP	35	SP	4.06	15.1%	5.6%	2.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	244	58
Yohan Pino R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	33	SP-	5.33	15.2%	3.6%	5.6%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	193	54
Josh Lowey R 2019 · 3.45 FIP	34	SP	3.45	22.4%	6.8%	2.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	426	53
Juan Delgadillo R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	34	SP	4.47	10.9%	6.2%	2.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	143	52
Jose Oyervides R 2017 · 5.38 FIP	35	SP	5.38	18.0%	6.3%	5.5%	.254	5.66	16.3%	5.1%	115	+0.28	3.01	407	52
Jon Leicester R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	36	SP	3.76	12.3%	5.9%	1.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	51
David Buchanan R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	35	SP-	4.26	14.7%	6.5%	2.9%	.337	5.56	12.2%	4.1%	29	+1.30	3.88	560	49
Steve Sparks R 2000 · 3.78 FIP	35	SP-	3.78	11.9%	6.5%	1.6%	.283	4.37	11.6%	4.7%	528	+0.59	3.78	1,320	48
Jorge Martinez R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	34	SP	3.71	16.3%	5.7%	2.3%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	214	47
Mitch Talbot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	35	SP	5.01	13.2%	4.3%	4.5%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	395	47
Frankie De La Cruz R 2019 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP-	4.38	16.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	262	47
Angel Sánchez R 2024 · 3.77 FIP	34	SP	3.77	11.8%	5.0%	1.9%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	284	46
Leo Medrano R 2016 · 4.34 FIP	33	SP	4.34	11.0%	7.3%	2.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	222	46
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	44
Logan Duran R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	34	SP	3.77	15.3%	8.9%	1.5%	.299	3.66	15.5%	6.6%	29	-0.11	3.42	187	44
Merrill Kelly R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	35	SP	4.26	21.0%	6.3%	3.9%	.271	4.39	19.4%	11.5%	346	+0.13	3.60	1,170	42
Chris Smith R 2016 · 3.85 FIP	35	SP-	3.85	20.8%	8.9%	2.5%	.279	5.08	15.6%	8.1%	130	+1.23	3.79	477	42
Salvador Valdez R 2017 · 3.87 FIP	34	SP	3.87	9.4%	6.1%	1.4%	.328	4.30	17.1%	8.9%	38	+0.43	3.60	326	42
Jonathan Castellanos R 2017 · 4.91 FIP	35	SP	4.91	8.4%	9.2%	2.5%	.314	5.24	11.0%	2.0%	67	+0.33	3.40	394	40

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.2	95	19.1%	7.5%	1.29	4.43
Clyde Shoun ('35-'49, 8 WAR*)	6.4	107	19.3%*	7.4%*	1.24*	4.43*
Dan Schatzeder ('77-'91, 8 WAR*)	6.6	94	18.8%*	8.5%*	1.28*	4.25*
Carlos Villanueva ('16)	5.0	91	20.4%	7.6%	1.25	4.31
Phil Regan ('60-'72, 9 WAR*)	6.9	114	16.7%*	7.6%*	1.29*	4.36*
Jesse Chavez ('25)	5.7	82	21.4%	7.4%	1.32	4.27
Wade LeBlanc ('21)	4.7	72	16.9%	7.1%	1.45	4.54