Zack Weiss — OGILVIE

Zack Weiss P Memphis Redbirds

Age 34 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA4.87

FIP5.23

K%24.6%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%13.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4494.1

Whiff%

p6227.2%

p7025.9%

xwOBA vs

p340.330

CT+0.9

SL+0.9

FB-2.2

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	64	240	90	14	5	0%	1.2	27.1%	7.0%	20.1%	2.8%	1.98	3.27	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	64	240	90	14	5	0%	1.2	37.5%	5.8%	31.7%	2.1%	1.98	1.95	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	167	56	13	3	0%	1.2	25.2%	10.2%	15.0%	1.4%	2.63	3.05	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	41	167	56	13	3	0%	1.2	33.5%	7.8%	25.7%	1.8%	2.63	2.27	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	2	25	122	26	21	5	9%	1.1	15.6%	25.4%	-9.8%	5.4%	6.84	7.96	-1.0
2018	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	2	25	122	26	21	5	9%	1.1	21.3%	17.2%	4.1%	4.1%	6.84	6.14	-0.5
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	27	129	30	13	5	0%	1.7	19.4%	11.0%	8.4%	4.6%	7.24	5.36	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	27	129	30	13	5	0%	1.7	23.3%	10.1%	13.2%	3.9%	7.24	4.71	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	30	1	40	182	56	20	5	3%	1.3	27.1%	11.5%	15.5%	3.1%	4.31	3.99	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	30	1	40	182	56	20	5	3%	1.3	30.8%	11.0%	19.8%	2.7%	4.31	3.43	—
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	63	275	83	26	8	0%	1.2	27.3%	9.8%	17.5%	3.2%	4.26	3.78	+0.6
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	63	275	83	26	8	0%	1.2	30.2%	9.5%	20.7%	2.9%	4.26	3.35	+0.9
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	244	71	32	10	0%	1.2	25.2%	12.0%	13.1%	4.4%	4.88	4.89	-0.2
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	244	71	32	10	0%	1.2	25.2%	12.0%	13.1%	4.4%	4.88	4.89	-0.2
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	55	244	71	32	10	0%	1.2	29.1%	13.1%	16.0%	4.1%	4.88	4.62	-0.0
2024	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	1	29	134	34	13	3	5%	1.4	22.1%	8.2%	13.9%	2.6%	4.66	3.73	—
2024	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	1	29	134	34	13	3	5%	1.4	22.1%	8.2%	13.9%	2.6%	4.66	3.73	—
2024	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	1	29	134	34	13	3	5%	1.4	25.4%	9.7%	15.7%	2.2%	4.66	3.44	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	43	0	66	288	77	35	17	0%	1.5	22.2%	10.9%	11.3%	7.5%	5.43	6.71	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	43	0	66	288	77	35	17	0%	1.5	22.2%	10.9%	11.3%	7.5%	5.43	6.71	—
2025	33	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	43	0	66	288	77	35	17	0%	1.5	26.7%	12.2%	14.6%	5.9%	5.43	5.69	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			25	0	27	118	33	13	8	0%	1.1	28.0%	11.0%	16.9%	6.8%	4.61	5.92	-0.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	34	MLB	STL	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	24.6%	11.0%	13.6%	4.4%	4.87	5.23	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	STL	51	0	54	227	53	26	11	0%	1.1	23.5%	11.3%	12.2%	4.6%	5.20	5.48	-0.6
2028	36	MLB MLE	STL	45	0	48	201	45	24	10	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.8%	10.7%	4.9%	5.50	5.76	-0.6
2029	37	MLB MLE	STL	39	0	41	175	37	22	9	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.3%	9.1%	5.2%	5.82	6.09	-0.7
2027	35	MLB CTX	STL	3	0	3	13	3	1	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	11.3%	12.2%	4.6%	5.20	5.48	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	STL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.5%	11.8%	10.7%	4.9%	5.50	5.76	—
2029	37	MLB CTX	STL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.4%	12.3%	9.1%	5.2%	5.82	6.09	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		28	0	30	130	36	14	9	0%	1.1	27.5%	11.0%	16.5%	6.6%	4.67	5.78	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		184	0	200	862	238	92	59	0%	1.1	27.5%	11.0%	16.5%	6.6%	4.67	5.78	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		321	4	411	1781	431	199	72	1%	1.3	24.2%	11.2%	13.0%	4.0%	4.41	4.69	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	2	200	867	210	97	35	1%	1.3	24.2%	11.2%	13.0%	4.0%	4.41	4.69	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zack Weiss (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	24.6%	11.0%	4.4%	—	5.75	22.5%	10.8%	143	+0.52	—	—	—
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	88
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	81
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	79
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	78
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	76
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	76
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	4.12	186	75
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	75
Spencer Patton R 2022 · 6.26 FIP	34	SU	6.26	25.7%	13.0%	6.7%	.347	4.38	18.3%	8.6%	59	-1.88	2.79	239	75
AJ Ramos R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	34	SU	4.60	27.3%	10.7%	4.5%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.55	266	72
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	72
Pedro Strop R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	34	SU	4.05	27.5%	10.7%	3.5%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	277	71
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2019 · 6.14 FIP	34	SU	6.14	17.9%	14.2%	5.0%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	170	71
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	34	SW	4.07	23.7%	9.9%	3.1%	.253	5.11	25.0%	13.8%	32	+1.04	3.34	212	70
Blake Parker R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	34	SU	4.65	25.5%	8.6%	4.8%	.258	4.26	24.9%	15.4%	87	-0.39	2.52	339	70
Carlos Torres R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	34	SU	4.51	17.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.304	3.66	19.8%	11.6%	113	-0.85	2.89	326	70
Jason Motte R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	34	SU	4.73	22.0%	6.4%	4.9%	.306	5.16	16.3%	4.9%	41	+0.43	3.18	113	70
Chris Hatcher R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	18.0%	9.6%	4.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	176	69
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	68
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	51	23.1%	11.5%	1.84	5.30
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Michael Feliz ('21)	1.2	47	30.5%	9.8%	1.48	5.05
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63