Zack Weiss
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.06
FIP5.53
K%25.5%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p6227.2%
K%
p7025.9%
xwOBA vs
p340.330
CT+0.9
SL+0.9
FB-2.2
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 64 | 240 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.1% | 7.0% | 20.1% | 2.8% | 1.98 | 3.21 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 64 | 240 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 37.5% | 5.8% | 31.7% | 2.1% | 1.98 | 1.95 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 41 | 167 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 1.1% | 2.63 | 2.88 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 41 | 167 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.5% | 7.8% | 25.7% | 1.8% | 2.63 | 2.27 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 2 | 25 | 122 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 9% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 25.4% | -9.8% | 5.5% | 6.84 | 8.00 | -1.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 2 | 25 | 122 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 9% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 17.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.84 | 6.14 | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 27 | 129 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 7.24 | 5.41 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 27 | 129 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 7.24 | 4.71 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 30 | 1 | 40 | 182 | 56 | 20 | 5 | 3% | 1.3 | 27.1% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 3.2% | 4.31 | 4.04 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 30 | 1 | 40 | 182 | 56 | 20 | 5 | 3% | 1.3 | 30.8% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 3.43 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 63 | 275 | 83 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.3% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 3.3% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 63 | 275 | 83 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.2% | 9.5% | 20.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.35 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 71 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 4.88 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 71 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.1% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 4.1% | 4.88 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 1 | 29 | 134 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 5% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 3.74 | — |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 1 | 29 | 134 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 5% | 1.4 | 25.4% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 2.2% | 4.66 | 3.44 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 43 | 0 | 66 | 288 | 77 | 35 | 17 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.43 | 7.56 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 43 | 0 | 66 | 288 | 77 | 35 | 17 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.7% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 5.9% | 5.43 | 5.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | STL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 252 | 64 | 32 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 5.06 | 5.53 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | STL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 55 | 29 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 5.42 | 5.74 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | STL | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 47 | 26 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 5.73 | 6.00 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | STL | 39 | 0 | 41 | 175 | 39 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.05 | 6.32 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | STL | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 5.42 | 5.74 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 5.73 | 6.00 | — |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.05 | 6.32 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 28 | 0 | 30 | 130 | 36 | 15 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 6.6% | 4.69 | 5.81 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 0 | 200 | 862 | 238 | 99 | 59 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 6.6% | 4.69 | 5.81 | -1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 321 | 4 | 411 | 1781 | 439 | 210 | 75 | 1% | 1.3 | 24.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 4.41 | 4.83 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 2 | 200 | 867 | 214 | 102 | 37 | 1% | 1.3 | 24.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 4.41 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zack Weiss (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.53 | 25.5% | 12.5% | 4.8% | — | 5.99 | 23.4% | 10.3% | 143 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 86 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 79 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 6.43 FIP | 34 | SU | 6.43 | 25.7% | 13.0% | 7.0% | .347 | 4.44 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 59 | -1.99 | 2.74 | 239 | 77 |
| Austin Adams R 2024 · 6.16 FIP | 32 | SU | 6.16 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 162 | 77 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 72 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.88 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 5.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | 266 | 72 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.74 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | .258 | 4.22 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.52 | 2.61 | 339 | 72 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 72 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.83 | 17.9% | 14.2% | 4.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 170 | 72 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.59 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -1.08 | 2.78 | 326 | 70 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 69 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 69 |
| Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.37 | 22.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .306 | 5.16 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 41 | +0.79 | 3.11 | 113 | 66 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.05 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .224 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 22 | -0.66 | 3.02 | 358 | 66 |
| Fernando Salas R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.70 | 20.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 288 | 65 |
| Steve Cishek R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.70 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 4.2% | .288 | 3.68 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 135 | -1.02 | 2.80 | 453 | 64 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.10 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 290 | 63 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.51 | 18.8% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .289 | 3.82 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 57 | -0.69 | 3.65 | 429 | 63 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.46 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 148 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 51 | 24.0% | 12.9% | 1.95 | 5.52 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Caleb Smith ('22) | 4 | 104 | 25.1% | 11.0% | 1.67 | 4.47 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Chasen Shreve ('23) | 8 | 43 | 25.2% | 11.0% | 1.61 | 4.06 |