Zack Weiss
P
Memphis Redbirds
+0.0
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
AAA
ERA4.54
FIP5.43
xFIP4.38
SIERA3.95
K%23.7%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%12.4%
IP47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD5050
K†6060
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p6227.2%
K%
p7025.9%
xwOBA vs
p340.330
CT+0.9
SL+0.9
FB-2.2
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 54 | 0 | 64 | 240 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 27.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.98 | 3.28 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 34 | 0 | 41 | 167 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 2.63 | 3.13 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 22 | 2 | 25 | 122 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 15.6% | 25.4% | 5.4% | 6.84 | 7.95 | -0.9 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 16 | 0 | 27 | 129 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 7.24 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 30 | 1 | 40 | 182 | 56 | 20 | 5 | 27.1% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 3.99 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 55 | 0 | 63 | 275 | 83 | 26 | 8 | 27.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.26 | 3.74 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 46 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 71 | 32 | 10 | 26.3% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 4.88 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 21 | 1 | 29 | 134 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 3.78 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 43 | 0 | 66 | 288 | 77 | 35 | 17 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 5.43 | 6.93 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | STL | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 50 | 23 | 9 | 25.5% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 4.48 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | STL | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 46 | 22 | 8 | 24.6% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 4.95 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | STL | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 41 | 21 | 8 | 23.7% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 5.20 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 321 | 4 | 411 | 1781 | 439 | 210 | 73 | 24.7% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 4.41 | 4.75 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 2 | 200 | 867 | 214 | 102 | 36 | 24.7% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 4.41 | 4.75 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zack Weiss (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 25.5% | 11.8% | 4.5% | — | 5.37 | 24.2% | 12.4% | 85 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 82 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 79 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 79 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 6.40 FIP | 34 | SU | 6.40 | 25.7% | 13.0% | 7.0% | .347 | 4.41 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 59 | -1.99 | 2.83 | 239 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 76 |
| Austin Adams R 2024 · 5.85 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.85 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 5.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 162 | 74 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 74 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 74 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 74 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 6.11 FIP | 34 | SU | 6.11 | 17.9% | 14.2% | 5.0% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 170 | 71 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.42 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | .258 | 4.20 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.22 | 2.41 | 339 | 71 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 71 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.41 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 176 | 71 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.53 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 4.3% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | 266 | 70 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.06 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | .318 | 4.34 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 104 | -0.72 | 3.77 | 264 | 70 |
| Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.89 | 22.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | .306 | 5.24 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 41 | +0.35 | 3.06 | 113 | 70 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.39 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.11 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.28 | 4.11 | 186 | 70 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 70 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.51 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 3.66 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -0.85 | 2.89 | 326 | 68 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.