Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 26 | 26 | 168 | 702 | 95 | 40 | 14 | 100% | 6.5 | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.96 | 5.14 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 26 | 26 | 168 | 702 | 95 | 40 | 14 | 100% | 6.5 | 13.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 3.96 | 3.77 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 37 | 9 | 77 | 344 | 49 | 26 | 9 | 24% | 2.1 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.17 | 4.63 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 37 | 9 | 77 | 344 | 49 | 26 | 9 | 24% | 2.1 | 14.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 5.17 | 4.37 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 33 | 15 | 109 | 456 | 79 | 21 | 15 | 45% | 3.3 | 14.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.14 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 33 | 15 | 109 | 456 | 79 | 21 | 15 | 45% | 3.3 | 17.3% | 4.6% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.28 | 4.01 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 14 | 100 | 406 | 65 | 16 | 5 | 78% | 5.6 | 13.6% | 3.8% | 9.9% | 1.7% | 2.69 | 3.38 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 14 | 100 | 406 | 65 | 16 | 5 | 78% | 5.6 | 16.0% | 3.9% | 12.1% | 1.2% | 2.69 | 2.93 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 6 | 85 | 357 | 61 | 21 | 14 | 22% | 3.2 | 15.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 4.22 | 4.83 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 6 | 85 | 357 | 61 | 21 | 14 | 22% | 3.2 | 17.1% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 4.22 | 4.54 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 24 | 23 | 116 | 503 | 78 | 27 | 20 | 96% | 4.8 | 13.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 5.45 | 4.53 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 24 | 23 | 116 | 503 | 78 | 27 | 20 | 96% | 4.8 | 15.5% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 5.45 | 4.70 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 11 | 11 | 48 | 242 | 32 | 22 | 11 | 100% | 4.4 | 11.6% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 8.57 | 5.41 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 11 | 11 | 48 | 242 | 32 | 22 | 11 | 100% | 4.4 | 13.2% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.57 | 6.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 26 | 108 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.4 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 3 | 3 | 23 | 97 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 7.6 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.70 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.70 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 14 | 69 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 11.03 | 4.97 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 106 | 3 | 200 | 1020 | 177 | 74 | 44 | 3% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 11.03 | 4.97 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 176 | 104 | 704 | 3010 | 384 | 186 | 97 | 59% | 4.0 | 12.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.58 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 30 | 200 | 855 | 109 | 53 | 28 | 59% | 4.0 | 12.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Konner Wade (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.83 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 23 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.60 | 17.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 605 | 64 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 4.19 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 104 | -0.84 | 3.79 | 264 | 63 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.26 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.22 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | -0.04 | 4.22 | 171 | 61 |
| Sam LeCure R 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.27 | 16.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 171 | 61 |
| Paolo Espino R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.32 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.85 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 260 | +0.53 | 3.45 | 933 | 58 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2024 · 3.64 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.64 | 16.2% | 10.5% | 1.1% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 139 | 58 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.95 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 132 | 58 |
| Chris Young R 2028 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .209 | 6.29 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.62 | 4.67 | 242 | 56 |
| Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.42 | 16.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .331 | 5.73 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 99 | +1.31 | 2.09 | 1,046 | 56 |
| Yohan Pino R 2025 · 5.48 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.48 | 15.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 133 | 54 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.65 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 53 |
| Thad Weber R 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.86 | 13.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | .398 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55 | 363 | 53 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.05 | 18.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | .280 | 4.16 | 15.8% | 7.7% | 134 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 393 | 52 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2025 · 5.15 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.15 | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 258 | 52 |
| Matt Garza R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 51 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2024 · 4.95 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.95 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 104 | 51 |
| Jason Berken R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.31 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 219 | 51 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 50 |
| Steven Wright R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.84 | 16.8% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .263 | 4.15 | 20.3% | 5.1% | 63 | +0.31 | 3.54 | 439 | 50 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.56 | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 143 | 49 |