Kyle Hendricks

PosP

B/TR/R

Born1989-12-07

Age (2026)36

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	32	32	180	739	167	42	17	100%	5.6	22.6%	5.7%	16.9%	2.4%	3.95	3.22	+3.7
2015	25	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	32	32	180	739	167	42	17	100%	5.6	22.6%	5.7%	16.9%	2.3%	3.95	3.17	+3.9
2016	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	31	30	190	745	170	41	15	97%	6.1	22.8%	5.5%	17.3%	2.1%	2.13	3.02	+4.5
2016	26	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	31	30	190	745	170	41	15	97%	6.1	22.8%	5.5%	17.3%	2.0%	2.13	2.98	+4.6
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	148	598	128	40	17	100%	5.7	21.6%	6.8%	14.7%	3.1%	2.92	3.85	+1.9
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	148	598	128	40	17	100%	5.7	21.4%	6.7%	14.7%	2.8%	2.92	3.67	+2.2
2018	28	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	33	33	199	812	161	40	22	100%	6.0	19.8%	4.9%	14.9%	2.8%	3.44	3.59	+3.2
2018	28	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	33	33	199	812	161	40	22	100%	6.0	19.8%	4.9%	14.9%	2.7%	3.44	3.52	+3.4
2019	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	30	30	177	730	150	31	19	100%	5.9	20.5%	4.2%	16.3%	2.7%	3.46	3.39	+3.3
2019	29	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	30	30	177	730	150	31	19	100%	5.9	20.5%	4.2%	16.3%	2.6%	3.46	3.33	+3.4
2020	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	12	12	81	315	64	7	10	100%	6.8	20.3%	2.2%	18.1%	3.3%	2.88	3.48	+1.4
2020	30	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	12	12	81	315	64	7	10	100%	6.8	20.3%	2.2%	18.1%	3.2%	2.88	3.38	+1.5
2021	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	32	32	181	785	131	41	31	100%	5.7	16.7%	5.2%	11.5%	4.1%	4.77	4.60	+0.6
2021	31	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	32	32	181	785	131	41	31	100%	5.7	16.7%	5.2%	11.5%	3.9%	4.77	4.56	+0.7
2022	32	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	16	16	84	356	66	24	15	100%	5.3	18.5%	6.7%	11.8%	4.4%	4.80	4.79	+0.1
2022	32	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	16	16	84	356	66	24	15	100%	5.3	18.5%	6.7%	11.8%	4.2%	4.80	4.70	+0.2
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	29	157	663	113	33	15	100%	5.4	16.5%	4.9%	11.6%	2.4%	4.00	3.63	+2.4
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	29	157	663	113	33	15	100%	5.4	16.5%	4.9%	11.6%	2.4%	4.00	3.63	+2.4
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	29	157	663	113	33	15	100%	5.4	17.0%	5.0%	12.1%	2.3%	4.00	3.53	+2.6
2024	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	26	140	608	100	46	21	84%	4.5	15.3%	7.6%	7.8%	3.8%	5.72	4.88	+0.0
2024	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	26	140	608	100	46	21	84%	4.5	15.3%	7.6%	7.8%	3.8%	5.72	4.88	+0.0
2024	34	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	26	140	608	100	46	21	84%	4.5	16.4%	7.6%	8.9%	3.5%	5.72	4.61	+0.5
2025	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	31	31	165	695	114	40	25	100%	5.3	16.4%	5.8%	10.6%	3.5%	4.76	4.38	+1.0
2025	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	31	31	165	695	114	40	25	100%	5.3	16.4%	5.8%	10.6%	3.5%	4.76	4.38	+1.0
2025	35	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	31	31	165	695	114	40	25	100%	5.3	16.4%	5.8%	10.6%	3.6%	4.76	4.42	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			294	288	1665	6892	1326	375	205	98%	5.7	19.2%	5.4%	13.8%	3.0%	3.85	3.78	+22.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	LAA	2	2	11	46	6	3	2	100%	5.5	13.9%	6.4%	7.4%	3.4%	4.70	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	LAA	19	19	113	478	61	34	18	100%	6.0	12.8%	7.1%	5.7%	3.8%	5.12	5.39	-0.6
2028	38	MLB MLE	LAA	16	16	97	411	48	32	18	100%	6.1	11.6%	7.8%	3.8%	4.3%	5.54	5.83	-1.0
2027	37	MLB CTX	LAA	19	19	113	477	61	34	19	100%	5.9	12.8%	7.1%	5.7%	3.9%	5.16	5.43	-0.6
2028	38	MLB CTX	LAA	16	16	97	410	48	32	18	100%	6.1	11.6%	7.8%	3.8%	4.4%	5.59	5.88	-1.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		329	323	1875	7781	1435	441	242	98%	5.7	18.4%	5.7%	12.8%	3.1%	4.02	3.96	+21.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	34	200	830	153	47	26	98%	5.7	18.4%	5.7%	12.8%	3.1%	4.02	3.96	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		303	297	1703	7046	1355	385	216	98%	5.6	19.2%	5.5%	13.8%	3.1%	3.85	3.85	+20.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		36	35	200	828	159	45	25	98%	5.6	19.2%	5.5%	13.8%	3.1%	3.85	3.85	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Hendricks (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	13.9%	6.4%	3.4%	—	5.59	12.2%	4.8%	211	+0.60	—	—	—
James Shields R 2018 · 4.85 FIP	36	SP	4.85	17.7%	9.0%	3.8%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	720	67
Ervin Santana R 2019 · 5.43 FIP	36	SP	5.43	12.4%	8.4%	4.2%	.309	4.40	18.8%	11.2%	65	-1.03	3.67	720	62
Colby Lewis R 2016 · 4.67 FIP	36	SP	4.67	15.5%	5.9%	3.9%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	321	62
Scott Feldman R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	34	SP	4.58	19.7%	7.0%	4.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	297	56
Roberto Hernandez R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP	4.38	13.8%	7.0%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.38	171	54
Aaron Harang R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	37	SP	4.47	14.4%	6.4%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	172	53
Aníbal Sánchez R 2020 · 4.91 FIP	36	SP	4.91	17.6%	6.5%	4.5%	.337	5.13	17.0%	5.7%	82	+0.22	3.49	869	50
Dan Haren R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	34	SP	4.54	17.2%	4.7%	4.2%	.251	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	187	50
Shaun Marcum R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	33	SP	4.04	17.8%	6.0%	3.1%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	123	50
Josh Lindblom R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	35	SP	5.07	20.8%	8.8%	4.8%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	348	48
Brandon McCarthy R 2018 · 4.69 FIP	35	SP	4.69	19.2%	6.2%	4.4%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	248	48
Jeremy Guthrie R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	36	SP-	5.44	12.7%	6.5%	4.7%	.309	4.85	11.6%	3.0%	87	-0.59	4.85	235	46
Chris Smith R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	36	SP-	5.08	15.6%	7.5%	4.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	413	45
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	44
Jake Peavy R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	35	SP-	4.35	19.6%	6.7%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	262	43
Adam Wainwright R 2018 · 4.05 FIP	36	SP	4.05	22.1%	9.4%	3.0%	.303	3.83	20.7%	14.3%	444	-0.22	2.03	1,127	42
Yoanner Negrin R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	35	SP	3.87	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	485	42
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	42
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	36	SP-	4.20	15.8%	5.6%	3.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	567	42
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	428	41

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	113	12.9%	7.0%	1.47	5.08
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Daniel Mengden ('19)	1.5	73	17.3%	7.7%	1.24	4.68
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44

Kyle Hendricks

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps