Kyle Hendricks
PosP
B/TR/R
Born1989-12-07
Age (2026)36
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 32 | 32 | 180 | 739 | 167 | 42 | 17 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.6% | 5.7% | 16.9% | 2.2% | 3.95 | 3.14 | +4.8 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 32 | 32 | 180 | 739 | 167 | 42 | 17 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.6% | 5.7% | 16.9% | 2.3% | 3.95 | 3.17 | +4.7 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 31 | 30 | 190 | 745 | 170 | 41 | 15 | 97% | 6.1 | 22.8% | 5.5% | 17.3% | 2.0% | 2.13 | 2.95 | +5.4 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 31 | 30 | 190 | 745 | 170 | 41 | 15 | 97% | 6.1 | 22.8% | 5.5% | 17.3% | 2.0% | 2.13 | 2.98 | +5.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 148 | 598 | 128 | 40 | 17 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.6% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 2.92 | 3.74 | +2.9 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 148 | 598 | 128 | 40 | 17 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.4% | 6.7% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 2.92 | 3.67 | +3.0 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 33 | 33 | 199 | 812 | 161 | 40 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 14.9% | 2.6% | 3.44 | 3.50 | +4.4 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 33 | 33 | 199 | 812 | 161 | 40 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 14.9% | 2.7% | 3.44 | 3.52 | +4.4 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 30 | 30 | 177 | 730 | 150 | 31 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.5% | 4.2% | 16.3% | 2.5% | 3.46 | 3.30 | +4.4 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 30 | 30 | 177 | 730 | 150 | 31 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.5% | 4.2% | 16.3% | 2.6% | 3.46 | 3.33 | +4.3 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 12 | 12 | 81 | 315 | 64 | 7 | 10 | 100% | 6.8 | 20.3% | 2.2% | 18.1% | 3.1% | 2.88 | 3.37 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 12 | 12 | 81 | 315 | 64 | 7 | 10 | 100% | 6.8 | 20.3% | 2.2% | 18.1% | 3.2% | 2.88 | 3.38 | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 32 | 32 | 181 | 785 | 131 | 41 | 31 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.7% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 4.77 | 4.47 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 32 | 32 | 181 | 785 | 131 | 41 | 31 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.7% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 4.77 | 4.56 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 16 | 16 | 84 | 356 | 66 | 24 | 15 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.5% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 4.80 | 4.64 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 16 | 16 | 84 | 356 | 66 | 24 | 15 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.5% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 4.80 | 4.70 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 157 | 663 | 113 | 33 | 15 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.7% | 5.0% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 4.00 | 3.57 | +3.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 157 | 663 | 113 | 33 | 15 | 100% | 5.4 | 17.0% | 5.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | 4.00 | 3.53 | +3.4 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 26 | 140 | 608 | 100 | 46 | 21 | 84% | 4.5 | 15.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 5.72 | 4.75 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 26 | 140 | 608 | 100 | 46 | 21 | 84% | 4.5 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 5.72 | 4.61 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 31 | 31 | 165 | 695 | 114 | 40 | 25 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.4% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 4.76 | 4.49 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 31 | 31 | 165 | 695 | 114 | 40 | 25 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.4% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 4.76 | 4.42 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 22 | 130 | 548 | 76 | 35 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 5.02 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 113 | 478 | 61 | 34 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 12.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.14 | 5.42 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 16 | 97 | 411 | 48 | 32 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.57 | 5.85 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 84 | 354 | 37 | 30 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 10.5% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 6.00 | 6.28 | -1.2 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 113 | 477 | 61 | 34 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.10 | 5.38 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 16 | 97 | 410 | 48 | 32 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.53 | 5.81 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 84 | 355 | 37 | 30 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 10.5% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.95 | 6.23 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 343 | 337 | 1959 | 8135 | 1472 | 471 | 257 | 98% | 5.7 | 18.1% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.10 | 4.04 | +31.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 34 | 200 | 830 | 150 | 48 | 26 | 98% | 5.7 | 18.1% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.10 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 303 | 297 | 1703 | 7046 | 1356 | 386 | 206 | 98% | 5.6 | 19.2% | 5.5% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 3.85 | 3.78 | +32.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 35 | 200 | 828 | 159 | 45 | 24 | 98% | 5.6 | 19.2% | 5.5% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 3.85 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Hendricks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.02 | 13.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | — | 5.81 | 11.8% | 4.0% | 294 | +0.79 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Harang R 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 53 |
| Dan Haren R 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.40 | 17.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 187 | 50 |
| Shaun Marcum R 2023 · 3.94 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.94 | 17.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 123 | 49 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 46 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.22 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 171 | 46 |
| Colby Lewis R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.70 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 321 | 46 |
| James Shields R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.81 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 720 | 44 |
| Chris Smith R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.11 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 413 | 43 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.16 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 393 | 43 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 35 | SP | 5.22 | 20.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 348 | 43 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.31 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 485 | 42 |
| Scott Feldman R 2024 · 4.64 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.64 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 297 | 42 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2028 · 4.41 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.41 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.0% | .291 | 4.33 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.08 | 3.92 | 375 | 42 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 240 | 41 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 450 | 41 |
| Walter Silva R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.95 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .311 | 3.96 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | +0.01 | 3.68 | 428 | 41 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.46 | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | .309 | 4.38 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 65 | -1.08 | 3.66 | 720 | 41 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | .309 | 5.53 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 59 | +0.55 | 4.98 | 211 | 40 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 40 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 35 | SP | 5.00 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .314 | 5.02 | 11.0% | 2.0% | 67 | +0.02 | 3.56 | 394 | 39 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 106 | 12.4% | 7.3% | 1.55 | 5.28 |
| Matt Cain ('17) | 3 | 91 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 1.51 | 5.58 |
| Jered Weaver ('17) | 3 | 126 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.83 | 5.15 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Chi Chi González ('22) | 4 | 64 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.41 | 5.44 |
| Doug Fister ('18) | 4 | 110 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 1.19 | 4.56 |
| Homer Bailey ('19) | 4 | 96 | 18.5% | 7.8% | 1.34 | 5.56 |