Adam Wainwright

PosP

B/TR/R

Born1981-08-30

Age (2026)44

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	7	4	28	111	20	4	0	57%	4.0	18.0%	3.6%	14.4%	0.0%	1.61	2.03	+1.0
2015	33	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	7	4	28	111	20	4	0	57%	4.0	18.0%	3.6%	14.4%	0.0%	1.61	2.10	+1.0
2016	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	33	33	199	847	161	55	22	100%	6.0	19.0%	6.5%	12.5%	2.8%	4.62	3.85	+2.5
2016	34	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	33	33	199	847	161	55	22	100%	6.0	19.0%	6.5%	12.5%	2.6%	4.62	3.75	+2.8
2017	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	24	23	123	546	96	41	14	96%	5.1	17.6%	7.5%	10.1%	2.8%	5.11	4.08	+1.2
2017	35	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	24	23	123	546	96	41	14	96%	5.1	17.6%	7.5%	10.1%	2.6%	5.11	4.02	+1.3
2018	36	MIX MLE	4 levels	15	15	62	262	65	21	5	100%	4.2	22.1%	9.4%	12.7%	3.0%	2.89	4.05	+0.6
2018	36	MIX RAW	4 levels	15	15	62	262	65	21	5	100%	4.2	24.8%	8.0%	16.8%	1.9%	2.89	3.07	+1.4
2019	37	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	31	31	172	745	153	57	22	100%	5.5	20.5%	7.7%	12.9%	3.2%	4.19	4.08	+1.7
2019	37	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	31	31	172	745	153	57	22	100%	5.5	20.5%	7.7%	12.9%	3.0%	4.19	3.98	+1.9
2020	38	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	10	10	66	262	54	15	9	100%	6.6	20.6%	5.7%	14.9%	3.7%	3.15	4.11	+0.6
2020	38	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	10	10	66	262	54	15	9	100%	6.6	20.6%	5.7%	14.9%	3.4%	3.15	3.92	+0.8
2021	39	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	206	828	174	47	21	100%	6.4	21.0%	5.7%	15.3%	2.7%	3.05	3.54	+3.4
2021	39	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	206	828	174	47	21	100%	6.4	21.0%	5.7%	15.3%	2.5%	3.05	3.42	+3.8
2022	40	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	192	803	143	53	16	100%	6.0	17.8%	6.6%	11.2%	2.1%	3.71	3.61	+3.0
2022	40	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	192	803	143	53	16	100%	6.0	17.8%	6.6%	11.2%	2.0%	3.71	3.52	+3.2
2023	41	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	24	114	542	68	43	22	100%	4.8	11.4%	8.5%	2.9%	4.4%	7.26	5.65	-1.0
2023	41	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	24	114	542	68	43	22	100%	4.8	11.4%	8.5%	2.9%	4.4%	7.26	5.65	-1.0
2023	41	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	24	114	542	68	43	22	100%	4.8	12.5%	7.9%	4.6%	4.1%	7.26	5.55	-0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			198	194	1127	4807	896	330	129	98%	5.7	18.6%	6.9%	11.8%	2.7%	4.25	3.88	+13.8
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	44	MLB	STL	1	1	6	25	4	2	1	100%	6.0	16.4%	8.9%	7.5%	3.3%	5.11	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	45	MLB MLE	STL	10	10	59	250	38	24	9	100%	5.9	15.3%	9.6%	5.7%	3.8%	5.33	5.47	-0.4
2027	45	MLB CTX	STL	10	10	59	249	38	24	9	100%	5.9	15.3%	9.6%	5.7%	3.5%	5.19	5.33	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		208	204	1186	5057	934	354	138	98%	5.7	18.5%	7.0%	11.5%	2.7%	4.30	3.92	+13.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	34	200	853	158	60	23	98%	5.7	18.5%	7.0%	11.5%	2.7%	4.30	3.92	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		208	204	1162	4946	920	343	144	98%	5.6	18.6%	6.9%	11.7%	2.9%	4.19	4.00	+13.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		36	35	200	852	158	59	25	98%	5.6	18.6%	6.9%	11.7%	2.9%	4.19	4.00	+2.3

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Wainwright (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	16.4%	8.9%	3.3%	—	5.47	15.3%	5.7%	59	+0.43	—	—	—
Francisco Campos R 2017 · 4.06 FIP	44	SP	4.06	12.0%	6.0%	2.2%	.289	6.02	9.8%	1.2%	40	+1.96	4.06	332	59
Bartolo Colon R 2017 · 4.98 FIP	44	SP	4.98	13.7%	5.4%	4.3%	.331	5.18	12.9%	9.1%	146	+0.20	3.67	676	50
R.A. Dickey R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	42	SP	4.44	16.7%	7.9%	3.2%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	574	42

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	64	15.9%	9.2%	1.36	5.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50

Adam Wainwright

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps