Adam Wainwright
PosP
B/TR/R
Born1981-08-30
Age (2026)44
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 33 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 7 | 4 | 28 | 111 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 18.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 1.61 | 2.03 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 34 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 33 | 199 | 847 | 161 | 55 | 22 | 19.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 4.62 | 3.74 | +3.5 |
| 2017 | 35 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 24 | 23 | 123 | 546 | 96 | 41 | 14 | 17.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 5.11 | 4.10 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 36 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 15 | 15 | 62 | 262 | 65 | 21 | 5 | 22.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 2.89 | 4.04 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 37 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 31 | 172 | 745 | 153 | 57 | 22 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 4.19 | 4.18 | +2.2 |
| 2020 | 38 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 10 | 10 | 66 | 262 | 54 | 15 | 9 | 20.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.15 | 3.99 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 39 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 206 | 828 | 174 | 47 | 21 | 21.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.05 | 3.56 | +4.1 |
| 2022 | 40 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 192 | 803 | 143 | 53 | 16 | 17.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 3.71 | 3.47 | +4.0 |
| 2023 | 41 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 24 | 24 | 114 | 542 | 68 | 43 | 22 | 11.4% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 7.26 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 44 | MLB | STL | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 42 | 26 | 9 | 14.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 5.89 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 45 | MLB | STL | 59 | — | 59 | 249 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 13.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 5.58 | 5.37 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 208 | 204 | 1162 | 4946 | 920 | 343 | 140 | 18.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 3.95 | +17.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 35 | 200 | 852 | 158 | 59 | 24 | 18.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 3.95 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adam Wainwright (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.18 | 14.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | — | 5.37 | 13.4% | 4.2% | 59 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Rafael Diaz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 44 | SW | 4.05 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .301 | 3.16 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 152 | -0.89 | 3.06 | 215 | 66 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 44 | SP | 4.81 | 13.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | .331 | 5.06 | 12.9% | 9.1% | 146 | +0.25 | 3.68 | 676 | 9 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 42 | SP | 4.51 | 16.7% | 7.9% | 3.3% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 574 | 0 |