Giancarlo Stanton

RF New York Yankees

Age 37 R/R 6'5" / 245 lbs MLB HR +14% Svc 16.686 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

MLB40-MANExtFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	34	MLBNYY	459	.233/.300/.475	27	0	108	1.0
2025	35	MLBNYY	281	.273/.350/.594	24	0	148	1.6
2026	36	MLBNYY	96	.256/.302/.422	3	1	101	0.1
2027PROJ	37	MLBNYY	113	.257/.323/.535	8	1	131	0.5
2028PROJ	38	MLBNYY	80	.244/.308/.501	5	0	118	-0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.7 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractCONFIRMED

Control thru2027Service16.686First FA2028Options1

2027Ext$25M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Barrel%90

Avg EV90

Bat Spd90

xwOBA87

Speed10

CompsNelson Cruz (age 37) · Edwin Encarnación (age 37) · Tony Clark (age 36)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 133131vR 124

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .323 / .535

PA113

HR8

K%30

BB%8

BABIP300

ISO284

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT

xAVG

370.241

POWER

Barrel%

9020.9

Avg EV

9094.5

Bat Spd

9079.5

SPEED

Sprint

1023.8

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 836 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

248

588

—

wRC+

111

133

▶▶R

wOBA

333

364

▶R

ISO

209

281

▶▶R

BABIP

306

—

29.4%

33.2%

◀L

BB%

9.3%

7.7%

◀◀L

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2010

Service 16.686 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext	$25M	+0.3	$1M	-$24M
Totals		$25M		$1M	-$24M

Options · projected decision
2028	CLUB OPT	$25.0M / $10.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	17	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	28	26	7	2	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	269	321	346	668	77	350	21	4	304	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	540	468	137	26	3	39	58	153	11	4	2	293	384	611	995	318	351	28	11	427	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	341	299	69	15	2	16	31	99	6	1	1	231	315	455	770	224	280	29	9	335	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	210	180	53	9	3	12	28	45	1	2	2	294	392	578	970	283	331	21	13	419	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	396	359	93	21	1	22	34	123	2	5	2	259	327	507	834	248	330	31	9	363	135	+16	+0	+5	-7	+9	2.4
2010	20	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	240	192	60	13	2	21	44	53	2	1	0	312	445	729	1.175	417	325	22	18	490	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	601	516	135	30	5	34	70	166	9	5	5	262	360	537	896	275	314	28	12	387	153	+38	-1	-4	-6	+13	4.1
2012	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	501	449	130	30	1	37	46	143	5	6	2	290	362	608	970	318	344	29	9	417	172	+43	+0	-1	-6	+11	4.9
2012	22	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	16	5	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	312	312	750	1.062	438	231	6	0	453	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	504	425	106	26	0	24	74	140	4	1	0	249	366	480	846	231	313	28	15	374	143	+26	+0	-10	-6	+11	2.1
2013	23	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	17	15	0	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0		118		118			29	12	82	-72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	638	539	155	31	1	37	94	170	3	13	1	288	396	555	951	267	353	27	15	414	158	+44	+2	-1	-7	+14	5.4
2015	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	318	279	74	12	1	27	34	95	2	4	2	265	349	606	955	341	294	30	11	406	163	+24	+0	+2	-3	+7	2.9
2016	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	470	413	99	20	1	27	50	140	4	0	0	240	327	489	816	249	290	30	11	356	131	+17	+0	-2	-5	+10	2.1
2017	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	692	597	168	32	0	59	85	163	7	2	2	281	377	631	1.009	350	288	24	12	431	180	+66	-0	-4	-7	+15	7.0
2018	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	705	617	164	34	1	38	70	211	8	5	0	266	348	509	857	243	333	30	10	371	129	+25	+1	+0	-8	+15	3.5
2019	29	MLB	New York Yankees	—	72	59	17	3	0	3	12	24	0	0	0	288	408	492	900	203	424	33	17	395	150	+4	+0	-1	-1	+2	0.4
2020	30	MLB	New York Yankees	—	94	76	19	7	0	4	15	27	2	1	1	250	383	500	883	250	333	29	16	388	141	+5	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.6
2021	31	MLB	New York Yankees	—	579	510	139	19	0	35	63	157	3	0	0	273	356	516	872	243	324	27	11	380	138	+26	+0	-2	-6	+13	3.1
2022	32	MLB	New York Yankees	—	452	398	84	7	0	31	50	137	0	0	0	211	298	462	761	251	227	30	11	332	103	+1	+0	-2	-5	+10	0.5
2023	33	MLB	New York Yankees	—	415	371	71	13	0	24	41	124	2	0	0	191	275	420	696	229	210	30	10	307	86	-7	+0	-3	-4	+9	-0.6
2024	34	MLB	New York Yankees	—	459	417	97	20	0	27	38	143	2	0	0	233	300	475	775	242	281	31	8	338	108	+4	+0	+0	-5	+10	1.0
2025	35	MLB	New York Yankees	—	281	249	68	8	0	24	29	96	1	0	0	273	350	594	944	321	338	34	10	405	148	+16	+0	-3	-3	+6	1.6
2026	36	MLB	New York Yankees	—	96	90	23	6	0	3	6	29	0	1	0	256	302	422	724	167	345	30	6	321	101	+0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	7273	6364	1642	319	11	456	811	2088	54	43	15	258	347	527	873	269	307	29	11	379	143	+369	+3	-25	-81	+158	43.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	28	26	5	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	192	250	231	481	38	283	32	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	540	491	113	20	3	31	35	205	11	4	2	230	296	473	769	242	311	38	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	341	309	60	13	2	13	21	121	6	1	1	194	259	375	634	181	254	35	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	210	186	44	8	2	10	22	64	1	2	2	237	321	462	783	226	302	30	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	396	365	97	23	1	23	28	123	2	5	2	266	322	523	845	258	330	31	7	367	135	+16	+0	+5	-7	+9	2.4
2010	20	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	240	212	60	14	2	20	24	63	2	1	0	283	361	651	1.012	368	299	26	10	437	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	601	522	141	33	5	36	64	166	9	5	5	270	360	559	919	289	314	28	11	395	153	+38	-1	-4	-6	+13	4.1
2012	22	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	501	458	136	33	1	39	37	143	5	6	2	297	356	629	985	332	344	29	7	422	172	+43	+0	-1	-6	+11	4.9
2012	22	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	16	5	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	312	312	750	1.062	438	211	6	0	396	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	504	430	110	28	0	25	69	140	4	1	0	256	364	495	859	240	313	28	14	380	143	+26	+0	-10	-6	+11	2.1
2013	23	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	17	15	0	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	0		118		118			41	12	62	-72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	638	563	161	34	1	39	70	170	3	13	1	286	368	558	926	272	353	27	11	402	158	+44	+2	-1	-7	+14	5.4
2015	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	318	285	77	13	1	28	28	95	2	4	2	270	340	618	957	347	294	30	9	409	163	+24	+0	+2	-3	+7	2.9
2016	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	470	419	103	22	1	28	45	140	4	0	0	246	325	504	828	258	290	30	10	362	131	+17	+0	-2	-5	+10	2.1
2017	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	692	610	175	35	0	62	72	163	7	2	2	287	369	649	1.018	362	288	24	10	434	180	+66	-0	-4	-7	+15	7.0
2018	28	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	705	622	162	34	1	36	65	211	8	5	0	260	338	492	830	232	333	30	9	360	129	+25	+1	+0	-8	+15	3.5
2019	29	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	72	59	17	3	0	3	12	24	0	0	0	288	408	492	900	203	424	33	17	390	150	+4	+0	-1	-1	+2	0.4
2020	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	94	78	19	7	0	4	14	27	2	1	1	244	372	487	860	244	333	29	15	376	141	+5	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.6
2021	31	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	579	511	137	19	0	33	62	157	3	0	0	268	351	499	850	231	324	27	11	372	138	+26	+0	-2	-6	+13	3.1
2022	32	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	452	401	82	7	0	29	48	137	0	0	0	204	290	439	728	234	227	30	11	320	103	+1	+0	-2	-5	+10	0.5
2023	33	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	415	374	69	13	0	22	38	124	2	0	0	184	263	396	659	211	210	30	9	295	86	-7	+0	-3	-4	+9	-0.6
2024	34	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	459	419	95	20	0	25	36	143	2	0	0	227	291	453	744	227	281	31	8	328	108	+4	+0	+0	-5	+10	1.0
2025	35	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	281	253	66	8	0	22	26	96	1	0	0	261	332	553	886	292	338	34	9	387	148	+16	+0	-3	-3	+6	1.6
2026	36	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	96	90	23	6	0	3	6	29	0	1	0	256	302	422	724	167	345	30	6	318	101	+0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	28	26	5	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	192	250	231	481	38	294	32	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	—	28	26	7	2	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	269	321	346	668	77	350	21	4	304	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	540	491	113	20	3	31	35	205	11	4	2	230	296	473	769	242	318	38	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	540	468	137	26	3	39	58	153	11	4	2	293	384	611	995	318	351	28	11	427	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA MLE	2 teams	—	551	495	105	21	4	23	43	185	7	3	3	212	284	410	695	198	280	34	8	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA RAW	2 teams	—	551	479	122	24	5	28	59	144	7	3	3	255	345	501	846	246	300	26	11	367	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	636	577	157	37	3	43	52	186	4	6	2	272	336	570	907	298	325	29	8	394	152	+40	+0	+5	-7	+14	5.3
2010	20	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	636	551	153	34	3	43	78	176	4	6	2	278	371	584	956	307	328	28	12	411	152	+40	+0	+5	-7	+14	5.3
2011	21	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	601	522	141	33	5	36	64	166	9	5	5	270	360	559	919	289	322	28	11	395	153	+38	-1	-4	-6	+13	4.1
2011	21	MLB RAW	Florida Marlins	—	601	516	135	30	5	34	70	166	9	5	5	262	360	537	896	275	314	28	12	387	153	+38	-1	-4	-6	+13	4.1
2012	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	517	474	141	34	1	41	37	144	5	6	2	297	355	633	988	335	345	28	7	421	171	+44	+0	-1	-6	+11	5.0
2012	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	517	465	135	31	1	39	46	144	5	6	2	290	360	613	973	323	339	28	9	418	171	+44	+0	-1	-6	+11	5.0
2013	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	521	445	110	28	0	25	71	147	4	2	0	247	356	479	834	231	310	28	14	370	136	+23	+0	-10	-6	+11	1.9
2013	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	521	440	106	26	0	24	76	145	4	2	0	241	358	464	821	223	301	28	15	365	136	+23	+0	-10	-6	+11	1.9
2014	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	638	563	161	34	1	39	70	170	3	13	1	286	368	558	926	272	343	27	11	402	158	+44	+2	-1	-7	+14	5.4
2014	24	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	638	539	155	31	1	37	94	170	3	13	1	288	396	555	951	267	353	27	15	414	158	+44	+2	-1	-7	+14	5.4
2015	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	318	285	77	13	1	28	28	95	2	4	2	270	340	618	957	347	297	30	9	409	163	+24	+0	+2	-3	+7	2.9
2015	25	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	318	279	74	12	1	27	34	95	2	4	2	265	349	606	955	341	294	30	11	406	163	+24	+0	+2	-3	+7	2.9
2016	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	470	419	103	22	1	28	45	140	4	0	0	246	325	504	828	258	296	30	10	362	131	+17	+0	-2	-5	+10	2.1
2016	26	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	470	413	99	20	1	27	50	140	4	0	0	240	327	489	816	249	290	30	11	356	131	+17	+0	-2	-5	+10	2.1
2017	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	692	610	175	35	0	62	72	163	7	2	2	287	369	649	1.018	362	291	24	10	434	180	+66	-0	-4	-7	+15	7.0
2017	27	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	692	597	168	32	0	59	85	163	7	2	2	281	377	631	1.009	350	288	24	12	431	180	+66	-0	-4	-7	+15	7.0
2018	28	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	705	622	162	34	1	36	65	211	8	5	0	260	338	492	830	232	327	30	9	360	129	+25	+1	+0	-8	+15	3.5
2018	28	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	705	617	164	34	1	38	70	211	8	5	0	266	348	509	857	243	333	30	10	371	129	+25	+1	+0	-8	+15	3.5
2019	29	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	72	59	17	3	0	3	12	24	0	0	0	288	408	492	900	203	424	33	17	390	150	+4	+0	-1	-1	+2	0.4
2019	29	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	72	59	17	3	0	3	12	24	0	0	0	288	408	492	900	203	424	33	17	395	150	+4	+0	-1	-1	+2	0.4
2020	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	94	78	19	7	0	4	14	27	2	1	1	244	372	487	860	244	319	29	15	376	141	+5	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.6
2020	30	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	94	76	19	7	0	4	15	27	2	1	1	250	383	500	883	250	333	29	16	388	141	+5	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.6
2021	31	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	579	511	137	19	0	33	62	157	3	0	0	268	351	499	850	231	321	27	11	372	138	+26	+0	-2	-6	+13	3.1
2021	31	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	579	510	139	19	0	35	63	157	3	0	0	273	356	516	872	243	324	27	11	380	138	+26	+0	-2	-6	+13	3.1
2022	32	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	452	401	82	7	0	29	48	137	0	0	0	204	290	439	728	234	223	30	11	320	103	+1	+0	-2	-5	+10	0.5
2022	32	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	452	398	84	7	0	31	50	137	0	0	0	211	298	462	761	251	227	30	11	332	103	+1	+0	-2	-5	+10	0.5
2023	33	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	415	374	69	13	0	22	38	124	2	0	0	184	263	396	659	211	205	30	9	295	86	-7	+0	-3	-4	+9	-0.6
2023	33	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	415	371	71	13	0	24	41	124	2	0	0	191	275	420	696	229	210	30	10	307	86	-7	+0	-3	-4	+9	-0.6
2024	34	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	459	419	95	20	0	25	36	143	2	0	0	227	291	453	744	227	277	31	8	328	108	+4	+0	+0	-5	+10	1.0
2024	34	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	459	417	97	20	0	27	38	143	2	0	0	233	300	475	775	242	281	31	8	338	108	+4	+0	+0	-5	+10	1.0
2025	35	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	281	253	66	8	0	22	26	96	1	0	0	261	332	553	886	292	324	34	9	387	148	+16	+0	-3	-3	+6	1.6
2025	35	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	281	249	68	8	0	24	29	96	1	0	0	273	350	594	944	321	338	34	10	405	148	+16	+0	-3	-3	+6	1.6
2026	36	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	96	90	23	6	0	3	6	29	0	1	0	256	302	422	724	167	345	30	6	318	101	+0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2026	36	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	96	90	23	6	0	3	6	29	0	1	0	256	302	422	724	167	345	30	6	321	101	+0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	28	26	5	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	192	250	231	481	38	283	32	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	540	489	113	20	3	31	35	205	11	4	2	231	296	474	771	243	311	38	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA MLE	2 teams	—	551	496	105	21	4	23	43	185	7	3	3	212	284	409	694	198	272	34	8	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	636	575	157	37	3	43	52	186	4	6	2	273	336	572	909	299	318	29	8	394	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	601	523	141	33	5	36	64	166	9	5	5	270	360	558	918	289	314	28	11	395	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	517	470	141	34	1	41	37	144	5	6	2	300	355	638	993	338	340	28	7	421	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	521	441	110	28	0	25	71	147	4	2	0	249	356	483	839	234	303	28	14	370	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	638	560	161	34	1	39	70	170	3	13	1	287	368	561	929	273	353	27	11	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	318	285	77	13	1	28	28	95	2	4	2	270	340	618	957	347	294	30	9	409	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	470	418	103	22	1	28	45	140	4	0	0	246	325	505	830	258	290	30	10	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	692	608	175	35	0	62	72	163	7	2	2	288	369	651	1.020	363	288	24	10	434	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	705	626	162	34	1	36	65	211	8	5	0	259	338	489	827	230	333	30	9	360	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	72	60	17	3	0	3	12	24	0	0	0	283	408	483	892	200	424	33	17	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	94	78	19	7	0	4	14	27	2	1	1	244	372	487	860	244	333	29	15	376	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	579	509	137	19	0	33	62	157	3	0	0	269	351	501	852	232	324	27	11	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	452	401	82	7	0	29	48	137	0	0	0	204	290	439	728	234	227	30	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	415	372	69	13	0	22	38	124	2	0	0	185	263	398	661	212	210	30	9	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	459	418	95	20	0	25	36	143	2	0	0	227	291	455	746	227	281	31	8	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	281	252	66	8	0	22	26	96	1	0	0	262	332	556	888	294	338	34	9	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	36	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	96	90	23	6	0	3	6	29	0	1	0	256	302	422	724	167	345	30	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	34	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	459	418	95	20	0	25	36	143	2	0	0	227	291	455	746	227	281	31	8	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	281	252	66	8	0	22	26	96	1	0	0	262	332	556	888	294	338	34	9	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	36	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	96	90	23	6	0	3	6	29	0	1	0	256	302	422	724	167	345	30	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	37	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	183	165	42	8	0	12	15	54	1	1	1	253	319	517	836	264	299	30	8	361	131	+7	-0	-1	-2	+4	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	37	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	113	102	27	5	0	8	9	34	1	1	0	257	323	535	857	278	300	30	8	369	131	+4	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	38	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	80	74	17	3	0	5	6	24	0	0	0	240	305	484	789	244	286	30	8	343	118	+2	+0	-8	-1	+2	-0.6
2028	38	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	80	74	17	3	0	5	6	24	0	0	0	244	308	501	809	257	288	30	8	350	118	+2	+0	-8	-1	+2	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7353	6438	1659	322	11	461	817	2112	54	43	15	258	346	526	872	268	307	29	11	379	135	+371	+3	-33	-82	+159	42.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	146	28	1	41	72	187	5	4	1	257	345	525	871	269	304	29	11	379	135	+33	+0	-3	-7	+14	3.8
Career	—	MLE		—	8858	7890	2001	403	20	545	840	2616	76	53	20	254	331	517	848	263	305	30	9	368	135	+375	+3	-34	-83	+162	43.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	147	30	1	40	62	192	6	4	1	254	333	516	849	263	305	30	10	368	135	+33	+0	-3	-7	+14	3.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2013 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 17 PAwOBA .081 → .062 (−19)K% 29.4% → 41.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.41%	÷1.019	×1.420	—	—	40.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷0.970	×0.750	—	×0.988	8.99%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.029	×0.920	—	×0.988	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.073	×0.960	—	×0.988	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.942	×0.880	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .081 → .062; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 16 PAwOBA .438 → .396 (−43)K% 6.2% → 9.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.25%	÷0.956	×1.420	—	—	9.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.750	—	×0.998	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.33%	÷1.027	×0.920	—	×0.998	11.92%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.977	×0.960	—	×0.998	6.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	13.33%	÷0.939	×0.880	—	×0.998	12.47%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .438 → .396; ISO .438 → .399; BABIP .231 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAJacksonville Suns · 240 PAwOBA .471 → .437 (−34)K% 22.1% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.08%	÷1.030	×1.220	—	—	26.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.17%	÷1.037	×0.680	—	×1.050	9.75%
HBP% /PA	0.83%	—	×0.840	—	×1.050	0.73%
Singles /BIP	17.27%	÷1.030	×0.920	×0.972	×1.050	15.74%
Doubles /BIP	9.35%	÷0.953	×0.910	×0.972	×1.050	9.11%
Triples /BIP	1.44%	÷0.900	×0.880	×0.972	×1.050	1.44%
Home runs /BIP	15.11%	÷0.955	×0.800	—	×1.050	13.29%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 106, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 106, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .471 → .437; ISO .417 → .410; BABIP .325 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAJacksonville Suns · 341 PAwOBA .330 → .275 (−55)K% 29.0% → 35.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.03%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	35.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.80%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.050	6.28%
HBP% /PA	1.76%	—	×0.840	—	×1.050	1.55%
Singles /BIP	18.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.956	×1.050	16.63%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.956	×1.050	6.85%
Triples /BIP	1.00%	÷1.000	×0.880	×0.956	×1.050	0.88%
Home runs /BIP	8.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	6.72%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .330 → .275; ISO .224 → .186; BABIP .280 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 210 PAwOBA .409 → .338 (−71)K% 21.4% → 30.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.43%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	30.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×1.042	10.42%
HBP% /PA	0.48%	—	×0.930	—	×1.042	0.46%
Singles /BIP	21.48%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.959	×1.042	19.75%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.960	×0.959	×1.042	6.39%
Triples /BIP	2.22%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.959	×1.042	1.80%
Home runs /BIP	8.89%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.042	8.15%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .409 → .338; ISO .283 → .236; BABIP .331 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 540 PAwOBA .413 → .327 (−86)K% 28.3% → 38.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.33%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	37.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.44%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.045	6.51%
HBP% /PA	2.04%	—	×0.770	—	×1.045	1.64%
Singles /BIP	21.90%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.967	×1.045	20.36%
Doubles /BIP	8.25%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.967	×1.045	6.84%
Triples /BIP	0.95%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.967	×1.045	0.90%
Home runs /BIP	12.38%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.045	10.61%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .413 → .327; ISO .318 → .252; BABIP .351 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 ROKGCL Marlins · 28 PAwOBA .296 → .212 (−84)K% 21.4% → 30.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.43%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	30.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.57%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	2.26%
HBP% /PA	3.57%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	2.63%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.022	20.96%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.022	7.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .296 → .212; ISO .077 → .051; BABIP .350 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nelson Cruzlast yr '23 career totals — 18 seasons, 8,389 PA	12.6	8,389	464	84	274	343	513	-89	-28	50.7	42.9
/162	664	37	7	-7.1	-2.2	4.0	pk7: 35
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 19 projected seasons	11.2	7,466	468	44	259	344	530	-81	-43	50.3	42.7
/162	664	42	4	-7.2	-3.9	4.5	pk7: 35
#2Juan Gonzalez'89-'05 * career totals — 16 seasons, 7,155 PA	10.8	7,155	434	26	284*	332*	556*	-84	-18	45.1	39.6
/162	664	40	2	-7.7	-1.7	4.2	pk7: 34
#3Tony Perez'64-'86 * career totals — 22 seasons, 10,861 PA	16.4	10,861	379	49	276*	340*	503*	-129	-46	44.0	38.8
/162	664	23	3	-7.9	-2.8	2.7	pk7: 34
#4J.D. Martinezlast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,865 PA	10.3	6,865	331	26	283	348	516	-68	-53	39.9	36.6
/162	664	32	3	-6.6	-5.1	3.9	pk7: 33
#5Darryl Strawberry'83-'99 * career totals — 16 seasons, 6,326 PA	9.5	6,326	335	221	255*	354*	534*	-73	-29	40.7	36.3
/162	664	35	23	-7.7	-3.0	4.3	pk7: 32
#6Edwin Encarnaciónlast yr '20 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,126 PA	12.2	8,126	424	61	260	350	496	-77	-92	42.0	34.4
/162	664	35	5	-6.3	-7.5	3.4	pk7: 27

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Giancarlo Stanton (OGILVIE)	37	—	—	—	—	251/316/512	262	299	7	1	30%	8%	131	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Nelson Cruz 2017 · MLB	37	52→57	68→70	43→55	48	285/348/544	258	319	38	3	24%	8%	148	+4.8	280/355/546	266	308	38	2	22%	9%	151	+5.0	280/359/555	276	303	41	1	22%	9%	156	+5.3
✕Edwin Encarnación 2020 · MLB	37	43→53	65→70	45→50	57	245/341/489	244	256	35	3	22%	12%	132	+3.7	227/313/447	220	258	30	5	25%	10%	113	+2.3	154/247/368	214	154	33	0	30%	9%	73	-0.2
✕Tony Clark 2008 · MLB	36	44→54	66→70	47→30	47	252/310/496	245	273	36	3	24%	8%	124	+3.1	230/323/402	172	291	22	5	27%	12%	106	+1.8	200/324/334	134	268	16	0	29%	15%	92	+0.2
●Jermaine Dye 2009 · MLB	35	52→61	64→70	44→45	49	280/337/526	246	293	32	4	18%	7%	140	+4.2	260/334/470	210	281	27	4	18%	9%	126	+3.2	248/336/449	201	266	28	0	19%	11%	123	+2.9
✕Olmedo Saenz 2007 · MLB	36	51	60	42→30	48	270/335/494	224	301	28	3	21%	7%	132	+3.6	244/324/428	184	279	22	6	21%	9%	112	+2.2	184/295/333	149	200	18	0	19%	12%	82	+0.0
●Ken Griffey Jr. 2007 · MLB	37	48→54	65→70	42→45	52	267/330/510	243	269	34	2	17%	8%	134	+3.8	252/333/453	201	265	26	3	16%	11%	121	+2.9	242/334/434	192	255	24	2	16%	12%	118	+2.4
✕J.D. Martinez 2024 · MLB	36	51→61	61→70	48→45	46	266/325/495	229	325	28	2	27%	8%	128	+3.3	250/323/444	194	323	23	4	28%	9%	116	+2.5	239/324/411	172	315	19	0	28%	10%	109	+1.6
✕Paul Konerko 2013 · MLB	37	55→58	59→65	41→30	55	291/362/494	203	302	28	2	15%	9%	141	+4.3	248/312/385	137	275	17	3	17%	8%	97	+1.1	229/292/337	108	258	13	0	17%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Evan Longoria 2023 · MLB	37	48→57	58→65	42→50	48	255/321/459	204	304	26	3	26%	8%	118	+2.7	242/311/437	195	306	26	5	29%	9%	109	+2.0	217/293/418	201	270	29	0	31%	10%	100	+0.5
●Alfonso Soriano 2013 · MLB	37	46→56	62→70	46→60	44	254/305/485	231	285	31	6	24%	6%	119	+2.7	245/289/447	202	293	26	11	26%	5%	104	+1.6	239/279/437	198	286	26	13	26%	4%	99	+0.9
●Matt Stairs 2005 · MLB	37	51→55	58→65	46→45	55	267/348/476	208	291	26	3	18%	10%	132	+3.6	265/345/452	187	297	21	3	18%	10%	125	+3.2	265/348/461	196	294	22	1	17%	10%	129	+2.4
✕Matt Carpenter 2023 · MLB	37	43→53	59→65	48→45	54	231/335/452	221	277	26	5	26%	12%	122	+2.9	223/328/401	178	294	20	5	29%	12%	108	+1.9	195/318/341	146	271	15	1	31%	14%	92	+0.3
●Curtis Granderson 2018 · MLB	37	43→53	60→65	47→50	57	235/332/458	223	261	27	7	22%	12%	122	+3.0	226/322/421	195	277	22	5	25%	12%	110	+2.1	218/320/403	185	274	20	2	27%	12%	106	+1.1
●José Abreu 2022 · MLB	35	51→61	61→65	45→40	48	270/342/492	222	304	29	2	22%	8%	134	+3.8	260/329/416	156	302	18	2	20%	8%	112	+2.2	254/321/389	135	297	15	0	19%	7%	102	+1.2
✕Eduardo Perez 2006 · MLB	36	49	59→60	40→50	58	261/352/469	208	277	27	6	18%	11%	132	+3.6	252/327/445	193	270	25	6	17%	9%	118	+2.6	246/314/440	194	255	26	0	16%	8%	113	+0.8
✕Sammy Sosa 2005 · MLB	36	46→56	69→80	43→40	52	264/340/528	264	286	39	2	24%	10%	141	+4.3	241/308/442	201	273	27	3	23%	8%	109	+2.0	233/296/417	184	266	24	1	22%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Kendrys Morales 2019 · MLB	36	47→57	58→65	38→40	50	251/316/445	194	275	27	2	21%	8%	114	+2.3	233/319/374	141	261	17	5	17%	10%	98	+1.2	192/313/249	56	217	6	0	13%	13%	70	-0.3
✕Josh Willingham 2014 · MLB	35	44→53	58→65	45	56	236/344/446	210	280	26	4	25%	12%	124	+3.1	228/337/410	182	287	22	6	27%	12%	114	+2.3	208/330/391	183	260	24	3	28%	13%	107	+1.2
●Jeromy Burnitz 2005 · MLB	36	46→51	64→65	41→45	48	256/319/495	239	275	33	7	22%	8%	126	+3.2	251/311/449	198	273	26	5	19%	7%	112	+2.2	244/304/423	179	264	24	4	18%	7%	105	+1.4
✕Carlos Delgado 2009 · MLB	37	47→57	61→70	46→30	50	258/326/482	224	272	30	3	19%	8%	126	+3.2	259/332/456	197	295	24	6	21%	8%	122	+2.9	292/393/510	219	333	21	0	18%	11%	156	+1.0

Giancarlo Stanton

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps