Gabe Tanner

P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 25 RHP A peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	24	MIX2 levels	14	13	69	3.91	4.69	10.7%	9.3%	—	K 7.7% · BB 11.1% · FIP 5.39
2027PROJ	25	MLBCWS	8	8	46	5.42	5.42	12.6%	10.8%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCWS	4	4	27	5.23	5.17	15.2%	10.6%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCWS	6	6	38	5.16	5.15	15.8%	10.6%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsChris Kachmar (age 24) · Hiram Burgos (age 25) · Clayton Mortensen (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%12.6%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%1.8%

Proj IP46

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	69	290	31	27	7	93%	4.9	7.7%	11.1%	-3.3%	2.8%	3.91	5.39	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	69	290	31	27	7	93%	4.9	7.7%	11.1%	-3.3%	2.8%	3.91	5.39	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	13	69	290	31	27	7	93%	4.9	10.7%	9.3%	1.4%	2.4%	3.91	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CWS	8	8	46	194	24	21	6	100%	5.8	12.6%	10.8%	1.8%	3.0%	5.42	5.42	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	62	262	40	28	8	100%	6.2	15.2%	10.6%	4.6%	3.0%	5.23	5.17	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	61	258	41	27	8	100%	6.1	15.8%	10.6%	5.2%	3.0%	5.16	5.15	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	59	251	40	27	8	100%	5.9	16.1%	10.7%	5.4%	3.1%	5.16	5.19	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	4	4	27	114	17	12	3	100%	6.8	15.2%	10.6%	4.6%	3.0%	5.23	5.17	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	6	6	38	160	25	17	5	100%	6.3	15.8%	10.6%	5.2%	3.0%	5.16	5.15	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	CWS	8	8	45	190	30	20	6	100%	5.6	16.1%	10.7%	5.4%	3.1%	5.16	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	18	110	462	73	49	14	100%	6.1	15.8%	10.6%	5.1%	3.1%	5.18	4.79	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	133	89	26	100%	6.0	15.8%	10.6%	5.1%	3.1%	5.18	4.79	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		14	13	69	290	22	32	8	93%	4.9	7.7%	11.1%	-3.3%	2.8%	3.91	5.39	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		41	38	200	841	65	93	24	93%	4.9	7.7%	11.1%	-3.3%	2.8%	3.91	5.39	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabe Tanner (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	12.6%	10.8%	3.0%	—	5.17	15.7%	5.1%	183	-0.25	—	—	—
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	85
Hiram Burgos R 2013 · 4.89 FIP	25	SP	4.89	12.9%	7.9%	3.4%	.314	3.73	18.0%	8.7%	293	-1.16	3.40	384	85
Clayton Mortensen R 2009 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP	5.68	8.7%	8.7%	4.0%	.308	4.84	17.1%	7.7%	100	-0.84	4.31	383	84
Patrick McGuff R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP	4.30	12.0%	10.4%	1.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	133	83
Sam Wolff R 2016 · 5.72 FIP	25	SP	5.72	13.9%	15.0%	3.5%	.278	3.15	25.1%	15.5%	106	-2.57	2.66	178	83
Travis Harper R 2000 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP	5.56	9.9%	10.6%	3.5%	.234	4.12	15.9%	9.9%	179	-1.44	3.69	405	83
Brian Bannister R 2006 · 4.93 FIP	25	SP-	4.93	11.1%	11.7%	2.3%	.234	4.32	13.3%	6.6%	502	-0.61	3.97	667	83
Ben Anderson R 2022 · 4.59 FIP	24	SP	4.59	13.0%	12.0%	1.9%	.270	4.31	14.4%	6.0%	217	-0.28	3.80	399	82
Johendí Jiminian R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	25	SP	5.25	14.0%	11.4%	3.5%	.282	4.41	13.9%	4.4%	94	-0.84	4.01	419	82
Nick Belzer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SP	4.51	12.8%	8.6%	2.6%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	112	82
Wes Obermueller R 2003 · 4.93 FIP	26	SP	4.93	11.2%	7.6%	3.3%	.301	4.77	11.1%	2.0%	183	-0.16	4.72	308	82
Kyle Gibson R 2013 · 4.74 FIP	25	SP	4.74	12.2%	8.4%	2.9%	.341	3.93	16.0%	8.4%	521	-0.81	3.56	1,920	81
Paul Rigdon R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP	5.34	13.6%	11.1%	3.6%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	5.29	167	81
James Proctor R 2022 · 4.39 FIP	24	SP	4.39	14.0%	12.5%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	109	81
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	81
Josh Banks R 2008 · 4.81 FIP	26	SP-	4.81	11.6%	7.3%	3.2%	.283	6.01	9.0%	6.0%	23	+1.20	4.81	108	80
Brad Lincoln R 2010 · 5.24 FIP	25	SP-	5.24	10.4%	6.2%	4.0%	.298	4.10	19.9%	12.2%	167	-1.14	3.78	280	80
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	80
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	79
Mike MacDougal R 2001 · 4.61 FIP	24	SP	4.61	10.4%	6.0%	3.0%	.296	3.79	20.5%	8.7%	75	-0.82	2.68	379	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	57	15.1%	10.6%	1.17	5.23
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*