Player 842355 — OGILVIE

Player 8423551B DSL Astros Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .276 / .256

PA72

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO53

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	60	49	10	0	0	0	7	11	3	0	0	204	339	204	543		256	18	12	269	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	60	51	7	0	0	0	5	13	3	0	0	137	254	137	391		175	22	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	60	51	7	0	0	0	5	13	3	0	0	137	254	137	391		179	22	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	60	49	10	0	0	0	7	11	3	0	0	204	339	204	543		256	18	12	269	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	60	52	7	0	0	0	5	13	3	0	0	135	254	135	389		175	22	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	60	52	7	0	0	0	5	13	3	0	0	135	254	135	389		175	22	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	200	180	37	4	1	1	14	57	4	2	1	205	278	258	536	53	290	28	7	250	55	-11	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	124	112	24	3	1	1	9	35	2	1	0	207	280	267	547	60	290	28	7	254	58	-6	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	209	282	270	552	61	293	—	—	256	58	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	256	229	43	4	1	1	19	69	6	2	0	188	268	227	495	39	261	27	7	237	47	-10	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	110	10	3	3	48	175	15	5	0	189	268	232	501	43	262	27	7	237	47	-33	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 842355 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	203/276/256	53	290	0	1	29%	7%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.J. Franco 2017 · A	25	40	36→30	37→45	42	192/243/253	62	256	3	5	26%	6%	40	-3.0	209/278/264	55	292	2	6	26%	8%	57	-1.8	211/288/246	35	294	0	4	26%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	47	191/268/254	63	265	4	6	28%	8%	52	-2.2	215/279/298	83	267	6	8	20%	7%	65	-1.2	220/283/302	82	265	6	8	18%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Tanner Vavra 2014 · A	25	44	35→30	44→45	43	201/270/256	55	301	2	5	32%	8%	52	-2.2	211/275/264	53	302	2	7	29%	6%	56	-1.9	210/275/254	44	300	1	7	28%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2016 · A	25	40	38→30	44→50	44	192/249/266	75	242	5	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	211/264/269	58	257	4	3	18%	6%	52	-2.2	221/269/269	47	257	5	0	16%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	39	36→30	47→55	47	182/259/252	69	257	2	9	28%	9%	47	-2.5	206/271/297	91	286	6	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	188/264/281	93	239	9	3	24%	9%	54	-0.3
✕Toby Gardenhire 2008 · A	25	39	33→30	38→40	39	187/226/230	43	251	1	6	26%	4%	28	-3.9	227/277/271	44	285	2	5	20%	5%	57	-1.8	234/286/262	28	285	1	3	17%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Kyle Knudson 2013 · A	25	44	36→30	41→30	43	207/272/271	64	290	3	3	28%	7%	56	-1.9	220/277/289	69	295	3	3	25%	6%	62	-1.4	223/273/281	58	296	2	0	24%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Bubba Hollins 2021 · A	25	43	37→30	42→45	42	206/257/279	73	265	4	4	23%	5%	52	-2.2	207/274/299	92	281	7	6	27%	6%	64	-1.3	191/265/273	82	263	6	5	28%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Chris Paul 2018 · A	25	45→37	39→40	42→40	37	218/263/306	89	301	6	5	29%	4%	60	-1.6	218/259/319	101	291	8	5	27%	4%	62	-1.4	208/242/310	102	271	8	2	26%	3%	51	-1.4
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	43	35→30	43→45	48	200/278/263	63	277	2	7	26%	9%	57	-1.8	199/267/281	82	284	6	8	30%	7%	57	-1.8	148/213/206	57	214	6	5	32%	5%	19	-1.2
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Roman Hernandez 2013 · A	25	41	35→30	35→45	38	194/236/250	56	274	2	5	29%	5%	37	-3.3	214/258/283	69	301	3	8	28%	5%	53	-2.1	225/263/283	59	314	2	8	28%	4%	53	-1.1
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Grant Buckner 2013 · A	25	43→41	40	44→40	40	210/263/298	87	287	7	6	29%	5%	59	-1.7	212/261/315	103	270	9	5	24%	5%	62	-1.4	208/256/315	107	255	10	3	22%	4%	57	-1.1