Joe Tiroly

2B Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 22 R/R A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	ASD	71	.323/.380/.692	7	0	119	—	.239/.282/.493
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBSD	181	.235/.289/.408	7	2	94	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBSD	60	.234/.289/.408	2	1	95	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBSD	133	.235/.292/.410	5	2	97	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO99

wOBA96

wRC+96

Z-Con%84

K%73

Whiff%71

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 83%

CompsLuis Exposito (age 22) · Michael Choice (age 22) · Ryan Lavarnway (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .287 / .405

PA83

HR3

K%28

BB%6

ISO174

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	65	21	3	0	7	5	14	1	0	2	323	380	692	1.073	369	318	20	7	459	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	67	16	2	0	5	3	19	1	0	2	239	282	493	774	254	268	27	4	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	67	16	2	0	5	3	19	1	0	2	239	282	493	774	254	256	27	4	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	65	21	3	0	7	5	14	1	0	2	323	380	692	1.073	369	318	20	7	459	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	67	16	2	0	5	3	19	1	0	2	239	282	493	774	254	268	27	4	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	67	16	2	0	5	3	19	1	0	2	239	282	493	774	254	268	27	4	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	0%	181	166	39	6	1	7	11	51	2	2	1	235	289	408	697	174	290	28	6	307	94	-1	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	34%	175	160	38	6	1	7	11	48	2	2	1	236	292	411	702	174	291	27	6	309	95	-1	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	SD	46%	288	265	62	10	1	11	18	78	3	4	1	237	294	412	706	175	292	27	6	311	97	-1	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	SD	52%	358	329	79	13	2	14	23	97	3	5	2	238	295	412	708	174	292	27	6	312	97	-1	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	SD	54%	404	370	87	14	2	15	27	108	4	5	2	238	296	412	708	174	292	27	7	312	98	-1	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	SD	54%	426	390	92	15	2	16	29	114	4	5	2	238	297	409	706	172	291	27	7	311	97	-2	+0	-1	+2	+9	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	SD	54%	436	400	94	15	2	16	29	117	4	5	3	236	295	404	699	169	290	27	7	309	95	-3	-0	-2	+2	+9	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	435	399	93	15	2	16	29	118	4	5	3	233	292	398	690	165	288	27	7	305	93	-4	-0	-3	+2	+9	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	SD	52%	430	395	91	15	2	15	28	118	4	4	4	230	288	390	678	160	286	27	7	300	89	-5	-1	-3	+2	+9	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	SD	52%	420	387	87	14	2	14	27	117	3	3	7	226	283	380	663	154	283	28	6	294	85	-7	-2	-4	+1	+9	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	34%	60	55	12	2	0	2	4	17	1	1	0	234	289	408	698	175	286	28	7	307	95	-0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	SD	46%	133	123	28	4	1	5	8	36	1	2	1	235	292	410	701	175	287	27	6	309	97	-1	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	SD	52%	185	169	40	6	1	7	12	50	2	2	1	235	293	410	703	175	287	27	6	310	97	-1	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	SD	54%	219	201	46	7	1	8	14	59	2	3	1	235	294	409	703	174	286	27	6	310	98	-1	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	SD	54%	231	211	50	8	1	9	16	62	2	3	1	235	294	407	701	172	286	27	7	309	97	-1	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	SD	54%	237	217	51	8	1	9	16	64	2	3	1	233	292	402	694	169	285	27	7	307	95	-1	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	231	212	49	8	1	8	15	63	2	2	2	230	289	395	685	165	283	27	6	303	93	-2	-0	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	SD	52%	225	206	47	7	1	8	15	62	2	2	2	227	286	388	673	160	281	28	7	298	89	-3	-0	-2	+1	+5	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	SD	52%	218	200	45	7	1	7	14	61	2	2	4	223	281	378	658	155	278	28	6	292	85	-4	-1	-2	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1739	1594	368	57	8	63	114	474	16	20	13	231	289	395	684	164	286	27	7	305	94	-13	-1	-9	+6	+38	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	138	21	3	24	43	177	6	7	5	232	290	398	688	166	286	27	7	305	94	-5	-0	-3	+2	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3526	3239	756	122	16	132	229	957	33	39	27	233	291	403	694	170	288	27	6	307	94	-26	-2	-17	+12	+75	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	139	22	3	24	42	176	6	7	5	233	290	400	690	168	287	27	6	307	94	-5	-0	-3	+2	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#2Brad Millerlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,531 PA	5.3	3,531	123	43	236	314	416	+7	-38	8.8	9.4
/162	664	23	8	+1.4	-7.2	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Alex Kampouris'34-'43 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,483 PA	3.7	2,483	45	22	226*	313*	390*	+9	-9	6.0	6.3
/162	664	12	6	+2.4	-2.5	1.6	pk7: 7
#4Russ Davis'94-'01 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,176 PA	3.3	2,176	84	16	244*	296*	428*	+6	-9	5.0	5.2
/162	664	26	5	+1.9	-2.8	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.7	1,822	67	21	235	290	404	+7	-12	4.2	3.9
/162	664	24	8	+2.4	-4.4	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Neal Ball'07-'13 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,776 PA	2.7	1,776	4	92	249*	300*	391*	+14	-13	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	34	+5.1	-4.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	2.3	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
/162	664	14	0	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Tiroly (OGILVIE)	22	50	40	40	—	233/287/405	172	290	3	1	28%	6%	94	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Exposito 2009 · A	22	47→50	52→50	43→30	37	244/276/404	160	303	21	3	27%	4%	88	+0.5	239/284/366	127	302	12	3	24%	5%	82	+0.0	235/285/352	117	298	10	2	24%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Michael Choice 2012 · A	22	45→55	53→50	44→40	42	230/296/404	174	311	22	7	32%	7%	97	+1.1	237/303/367	130	314	15	5	28%	7%	91	+0.6	233/304/351	118	304	14	3	26%	7%	86	+0.2
●Ryan Lavarnway 2010 · A	22	44→46	53→55	43→30	41	226/285/402	176	308	20	3	32%	7%	92	+0.7	236/302/401	165	298	20	2	27%	8%	98	+1.2	235/303/390	155	288	20	1	25%	8%	95	+0.8
✕Victor Bericoto 2024 · AA	22	44→49	50	41→40	42	226/280/376	150	296	19	3	30%	7%	84	+0.1	235/281/359	124	312	14	4	28%	6%	80	-0.2	240/285/353	113	317	13	3	27%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→47	48→50	45→50	42	226/295/372	146	296	15	5	28%	6%	89	+0.5	222/280/363	141	284	16	8	27%	6%	81	-0.1	215/271/359	144	269	17	9	26%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Tony Delmonico 2009 · A	22	45→48	54→45	47→40	44	236/305/427	191	287	21	4	25%	7%	105	+1.7	229/308/344	115	301	11	5	26%	8%	88	+0.4	224/312/329	104	298	11	3	26%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	53→55	45→40	38	228/270/395	166	287	21	7	29%	5%	84	+0.2	235/289/374	139	337	16	5	33%	6%	86	+0.3	251/343/392	142	332	17	1	27%	10%	112	+1.0
✕Travis Jones 2008 · A	22	43→48	51→45	45→50	50	225/308/381	156	268	20	9	24%	9%	96	+1.0	213/287/338	125	280	13	14	27%	8%	78	-0.3	205/279/321	116	273	11	16	28%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Adam Rosales 2006 · A	23	46→50	50→55	45	39	234/284/385	151	302	18	6	28%	5%	88	+0.4	227/288/371	144	286	13	8	24%	6%	86	+0.3	240/306/397	158	288	13	8	21%	6%	97	+0.9
✕Connor Wong 2018 · A	22	47→55	49→55	46→50	38	233/283/379	145	326	17	7	33%	5%	85	+0.2	210/263/373	163	337	21	8	42%	6%	77	-0.3	242/296/383	141	316	16	10	28%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Kenny Holmberg 2006 · A	23	50→46	50	43→40	46	254/306/407	154	296	18	4	21%	6%	101	+1.4	221/297/340	119	273	12	4	23%	9%	82	-0.0	204/293/301	97	255	10	3	22%	10%	71	-0.5
✕Bryan Ramos 2024 · AA	22	42	50	44→50	43	221/284/370	149	272	19	5	27%	7%	84	+0.2	204/271/322	118	262	13	10	27%	7%	69	-0.9	190/263/293	103	246	11	12	27%	7%	56	-1.3
●Jonathon Long 2024 · A	22	44→54	54→45	49→40	44	232/304/405	174	289	22	7	28%	7%	100	+1.3	253/330/394	141	325	16	3	25%	9%	106	+1.8	257/335/390	133	331	14	2	25%	9%	104	+1.5
✕Tyler Ogle 2013 · A	22	46→43	49→50	45→30	44	233/294/379	146	292	17	5	26%	7%	90	+0.6	219/305/352	133	265	15	3	22%	10%	88	+0.4	209/298/348	138	250	17	2	23%	10%	81	-0.0
●Gordon Beckham 2009 · A	22	47→56	48→50	46→45	45	240/288/377	137	278	16	7	20%	6%	86	+0.3	255/318/402	147	294	14	7	18%	7%	104	+1.6	249/316/387	138	289	13	6	18%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Jake Lemmerman 2011 · A	22	51	48→45	44→45	42	252/307/401	149	328	15	6	27%	6%	99	+1.3	228/300/342	114	307	9	8	27%	8%	84	+0.1	217/296/323	106	293	9	9	27%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	44→45	52→55	44→40	40	232/283/398	167	288	20	4	27%	5%	91	+0.6	212/258/336	124	293	14	3	32%	5%	66	-1.1	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
●Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→58	52→40	48→50	51	248/325/415	167	283	19	12	20%	8%	109	+2.0	254/348/353	99	314	9	12	20%	11%	104	+1.6	263/352/365	101	313	10	11	17%	11%	107	+1.8
✕Kyle Parker 2013 · A	23	48→51	54→55	44→45	45	243/313/417	175	319	22	3	30%	8%	106	+1.8	239/286/379	140	311	16	5	27%	6%	86	+0.3	231/271/355	123	306	13	5	28%	5%	72	-0.6
✕Kyle Wilson 2006 · A	23	46	55→60	38→30	38	239/286/424	185	309	24	4	31%	5%	98	+1.2	216/259/333	117	277	12	4	26%	4%	66	-1.1	194/230/280	86	245	7	0	24%	2%	40	-1.4

Joe Tiroly

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps