Player 837936 — OGILVIE

Player 8379361B DSL Nationals

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .230 / .262

PA72

HR1

K%36

BB%5

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	59	57	13	4	0	1	2	20	0	1	1	228	254	351	605	123	333	34	3	269	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	59	58	7	2	0	0	1	24	0	1	1	121	136	155	291	34	215	41	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	59	58	7	2	0	0	1	24	0	1	1	121	136	155	291	34	206	41	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	59	57	13	4	0	1	2	20	0	1	1	228	254	351	605	123	333	34	3	269	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	59	58	7	2	0	0	1	24	0	1	1	121	136	155	291	34	215	41	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	59	58	7	2	0	0	1	24	0	1	1	121	136	155	291	34	215	41	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	200	187	35	7	1	2	10	72	1	2	1	188	232	264	497	77	290	36	5	225	38	-15	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	123	115	23	5	1	1	6	43	1	1	0	191	237	272	509	82	290	35	5	230	42	-9	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	190	236	271	507	80	289	—	—	229	42	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	254	241	43	10	1	2	11	93	1	3	1	178	217	253	471	75	279	37	4	210	28	-14	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	617	111	26	3	5	28	238	3	8	3	180	219	256	476	76	281	37	4	210	28	-46	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837936 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	186/230/262	76	290	1	1	36%	5%	38	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→34	41→40	50→45	37	190/250/290	100	279	9	8	34%	5%	53	-2.1	177/234/276	99	267	9	6	35%	6%	43	-2.8	132/188/218	87	196	8	2	36%	6%	11	-3.2
✕Bryan Haar 2015 · A	25	39→37	43→45	44→40	34	195/236/303	108	302	10	4	38%	5%	49	-2.4	202/250/288	86	299	6	4	33%	5%	51	-2.2	192/241/248	56	275	1	1	29%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Chandler Seagle 2021 · A	25	41	38→40	49→45	37	191/248/274	83	307	5	6	37%	6%	48	-2.5	191/244/267	76	287	5	5	33%	5%	45	-2.7	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Wade Kirkland 2014 · A	25	36→35	42→45	42→45	34	183/231/292	108	270	9	5	34%	4%	46	-2.6	188/222/278	90	300	8	8	39%	3%	38	-3.2	175/202/245	70	289	6	7	41%	2%	20	-1.9
✕McCarthy Tatum 2021 · A	25	43→25	41→50	48→50	37	202/254/301	99	322	8	8	38%	6%	56	-1.9	183/241/291	108	277	11	8	36%	5%	50	-2.3	169/229/274	105	250	11	8	35%	5%	39	-1.4
✕Chris Baker 2019 · A	24	37→30	41→40	50→45	33	185/229/281	96	285	9	6	38%	4%	42	-2.9	195/249/283	88	308	8	8	37%	6%	51	-2.3	141/204/184	43	231	6	4	39%	7%	11	-1.0
✕Scott Schreiber 2021 · A	25	38	43→45	47→45	34	187/237/295	108	309	11	9	42%	6%	49	-2.4	221/273/358	137	301	16	10	31%	5%	77	-0.3	225/273/365	140	298	18	10	30%	5%	77	-0.1
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Madison Stokes 2021 · A	25	39→36	42→45	40	34	195/236/293	98	284	10	4	34%	4%	47	-2.5	187/249/290	103	293	9	7	37%	7%	52	-2.2	172/245/271	99	269	8	7	37%	8%	44	-1.5
✕Drew Hedman 2011 · A	25	39	37→40	47→45	34	187/230/257	70	298	5	6	38%	5%	36	-3.3	193/258/295	102	281	9	9	33%	7%	57	-1.8	181/254/290	109	255	10	10	32%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1