Player 837876 — OGILVIE

Player 837876— DSL Red Sox Blue

Age — —/— ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION93 act + 65 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .323 / .316

PA65

HR1

K%20

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	BOS	—	93	76	15	1	0	3	10	12	7	4	2	197	344	329	673	132	197	13	11	285	76	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
YTD	—	ROK	BOS	—	93	69	17	1	0	3	17	8	7	4	2	246	441	391	832	145	241	9	18	390	157	+6	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.7
ROS	—	ROK	BOS	0%	65	57	13	2	0	1	6	13	2	1	0	228	323	316	639	88	272	20	9	300	88	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
ROS	—	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	278	71	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	BOS	—	93	77	15	1	0	3	10	12	7	4	2	195	344	325	669	130	194	13	11	285	76	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
TOT	—	ROK	BOS	—	158	133	28	3	0	4	16	25	9	5	2	211	335	323	659	113	231	16	10	291	81	-3	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BOS	0%	160	140	32	4	1	3	14	33	5	3	1	229	321	336	656	107	272	21	9	300	87	-2	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	BOS	0%	306	268	60	8	1	6	27	64	8	6	2	224	314	328	642	104	273	21	9	302	89	-4	+0	+0	-5	+9	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	BOS	0%	404	354	81	11	2	9	36	85	11	7	2	229	319	347	667	119	274	21	9	303	90	-4	+1	+0	-7	+11	0.0
2030	25	MLB	BOS	0%	469	412	94	13	2	10	42	98	12	9	2	228	318	342	660	114	274	21	9	304	91	-5	+1	+0	-8	+13	0.1
2031	25	MLB	BOS	0%	514	449	103	14	2	12	46	108	14	9	3	229	320	350	670	120	274	21	9	305	91	-5	+1	+0	-9	+15	0.1
2032	25	MLB	BOS	0%	545	476	108	15	2	12	49	114	15	10	3	227	319	342	661	116	274	21	9	305	92	-5	+1	+0	-10	+15	0.1
2033	25	MLB	BOS	0%	567	496	115	16	3	13	51	119	15	10	3	232	322	355	677	123	274	21	9	305	92	-5	+1	+0	-10	+16	0.2
2034	25	MLB	BOS	0%	584	510	118	16	3	14	53	122	16	11	3	231	323	357	680	125	273	21	9	306	92	-5	+1	+0	-10	+17	0.2
2027	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	282	74	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	285	77	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	288	78	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	289	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	289	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	289	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3614	3162	724	99	16	80	324	756	98	66	19	229	320	346	666	117	275	21	9	304	91	-37	+6	+0	-65	+102	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	130	18	3	14	58	136	18	12	3	228	319	344	664	116	275	21	9	304	91	-7	+1	+0	-12	+18	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,707	82	68	231	317	350	-41	+0	3.3	3.2
	/162	664	15	12	231	317	350	-7.3	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837876 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	211/335/323	113	231	4	5	16%	10%	81	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→47	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	85	+0.7	225/280/320	95	320	6	8	29%	6%	66	-0.6	218/274/305	87	319	4	6	31%	6%	58	-0.9
●Troy Johnston 2022 · A	25	48→49	45→55	48→55	47	234/302/356	122	303	12	6	26%	8%	85	+0.7	235/298/378	143	295	15	11	25%	7%	89	+1.0	237/298/400	162	284	18	23	23%	6%	92	+1.1
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	77	+0.1	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	71	-0.3	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	37	-0.5
●Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	49→53	44→55	50→45	48	239/304/362	123	299	11	8	23%	8%	88	+0.9	247/307/403	156	296	18	6	22%	8%	100	+1.7	252/313/421	168	295	20	4	21%	8%	104	+1.6
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	43→42	43→50	47→55	42	212/278/328	116	288	10	10	29%	7%	69	-0.4	223/300/379	156	295	17	13	29%	8%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Issmael Salas 2007 · A	25	48→50	45→50	46→50	42	236/285/367	130	292	11	5	23%	5%	81	+0.4	247/292/350	103	275	9	8	14%	5%	79	+0.3	273/317/372	99	305	8	11	13%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Kevin Nolan 2013 · A	25	50→48	42→45	47→50	49	238/299/349	110	287	8	10	20%	8%	82	+0.5	231/276/331	100	272	8	8	18%	6%	67	-0.5	226/267/315	90	262	7	7	16%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Kody Hoese 2021 · A	24	47→49	45→50	50→40	46	230/289/353	123	281	12	6	22%	7%	79	+0.3	196/238/279	83	268	8	4	29%	5%	37	-2.6	233/288/370	137	291	15	1	25%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Steve Selsky 2014 · AA	25	47→52	45→50	51→45	41	233/290/359	126	304	12	9	27%	6%	82	+0.5	242/306/347	105	342	9	6	30%	7%	85	+0.7	252/319/358	106	361	10	4	30%	7%	91	+0.6
●Braden Bishop 2019 · AA	25	53→56	41→50	49→50	45	253/307/353	100	315	8	10	22%	6%	86	+0.8	234/290/362	128	301	12	9	25%	6%	82	+0.5	225/281/364	139	287	14	13	26%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Aaron Mathews 2007 · A	25	50→52	42→45	48→45	45	242/285/356	113	285	9	9	19%	6%	77	+0.1	247/283/354	107	292	9	6	18%	5%	76	+0.0	250/288/352	102	286	9	4	16%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Damek Tomscha 2017 · A	25	48→57	43→45	48→40	45	234/297/354	121	275	9	4	18%	5%	83	+0.6	243/298/358	115	292	12	4	20%	5%	84	+0.6	236/291/345	109	288	13	2	22%	5%	76	+0.0
●Jantzen Witte 2015 · A	25	50→57	44→50	47→45	43	240/292/368	128	311	9	5	25%	6%	84	+0.6	245/300/351	106	305	6	6	20%	6%	82	+0.5	254/303/382	128	327	14	6	26%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Eli White 2019 · AA	25	49	41→50	49→60	42	230/288/337	107	320	7	12	29%	6%	74	-0.1	213/280/330	117	302	11	13	31%	7%	70	-0.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
●Spencer Packard 2023 · A	25	44→52	45→50	50→40	47	219/290/341	122	260	13	7	21%	7%	77	+0.1	243/317/379	136	283	15	3	19%	8%	98	+1.6	243/323/372	129	281	14	1	18%	9%	96	+1.2
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Jerad Head 2008 · A	25	41→46	44→55	49→50	41	207/274/331	124	262	11	9	25%	5%	68	-0.5	223/280/367	144	278	14	10	25%	5%	79	+0.3	230/283/396	166	281	18	9	25%	4%	85	+0.4