Kotaro Tsunematsu

Kotaro TsunematsuOF ACL Cubs

Age 23 R/R ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 41 proj PA

wRC+†27

AVG/OBP/SLG.155 / .215 / .231

PA41

HR1

K%47

BB%5

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	22	20	3	0	0	1	1	11	1	0	0	150	227	300	527	150	250	50	5	242	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	16	1	0	0	50	136	50	186		192	73	5	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	16	1	0	0	50	136	50	186		250	73	5	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	22	20	3	0	0	1	1	11	1	0	0	150	227	300	527	150	250	50	5	242	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	16	1	0	0	50	136	50	186		192	73	5	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	16	1	0	0	50	136	50	186		192	73	5	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	132	122	20	3	1	2	7	62	2	1	0	156	217	233	450	76	291	47	5	208	27	-12	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	114	105	17	2	1	2	6	52	2	1	0	161	223	243	466	81	292	46	5	214	31	-9	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	34	31	5	1	0	0	2	15	1	0	0	163	224	245	469	82	295	44	6	216	31	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	34	31	5	1	0	0	2	15	1	0	0	161	235	194	429	32	312	44	6	216	22	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	95	19	0	0	38	287	19	0	0	160	234	192	426	32	310	44	6	216	22	-53	+0	+0	-4	+14	-4.4
Career	—	MLE		—	177	163	24	3	1	3	9	87	4	1	0	147	210	233	443	86	284	49	5	200	22	-13	+0	+0	-1	+3	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	88	11	4	11	33	319	15	4	0	147	211	234	444	87	282	49	5	200	22	-54	+1	+0	-4	+14	-4.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kotaro Tsunematsu (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	155/215/231	76	291	1	0	47%	5%	27	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Renz 2006 · A	23	35→28	41→45	43→45	34	174/225/260	86	291	10	7	42%	6%	36	-3.4	174/221/308	134	294	18	5	45%	5%	46	-2.6	158/204/302	144	258	20	4	46%	4%	37	-2.5
✕Kenny Diekroeger 2014 · A	23	31	39→40	40→45	30	161/199/232	72	270	8	4	43%	4%	19	-4.6	204/247/279	75	280	7	9	28%	5%	48	-2.5	216/260/284	68	277	6	11	24%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Chris Baker 2018 · A	23	36→30	41→40	48→45	35	181/230/280	99	273	9	6	36%	5%	42	-2.9	187/236/277	90	296	8	7	38%	5%	44	-2.8	168/214/244	77	270	8	5	40%	5%	26	-1.2
✕Luis Curbelo 2021 · A	23	36→23	40→45	44→30	28	172/211/261	88	310	8	4	46%	4%	30	-3.8	169/215/306	137	310	17	4	49%	5%	44	-2.8	139/186/279	140	241	19	1	50%	5%	24	-2.2
✕Kevin Williams Jr. 2019 · A	23	39→35	40	41→40	33	186/234/273	87	313	8	5	41%	5%	42	-2.9	180/231/272	92	321	9	6	44%	5%	41	-3.0	113/163/190	77	210	10	4	50%	4%	-5	-2.1
✕Carlos Pelegrin 2023 · A	23	37	40	46→50	37	171/244/256	85	314	8	6	45%	8%	43	-2.8	197/254/292	95	345	8	8	42%	6%	54	-2.0	177/230/273	96	316	10	10	45%	5%	37	-1.1
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2024 · A	23	36→28	42→45	50	38	174/245/277	102	293	10	9	41%	8%	48	-2.5	170/240/279	109	275	11	11	39%	8%	47	-2.5	138/212/244	106	213	11	13	39%	8%	28	-1.7
✕Gerrion Grim 2017 · A	23	34	41→50	46→40	31	167/214/258	91	296	9	6	45%	5%	32	-3.7	194/233/328	134	283	18	5	37%	4%	55	-1.9	179/211/328	149	233	23	2	35%	3%	45	-1.8
✕Jose De La Cruz 2024 · A	22	37→32	41→40	41→50	32	171/237/259	88	332	10	5	48%	7%	41	-3.0	176/236/268	92	327	10	6	46%	6%	42	-2.9	150/211/233	83	279	10	6	47%	5%	23	-2.2
✕Welinson Baez 2007 · A	23	39→35	40	43→40	33	183/237/283	100	322	7	5	43%	6%	46	-2.6	183/230/278	95	315	8	5	42%	5%	42	-2.9	167/212/256	88	285	8	4	42%	5%	29	-2.2
✕Zach Fish 2016 · A	23	36	44→45	46→30	35	185/232/291	106	277	12	2	37%	5%	46	-2.6	192/243/292	100	293	10	4	36%	6%	50	-2.3	135/187/217	83	203	8	0	37%	5%	9	-1.0
✕Keoni Cavaco 2024 · A	23	37	40	47→45	29	174/219/264	90	331	9	6	48%	5%	34	-3.5	181/231/282	101	353	10	6	48%	6%	43	-2.8	89/133/187	98	182	11	0	57%	4%	-16	-1.3
✕Ryan Higgins 2024 · A	24	35	42→40	45	36	174/242/277	102	277	9	10	38%	6%	47	-2.5	187/251/284	97	310	9	10	40%	6%	52	-2.2	159/224/238	80	273	9	9	43%	5%	30	-2.0
✕Dylan Rosa 2019 · A	23	37→30	43→45	44→45	36	181/242/293	111	304	11	6	42%	7%	50	-2.3	194/246/311	117	297	13	8	37%	5%	56	-1.9	173/226/293	121	274	15	8	41%	5%	42	-1.3
✕J.J. Fernandez 2016 · A	22	39→33	39→40	47→40	33	191/230/281	90	291	6	5	36%	4%	42	-2.9	188/239/282	94	278	7	4	33%	5%	47	-2.6	168/222/257	88	242	7	1	32%	5%	32	-2.9
✕Colin Roberson 2006 · A	23	37	37→45	46→55	31	177/214/246	69	296	5	7	41%	4%	28	-3.9	181/216/267	86	304	6	12	40%	4%	33	-3.6	165/197/254	90	272	7	16	41%	4%	20	-1.9
✕Miguelangel Sierra 2021 · A	23	35→33	43→45	42→45	30	171/220/272	101	319	12	5	48%	6%	37	-3.3	195/264/326	131	315	15	8	40%	7%	67	-1.1	153/233/298	144	234	19	6	41%	6%	48	-1.0
✕John Sansone 2018 · A	24	34→27	42→40	45→40	36	175/240/278	103	273	10	4	38%	6%	47	-2.5	181/235/272	91	292	8	6	39%	5%	42	-2.9	153/195/224	71	253	5	5	40%	3%	13	-2.7
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Kelvin De Leon 2013 · A	22	37→31	39→45	41→40	35	183/229/265	82	281	8	4	36%	5%	38	-3.2	196/241/286	90	286	8	6	33%	5%	48	-2.5	176/213/259	83	247	9	4	32%	4%	28	-1.8