Player 837641 — OGILVIE

Player 8376411B DSL Miami

Age — —/— ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .318 / .289

PA67

HR1

K%24

BB%12

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Miami	—	40	26	8	0	0	1	12	4	0	0	1	308	526	423	949	115	304	10	30	420	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	40	30	7	0	0	1	8	5	0	0	1	233	395	333	728	100	205	12	20	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	40	30	7	0	0	1	8	5	0	0	1	233	395	333	728	100	231	12	20	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	40	26	8	0	0	1	12	4	0	0	1	308	526	423	949	115	304	10	30	420	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	40	32	7	0	0	1	8	5	0	0	1	219	395	312	707	94	205	12	20	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	40	32	7	0	0	1	8	5	0	0	1	219	395	312	707	94	205	12	20	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	200	173	38	4	1	2	24	49	1	2	1	220	320	292	612	72	291	24	12	285	79	-5	+0	+0	-4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	115	99	22	2	1	1	14	28	1	1	0	221	320	298	619	77	290	24	12	287	80	-3	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	216	315	288	603	72	283	—	—	281	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	222	188	41	3	1	3	30	49	1	2	1	218	329	293	621	74	273	22	14	292	84	-4	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	550	121	9	3	9	88	143	3	6	3	220	331	296	627	76	275	22	14	292	84	-15	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837641 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	218/318/289	71	291	1	1	24%	12%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	216/281/312	96	287	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.9	238/297/375	137	293	13	8	23%	5%	90	+0.6	243/303/387	143	295	14	8	22%	5%	91	+0.4
✕David MacKinnon 2021 · A	26	46→49	39→45	47→30	55	216/314/301	85	300	6	5	28%	12%	80	-0.2	233/305/368	135	295	12	4	24%	9%	91	+0.7	234/309/378	144	291	13	2	23%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Maxwell Costes 2023 · A	24	46	38→50	50→45	55	213/319/291	78	295	5	8	26%	12%	80	-0.2	204/280/316	112	256	12	7	25%	7%	71	-0.8	185/261/293	108	223	14	6	24%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	43→41	42→40	47→50	47	208/298/311	103	280	9	10	27%	8%	77	-0.3	209/295/297	88	297	7	10	29%	9%	72	-0.7	165/280/182	17	263	0	6	32%	12%	40	-0.6
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	44→47	40→45	47→50	48	210/298/310	100	284	6	9	26%	9%	76	-0.4	200/280/287	87	290	5	8	30%	9%	63	-1.3	169/254/245	76	255	4	4	32%	9%	43	-1.8
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	213/301/309	96	285	6	10	25%	9%	77	-0.3	204/305/297	93	275	5	10	24%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	207/287/286	78	267	5	9	23%	9%	65	-1.2	209/275/301	92	287	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	182/244/266	84	253	9	5	30%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	44→42	41→45	46→45	45	213/276/315	102	269	8	7	23%	7%	68	-1.0	222/282/335	113	279	9	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/284/340	119	270	10	3	21%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Trey Vavra 2017 · A	25	43→38	41→40	43→45	42	213/277/308	96	273	9	5	25%	6%	67	-1.1	193/266/279	86	272	8	7	30%	6%	57	-1.8	93/190/126	33	148	4	0	37%	6%	-5	-1.3
✕Jake Smith 2008 · A	25	48	39→45	44→40	46	229/291/318	89	290	6	5	22%	7%	74	-0.6	228/282/330	102	283	8	6	21%	5%	74	-0.6	228/281/327	99	277	8	3	20%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Logan Wyatt 2022 · A	24	45→38	36→45	41→40	57	209/311/273	64	283	4	5	25%	12%	72	-0.7	202/278/299	97	274	10	4	28%	9%	65	-1.2	193/263/304	111	251	14	1	28%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Daniel Pinero 2019 · A	25	46→48	40→45	48→40	48	221/287/317	97	277	7	5	22%	8%	73	-0.6	208/276/327	119	275	11	6	27%	7%	71	-0.8	189/259/316	126	247	13	5	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Deibinson Romero 2011 · A	24	41→45	39→50	45→40	44	200/270/288	88	281	7	3	30%	8%	59	-1.6	218/283/344	126	274	14	3	25%	7%	78	-0.3	226/298/362	137	274	14	2	22%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Kyler Fedko 2024 · A	24	42	43→50	50→55	52	208/295/320	112	268	10	10	25%	10%	77	-0.3	203/283/334	131	259	15	18	26%	9%	76	-0.4	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Justin Howard 2013 · A	25	48→46	38→45	41→45	48	225/294/308	83	310	4	6	27%	9%	73	-0.6	237/298/345	108	324	9	7	28%	7%	82	+0.0	242/303/359	117	329	11	6	28%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Matthew Page 2017 · A	25	46	41→45	48→45	44	222/279/324	102	298	7	5	27%	7%	70	-0.8	207/263/301	94	315	7	7	34%	7%	59	-1.6	155/214/216	60	267	4	4	41%	7%	19	-1.4
✕Jeremy Cruz 2012 · A	25	45→43	41→45	45	40	218/262/321	102	289	9	7	27%	5%	63	-1.3	222/267/337	115	302	11	7	29%	5%	69	-0.9	224/255/367	143	306	16	0	32%	2%	68	-0.2
✕Chris Emanuele 2009 · A	25	44	40→45	49→50	43	212/278/311	99	286	7	9	27%	7%	68	-1.0	213/273/316	103	296	9	13	30%	6%	67	-1.1	206/261/305	100	289	10	17	31%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	221/275/299	78	279	4	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	228/276/306	78	292	5	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	230/279/300	70	292	4	8	21%	6%	62	-0.6