Logan Berrier

P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	24	MIX2 levels	26	35	4.63	3.50	21.0%	11.5%	—	K 12.7% · BB 14.8% · FIP 4.54
2026	25	A+DET	39	55	4.45	3.08	20.9%	10.2%	—	K 16.1% · BB 11.8% · FIP 3.80
2027PROJ	26	MLBDET	30	32	4.97	4.97	17.3%	12.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBDET	17	18	4.92	4.94	17.9%	11.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBDET	27	28	4.94	4.98	18.2%	11.7%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsFrancisco Rodriguez (age 27) · Justin Courtney (age 26) · Jacob Bosiokovic (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%17.3%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%5.4%

Proj IP32

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	35	157	33	18	2	0%	1.3	12.7%	14.8%	-2.0%	1.2%	4.63	4.54	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	35	157	33	18	2	0%	1.3	12.7%	14.8%	-2.0%	1.2%	4.63	4.54	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	35	157	33	18	2	0%	1.3	21.0%	11.5%	9.6%	1.3%	4.63	3.50	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	39	0	55	244	51	25	2	0%	1.4	16.1%	11.8%	4.3%	1.0%	4.45	3.80	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	39	0	55	244	51	25	2	0%	1.4	16.1%	11.8%	4.3%	1.0%	4.45	3.80	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	39	0	55	244	51	25	2	0%	1.4	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	0.8%	4.45	3.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	DET	30	0	32	135	23	16	4	0%	1.1	17.3%	12.0%	5.4%	2.6%	4.97	4.97	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	46	0	48	205	37	24	6	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.8%	6.2%	2.7%	4.92	4.94	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	DET	45	0	47	198	36	23	6	0%	1.0	18.2%	11.7%	6.5%	2.8%	4.94	4.98	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	DET	43	0	45	190	35	22	6	0%	1.0	18.2%	11.8%	6.4%	3.0%	5.01	5.08	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	17	0	18	76	14	9	2	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.8%	6.2%	2.7%	4.92	4.94	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	DET	27	0	28	118	22	14	3	0%	1.0	18.2%	11.7%	6.5%	2.8%	4.94	4.98	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	DET	30	0	32	135	25	16	4	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.8%	6.4%	3.0%	5.01	5.08	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		73	0	77	325	59	38	9	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.8%	6.4%	2.9%	4.96	4.63	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	99	23	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.8%	6.4%	2.9%	4.96	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		65	0	90	401	59	52	4	0%	1.4	14.8%	12.9%	1.8%	1.1%	4.52	4.09	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	0	200	894	132	116	10	0%	1.4	14.8%	12.9%	1.8%	1.1%	4.52	4.09	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan Berrier (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	17.3%	12.0%	2.6%	—	5.00	18.1%	6.4%	140	+0.03	—	—	—
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	91
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	89
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	88
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	88
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	88
Jake Johansen R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	26	SU	4.65	15.9%	12.1%	2.5%	.273	3.65	12.8%	4.9%	48	-1.00	3.65	162	88
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	87
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	87
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	86
Grant Sides R 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	17.2%	13.2%	1.2%	.266	3.83	22.4%	10.5%	62	-0.13	3.31	159	86
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	86
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	86
Greg Burke R 2009 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	16.2%	8.8%	2.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	139	86
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	85
Matt Wivinis R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	19.5%	12.2%	1.5%	.262	5.95	14.5%	6.2%	17	+2.11	1.61	124	85
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	85
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	85
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	85
Rene Coss R 2015 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	16.7%	13.9%	1.2%	.250	4.79	13.0%	2.1%	82	+0.68	3.84	123	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	43	18.0%	11.8%	1.08	4.96
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*