Aidan Layton — OGILVIE

Aidan Layton P Stockton Ports

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 70 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%13.1%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%4.3%

ROS IP70

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5555

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	28	2	59	280	50	17	11	7%	2.1	13.2%	7.2%	6.1%	4.6%	8.24	5.41	—
2025	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	28	2	59	280	50	17	11	7%	2.1	13.2%	7.2%	6.1%	4.6%	8.24	5.41	—
2025	23	A RAW	Stockton Ports	28	2	59	280	50	17	11	7%	2.1	17.9%	6.1%	11.8%	3.9%	8.24	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	OAK	67	0	70	296	39	26	9	0%	1.0	13.1%	8.8%	4.3%	3.1%	5.20	5.20	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	67	0	70	296	44	26	9	0%	1.0	15.0%	8.8%	6.2%	3.1%	5.07	5.04	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	66	0	69	291	46	26	9	0%	1.0	15.7%	8.9%	6.7%	3.1%	5.02	5.02	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	OAK	64	0	67	282	45	26	9	0%	1.0	15.9%	9.1%	6.8%	3.2%	5.03	5.07	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	OAK	61	0	64	270	43	25	9	0%	1.0	15.9%	9.3%	6.5%	3.4%	5.11	5.18	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	29	0	30	127	19	11	4	0%	1.0	15.0%	8.8%	6.2%	3.1%	5.07	5.04	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	41	0	43	182	28	16	6	0%	1.0	15.7%	8.9%	6.7%	3.1%	5.02	5.02	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	OAK	48	0	50	211	34	19	7	0%	1.0	15.9%	9.1%	6.8%	3.2%	5.03	5.07	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	OAK	50	0	52	220	35	20	7	0%	1.0	15.9%	9.3%	6.5%	3.4%	5.11	5.18	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	175	741	116	67	24	0%	1.1	15.7%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	5.06	4.70	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	132	76	27	0%	1.1	15.7%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	5.06	4.70	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		28	2	59	280	37	20	13	7%	2.1	13.2%	7.2%	6.1%	4.6%	8.24	5.41	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	7	200	949	125	68	44	7%	2.1	13.2%	7.2%	6.1%	4.6%	8.24	5.41	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aidan Layton (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	13.1%	8.8%	3.1%	—	5.04	15.5%	6.6%	206	-0.16	—	—	—
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	89
Brian Bass R 2008 · 4.70 FIP	26	SU	4.70	11.6%	7.0%	3.1%	.283	4.70	13.5%	3.7%	86	+0.00	4.70	176	88
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	88
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	87
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	85
Raul Fernandez R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	14.2%	9.4%	1.7%	.285	4.79	16.1%	5.0%	103	+0.76	4.03	165	85
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	85
Scott Burke R 2019 · 5.27 FIP	25	SU	5.27	14.9%	8.2%	4.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	119	85
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	85
Jack Jasiak R 2024 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	15.2%	8.6%	3.1%	.332	3.39	22.3%	15.0%	126	-1.20	3.24	262	85
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	25	SU	4.59	15.1%	10.4%	2.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	218	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
El'Hajj Muhammad R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	13.6%	10.0%	2.5%	.285	5.01	7.1%	-2.5%	11	+0.43	4.58	113	84
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	84
Tai Tiedemann R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	11.5%	8.0%	2.5%	.319	6.93	8.2%	-3.7%	61	+2.39	3.87	190	84
Daury Torrez R 2018 · 4.28 FIP	25	SU	4.28	12.9%	6.5%	2.6%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	356	84
John Kuchno R 2016 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	10.2%	8.6%	3.3%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.43	162	84
Garrett Farmer R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	25	SU	4.55	13.4%	8.3%	2.8%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	1.40	127	83
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	83
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	15.1%	9.0%	1.24	5.09
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Matt Whiteside ('05)	2.0	58	14.5%	8.8%	1.15	5.23
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Mike Lincoln ('10)	1.9	54	14.1%	8.9%	1.32	5.33