Player 827651 — OGILVIE

Player 8276511B DSL LAD Bautista

Age — —/— ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†29

AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .230 / .222

PA62

HR0

K%39

BB%6

ISO50

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	22	20	3	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	150	227	150	377		273	41	9	187	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		185	50	5	115	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		200	50	5	115	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	22	20	3	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	150	227	150	377		273	41	9	187	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		185	50	5	115	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		185	50	5	115	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	200	184	32	4	1	1	13	79	1	2	1	173	232	223	455	50	291	40	6	211	29	-17	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	106	97	18	2	1	1	7	41	1	1	0	177	236	233	468	56	290	39	7	217	33	-8	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	173	233	227	460	54	284	—	—	213	33	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	190	176	29	3	1	1	12	76	1	1	0	165	222	210	432	45	280	40	6	203	24	-14	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	98	10	3	3	41	260	3	3	0	163	219	204	424	42	278	40	6	203	24	-53	+1	+0	-12	+14	-5.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 827651 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	172/230/222	50	291	0	0	39%	6%	29	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕Jason Matthews 2023 · A	26	37→31	36→30	49→45	34	172/235/237	65	304	4	8	42%	6%	34	-3.5	169/241/238	69	278	6	10	38%	7%	38	-3.2	166/245/231	65	251	6	9	34%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Devin Hairston 2021 · A	25	35	34→30	41→40	34	166/218/217	51	288	2	5	41%	6%	23	-4.3	183/234/267	84	302	7	7	39%	6%	41	-3.0	160/211/239	79	262	7	6	40%	6%	24	-1.6
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Randy Gress 2009 · A	24	32	37→30	45→40	31	163/202/235	73	267	4	6	40%	4%	21	-4.4	189/235/267	78	277	6	5	32%	5%	41	-3.0	178/224/245	67	250	6	2	30%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Dillon Moyer 2014 · A	23	34→38	36→30	45→50	35	165/217/233	68	275	4	6	40%	6%	26	-4.0	164/217/220	56	280	2	8	39%	6%	24	-4.2	145/198/192	47	253	1	9	40%	5%	7	-3.5
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Kyle Davis 2011 · A	24	36	34→30	48→45	40	174/237/223	49	268	2	5	34%	7%	32	-3.6	180/235/246	66	302	4	8	39%	6%	36	-3.3	93/124/129	36	185	3	11	50%	3%	-35	-1.4
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Beau Seabury 2010 · A	25	40	36→30	42→45	36	191/243/254	63	297	4	6	35%	5%	41	-3.0	204/252/280	76	301	5	5	32%	5%	51	-2.3	194/236/260	67	285	4	1	32%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Myles Emmerson 2024 · A	26	39	35→40	47→40	40	186/244/245	59	288	3	5	34%	7%	39	-3.1	195/257/278	83	287	6	5	32%	7%	52	-2.2	182/250/270	88	256	8	2	30%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Anibal Sierra 2018 · A	24	36→33	38→40	41→40	34	175/235/251	76	289	6	6	40%	6%	38	-3.2	178/234/256	78	288	7	5	38%	5%	38	-3.2	165/221/237	71	265	7	4	38%	5%	27	-2.6
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Scott Madsen 2007 · A	25	42	35→30	47→55	36	194/251/255	61	307	1	10	35%	5%	45	-2.7	192/245/245	53	280	2	13	30%	4%	40	-3.1	169/219/197	28	241	0	19	28%	3%	17	-2.4
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	36	172/214/248	76	250	5	4	33%	5%	29	-3.8	180/221/240	60	267	5	3	33%	5%	29	-3.8	163/200/201	38	244	3	0	33%	4%	10	-1.7
✕Luis Segovia 2010 · A	24	40	35→30	44→50	34	188/233/253	65	296	2	7	36%	4%	36	-3.3	198/246/284	86	307	6	8	36%	5%	49	-2.4	172/206/256	84	271	8	3	38%	2%	24	-1.0
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9