Player 825471 — OGILVIE

Player 8254711B DSL Tigers 2

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA

wRC+30

AVG/OBP/SLG.149 / .235 / .205

PA65

HR0

K%45

BB%6

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	34	26	0	0	0	0	3	18	4	0	0		206		206			53	9	148	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	34	28	0	0	0	0	2	22	4	0	0		176		176			65	6	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	34	28	0	0	0	0	2	22	4	0	0		176		176			65	6	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	34	26	0	0	0	0	3	18	4	0	0		206		206			53	9	148	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	34	28	0	0	0	0	2	22	4	0	0		176		176			65	6	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	34	28	0	0	0	0	2	22	4	0	0		176		176			65	6	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	200	177	26	4	1	1	13	90	8	2	1	150	237	207	444	57	290	45	6	212	30	-17	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	112	100	16	3	1	1	7	49	4	1	0	155	241	217	458	62	290	44	6	218	34	-9	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	155	241	217	458	62	290	—	—	218	34	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	211	187	24	4	1	1	13	100	10	2	0	128	224	176	400	48	264	47	6	197	20	-14	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	73	12	3	3	40	308	31	6	0	127	223	174	396	47	261	47	6	197	20	-52	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 825471 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	149/235/205	56	290	0	1	45%	6%	30	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕Jason Matthews 2023 · A	26	37→31	36→30	49→45	34	172/235/237	65	304	4	8	42%	6%	34	-3.5	169/241/238	69	278	6	10	38%	7%	38	-3.2	166/245/231	65	251	6	9	34%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Anibal Sierra 2018 · A	24	36→33	38→40	41→40	34	175/235/251	76	289	6	6	40%	6%	38	-3.2	178/234/256	78	288	7	5	38%	5%	38	-3.2	165/221/237	71	265	7	4	38%	5%	27	-2.6
✕Liam Spence 2022 · A	24	40	38→40	45	39	190/250/264	74	304	5	8	37%	7%	47	-2.6	186/263/270	84	278	7	8	33%	9%	53	-2.1	154/243/226	72	228	7	5	33%	10%	35	-0.9
✕Devin Hairston 2021 · A	25	35	34→30	41→40	34	166/218/217	51	288	2	5	41%	6%	23	-4.3	183/234/267	84	302	7	7	39%	6%	41	-3.0	160/211/239	79	262	7	6	40%	6%	24	-1.6
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Patrick Palmeiro 2014 · A	24	33	39→45	45→30	33	170/209/252	82	260	6	3	36%	4%	28	-3.9	186/227/291	105	288	11	4	38%	5%	44	-2.8	156/189/271	115	229	17	0	40%	4%	22	-1.6
✕William Vazquez 2010 · A	25	39	38→40	47→40	37	186/242/270	83	280	4	5	33%	5%	45	-2.7	186/252/260	74	280	5	6	33%	6%	47	-2.6	157/234/186	29	234	2	2	31%	6%	22	-1.2
✕Welinson Baez 2008 · A	24	38→35	40	43→40	33	179/228/275	96	314	7	5	43%	6%	40	-3.0	193/240/290	97	316	8	6	39%	5%	48	-2.5	164/203/247	83	258	8	2	38%	4%	23	-1.3
✕Myles Emmerson 2024 · A	26	39	35→40	47→40	40	186/244/245	59	288	3	5	34%	7%	39	-3.1	195/257/278	83	287	6	5	32%	7%	52	-2.2	182/250/270	88	256	8	2	30%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Ben Verlander 2016 · A	24	36→34	37→40	46→40	37	180/224/248	68	255	5	4	31%	5%	32	-3.6	197/245/277	80	273	5	5	28%	5%	47	-2.6	195/241/273	78	265	5	2	27%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Carlos Mesa 2013 · A	25	34	39→45	44→40	24	167/194/245	78	306	8	5	47%	3%	20	-4.5	173/206/277	104	312	11	5	46%	3%	32	-3.6	148/180/261	112	259	13	2	47%	3%	17	-1.9
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Randy Gress 2009 · A	24	32	37→30	45→40	31	163/202/235	73	267	4	6	40%	4%	21	-4.4	189/235/267	78	277	6	5	32%	5%	41	-3.0	178/224/245	67	250	6	2	30%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Connor Myers 2018 · A	24	34→43	36→40	49→50	30	166/205/227	61	286	3	11	42%	4%	19	-4.5	196/238/273	77	319	4	15	38%	4%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	77	326	3	20	39%	4%	41	-1.5
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8