Lane Haworth — OGILVIE

Lane HaworthOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 L/L A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .313 / .300

PA54

HR1

K%27

BB%11

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	16	4	1	0	0	6	4	1	1	0	250	478	312	791	62	333	17	26	388	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	18	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	1	0	222	391	278	669	56	304	22	17	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	18	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	1	0	222	391	278	669	56	308	22	17	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	16	4	1	0	0	6	4	1	1	0	250	478	312	791	62	333	17	26	388	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	18	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	1	0	222	391	278	669	56	304	22	17	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	18	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	1	0	222	391	278	669	56	304	22	17	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	133	115	25	5	1	1	15	36	2	3	1	213	316	303	619	90	291	27	11	287	80	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	153	132	28	5	1	2	17	40	3	3	1	215	317	311	628	95	292	26	11	290	82	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	46%	271	234	51	10	1	4	30	71	5	5	1	218	318	318	636	100	293	26	11	293	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	346	300	67	13	2	5	37	90	6	7	1	220	318	323	642	104	293	26	11	295	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	395	343	75	14	2	6	42	102	7	7	2	221	318	328	646	107	292	26	11	296	87	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	419	365	80	15	2	7	44	108	7	7	2	221	317	329	646	108	292	26	11	296	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	431	375	83	16	2	7	46	112	7	6	1	219	315	324	639	105	291	26	11	293	85	-8	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	431	376	82	16	2	6	45	113	7	5	1	217	312	318	630	101	289	26	10	290	82	-9	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	427	372	80	15	2	6	45	113	7	3	1	213	309	310	618	96	287	26	11	285	79	-11	+0	-2	-3	+9	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	53	46	10	2	0	1	6	14	1	1	0	216	318	314	631	98	292	26	11	291	82	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	46%	125	108	24	4	1	2	14	33	2	2	0	219	319	321	640	102	293	26	11	294	84	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	179	155	34	6	1	3	19	46	3	3	1	221	319	327	646	106	293	26	11	296	86	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	214	185	42	8	1	4	23	55	4	4	1	222	319	332	651	110	292	26	11	298	87	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	227	197	44	8	1	4	24	58	4	4	1	222	318	333	652	111	292	26	11	298	87	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	234	203	45	8	1	4	25	61	4	3	1	220	316	328	644	108	291	26	11	295	85	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	229	199	44	8	1	4	24	60	4	3	1	218	313	321	635	104	289	26	10	291	82	-5	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	224	196	42	8	1	3	23	60	3	2	0	214	309	313	622	99	287	27	10	286	79	-6	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1485	1289	285	52	7	25	158	387	25	22	5	221	318	330	648	109	294	26	11	294	84	-28	+2	-2	-9	+32	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	125	23	3	11	69	169	11	10	2	222	318	332	650	110	295	26	11	294	84	-12	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2950	2562	560	107	14	44	316	768	51	45	10	219	316	323	639	104	293	26	11	292	84	-56	+5	-4	-18	+63	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	124	24	3	10	70	169	11	10	2	219	318	326	643	106	293	26	11	292	84	-12	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.3	1,538	23	24	219	313	322	-9	+0	0.7	0.7
/162	664	10	10	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lane Haworth (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	211/313/300	89	291	1	1	27%	11%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Franco 2013 · A	21	41→49	37→45	49→45	46	195/264/270	75	273	5	9	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/262/288	80	293	6	7	29%	7%	55	-1.9	214/266/324	110	318	13	2	35%	6%	64	-1.1
✕Joe Naranjo 2022 · A	21	43→48	38→40	50→45	41	200/265/272	71	308	5	7	35%	7%	54	-2.0	197/280/291	94	294	9	5	33%	10%	65	-1.2	183/272/272	89	271	9	3	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Baltazar Lopez 2006 · A	22	47	36→50	45	38	216/262/282	66	335	2	8	35%	6%	54	-2.0	242/288/342	100	344	9	7	30%	6%	78	-0.3	251/290/370	119	338	13	8	29%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Dillon Dobson 2016 · A	22	42→43	40→50	50→40	38	205/246/305	100	285	6	5	30%	5%	53	-2.1	201/247/336	135	292	14	3	35%	5%	62	-1.4	185/235/323	138	272	16	3	37%	5%	53	-1.5
✕Robbie Widlansky 2009 · A	24	44→54	40→45	51→45	42	213/257/313	100	268	7	8	23%	5%	60	-1.6	250/289/361	111	302	9	4	20%	4%	83	+0.1	253/301/351	98	301	8	4	18%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Yermín Mercedes 2015 · A	22	43→53	37→50	45	49	201/271/269	68	241	4	7	18%	7%	56	-1.9	233/271/374	141	281	16	3	23%	5%	79	-0.2	242/292/392	150	282	20	3	21%	6%	92	+0.5
✕Blake Lalli 2007 · A	24	43→53	39→45	47→30	41	206/256/289	83	264	6	8	24%	5%	54	-2.0	256/291/359	103	310	8	4	20%	4%	83	+0.1	281/323/380	98	326	7	0	15%	5%	98	+0.9
✕Carlos Sanchez 2012 · A	21	42	39→45	46→45	47	199/253/290	90	234	5	7	17%	6%	53	-2.1	204/239/319	115	254	9	4	23%	4%	54	-2.0	195/222/324	129	237	11	2	23%	3%	48	-1.1
✕Tim Lynch 2017 · A	24	41	38→60	50→30	48	192/258/284	92	245	3	4	22%	8%	54	-2.0	216/269/357	141	274	15	3	26%	6%	75	-0.5	234/281/446	212	278	28	0	27%	5%	98	+0.5
✕Romy Gonzalez 2021 · A	24	40→44	41→50	51→55	36	194/250/296	102	302	8	10	37%	6%	54	-2.0	219/265/361	142	317	17	18	35%	5%	75	-0.5	270/316/424	155	341	15	16	25%	5%	108	+0.9
✕Henry Wrigley 2010 · A	23	42→48	43→50	48→45	38	208/234/325	117	250	10	7	22%	3%	53	-2.1	228/257/366	138	271	14	5	21%	4%	72	-0.7	232/263/388	157	269	17	3	21%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Michael Flacco 2010 · A	23	43→44	39→45	52→45	40	205/250/298	93	263	5	8	24%	4%	53	-2.1	213/270/306	93	276	6	6	24%	6%	63	-1.3	201/263/296	94	258	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Jose Roman 2011 · A	20	41	38→40	46→45	48	197/262/276	79	257	4	5	24%	8%	54	-2.0	208/273/287	79	253	5	6	19%	8%	60	-1.6	205/275/274	70	235	5	6	14%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Balbino Fuenmayor 2013 · A	23	42→50	41→50	47→30	34	203/247/301	98	315	8	5	37%	5%	53	-2.1	230/275/368	138	320	15	5	32%	5%	80	-0.2	274/301/416	142	321	17	0	20%	3%	98	+0.7
✕Francisco Rodriguez 2016 · A	21	36	39→40	45→50	52	177/278/262	85	239	6	9	27%	10%	59	-1.7	177/255/260	83	300	6	6	40%	7%	49	-2.4	140/214/242	101	243	8	2	43%	6%	26	-1.0
✕Brandon Bayardi 2014 · A	23	39	43→50	49→45	38	197/251/302	105	257	11	8	27%	4%	56	-1.9	219/273/344	125	290	13	7	28%	5%	74	-0.6	223/280/362	139	292	16	7	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Alex Vargas 2008 · A	22	45	37→30	48→50	46	212/258/286	74	254	4	9	18%	6%	53	-2.1	217/260/297	80	261	4	8	18%	5%	57	-1.8	224/256/288	65	251	3	7	12%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Kewby Meyer 2016 · A	23	42	41→40	46→45	44	206/249/300	93	243	9	6	19%	5%	54	-2.0	226/261/320	94	280	8	6	22%	4%	63	-1.4	254/271/348	94	306	9	3	20%	1%	70	-0.3
✕Fernando Pacheco 2006 · A	21	39→37	43→45	49→30	38	199/244/306	107	271	10	3	30%	5%	53	-2.1	194/244/303	109	274	13	4	33%	5%	53	-2.1	172/225/273	102	238	15	2	34%	5%	37	-1.4
✕Richard Jones 2011 · A	23	40→49	46→55	49→30	31	204/230/329	124	293	13	5	35%	3%	53	-2.1	226/262/362	136	322	15	2	33%	3%	74	-0.6	227/263/368	141	321	16	0	33%	3%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps