Carlos Garces — OGILVIE

Carlos GarcesIF ACL Guardians

Age 19 S/R 5'7" / 143 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION156 act + 104 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .311 / .300

PA104

HR1

SB7

K%24

BB%10

BABIP277

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$3M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$36M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	113	18	4	1	0	11	22	3	4	6	159	252	212	464	53	191	17	8	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	106	24	6	2	0	18	15	3	4	6	226	354	321	675	94	255	12	14	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	151	28	4	4	1	18	16	15	16	2	185	332	285	616	99	193	8	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	141	33	5	5	1	28	11	15	16	2	234	413	362	775	128	237	6	15	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CLE	—	156	124	27	3	2	2	18	36	9	26	5	218	358	323	680	105	287	23	12	289	79	-4	+3	+0	+0	+4	0.4
YTD	19	ROK	CLE	—	156	113	31	4	2	2	29	25	9	26	5	274	457	398	855	124	333	16	19	386	153	+9	+3	+0	+0	+4	1.7
ROS	19	ROK	CLE	0%	104	90	19	3	1	1	10	25	3	7	1	211	311	300	611	89	278	24	10	284	75	-3	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	261	58	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CLE	—	156	125	27	3	2	2	18	36	9	26	5	216	358	320	678	104	284	23	12	289	79	-4	+3	+0	+0	+4	0.4
TOT	19	ROK	CLE	—	260	214	46	6	3	3	28	61	12	33	6	215	339	313	652	98	283	23	11	287	78	-7	+4	+0	+0	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CLE	34%	285	248	55	9	3	4	27	66	8	9	2	222	318	331	649	109	280	23	9	291	81	-6	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.3
2028	21	MLB	CLE	48%	397	347	77	13	3	6	37	91	10	12	2	222	315	329	643	107	282	23	9	299	87	-6	+2	+0	+0	+11	0.7
2029	22	MLB	CLE	54%	476	416	95	16	4	9	45	108	12	13	3	228	321	351	672	123	284	23	9	304	91	-5	+1	+0	+0	+13	1.0
2030	23	MLB	CLE	57%	527	459	105	18	4	10	50	118	13	14	3	229	322	351	673	122	285	22	9	307	93	-4	+2	+0	+0	+15	1.3
2031	24	MLB	CLE	57%	560	488	113	19	5	11	53	125	14	14	3	232	324	359	683	127	286	22	9	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+0	+16	1.4
2032	25	MLB	CLE	57%	579	504	118	20	5	12	55	129	15	15	3	234	328	365	693	131	286	22	9	310	95	-3	+2	+0	+0	+16	1.6
2033	26	MLB	CLE	56%	588	512	119	20	5	12	56	131	15	15	3	232	326	361	687	129	285	22	10	310	96	-3	+2	+0	+0	+17	1.6
2034	27	MLB	CLE	55%	589	512	119	20	5	12	57	132	15	15	3	232	327	361	688	129	285	22	10	310	96	-3	+2	+0	+0	+17	1.6
2035	28	MLB	CLE	55%	585	508	118	20	5	12	57	132	15	14	3	232	328	362	690	130	285	23	10	309	95	-3	+2	-1	+0	+17	1.4
2036	29	MLB	CLE	53%	576	501	114	19	5	11	56	131	14	13	3	228	322	351	674	124	284	23	10	307	93	-4	+1	-1	+0	+16	1.2
2037	30	MLB	CLE	57%	565	491	111	19	4	11	55	130	14	13	3	226	321	348	670	122	282	23	10	305	91	-6	+1	-2	+0	+16	1.0
2038	31	MLB	CLE	60%	551	478	107	18	4	10	54	128	14	12	2	224	321	341	662	117	280	23	10	300	88	-7	+2	-3	+0	+16	0.7
2027	20	MLB	CLE	34%	98	86	18	3	1	1	9	23	3	3	1	209	306	302	608	93	281	23	9	272	67	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	CLE	48%	192	167	37	6	2	3	18	44	5	6	1	222	316	335	651	114	283	23	9	280	73	-6	+1	+0	+0	+5	0.0
2029	22	MLB	CLE	54%	258	225	52	9	2	5	24	58	7	7	2	231	324	356	680	124	284	22	9	286	77	-7	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB	CLE	57%	298	261	60	10	3	6	28	67	7	8	2	230	321	360	681	130	285	22	9	289	79	-7	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	CLE	57%	317	276	64	11	3	6	30	71	8	8	2	232	325	359	684	127	286	22	9	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
2032	25	MLB	CLE	57%	327	285	67	11	3	7	31	73	8	8	2	235	327	368	696	133	286	22	9	292	81	-7	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
2033	26	MLB	CLE	56%	332	289	67	11	3	7	32	74	8	8	2	232	325	363	689	131	286	22	10	292	82	-7	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
2034	27	MLB	CLE	55%	327	284	66	11	3	7	32	73	8	8	2	232	327	366	693	134	286	22	10	292	82	-7	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
2035	28	MLB	CLE	55%	321	279	64	11	3	6	31	72	8	8	2	229	324	355	679	125	285	22	10	291	81	-7	+1	-0	+0	+9	0.3
2036	29	MLB	CLE	53%	308	267	60	10	2	6	30	70	8	7	2	225	321	345	666	120	284	23	10	289	80	-7	+1	-1	+0	+9	0.1
2037	30	MLB	CLE	57%	323	280	64	11	3	6	32	74	8	7	2	229	325	354	679	125	283	23	10	287	77	-8	+1	-1	+0	+9	0.0
2038	31	MLB	CLE	60%	328	285	64	11	2	6	32	76	8	7	1	225	320	340	660	116	281	23	10	283	74	-9	+1	-2	+0	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3429	2985	683	115	30	66	329	775	86	85	21	229	323	354	677	125	285	23	10	288	79	-82	+9	-4	+0	+97	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	130	22	6	13	62	147	16	16	4	230	323	359	682	129	285	23	10	288	79	-16	+2	-1	+0	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	6703	5818	1316	222	58	122	641	1484	180	186	42	226	322	347	669	121	281	22	10	303	90	-75	+20	-7	+0	+190	13.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	129	22	6	12	62	144	17	18	4	229	323	353	676	124	284	22	10	303	90	-7	+2	-1	+0	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	106	24	6	2	0	18	15	3	4	6	226	354	321	675	94	255	12	14	309	95	-1	-2	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	141	33	5	5	1	28	11	15	16	2	234	413	362	775	128	237	6	15	351	127	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,618	67	91	229	319	350	+0	+0	7.7	6.7
	/162	664	12	17	229	319	350	+0.0	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 6
#3Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Garces (OGILVIE)	19	45	25	60	55	215/339/313	98	283	3	33	23%	11%	78	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	63	-0.8	199/289/276	77	291	4	13	30%	10%	60	-1.0	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A	19	51	38→30	52→50	47	238/298/316	77	309	5	17	24%	7%	72	-0.2	235/296/294	59	278	3	14	15%	7%	66	-0.6	241/304/284	43	277	1	17	12%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→42	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	69	-0.4	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	76	+0.0	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	47→57	34→30	53→60	52	216/292/271	55	261	1	19	16%	8%	59	-1.1	225/304/282	57	280	1	24	18%	9%	67	-0.5	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Candido Pimentel 2010 · A	20	48	36→30	54→55	51	223/302/295	72	308	3	17	26%	10%	69	-0.4	217/280/273	56	305	2	15	27%	8%	53	-1.5	241/290/282	41	339	1	17	27%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	47	34→30	55→60	55	215/311/263	48	261	2	25	17%	10%	66	-0.6	226/302/298	72	296	4	17	23%	8%	70	-0.3	242/304/298	57	323	4	23	25%	6%	70	-0.1
✕Michael Chirinos 2019 · A	19	49	36→40	51→55	56	226/296/292	67	252	4	11	12%	9%	66	-0.6	223/285/300	77	247	6	14	12%	8%	63	-0.8	217/274/284	67	224	7	22	7%	7%	60	-0.4
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	64	-0.8	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	63	-0.8	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	59	-1.1	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Luis Barahona 2012 · A	18	46	36→30	53→50	48	216/284/286	70	285	3	14	24%	8%	59	-1.1	206/260/268	62	282	2	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	200/252/254	54	273	0	16	25%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	63	-0.9	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	58	-1.2	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	60	-1.0	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Geraldo Quintero 2021 · A	19	44→50	38→40	51→60	49	207/277/289	82	253	5	16	20%	7%	58	-1.2	209/274/295	86	277	4	19	24%	7%	57	-1.2	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5