Carlos Garces

IF ACL Guardians
Age 20 S/R 5'7" / 143 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1596ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL CLE Mendo…130.226/.354/.3210426—.135/.244/.180
202518ROKDSL CLE Mendo…191.234/.413/.36211653—.154/.315/.235
202619ROKCLE172.244/.422/.35422665—.196/.331/.290
2027PROJMLE20MLBCLE282.211/.293/.29527690.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCLE48.215/.298/.3091175-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCLE113.219/.302/.3232380-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Speed96
K%81
Whiff%74
Z-Con%72
wRC+66
BB%64
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.7, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%
CompsMike McDade (age 19) · Jimmy Paredes (age 21) · Stanley Martinez (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .291 / .293
PA89
HR1
K%24
BB%8
ISO85
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-1$0.4M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $1M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 130106 24620 18153 46 226354321675 94255 1214 309 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 191141 33551 281115 162 234413362775 128237 615 351 53 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Guardians — 172127 31422 30269 265 244422354776 110287 1517 354 65 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 130111 15310 13193 46 135244180424 45158 1510 207 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 191149 23331 201415 162 154315235550 81148 710 247 53 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 172138 27322 19379 265 196331290621 94228 2211 265 65 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 130111 15310 13193 46 135244180424 45158 1510 207 26 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 130106 24620 18153 46 226354321675 94255 1214 309 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 191149 23331 201415 162 154315235550 81157 710 247 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 191141 33551 281115 162 234413362775 128237 615 351 53 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 172138 27322 19379 265 196331290621 94248 2211 265 65 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 172127 31422 30269 265 244422354776 110287 1517 354 65 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 130113 15310 13193 46 133244177421 44158 1510 207 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 191154 23331 201415 162 149315227542 78148 710 247 53 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 172142 27322 19379 265 190331282613 92228 2211 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 130113 15310 13193 46 133244177421 44158 1510 207 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 191154 23331 201415 162 149315227542 78148 710 247 53 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 172142 27322 19379 265 190331282613 92228 2211 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECLE 0% 282251 53932 24675 71 211293295588 85276 249 271 69 -10 +1 +0 +0 +6 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECLE 34% 139123 27512 12333 31 216298313611 97278 249 279 75 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
202922 MLB MLECLE 48% 234208 45823 20554 61 220302326628 106280 249 286 80 -6 +1 +0 +0 +5 0.0
203023 MLB MLECLE 54% 329292 651135 28766 82 223305336641 113281 239 291 83 -7 +1 +0 +0 +7 0.1
203124 MLB MLECLE 55% 394350 791437 34917 102 226307344651 118283 239 295 86 -7 +1 +0 +0 +9 0.3
203225 MLB MLECLE 56% 434386 881548 371008 112 227308349657 122283 239 297 87 -7 +1 +0 +0 +9 0.4
203326 MLB MLECLE 56% 453403 911648 391048 113 227308349657 122283 239 297 87 -7 +1 +0 +0 +10 0.4
203427 MLB MLECLE 55% 460409 921648 401078 113 226307347654 121282 239 296 86 -8 +1 +0 +0 +10 0.4
203528 MLB MLECLE 55% 460409 921648 401088 103 224305342647 118281 239 293 84 -9 +1 -1 +0 +10 0.2
203629 MLB MLECLE 53% 452402 891548 391078 93 222302335637 114280 249 289 82 -10 +1 -1 +0 +10 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXCLE 34% 4843 10201 4111 10 215298309607 94277 238 278 75 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXCLE 48% 113100 23412 10262 31 219302323624 103279 239 285 80 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
203023 MLB CTXCLE 54% 178158 35613 15413 41 223304333637 110280 238 290 83 -4 +0 +0 +0 +4 0.1
203124 MLB CTXCLE 55% 218193 44824 19504 51 225307341647 116282 239 293 86 -4 +1 +0 +0 +5 0.2
203225 MLB CTXCLE 56% 243216 49924 21564 61 227308346654 119282 239 296 87 -4 +1 +0 +0 +5 0.2
203326 MLB CTXCLE 56% 255226 52925 22595 61 227308346654 120282 239 296 87 -4 +1 +0 +0 +6 0.3
203427 MLB CTXCLE 55% 254226 51925 22594 61 225307344650 118282 239 295 86 -4 +1 +0 +0 +6 0.2
203528 MLB CTXCLE 55% 252224 50924 22594 61 224305339644 115281 239 292 84 -5 +1 -0 +0 +5 0.1
203629 MLB CTXCLE 53% 241214 47824 21574 51 221302333634 112279 249 288 82 -5 +1 -1 +0 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18021600 361641432 15641831 428 226307343650 118284 239 292 80 -33 +5 -1 +0 +39 1.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 13123512 5615111 153 227307347654 120285 239 292 80 -12 +2 -0 +0 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 39373460 7501283661 34887289 12733 217305327632 111270 229 286 80 -66 +8 -2 +0 +75 1.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 12421610 5714415 215 217304327632 110271 229 286 80 -12 +2 -0 +0 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Guardians · 172 PAwOBA .350 → .265 (−85)K% 15.1% → 21.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.12%÷1.000×1.440——21.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.44%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99510.76%
HBP% /PA5.23%—×0.720—×0.9953.75%
Singles /BIP22.77%÷1.000×0.820×1.002×0.99518.62%
Doubles /BIP3.96%÷1.000×0.720×1.002×0.9952.84%
Triples /BIP1.98%÷1.000×0.720×1.002×0.9951.42%
Home runs /BIP1.98%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9951.54%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .350 → .265; ISO .110 → .089; BABIP .287 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 191 PAwOBA .355 → .247 (−108)K% 5.8% → 7.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.76%÷0.981×1.220——7.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.66%÷0.977×0.700—×0.99510.45%
HBP% /PA7.85%—×0.700—×0.9955.47%
Singles /BIP16.92%÷1.003×0.680×0.950×0.99510.85%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷0.970×0.600×0.950×0.9952.25%
Triples /BIP3.85%÷0.991×0.600×0.950×0.9952.20%
Home runs /BIP0.77%÷0.940×0.470—×0.9950.38%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 98, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .355 → .247; ISO .128 → .081; BABIP .237 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 130 PAwOBA .309 → .207 (−102)K% 11.5% → 14.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.54%÷0.987×1.220——14.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.85%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0089.90%
HBP% /PA2.31%—×0.700—×1.0081.63%
Singles /BIP17.58%÷0.995×0.680×0.959×1.00811.60%
Doubles /BIP6.59%÷1.091×0.600×0.959×1.0083.50%
Triples /BIP2.20%÷1.045×0.600×0.959×1.0081.22%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .309 → .207; ISO .094 → .054; BABIP .255 → .158. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).