Kevin Fitzer — OGILVIE

Kevin Fitzer1B Spokane Indians

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .244 / .261

PA1

HR0

K%42

BB%7

BABIP287

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	469	408	100	18	5	5	40	102	13	7	4	245	332	350	682	105	310	22	9	307	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	309	258	43	13	0	7	40	107	9	2	1	167	300	298	598	132	248	35	13	280	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	469	424	79	13	4	4	24	146	13	7	4	186	252	264	516	78	257	31	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	309	270	31	9	0	5	28	144	9	2	1	115	221	204	425	89	207	47	9	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	469	424	79	13	4	4	24	146	13	7	4	186	252	264	516	78	269	31	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	469	408	100	18	5	5	40	102	13	7	4	245	332	350	682	105	310	22	9	307	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	309	270	31	9	0	5	28	144	9	2	1	115	221	204	425	89	213	47	9	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	309	258	43	13	0	7	40	107	9	2	1	167	300	298	598	132	248	35	13	280	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	469	429	79	13	4	4	24	146	13	7	4	184	252	261	513	77	257	31	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	309	269	31	9	0	5	28	144	9	2	1	115	221	204	426	89	207	47	9	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	469	429	79	13	4	4	24	146	13	7	4	184	252	261	513	77	257	31	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	309	269	31	9	0	5	28	144	9	2	1	115	221	204	426	89	207	47	9	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	359	323	52	11	2	4	25	150	8	4	2	158	236	242	478	84	273	42	7	223	37	-27	+0	+0	-6	+8	-1.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	167	244	261	505	94	287	0	0	233	37	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	30%	291	262	43	9	1	4	21	119	6	4	2	164	241	255	496	91	274	41	7	230	42	-20	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	30%	88	80	14	3	1	1	6	36	2	1	0	172	249	275	525	103	288	41	7	241	42	-6	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	88	80	14	3	1	1	6	36	2	1	0	175	250	275	525	100	302	41	7	241	35	-6	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	102	22	7	7	44	266	15	7	0	173	248	269	517	96	299	41	7	241	35	-45	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1329	1191	190	39	6	16	91	518	33	16	8	160	239	243	481	83	262	39	7	220	35	-40	+0	+0	-10	+12	-3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	93	19	3	8	45	253	16	8	4	160	240	244	483	84	261	39	7	220	35	-47	+0	+0	-12	+14	-4.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Fitzer (OGILVIE)	25	40	30	45	35	157/234/240	83	273	3	3	42%	7%	37	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Bralin Jackson 2019 · AA	25	41→50	39→30	45→50	35	201/239/283	82	296	7	10	34%	4%	46	-2.6	212/248/285	73	310	4	11	31%	4%	49	-2.4	210/238/255	45	308	0	11	31%	3%	36	-1.6
✕Zach Welz 2017 · AA	25	42	39→40	45	38	199/255/277	78	308	7	9	36%	6%	51	-2.2	207/264/284	77	325	6	9	35%	7%	56	-1.9	188/246/223	35	311	0	7	37%	7%	32	-0.8
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Drew Hedman 2011 · A	25	39	37→40	47→45	34	187/230/257	70	298	5	6	38%	5%	36	-3.3	193/258/295	102	281	9	9	33%	7%	57	-1.8	181/254/290	109	255	10	10	32%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Justin Seager 2016 · A	24	40→44	36→40	45→30	37	189/249/256	67	290	4	4	34%	5%	45	-2.7	196/264/315	119	283	14	4	34%	7%	64	-1.3	176/259/321	145	223	22	0	31%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA	25	40	38→40	44→45	39	188/252/264	76	300	5	7	37%	7%	47	-2.5	180/265/262	82	384	6	11	50%	8%	53	-2.1	48/181/78	30	157	3	14	62%	10%	-16	-1.3
✕Nick Biddison 2024 · A	24	41→40	41→40	48→50	36	188/259/279	91	327	9	7	42%	7%	54	-2.0	189/268/286	97	295	9	18	36%	7%	59	-1.6	179/264/272	93	267	9	25	34%	8%	52	-1.0
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Dennicher Carrasco 2021 · A	25	39→36	44→45	45→40	33	198/235/312	114	296	12	7	37%	4%	51	-2.2	202/253/312	110	342	11	7	41%	6%	59	-1.7	160/210/262	101	283	13	0	46%	6%	28	-1.1
✕Scott Schreiber 2021 · A	25	38	43→45	47→45	34	187/237/295	108	309	11	9	42%	6%	49	-2.4	221/273/358	137	301	16	10	31%	5%	77	-0.3	225/273/365	140	298	18	10	30%	5%	77	-0.1
✕Jalen Battles 2024 · AA	24	37	39→30	41→45	35	184/232/259	75	281	8	9	36%	5%	38	-3.2	193/244/263	70	288	5	10	33%	5%	43	-2.8	182/232/235	54	269	2	10	32%	5%	30	-1.3
✕Jonathan Engelmann 2022 · AA	25	38	43→45	47→45	41	190/259/297	106	273	11	9	33%	7%	58	-1.7	197/262/324	127	287	13	9	34%	7%	65	-1.2	146/212/290	145	198	17	9	36%	6%	36	-0.8
✕Raoul Torrez 2013 · AA	25	37	42→40	48→45	38	187/251/284	97	276	10	6	34%	6%	52	-2.2	193/251/282	89	326	8	9	40%	6%	51	-2.2	160/216/226	66	308	6	9	47%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Robert Jacobsen 2009 · A	24	40→50	36→40	47→50	37	187/245/252	65	305	4	10	38%	6%	42	-2.9	206/249/292	86	310	5	8	33%	5%	51	-2.2	204/244/289	85	301	5	8	33%	5%	47	-1.7
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Ben Rodriguez 2019 · A	24	40	43→45	44→40	36	194/251/306	111	307	11	5	39%	6%	57	-1.8	191/241/293	102	291	10	5	36%	5%	49	-2.4	148/190/228	80	213	9	0	35%	4%	12	-1.8
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕Bryan Haar 2015 · A	25	39→37	43→45	44→40	34	195/236/303	108	302	10	4	38%	5%	49	-2.4	202/250/288	86	299	6	4	33%	5%	51	-2.2	192/241/248	56	275	1	1	29%	5%	36	-1.7