Herlinton Herrera

SS DSL Colorado

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Colorado	167	.236/.405/.291	0	7	49	—	.169/.307/.213
2025	18	ROKDSL Colorado	162	.230/.386/.341	1	10	34	—	.133/.259/.178
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLB—	272	.201/.284/.275	2	5	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLB—	42	.206/.289/.291	0	1	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLB—	130	.210/.293/.304	2	3	71	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%76

BB%75

Speed75

Chase%74

Whiff%71

K%65

CompsDanny Contreras (age 20) · Jorge Parra (age 20) · Mario Gonzalez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+61

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .282 / .273

PA76

HR0

K%25

BB%9

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	167	127	30	3	2	0	33	27	3	7	1	236	405	291	696	55	294	16	20	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	162	126	29	7	2	1	28	30	4	10	3	230	386	341	727	111	292	19	17	333	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	167	136	23	2	2	0	24	31	3	7	1	169	307	213	520	44	203	19	14	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	162	135	18	4	1	0	19	36	4	10	3	133	259	178	437	44	180	22	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	167	136	23	2	2	0	24	31	3	7	1	169	307	213	520	44	215	19	14	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	167	127	30	3	2	0	33	27	3	7	1	236	405	291	696	55	294	16	20	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	162	135	18	4	1	0	19	36	4	10	3	133	259	178	437	44	180	22	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	162	126	29	7	2	1	28	30	4	10	3	230	386	341	727	111	292	19	17	333	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	167	138	23	2	2	0	24	31	3	7	1	167	307	210	517	43	203	19	14	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	162	138	18	4	1	0	19	36	4	10	3	130	259	174	433	43	180	22	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	167	138	23	2	2	0	24	31	3	7	1	167	307	210	517	43	203	19	14	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	162	138	18	4	1	0	19	36	4	10	3	130	259	174	433	43	180	22	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	272	242	49	8	2	2	25	68	3	5	1	201	284	275	560	74	270	25	9	259	61	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	122	109	23	4	1	1	11	30	1	2	1	206	289	291	580	84	272	25	9	267	67	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	48%	268	238	50	8	2	3	25	66	3	6	1	210	293	304	597	93	274	25	9	273	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	—	54%	372	331	71	12	3	5	34	91	4	8	2	214	296	314	610	100	276	24	9	279	75	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	—	55%	444	395	86	14	4	7	41	108	5	10	2	217	299	323	621	106	278	24	9	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	56%	486	433	95	16	4	8	44	117	6	10	3	219	300	329	629	110	279	24	9	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	—	60%	511	453	99	16	4	9	47	123	6	11	3	219	300	330	631	111	278	24	9	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	—	62%	523	464	102	17	4	9	48	127	6	11	3	218	299	328	627	110	278	24	9	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	—	63%	526	467	101	17	4	8	48	129	6	10	3	216	297	323	621	107	277	25	9	282	77	-14	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	—	64%	521	462	99	16	4	8	48	129	6	9	3	214	295	317	612	103	276	25	9	279	75	-16	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	42	38	7	1	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	206	289	291	580	84	272	24	10	267	67	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	48%	130	115	25	4	1	2	12	32	2	3	1	210	293	304	597	93	274	25	9	273	71	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	—	54%	202	179	39	6	2	3	19	49	2	4	1	214	296	314	610	100	276	24	9	279	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	—	55%	246	218	48	8	2	4	23	60	3	5	1	217	299	323	621	106	278	24	9	283	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	56%	272	242	52	9	2	4	25	66	3	6	1	219	300	329	629	110	279	24	9	286	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	—	60%	307	272	59	10	2	5	28	74	4	7	2	219	300	330	631	111	278	24	9	286	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	—	62%	324	287	62	10	3	5	30	79	4	7	2	218	299	328	627	110	278	24	9	285	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	—	63%	332	295	64	11	3	5	30	81	4	6	2	216	297	323	621	107	277	24	9	282	77	-9	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	—	64%	332	295	63	10	3	5	30	82	4	6	2	214	295	317	612	103	276	25	9	279	75	-10	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2187	1941	419	69	18	33	201	533	26	45	12	216	298	321	619	105	278	24	9	282	74	-60	+4	-1	+23	+47	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	125	21	5	10	60	158	8	13	4	217	300	322	622	106	278	24	9	282	74	-18	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4178	3691	780	128	34	58	396	1006	51	95	25	211	297	312	608	100	272	24	9	277	74	-107	+7	-2	+41	+83	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	121	20	5	9	62	157	8	15	4	211	297	310	607	99	272	24	10	277	74	-18	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,262	34	46	217	295	322	+24	+18	3.0	3.0
/162	664	10	14	+7.1	+5.3	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Herlinton Herrera (OGILVIE)	20	35	25	55	60	200/282/273	73	270	0	1	25%	9%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Danny Contreras 2018 · A	20	34	35→40	49→50	51	164/247/225	61	221	3	8	25%	10%	37	-3.3	200/258/286	86	279	8	6	29%	7%	54	-2.0	192/231/274	82	255	14	2	30%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Jorge Parra 2015 · A	20	38	34→30	47→40	44	177/243/231	54	245	1	6	26%	7%	36	-3.3	183/235/242	59	248	2	6	25%	6%	35	-3.4	166/212/215	50	221	1	5	24%	5%	20	-1.5
✕Mario Gonzalez 2011 · A	19	39	33→30	43→40	48	181/245/225	44	228	1	5	20%	7%	36	-3.4	194/288/262	68	235	4	5	17%	10%	62	-1.4	163/296/228	64	185	4	3	13%	14%	61	-0.6
✕Kelly Aponte 2011 · A	20	36	39→40	49→45	37	177/229/259	82	276	6	4	37%	6%	37	-3.3	195/266/282	87	265	7	6	27%	8%	57	-1.8	174/267/258	85	216	8	5	22%	10%	53	-0.8
✕David Medina 2009 · A	20	34→42	36→45	45→40	43	164/244/230	65	258	4	5	35%	9%	37	-3.3	201/260/298	97	309	8	4	35%	7%	58	-1.7	196/247/303	107	299	9	2	36%	6%	51	-1.2
✕Juan Kelly 2013 · A	19	37→47	35→45	47→45	48	176/243/232	56	227	2	6	23%	8%	36	-3.3	191/269/255	64	241	3	8	20%	9%	52	-2.2	215/276/341	126	296	11	3	30%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Rainer Nunez 2021 · A	20	36→46	38→45	39→30	42	177/227/252	75	224	6	4	24%	5%	35	-3.4	223/269/348	125	291	14	2	28%	5%	73	-0.6	237/278/350	113	315	14	1	28%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Roberto Perez 2008 · A	19	34	37→40	48→30	42	168/240/236	68	248	5	4	32%	7%	37	-3.3	168/239/242	74	220	6	3	25%	7%	38	-3.2	140/217/207	68	172	7	1	23%	8%	22	-1.6
✕Felix Munoz 2010 · A	18	40→50	34→40	46→30	51	183/243/237	54	213	2	4	15%	7%	37	-3.3	197/249/255	58	233	3	4	16%	6%	43	-2.8	229/279/323	93	266	8	1	17%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Derlin Figueroa 2022 · A	18	34→38	34→45	42→50	47	165/247/220	55	243	2	6	31%	9%	36	-3.4	190/262/294	104	257	10	9	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/248/292	114	235	13	11	29%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Griffin Benson 2018 · A	20	39→25	35→45	48→30	39	185/241/238	54	281	3	4	34%	6%	36	-3.3	179/247/282	103	306	10	4	42%	7%	50	-2.3	151/228/272	121	262	13	2	45%	7%	39	-1.5
✕Joseph Miranda 2015 · A	20	36	38→40	45→40	44	176/228/255	80	225	4	3	24%	6%	36	-3.4	188/234/264	76	242	4	6	23%	5%	39	-3.1	149/182/205	56	182	2	6	19%	4%	7	-1.3
✕Daniel Arribas 2012 · A	19	38→40	35→40	39→45	43	179/241/234	55	243	2	5	26%	6%	36	-3.4	206/268/265	59	271	3	7	23%	7%	53	-2.1	210/274/266	56	281	3	7	25%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Gerardo Carrizalez 2015 · A	20	37	36→30	48→45	43	175/240/239	64	239	3	6	26%	7%	37	-3.3	175/237/230	55	231	2	7	23%	7%	34	-3.5	132/198/158	26	169	0	7	20%	6%	3	-2.4
✕Luis Paz 2014 · A	18	35→33	35→45	47→40	46	170/242/227	57	226	3	6	25%	8%	36	-3.4	168/226/234	66	231	4	6	27%	6%	30	-3.8	176/220/302	126	248	14	3	34%	5%	41	-1.3
✕Ismael Pena 2016 · A	20	37	37→30	45	42	182/230/252	70	231	5	4	24%	5%	35	-3.4	210/253/287	77	269	5	6	23%	5%	52	-2.2	220/251/284	64	272	3	5	20%	4%	48	-0.6
✕Jose Vicente 2015 · A	19	40→39	35→50	46→30	43	188/234/251	63	233	2	6	20%	5%	37	-3.3	197/250/284	87	251	6	4	23%	6%	51	-2.3	209/240/342	133	275	15	1	29%	4%	57	-0.7
✕Webster Rivas 2012 · A	21	39	36→40	39→40	48	179/235/243	65	201	3	4	13%	6%	36	-3.4	197/245/265	68	242	4	4	19%	5%	44	-2.8	208/282/293	85	269	8	1	24%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Dalton Smith 2014 · A	20	38	37→40	44→30	36	184/231/256	72	278	5	5	34%	5%	37	-3.3	193/249/279	86	277	7	5	31%	6%	50	-2.3	164/225/245	81	225	8	1	30%	6%	32	-1.3
✕Yonathan Mejia 2012 · A	19	41	35→40	48→45	36	196/229/254	58	260	2	5	25%	3%	35	-3.4	207/239/272	65	267	4	6	23%	4%	42	-2.9	201/232/266	65	254	5	5	23%	4%	37	-1.2

Herlinton Herrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps