Frainner ChirinosSS DSL Orioles Black
Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 164 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .270 / .267
PA77
HR1
K%34
BB%8
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.60.70.80.90.90.80.60.4+$41M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2035Arb-1$2M+0.8$2M+$0.9M
2036Arb-2$2M+0.6$1M+$0.3M
2037Arb-3$2M+0.4$0.7M+$0.1M
Totals $9M $10M +$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 9878 7201 17483 30 90276154429 64207 4917 220 27 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 9870 12302 25323 30 171408300708 129278 3326 347 124 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 8574 10200 4385 82 135229162391 27278 455 169 -12 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 8572 15300 6255 82 208313250563 42319 297 266 61 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLBBAL — 7770 13201 6261 10 186260257517 71288 348 251 50 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBBAL 34% 168149 29512 14543 31 195277282559 87291 328 263 60 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202821 MLBBAL 48% 307273 561025 26965 51 205286311598 106292 318 272 66 -12 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.1
202922 MLBBAL 54% 411366 761427 351267 71 208289314603 107293 319 278 71 -14 +1 +0 +4 +12 0.4
203023 MLBBAL 57% 479427 901639 411468 92 211292326618 115294 309 282 74 -14 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.6
203124 MLBBAL 57% 524465 10018311 451599 92 215297338634 123295 309 284 76 -14 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.7
203225 MLBBAL 57% 551488 10419311 4816710 102 213297332629 119295 309 286 77 -14 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.8
203326 MLBBAL 56% 566502 10719312 4917210 102 213296335631 122295 309 287 78 -14 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.9
203427 MLBBAL 55% 571506 10819312 5017410 102 213297334631 121295 309 287 78 -14 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.9
203528 MLBBAL 55% 569504 10719312 5017410 102 212296333629 121294 319 286 77 -15 +1 -1 +6 +16 0.8
203629 MLBBAL 53% 561496 10518312 5017310 92 212297333629 121294 319 284 76 -15 +1 -1 +6 +16 0.6
203730 MLBBAL 53% 551488 10218311 491719 82 209293326619 117293 319 282 74 -16 +1 -2 +6 +16 0.4
203831 MLBBAL 52% 538476 9817310 481699 71 206291317608 111291 319 278 71 -18 +1 -3 +6 +15 0.2
202720 MLBBAL 34% 5852 10201 5191 10 192276288564 96295 339 254 53 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202821 MLBBAL 48% 149132 27512 13473 31 205291303594 98296 329 263 59 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202922 MLBBAL 54% 223198 42814 19694 41 212294323617 111297 319 269 64 -9 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.0
203023 MLBBAL 57% 271241 50915 23835 51 207290315605 108298 318 273 67 -10 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203124 MLBBAL 57% 296263 571026 26905 51 217299338638 122299 309 275 69 -10 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.2
203225 MLBBAL 57% 311276 611127 27945 61 221302351653 130299 309 277 70 -10 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.3
203326 MLBBAL 56% 320283 621127 28976 61 219303346649 127299 309 278 71 -11 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.3
203427 MLBBAL 55% 317280 611127 28966 61 218303346649 129299 309 278 71 -10 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.3
203528 MLBBAL 55% 312276 611127 28955 51 221304351656 130299 309 277 70 -10 +1 -0 +3 +9 0.2
203629 MLBBAL 53% 300265 571026 27925 51 215300336636 121298 319 276 69 -10 +1 -1 +3 +8 0.1
203730 MLBBAL 53% 290257 541016 26905 41 210295327622 117297 319 273 67 -11 +0 -1 +3 +8 -0.0
203831 MLBBAL 52% 281249 52916 25885 31 209294325619 116295 319 269 64 -11 +0 -1 +3 +8 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 31282772 5941071764 27596055 5311 214298334632 120300 319 274 68 -114 +6 -4 +34 +89 1.1
/ 162G— — 650576 12322413 5719911 112 214296333629 120300 319 274 68 -24 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.2
Career— — 60565362 111219832116 5321893109 10922 207292321613 114294 319 279 72 -192 +13 -7 +65 +172 5.1
/ 162G— — 650576 11821312 5720312 122 205290314604 109291 319 279 72 -21 +2 -1 +7 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 9870 12302 25323 30 171408300708 129278 3326 347 124 +3 +1 — — +3 0.6
202518 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 8572 15300 6255 82 208313250563 42319 297 266 61 -4 +1 — — +2 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,2046354211291328+34+213.53.2
/1626641311+7.1+4.40.7pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Frainner Chirinos (OGILVIE) 19 — — — — 188/270/267 78288 11 34% 8% 50 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A 		20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
✕Wendell Rijo
2015 · A 		19 42→41 40→55 51→50 44 201/267/302 101282 712 30% 7% 56 -1.3 197/248/287 90281 711 31% 5% 44 -2.1 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
✕Ricardo Cova
2023 · A 		19 44 39→50 50→55 35 205/259/286 81318 610 36% 5% 49 -1.8 217/276/316 99313 918 32% 6% 64 -0.8 235/286/365130286142022%5%78+0.1
✕Jason Lopez
2017 · A 		19 40 38→55 49→45 43 195/258/270 75266 511 28% 7% 44 -2.1 205/253/318 113280 117 30% 5% 55 -1.4 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
✕Luis Vázquez
2019 · A 		19 40→46 36→50 49→45 39 193/237/259 66276 38 30% 5% 32 -3.0 204/249/275 71283 510 28% 5% 41 -2.3 232/296/36613430116827%6%83+0.3
✕Jose Caguana
2021 · A 		19 41 40→55 49→45 35 194/247/288 94316 88 39% 6% 44 -2.1 195/255/292 97405 98 50% 7% 49 -1.8 178/254/33615826023739%8%60-0.4
✕Rudy van Heydoorn
2008 · A 		19 37 38→45 46→50 37 179/239/262 83292 610 38% 7% 34 -2.8 183/273/286 103276 118 35% 9% 57 -1.2 165/268/27110624013634%10%50-0.6
✕Pedro Severino
2012 · A 		19 37→47 39→50 49→45 39 184/237/267 83257 74 30% 6% 34 -2.8 189/233/266 77239 53 22% 4% 32 -3.0 238/307/37513729117324%8%90+0.6
✕Eguy Rosario
2019 · A 		19 40→50 41→50 47→55 38 197/248/296 99280 813 32% 5% 46 -2.0 223/270/347 124311 1116 30% 5% 69 -0.4 219/282/363144293152129%7%76+0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino
2018 · A 		19 42→52 39→45 53→55 42 202/258/287 85283 612 30% 7% 48 -1.9 215/267/306 91282 710 25% 6% 56 -1.3 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
✕Ezequiel Tovar
2021 · A 		19 45→47 37→50 49→50 43 209/275/287 78306 412 31% 8% 56 -1.3 231/269/358 127281 1315 22% 4% 72 -0.2 227/264/372145291161128%4%71-0.2
✕Isan Díaz
2015 · A 		19 34→42 39→55 47→45 39 169/233/258 89267 68 37% 7% 31 -3.0 206/271/341 135300 138 33% 8% 69 -0.4 208/287/37316427521531%9%79+0.2
✕Denzer Guzman
2023 · A 		19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
✕Rey Duran
2008 · A 		19 41 39→50 49→40 44 194/268/278 84288 76 33% 8% 51 -1.7 201/256/316 115261 135 27% 6% 56 -1.3 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
✕Luis Andujar
2019 · A 		19 42 37→40 53→50 38 197/250/268 71300 49 34% 6% 40 -2.4 215/278/290 75306 310 28% 7% 58 -1.2 221/291/2927130621226%8%64-0.3
✕Brendan Rodgers
2016 · A 		19 42→50 40→50 46→45 39 203/253/296 93299 77 33% 6% 49 -1.8 219/263/330 111288 126 27% 4% 62 -0.9 236/292/35912328113020%6%80+0.2
✕Franklin Barreto
2015 · A 		19 43→48 41→55 49→50 37 205/257/317 111296 79 32% 5% 56 -1.3 231/268/343 112307 1014 27% 4% 67 -0.5 217/273/384168316201336%6%78+0.2
✕D.J. Stewart
2018 · A 		19 43 40→50 50→55 38 203/257/291 88312 77 36% 6% 49 -1.8 207/262/279 72322 46 34% 6% 48 -1.9 203/250/319115269131129%5%51-0.8
✕Joshua Báez
2022 · A 		19 40→47 41→55 54→60 38 186/258/282 96310 810 40% 7% 49 -1.8 171/260/277 106355 1021 50% 8% 49 -1.8 203/276/380177287243436%7%80+0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro
2018 · A 		19 41→40 42→55 47→50 39 203/257/313 110287 85 31% 6% 55 -1.4 192/232/317 125275 125 34% 4% 45 -2.1 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2