Frainner Chirinos

Frainner ChirinosSS DSL Orioles Black

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 164 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .271 / .270

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	98	70	12	3	0	2	25	32	3	3	0	171	408	300	708	129	278	33	26	347	121	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	85	72	15	3	0	0	6	25	5	8	2	208	313	250	563	42	319	29	7	266	66	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	98	79	8	2	0	1	16	47	3	3	0	101	276	165	440	63	208	48	16	222	36	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	85	74	10	2	0	0	4	37	5	8	2	135	229	162	391	27	248	44	5	173	3	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	98	79	8	2	0	1	16	47	3	3	0	101	276	165	440	63	226	48	16	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	98	70	12	3	0	2	25	32	3	3	0	171	408	300	708	129	278	33	26	347	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	85	74	10	2	0	0	4	37	5	8	2	135	229	162	391	27	270	44	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	85	72	15	3	0	0	6	25	5	8	2	208	313	250	563	42	319	29	7	266	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	98	79	8	2	0	1	16	47	3	3	0	101	276	165	440	63	208	48	16	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	85	76	10	2	0	0	4	37	5	8	2	132	229	158	387	26	248	44	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	98	79	8	2	0	1	16	47	3	3	0	101	276	165	440	63	208	48	16	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	85	76	10	2	0	0	4	37	5	8	2	132	229	158	387	26	248	44	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		288	33	0	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	168	149	29	5	1	2	14	53	3	4	1	195	277	282	559	87	290	32	8	265	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	307	273	57	10	2	5	26	94	5	8	2	209	289	315	604	106	292	31	8	273	71	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	411	366	76	14	2	7	35	124	7	11	2	208	289	314	603	107	293	30	9	279	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	479	427	91	16	3	9	41	143	8	13	3	213	294	328	622	115	294	30	9	283	78	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	524	465	101	18	3	11	45	156	9	14	3	217	299	340	638	123	294	30	9	285	79	-13	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	551	489	106	19	3	12	47	164	10	15	3	217	299	342	640	125	295	30	9	287	80	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	566	503	108	19	3	12	48	169	10	15	3	215	296	336	632	121	295	30	8	288	81	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	571	506	108	19	3	12	50	171	10	15	3	213	297	334	631	121	294	30	9	288	81	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	569	504	108	19	3	12	50	171	10	15	3	214	298	335	633	121	294	30	9	287	80	-13	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	561	497	107	19	3	12	49	169	10	15	3	215	299	338	637	123	293	30	9	285	79	-14	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	551	488	103	18	3	11	49	168	9	14	3	211	295	328	623	117	292	30	9	283	78	-15	+2	-2	+6	+12	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	538	477	99	17	3	10	47	166	9	14	3	208	291	319	609	111	290	31	9	279	75	-16	+2	-3	+6	+12	0.0
2039	32	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	520	460	94	16	2	10	46	162	9	13	3	204	289	313	602	109	287	31	9	274	71	-18	+1	-4	+6	+11	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	58	52	10	2	0	1	5	18	1	2	0	192	276	288	564	96	295	31	9	256	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	149	132	28	5	1	3	13	46	3	4	1	212	297	333	631	121	296	31	9	264	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	223	198	42	8	1	4	19	67	4	6	1	212	294	323	617	111	297	30	9	271	75	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	271	241	52	10	1	5	23	81	5	7	1	216	297	328	625	112	298	30	8	275	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	296	264	57	10	2	6	25	88	5	8	2	216	296	337	633	121	299	30	8	277	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	311	276	61	11	2	7	27	93	5	8	2	221	302	351	653	130	299	30	9	278	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	320	284	62	11	2	7	27	95	6	9	2	218	300	345	645	127	299	30	8	280	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	317	280	62	11	2	7	28	95	6	9	2	221	306	350	656	129	299	30	9	280	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	312	277	61	11	2	7	27	94	5	8	2	220	301	350	651	130	299	30	9	279	80	-7	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	300	266	58	10	2	7	26	91	5	8	2	218	300	350	649	132	298	30	9	277	79	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	290	257	55	10	1	6	26	88	5	8	2	214	299	331	629	117	297	30	9	275	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	281	249	52	9	1	6	25	86	5	7	1	209	294	325	619	116	295	31	9	271	75	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	292	259	53	9	1	6	26	91	5	7	1	205	290	317	606	112	291	31	9	266	71	-10	+1	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3420	3035	653	117	18	72	297	1033	60	91	19	215	298	337	634	122	298	30	9	275	76	-91	+11	-6	+37	+74	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	124	22	3	14	56	196	11	17	4	215	296	336	632	121	297	30	9	275	76	-17	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6505	5763	1206	213	34	126	567	1996	117	177	37	209	293	324	617	114	294	31	9	280	76	-170	+19	-10	+68	+137	4.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	120	21	3	13	57	199	12	18	4	208	293	323	616	115	292	31	9	280	76	-17	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.3	3,496	69	93	212	291	329	+37	+24	4.9	4.4
/162	664	13	18	+7.1	+4.6	0.9	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frainner Chirinos (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	191/271/270	79	288	1	2	33%	8%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	195/252/281	86	270	8	16	30%	6%	51	-2.2	228/294/330	102	309	8	38	27%	7%	78	-0.3	236/312/340	103	313	6	38	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	41→51	40→55	47→55	39	198/251/292	94	281	7	13	31%	6%	53	-2.1	220/268/333	113	304	9	16	29%	6%	69	-0.9	224/286/367	142	294	14	21	28%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→43	41→50	51→50	44	205/270/309	104	282	7	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	200/251/288	88	282	6	11	30%	6%	52	-2.2	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/266/306	90	282	7	10	24%	6%	61	-1.5	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	42	-2.9	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	62	-1.4	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Joshua Báez 2022 · A	19	39→46	41→55	54→60	38	185/258/281	96	309	8	10	40%	7%	54	-2.0	176/263/284	108	354	10	21	48%	8%	57	-1.8	204/273/381	176	282	23	33	35%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→50	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	51	-2.3	202/252/306	104	278	9	7	29%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→50	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	50	-2.3	197/264/292	95	299	9	5	35%	6%	59	-1.6	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	47	-2.5	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→40	39→45	46→50	40	196/273/280	84	306	6	9	35%	7%	59	-1.6	206/288/309	103	298	10	7	32%	9%	72	-0.7	199/290/309	111	287	11	5	32%	10%	72	-0.3
✕Cristian Hernández 2023 · A	19	42→46	39→45	51→60	38	198/254/275	77	315	7	14	38%	6%	51	-2.3	197/259/275	78	305	6	23	34%	7%	52	-2.2	210/276/309	99	295	8	34	30%	8%	64	-1.1
✕Brayan Buelvas 2021 · A	19	43	39→45	50→55	41	202/262/298	95	295	5	12	32%	6%	59	-1.7	187/247/312	125	259	13	14	32%	6%	57	-1.8	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps