Frainner Chirinos

SS DSL Orioles Black
Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 164 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1876ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Orioles B…98.171/.408/.3002341—.092/.296/.158
202518ROKDSL Orioles B…85.208/.313/.250081—.135/.229/.162
2027PROJMLE20MLBBAL195.194/.278/.26725580.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBBAL25.202/.285/.2880163-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB22MLBBAL81.206/.289/.3011267-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Speed67
Chase%53
Whiff%37
Z-Con%32
K%18
wOBA17
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .275 / .265
PA34
HR0
K%32
BB%9
ISO73
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-1$0.6M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 9870 12302 25323 30 171408300708 129278 3326 347 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 8572 15300 6255 82 208313250563 42319 297 266 1 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 9876 7201 19403 30 92296158454 66174 4119 229 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 8574 10200 4325 82 135229162391 27207 385 170 1 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 9876 7201 19403 30 92296158454 66171 4119 229 41 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Black — 9870 12302 25323 30 171408300708 129278 3326 347 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 8574 10200 4325 82 135229162391 27238 385 170 1 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Black — 8572 15300 6255 82 208313250563 42319 297 266 1 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 9876 7201 19403 30 92296158454 66174 4119 229 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 8576 10200 4325 82 132229158387 26207 385 170 1 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 9876 7201 19403 30 92296158454 66174 4119 229 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 8576 10200 4325 82 132229158387 26207 385 170 1 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEBAL 0% 195173 34612 17623 51 194278267545 73288 329 253 58 -10 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEBAL 34% 7366 12201 6231 20 199283282565 83289 328 261 63 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202922 MLB MLEBAL 50% 162144 29512 14503 41 203287295582 92290 319 268 67 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
203023 MLB MLEBAL 58% 255227 46814 22774 71 207290306596 99291 309 273 71 -9 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.0
203124 MLB MLEBAL 61% 344305 641126 301026 92 210293316609 106292 309 278 74 -11 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.2
203225 MLB MLEBAL 63% 394351 741327 341156 112 213295324619 111292 299 282 77 -11 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.3
203326 MLB MLEBAL 64% 426379 801428 371257 112 213295326622 113292 299 283 78 -11 +1 +0 +5 +9 0.4
203427 MLB MLEBAL 65% 439391 831528 381297 123 212294324618 112292 299 281 77 -12 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.3
203528 MLB MLEBAL 65% 443394 831528 391317 113 211292319612 109291 309 279 75 -13 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.1
203629 MLB MLEBAL 65% 437389 801427 381317 113 208290313603 105290 309 275 73 -14 +1 -1 +5 +9 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXBAL 34% 2523 4100 280 10 202285288573 86293 328 264 63 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXBAL 50% 8173 15301 7251 20 206289301591 95294 319 271 67 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
203023 MLB CTXBAL 58% 147131 27512 13442 41 210293313606 103295 309 277 71 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
203124 MLB CTXBAL 61% 210187 40714 18623 61 214296323619 109296 309 282 74 -6 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203225 MLB CTXBAL 63% 247219 47815 22724 71 216298331629 115297 299 286 77 -7 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.2
203326 MLB CTXBAL 64% 272242 52925 24804 72 217298334632 117296 299 287 78 -7 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203427 MLB CTXBAL 65% 285253 551025 25845 82 216297331629 115296 299 286 77 -8 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203528 MLB CTXBAL 65% 288256 551025 25855 72 214295327622 113295 309 283 75 -9 +1 -0 +3 +6 0.1
203629 MLB CTXBAL 65% 284253 53915 25854 72 212293320613 109294 309 279 73 -9 +1 -1 +3 +6 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18391637 348621032 16154528 4911 213294321615 109296 309 282 71 -56 +5 -1 +20 +40 0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 12322411 5719310 174 212294321615 109297 309 282 71 -20 +2 -0 +7 +14 0.3
Career— MLE — 31902826 5731021452 28496657 9019 203289304593 101286 309 273 71 -93 +9 -2 +32 +65 1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 11821311 5819712 184 205291309601 104288 309 273 71 -20 +2 -0 +7 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 85 PAwOBA .259 → .170 (−89)K% 29.4% → 37.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.41%÷0.968×1.220——37.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.06%÷0.972×0.700—×1.0085.12%
HBP% /PA5.88%—×0.700—×1.0084.15%
Singles /BIP25.53%÷1.000×0.680×0.977×1.00817.10%
Doubles /BIP6.38%÷1.043×0.600×0.977×1.0083.62%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.964×0.600×0.977×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.823×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 93, K 94, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .259 → .170; ISO .042 → .023; BABIP .319 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 98 PAwOBA .340 → .229 (−110)K% 32.7% → 40.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.65%÷0.977×1.220——40.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.51%÷0.964×0.700—×1.02218.94%
HBP% /PA3.06%—×0.700—×1.0222.19%
Singles /BIP18.42%÷1.067×0.680—×1.02212.01%
Doubles /BIP7.89%÷0.988×0.600—×1.0224.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP5.26%÷0.988×0.470—×1.0222.56%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 113, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .340 → .229; ISO .129 → .067; BABIP .278 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).