Christian Sáez — OGILVIE

Christian Sáez1B DSL Cardinals

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .266 / .269

PA77

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	145	119	21	5	1	1	22	44	3	2	1	176	319	261	580	84	267	30	15	278	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	47	40	9	1	1	1	6	18	0	0	0	225	326	375	701	150	364	38	13	311	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	86	69	12	1	0	1	16	23	1	0	0	174	337	232	569	58	244	27	19	283	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	145	126	13	3	1	0	15	54	3	2	1	103	215	143	358	40	171	37	10	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	47	42	5	1	0	0	4	23	0	0	0	119	196	143	339	24	228	49	9	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	86	74	8	1	0	0	11	28	1	0	0	108	233	122	354	14	160	33	13	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	145	126	13	3	1	0	15	54	3	2	1	103	215	143	358	40	178	37	10	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	145	119	21	5	1	1	22	44	3	2	1	176	319	261	580	84	267	30	15	278	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	47	42	5	1	0	0	4	23	0	0	0	119	196	143	339	24	250	49	9	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	47	40	9	1	1	1	6	18	0	0	0	225	326	375	701	150	364	38	13	311	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	86	74	8	1	0	0	11	28	1	0	0	108	233	122	354	14	174	33	13	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	86	69	12	1	0	1	16	23	1	0	0	174	337	232	569	58	244	27	19	283	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	145	126	13	3	1	0	15	54	3	2	1	103	215	143	358	40	171	37	10	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	47	43	5	1	0	0	4	23	0	0	0	116	196	140	335	23	228	49	9	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	86	74	8	1	0	0	11	28	1	0	0	108	233	122	354	14	160	33	13	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	145	126	13	3	1	0	15	54	3	2	1	103	215	143	358	40	171	37	10	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	47	43	5	1	0	0	4	23	0	0	0	116	196	140	335	23	228	49	9	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	86	74	8	1	0	0	11	28	1	0	0	108	233	122	354	14	160	33	13	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	0%	196	176	35	6	1	2	16	62	2	1	0	194	269	271	540	77	285	32	8	249	54	-11	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	34%	165	148	30	5	1	2	14	51	2	1	0	200	275	288	563	88	287	31	8	258	61	-8	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.7
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	34%	57	51	10	2	0	1	5	18	1	0	0	200	275	287	562	87	289	32	9	258	61	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	57	51	10	2	0	1	5	18	1	0	0	196	281	294	575	98	281	32	9	258	31	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	114	23	0	11	57	205	11	0	0	196	280	292	572	96	281	32	9	258	31	-30	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	520	460	70	12	3	3	50	180	7	3	1	152	246	211	457	59	239	35	10	214	31	-12	+0	+0	-4	+5	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	88	15	4	4	62	225	9	4	1	153	246	214	460	61	240	35	10	214	31	-32	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Sáez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	193/266/269	76	285	1	0	32%	8%	54	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	38	38→40	47→50	40	185/239/260	76	260	6	5	30%	6%	41	-3.0	185/243/256	71	278	3	6	32%	6%	42	-2.9	144/211/202	57	222	0	6	32%	6%	17	-1.5
✕Kelly Aponte 2011 · A	20	36	39→40	49→45	37	177/229/259	82	276	6	4	37%	6%	37	-3.3	195/266/282	87	265	7	6	27%	8%	57	-1.8	174/267/258	85	216	8	5	22%	10%	53	-0.8
✕Gilbert Marrero 2016 · A	19	35	37→40	44→40	43	169/242/238	68	258	4	4	34%	8%	38	-3.2	181/235/248	67	324	3	6	42%	6%	36	-3.3	128/165/165	37	265	0	3	49%	4%	-12	-1.2
✕Luis Castillo 2024 · A	20	43→36	39→50	46→40	42	206/270/292	86	297	7	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	180/256/301	121	260	14	4	34%	9%	59	-1.7	164/248/298	134	222	17	2	33%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Francisco Del Valle 2019 · A	20	37→29	39→45	50→40	39	181/243/264	83	278	7	6	36%	7%	44	-2.8	175/254/280	105	262	9	4	34%	8%	53	-2.1	159/237/265	107	227	10	3	33%	8%	41	-1.6
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	38	42→40	49→45	42	190/255/295	105	271	9	7	32%	7%	55	-1.9	188/238/305	117	303	12	5	40%	6%	51	-2.2	179/226/296	117	283	14	3	41%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	36	40→45	46→30	44	176/254/269	93	267	7	5	35%	9%	50	-2.3	190/273/308	118	316	13	3	40%	9%	66	-1.1	177/264/302	125	302	16	1	43%	9%	59	-0.8
✕David Medina 2009 · A	20	34→42	36→45	45→40	43	164/244/230	65	258	4	5	35%	9%	37	-3.3	201/260/298	97	309	8	4	35%	7%	58	-1.7	196/247/303	107	299	9	2	36%	6%	51	-1.2
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2016 · A	20	40	38→40	45→40	52	193/280/273	80	258	5	4	25%	10%	60	-1.6	175/261/237	62	236	3	5	25%	10%	46	-2.6	137/234/178	42	183	3	4	24%	10%	22	-1.3
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A	20	37	39→40	44→30	45	183/248/260	77	238	7	3	25%	7%	45	-2.7	204/260/314	110	262	10	6	25%	7%	61	-1.5	193/245/339	146	221	15	4	21%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Michaelangel Trinidad 2009 · A	20	39	39→50	45→40	49	188/281/272	85	253	6	5	26%	9%	61	-1.5	198/257/326	128	238	14	4	23%	6%	63	-1.3	177/246/311	134	196	18	0	21%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Jeremias Portorreal 2018 · A	20	38	38→40	43→40	43	184/255/271	87	274	5	3	33%	8%	50	-2.3	189/253/275	86	324	7	5	40%	7%	51	-2.3	105/188/154	49	205	8	3	49%	8%	0	-1.0
✕Edison Lantigua 2017 · A	20	41	36→45	52→50	42	195/250/272	77	278	3	6	29%	7%	47	-2.5	201/260/293	92	331	6	8	38%	7%	57	-1.8	178/240/274	95	303	8	7	41%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Fidel Castro 2018 · A	19	37	36→50	46→45	41	179/243/246	67	270	3	6	33%	7%	40	-3.1	188/257/298	110	336	8	8	43%	7%	57	-1.8	164/239/288	124	322	10	8	48%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	33	39→45	48→45	35	170/215/251	81	265	7	7	38%	5%	30	-3.8	202/249/292	90	329	5	5	38%	6%	52	-2.2	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Rixon Wingrove 2019 · A	19	43→34	38→50	46→40	38	203/256/286	82	313	5	6	35%	6%	53	-2.1	199/257/311	112	288	10	4	32%	7%	60	-1.6	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	41→37	37→50	46→40	39	191/254/271	79	303	4	4	36%	7%	49	-2.4	190/257/325	135	272	17	4	35%	7%	64	-1.3	170/247/299	129	231	15	2	33%	7%	54	-1.2
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕John Silviano 2014 · A	20	33→34	41→50	42→40	41	167/237/259	92	258	8	4	37%	8%	41	-3.0	183/239/277	94	328	8	5	43%	6%	45	-2.7	178/239/321	143	275	18	2	41%	7%	54	-1.1