Nayerich Waterfort

Nayerich Waterfort2B DSL Rojos

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 154 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION128 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .308 / .182

PA13

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP281

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	63	48	6	3	0	0	9	16	6	3	2	125	333	188	521	62	188	25	14	274	72	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	111	87	26	8	0	2	18	18	4	3	3	299	440	460	900	161	348	16	16	400	157	+8	-1	—	—	+2	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	52	4	2	0	0	5	24	6	3	2	77	238	115	353	38	143	38	8	179	7	-7	-0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	94	20	5	0	2	11	26	4	3	3	213	321	330	651	117	255	23	10	282	77	-3	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	52	4	2	0	0	5	24	6	3	2	77	238	115	353	38	143	38	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	63	48	6	3	0	0	9	16	6	3	2	125	333	188	521	62	188	25	14	274	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	94	20	5	0	2	11	26	4	3	3	213	321	330	651	117	265	23	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	111	87	26	8	0	2	18	18	4	3	3	299	440	460	900	161	348	16	16	400	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	52	4	2	0	0	5	24	6	3	2	77	238	115	353	38	143	38	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	95	20	5	0	2	11	26	4	3	3	211	321	326	647	116	255	23	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	52	4	2	0	0	5	24	6	3	2	77	238	115	353	38	143	38	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	95	20	5	0	2	11	26	4	3	3	211	321	326	647	116	255	23	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	CIN	—	128	107	20	4	0	1	7	39	12	6	5	187	310	252	562	65	279	30	5	240	49	-8	-1	+0	+0	+3	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	CIN	—	128	103	26	6	0	1	11	27	12	6	5	252	389	340	729	87	329	21	9	340	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	13	11	2	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	182	308	182	490		278	31	8	267	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	CIN	—	141	118	22	4	0	1	8	43	13	6	5	186	309	246	555	59	280	30	6	243	50	-8	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	197	175	36	7	1	3	14	54	6	4	2	206	287	309	596	103	278	27	7	272	70	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	324	287	60	12	1	5	24	87	10	7	3	209	293	310	603	101	280	27	7	279	75	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	410	365	78	15	2	7	30	108	12	9	4	214	295	323	618	110	281	26	7	284	78	-11	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	467	415	90	18	2	9	35	123	14	10	4	217	300	335	635	118	282	26	7	287	80	-11	+0	+0	+2	+10	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	499	444	96	19	2	9	37	131	15	11	5	216	298	329	627	113	282	26	7	288	81	-11	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	518	459	99	19	2	10	39	136	15	11	5	216	298	331	629	115	282	26	8	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	525	465	101	20	2	10	40	138	15	11	5	217	300	333	633	116	282	26	8	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	525	464	100	20	2	10	41	139	15	11	5	216	300	332	632	116	281	26	8	287	80	-12	+0	-1	+2	+11	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	518	458	98	19	2	10	40	138	15	11	5	214	298	330	628	116	281	27	8	285	79	-13	+0	-1	+2	+11	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	68	61	13	3	0	1	5	19	2	1	1	213	294	311	606	98	281	28	7	253	70	-2	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	157	140	30	6	1	3	11	42	5	3	1	214	295	336	631	121	283	27	7	261	75	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	222	197	42	8	1	4	16	59	7	5	2	213	295	325	620	112	284	27	7	267	78	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	259	230	50	10	1	5	19	68	8	6	2	217	300	335	634	117	285	26	7	270	80	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	279	248	55	11	1	6	21	73	8	6	3	222	303	347	650	125	286	26	8	271	81	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	291	258	56	11	1	6	22	76	9	6	3	217	301	337	638	120	285	26	8	271	81	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	290	258	56	11	1	6	22	76	8	6	3	217	299	337	636	120	285	26	8	271	81	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	288	256	56	11	1	6	22	76	8	6	3	219	301	340	641	121	285	26	8	270	80	-7	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	277	245	53	10	1	6	22	74	8	6	2	216	302	339	641	122	284	27	8	269	79	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2131	1893	411	81	8	43	160	563	63	45	20	217	300	337	636	119	284	26	8	269	78	-52	+1	-1	+8	+46	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	125	25	2	13	49	172	19	14	6	217	299	334	633	118	284	26	8	269	78	-16	+0	-0	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4170	3689	784	156	16	75	317	1108	128	91	43	213	297	324	622	112	280	27	8	284	78	-98	+2	-2	+14	+87	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	122	24	2	12	49	173	20	14	7	212	297	323	620	111	279	27	8	284	78	-16	+0	-0	+2	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,235	40	47	216	295	329	+8	+6	1.5	1.6
/162	664	12	14	+2.4	+1.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nayerich Waterfort (OGILVIE)	20	36→41	33→38	50→55	53	199/286/285	85	278	1	3	28%	7%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	72	-0.7	202/299/283	81	274	6	17	26%	10%	71	-0.8	180/307/230	50	224	5	30	19%	12%	61	-0.5
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	55	-2.0	224/279/352	128	280	13	10	24%	6%	78	-0.3	225/276/353	127	282	14	8	25%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	53	-2.1	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	65	-1.2	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	45	40→45	52→50	42	210/275/309	99	310	7	12	33%	7%	66	-1.1	192/263/287	95	292	7	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	59	-1.6	205/269/296	91	280	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	58	-1.7	202/252/288	86	301	6	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	211/249/305	94	308	7	2	33%	3%	52	-1.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Christian Lopes 2013 · A	20	42→51	42→45	53→50	42	207/256/324	117	265	8	8	25%	5%	62	-1.4	207/261/285	78	263	4	4	22%	6%	55	-2.0	214/297/334	120	267	12	13	23%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	40	53→55	44	206/261/303	97	274	6	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	224/297/299	75	327	4	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	212/299/299	88	345	7	27	37%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	41→37	39→45	50→40	51	195/281/288	93	256	6	9	25%	10%	65	-1.2	193/287/297	104	256	11	4	27%	11%	69	-0.9	180/276/283	102	231	12	2	26%	11%	61	-1.1
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	46	37→45	53→45	46	215/277/285	71	288	4	10	25%	8%	61	-1.5	229/281/339	110	310	11	8	28%	6%	75	-0.5	215/267/317	102	288	11	9	28%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→52	38→45	52→55	41	206/254/285	79	277	5	12	27%	6%	52	-2.2	221/275/320	99	284	8	8	24%	6%	68	-1.0	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	53	-2.1	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	68	-1.0	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps