Nayerich Waterfort2B DSL Rojos
Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 154 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 50 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .296 / .328
PA50
HR1
K%30
BB%8
BABIP303
ISO109
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +3.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.3+$5M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 39
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT38
scouting grade only
POWER39
scouting grade only
EYE53
scouting grade only
SPEED52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202418 ROKDSL Rojos 6352 4200 5246 32 77238115353 38143 388 175 -8
202418 ROKDSL Rojos 6348 6300 9166 32 125333188521 62188 2514 274 68
202519 ROKDSL Reds 11195 20502 10264 33 211312326638 116261 239 278 71
202519 ROKDSL Reds 11187 26802 18184 33 299440460900 161348 1616 400 164
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKCIN 7665 15201 4265 12 231324308632 77359 345 269 64 -3 -1 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
YTD20 ROKCIN 7663 20301 6185 12 317419413832 95422 248 372 143 +4 -1 +0 +0 +2 0.6
ROS20 ROKCIN 0% 5045 10201 4151 10 219296328625 109287 308 266 62 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
ROS20 MLBCIN 0% 01 0000 000 00 289 248 48 +0 +0
FULL20 ROKCIN 7666 15201 4265 12 227324303627 76350 345 269 64 -3 -1 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
TOT20 ROKCIN 126110 25402 8416 22 226313316629 90335 326 268 63 -5 -0 +0 +0 +4 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBCIN 34% 181162 35613 13514 31 216291321611 105289 287 274 68 -7 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
202822 MLBCIN 48% 312279 601115 23867 62 215291315607 100290 287 280 73 -10 +0 +0 +1 +9 0.1
202923 MLBCIN 54% 401359 781427 301099 83 217294326620 109291 277 284 76 -11 +0 +0 +1 +11 0.2
203024 MLBCIN 55% 461413 921729 3512510 94 223299339638 116292 278 287 78 -12 +0 +0 +2 +13 0.3
202721 MLBCIN 34% 6257 12201 4181 10 211274298572 88292 296 259 56 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202822 MLBCIN 48% 151136 30513 11423 31 221293338632 118293 287 266 62 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
202923 MLBCIN 54% 217194 43814 16595 42 222298335633 113294 277 271 65 -8 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.2
203024 MLBCIN 55% 256229 51915 19696 52 223299336635 114295 277 273 67 -9 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 686617 13624313 5018815 135 220295332627 112294 277 270 65 -28 +1 +0 +2 +19 -0.5
/ 162G 650585 12923312 4717814 125 221295332626 111294 277 270 65 -26 +0 +0 +2 +18 -0.5
Career 15791405 29957627 12043641 3315 213294319613 107286 288 278 71 -52 +1 +0 +6 +45 -0.1
/ 162G 650578 12223211 4917917 146 211292315607 104283 288 278 71 -22 +0 +0 +2 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202418 ROKDSL Rojos 6348 6300 9166 32 125333188521 62188 2514 274 68 -2 -0 +2 -0.1
202519 ROKDSL Reds 11187 26802 18184 33 299440460900 161348 1616 400 164 +8 -1 +3 1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
37811315218291326+3+30.20.3
/1626641112+2.4+2.50.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nayerich Waterfort (OGILVIE) 20 33→38 34→39 47→52 53 226/313/316 90335 22 32% 6% 63 -0.2
Yeldrys Molina
2009 · A
20 43 38→40 48→50 44 206/265/287 82281 49 27% 7% 51 -1.7 194/252/272 78285 48 31% 7% 42 -2.3 139/198/200602030929%6%-1-1.2
Jose Bellorin
2011 · A
20 42 39→40 47→50 42 203/257/285 81265 610 25% 6% 47 -1.9 223/280/308 85271 69 19% 6% 63 -0.8 239/295/3167827661015%6%69-0.2
Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A
20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
Emilio King
2010 · A
20 40 37→45 51→40 43 190/274/270 79258 49 26% 6% 53 -1.5 203/253/290 87301 64 33% 4% 47 -1.9 213/250/309963117233%3%47-1.0
Jose Ramos
2021 · A
20 43→42 38→50 48→45 41 206/270/283 78285 59 28% 6% 53 -1.5 214/277/356 142321 164 36% 7% 76 +0.0 203/271/34914630418437%7%69-0.3
Wilmer Dominguez
2011 · A
20 43 40→45 49→45 42 209/255/300 91272 75 26% 6% 50 -1.7 218/253/304 86275 85 23% 4% 50 -1.7 247/278/35911127314515%4%72-0.1
Janelfry Zorrilla
2011 · A
20 41 40→45 50 42 202/257/291 89262 713 26% 6% 49 -1.8 224/280/353 129280 1310 24% 6% 76 +0.0 226/277/35312728514825%5%72-0.1
Luke Williams
2017 · A
20 46 36→45 50→60 47 215/283/280 65292 311 26% 8% 57 -1.2 193/244/262 69260 517 26% 6% 36 -2.7 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Albertson Asigen
2022 · A
20 43 39→40 53→55 44 205/260/298 92275 56 27% 7% 52 -1.6 224/299/302 78328 517 30% 8% 70 -0.3 213/301/3079434882737%9%69-0.1
Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A
20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
Jose Cordoba
2023 · A
20 37 41→45 44→55 39 187/251/282 95271 109 33% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/294 92279 611 28% 6% 51 -1.7 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
Ameilis Carvajal
2009 · A
20 41 39→40 50 48 191/281/275 84291 612 33% 10% 56 -1.3 194/264/268 74320 49 37% 8% 46 -2.0 140/204/175342670844%7%-3-1.2
Jason Taylor
2008 · A
20 45→39 36→45 49→55 47 210/281/277 67285 29 26% 8% 56 -1.3 210/283/328 118265 1119 24% 8% 70 -0.3 200/274/320119248122224%8%63-0.4
Jorge Alcantara
2012 · A
20 45 40→45 52→50 42 210/275/309 99310 712 33% 7% 62 -0.9 192/263/287 95292 714 34% 8% 52 -1.6 147/226/2449722162534%8%24-0.9
Ricardo Rosario
2023 · A
20 40 37→40 50→55 42 191/251/266 76262 412 28% 6% 40 -2.4 205/277/292 87289 819 29% 8% 59 -1.1 203/290/29289267112926%9%63-0.4
Jose Meza
2023 · A
20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
Geoandry Montilla
2016 · A
20 44 41→45 48→50 41 213/265/307 95298 87 30% 7% 56 -1.3 201/269/302 101296 88 32% 8% 58 -1.2 174/253/2761022578933%8%42-0.7
Jason Lopez
2018 · A
20 40 38→55 47→45 44 192/261/269 76264 59 28% 7% 46 -2.0 207/248/334 127286 136 31% 5% 57 -1.2 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
Marco Guzman
2015 · A
20 41 39→45 44→50 48 196/264/281 85246 67 22% 8% 50 -1.7 217/263/307 90264 57 19% 6% 55 -1.4 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
Christian Cerda
2023 · A
20 40→37 40 50→40 50 194/278/287 93254 69 25% 9% 58 -1.2 189/282/293 104252 114 27% 11% 62 -0.9 173/268/27510122312227%11%50-1.2