Nayerich Waterfort

2B DSL Rojos

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 154 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2019ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Rojos	63	.125/.333/.188	0	3	8	—	.078/.254/.118
2025	19	ROKCIN	111	.299/.440/.460	2	3	59	—	.183/.303/.269
2026	20	ROKDSL Rojos	128	.252/.389/.340	1	6	36	—	.160/.294/.198
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBCIN	238	.210/.288/.293	2	4	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCIN	39	.215/.293/.309	0	1	71	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBCIN	98	.219/.296/.320	1	2	75	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%72

K%51

Z-Con%51

wOBA48

wRC+45

Chase%42

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .286 / .291

PA66

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	63	48	6	3	0	0	9	16	6	3	2	125	333	188	521	62	188	25	14	274	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	111	87	26	8	0	2	18	18	4	3	3	299	440	460	900	161	348	16	16	400	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	128	103	26	6	0	1	11	27	12	6	5	252	389	340	729	87	329	21	9	340	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	51	4	2	0	0	6	20	6	3	2	78	254	118	372	39	120	32	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	93	17	5	0	1	12	22	4	3	3	183	303	269	572	86	209	20	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	128	106	17	4	0	0	8	33	12	6	5	160	294	198	492	38	207	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	51	4	2	0	0	6	20	6	3	2	78	254	118	372	39	129	32	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	63	48	6	3	0	0	9	16	6	3	2	125	333	188	521	62	188	25	14	274	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	93	17	5	0	1	12	22	4	3	3	183	303	269	572	86	222	20	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	111	87	26	8	0	2	18	18	4	3	3	299	440	460	900	161	348	16	16	400	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	128	106	17	4	0	0	8	33	12	6	5	160	294	198	492	38	230	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	128	103	26	6	0	1	11	27	12	6	5	252	389	340	729	87	329	21	9	340	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	51	4	2	0	0	6	20	6	3	2	78	254	118	372	39	120	32	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	94	17	5	0	1	12	22	4	3	3	181	303	266	569	85	209	20	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	128	107	17	4	0	0	8	33	12	6	5	159	294	196	490	37	207	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	51	4	2	0	0	6	20	6	3	2	78	254	118	372	39	120	32	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	94	17	5	0	1	12	22	4	3	3	181	303	266	569	85	209	20	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	128	107	17	4	0	0	8	33	12	6	5	159	294	196	490	37	207	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	238	212	44	9	1	2	18	65	6	4	1	210	288	293	581	83	288	27	8	267	67	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	117	104	22	4	1	1	9	31	3	2	1	214	292	306	597	92	289	26	8	274	71	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	196	175	38	7	1	3	15	52	4	4	1	217	295	316	611	99	290	27	8	279	75	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	280	251	56	11	2	4	21	73	6	6	2	220	297	325	622	105	291	26	8	283	78	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	60%	341	305	67	13	2	5	26	89	7	7	2	222	299	331	630	109	291	26	8	286	80	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	CIN	62%	376	336	74	14	2	6	29	97	8	8	2	223	300	336	636	113	291	26	8	288	81	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	CIN	63%	392	351	78	15	2	7	30	102	8	8	2	222	299	333	632	111	291	26	8	287	80	-9	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	396	354	78	15	2	6	31	104	8	7	2	220	297	328	625	108	290	26	8	284	78	-10	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	391	350	77	15	2	6	30	104	8	7	2	218	294	322	616	104	288	27	8	280	76	-11	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	39	35	6	1	0	0	3	10	1	1	0	215	293	309	602	94	290	26	8	275	71	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	98	89	20	4	1	1	7	26	2	2	1	219	296	320	616	102	291	27	7	281	75	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	159	142	32	6	1	3	12	42	4	3	1	221	299	329	628	108	292	26	8	285	78	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	60%	206	184	42	8	1	4	16	54	4	4	1	223	300	336	637	113	292	26	8	289	80	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CIN	62%	235	210	47	9	1	4	18	61	5	5	1	225	301	341	643	117	292	26	8	291	81	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	CIN	63%	249	223	49	9	1	4	19	65	5	5	1	224	300	338	639	115	291	26	8	290	80	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	257	230	51	10	1	4	20	67	5	5	2	222	298	334	632	112	290	26	8	287	78	-7	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	254	228	49	9	1	4	19	67	5	4	2	219	295	327	622	108	289	26	7	283	76	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1497	1341	296	56	7	24	114	392	31	29	9	221	297	327	623	106	292	26	8	287	74	-38	+2	-1	+5	+32	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	128	24	3	10	49	170	13	13	4	220	295	323	618	103	291	26	8	287	74	-17	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2857	2535	540	107	14	40	222	745	76	62	24	213	296	314	609	101	283	26	8	277	74	-67	+4	-2	+9	+55	-0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	122	24	3	9	51	169	17	14	5	211	295	310	605	99	280	26	8	277	74	-17	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rojos · 128 PAwOBA .334 → .221 (−114)K% 21.1% → 25.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.09%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	25.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.59%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.985	5.93%
HBP% /PA	9.38%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	6.46%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.973	×0.985	16.30%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.973	×0.985	4.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.973	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.32%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.985	0.61%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .334 → .221; ISO .087 → .049; BABIP .329 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Reds · 111 PAwOBA .398 → .255 (−142)K% 16.2% → 19.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.22%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	19.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.22%	÷1.038	×0.700	—	×0.995	10.89%
HBP% /PA	3.60%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.51%
Singles /BIP	23.19%	÷0.994	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	15.00%
Doubles /BIP	11.59%	÷1.065	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	6.17%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.90%	÷0.994	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.36%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .398 → .255; ISO .161 → .087; BABIP .348 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rojos · 63 PAwOBA .269 → .180 (−88)K% 25.4% → 31.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.40%	÷0.972	×1.220	—	—	31.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.29%	÷1.037	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.71%
HBP% /PA	9.52%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.72%
Singles /BIP	9.38%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.008	6.42%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷1.022	×0.600	—	×1.008	5.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.007	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 101, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .269 → .180; ISO .062 → .038; BABIP .188 → .120. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Kiko Garcia'76-'85 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	12	34	232*	283*	343*	+14	+14	2.2	3.0
#2Kiko Garcia'76-'85 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	/162	664	5	14	232*	283*	343*	+5.7	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	2.7	1,763	7	55	223*	283*	300*	+10	+9	-0.2	1.3
#4Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	3	21	223*	283*	300*	+3.8	+3.5	-0.1	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.4	1,563	24	31	221	295	328	+6	+6	1.1	1.1
	/162	664	10	13	221	295	328	+2.4	+2.5	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Doug Strange'89-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,067 PA	3.1	2,067	31	14	225*	286*	340*	+5	-0	-1.5	0.0
#5Doug Strange'89-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,067 PA	/162	664	10	4	225*	286*	340*	+1.6	-0.1	-0.5	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
	/162	664	17	7	220	282	351	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Nayerich Waterfort

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps