Alberto Rios

C Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 203 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	A+LAA	73	.097/.211/.113	0	0	-24	—	.094/.183/.109
2025	23	ASEA	158	.207/.301/.326	3	2	30	—	.164/.235/.250
2026	24	A+LAA	90	.288/.395/.356	1	1	70	—	.247/.326/.312
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBLAA	200	.199/.270/.279	2	3	57	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBLAA	49	.201/.272/.288	1	1	61	-0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBLAA	102	.202/.274/.292	1	1	62	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%92

Whiff%83

K%77

BB%73

wRC+63

wOBA53

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJ.J. Franco (age 25) · David Masters (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .268 / .277

PA96

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	145	127	23	4	2	3	14	37	2	7	2	181	273	315	588	134	225	26	10	266	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	115	103	26	5	0	0	10	32	2	2	2	252	330	301	631	49	366	28	9	295	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	131	115	32	5	0	3	13	29	0	2	1	278	352	400	752	122	337	22	10	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	73	62	6	1	0	0	8	16	1	0	0	97	211	113	324	16	130	22	11	166	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	158	135	28	3	2	3	16	40	2	2	0	207	301	326	627	119	269	25	10	279	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	90	73	21	2	0	1	13	17	0	1	0	288	395	356	752	68	357	19	14	333	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	145	131	20	3	2	3	10	50	2	7	2	153	224	275	499	122	203	34	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	115	106	23	4	0	0	7	42	2	2	2	217	278	255	533	38	358	37	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	73	64	6	1	0	0	6	21	1	0	0	94	183	109	292	16	121	29	8	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	158	140	23	2	2	2	11	54	2	2	0	164	235	250	485	86	231	34	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	90	77	19	2	0	1	9	23	0	1	0	247	326	312	637	65	304	26	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	145	131	20	3	2	3	10	50	2	7	2	153	224	275	499	122	212	34	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	145	127	23	4	2	3	14	37	2	7	2	181	273	315	588	134	225	26	10	266	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	246	226	49	9	0	0	15	91	2	4	3	217	272	257	528	40	355	37	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	246	218	58	10	0	3	23	61	2	4	3	266	342	353	695	87	350	25	9	314	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	231	204	28	3	2	2	17	75	3	2	0	137	214	201	415	64	203	32	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	231	197	34	4	2	3	24	56	3	2	0	173	272	259	531	86	223	24	10	243	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	90	77	19	2	0	1	9	23	0	1	0	247	326	312	637	65	333	26	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	90	73	21	2	0	1	13	17	0	1	0	288	395	356	752	68	357	19	14	333	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	145	132	20	3	2	3	10	50	2	7	2	152	224	273	497	121	203	34	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	246	227	49	9	0	0	15	91	2	4	3	216	272	256	527	40	358	37	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	231	209	28	3	2	2	17	75	3	2	0	134	214	196	410	62	196	32	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	90	81	19	2	0	1	9	23	0	1	0	235	326	296	622	62	304	26	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	246	227	49	9	0	0	15	91	2	4	3	216	272	256	527	40	358	37	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	231	209	28	3	2	2	17	75	3	2	0	134	214	196	410	62	196	32	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	90	81	19	2	0	1	9	23	0	1	0	235	326	296	622	62	304	26	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	200	180	36	7	1	2	16	53	2	3	1	199	270	279	549	81	267	26	8	252	57	-10	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	30%	163	148	29	5	1	2	13	43	1	2	1	202	273	291	564	88	268	26	8	258	61	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	42%	244	220	44	8	1	3	20	64	2	3	1	203	275	294	568	91	268	26	8	260	62	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	300	270	55	10	1	4	24	79	3	3	1	203	275	295	570	91	269	26	8	260	62	-13	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAA	49%	329	297	59	11	1	4	26	87	3	2	1	203	274	294	569	91	268	26	8	260	62	-15	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	30%	49	45	9	2	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	201	272	288	561	88	266	27	8	257	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	42%	102	92	17	3	0	1	8	27	1	1	0	202	274	292	565	90	266	26	8	258	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	143	130	27	5	1	2	11	38	1	2	0	202	274	293	567	91	267	27	8	259	62	-6	+0	-0	+3	+3	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAA	49%	162	147	29	5	1	2	13	43	1	1	0	202	273	292	565	90	266	27	8	258	62	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	456	414	82	15	2	6	36	121	3	5	0	198	267	287	555	89	262	27	8	258	52	-21	+1	-1	+8	+10	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	117	21	3	9	51	172	4	7	0	198	266	290	556	92	262	26	8	258	52	-29	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1844	1660	320	54	8	20	142	537	17	25	9	193	263	271	534	78	269	29	8	244	52	-52	+1	-2	+20	+25	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	113	19	3	7	50	189	6	9	3	193	264	272	535	79	269	29	8	244	52	-30	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	457	6	5	204	272	295	+8	+8	0.0	0.0
/162	664	9	7	+11.9	+11.6	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberto Rios (OGILVIE)	25	30	35	40	40	197/268/277	80	267	1	1	27%	8%	57	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.J. Franco 2017 · A	25	40	36→30	37→45	42	192/243/253	62	256	3	5	26%	6%	40	-3.0	209/278/264	55	292	2	6	26%	8%	57	-1.8	211/288/246	35	294	0	4	26%	10%	54	-0.7
✕David Masters 2017 · A	24	35→37	38→45	40	41	173/232/243	70	232	6	4	28%	6%	35	-3.4	189/254/287	98	257	10	2	29%	7%	54	-2.0	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39→35	40→45	44→55	34	194/240/276	82	279	8	6	33%	4%	45	-2.7	201/252/312	111	285	12	16	32%	5%	59	-1.7	191/247/304	113	267	13	21	32%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Brandon Van Horn 2019 · A	25	37→28	41→40	42→45	36	186/228/277	91	274	9	9	35%	5%	40	-3.0	180/225/261	81	295	7	6	39%	5%	36	-3.4	147/189/199	52	255	4	2	42%	4%	6	-3.3
✕Jalen Battles 2024 · AA	24	37	39→30	41→45	35	184/232/259	75	281	8	9	36%	5%	38	-3.2	193/244/263	70	288	5	10	33%	5%	43	-2.8	182/232/235	54	269	2	10	32%	5%	30	-1.3
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕José Briceño 2018 · AA	25	35	41→45	47→45	39	178/211/270	92	218	9	7	24%	4%	32	-3.6	207/249/345	138	254	18	9	26%	5%	65	-1.2	199/238/342	143	239	20	4	27%	4%	60	-0.4
✕Michael Johnson 2013 · A	24	38	37→40	41→40	41	184/244/261	77	276	4	4	33%	7%	43	-2.8	208/273/278	70	300	4	6	29%	8%	58	-1.7	241/312/306	65	340	3	7	28%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Alberti Chavez 2019 · AA	24	38	36→30	39→50	34	186/228/241	55	281	4	5	34%	4%	32	-3.7	206/257/276	70	290	5	6	29%	5%	51	-2.2	200/251/246	46	278	3	3	27%	5%	41	-1.0
✕Jason Louwsma 2009 · A	25	41→39	38→40	43→40	38	202/236/273	72	260	6	4	25%	4%	42	-2.9	190/224/271	81	253	6	4	26%	4%	37	-3.3	161/189/237	76	211	5	1	26%	3%	15	-3.0
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	39→36	41→40	42→45	42	192/264/290	98	282	8	6	33%	8%	58	-1.7	196/260/297	101	290	9	6	33%	7%	58	-1.7	195/256/298	103	279	10	4	32%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Greg Hopkins 2014 · A	25	41→44	39→40	44→45	36	203/234/287	83	265	7	8	26%	3%	45	-2.7	204/260/298	94	259	8	9	23%	6%	57	-1.8	184/258/276	92	221	9	9	20%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Michael Rockett 2012 · AA	25	41→35	38→40	43→45	33	201/225/281	81	278	6	6	30%	3%	40	-3.1	211/237/311	100	310	8	7	33%	3%	51	-2.2	205/219/320	114	305	8	5	35%	1%	42	-1.3
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	42	169/233/265	96	237	10	5	32%	7%	40	-3.0	193/263/284	91	262	8	8	27%	8%	56	-1.9	178/258/254	76	233	6	7	25%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Chuck Moorman 2017 · A	23	37	37→40	39→30	36	184/216/254	69	253	4	4	29%	4%	30	-3.8	195/239/282	87	280	7	3	31%	5%	46	-2.6	186/232/268	82	270	7	0	32%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Anibal Sierra 2019 · AA	25	36→33	39→40	38→40	34	176/232/259	83	285	7	6	39%	5%	38	-3.2	186/242/266	80	296	7	6	37%	5%	44	-2.8	163/219/222	59	262	6	2	38%	5%	24	-3.0
✕Logan Moore 2014 · A	23	34	38→40	43→30	40	170/228/242	73	244	5	4	32%	6%	33	-3.6	200/250/286	86	274	6	3	28%	6%	51	-2.3	197/244/289	92	272	10	0	30%	6%	48	-1.0

Alberto Rios

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps