Clete Hartzog — OGILVIE

Clete Hartzog P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 183 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 9 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.35

FIP4.35

K%21.5%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	8	29	10	3	0	0%	1.3	34.5%	10.3%	24.1%	0.0%	1.12	1.50	—
2024	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	8	29	10	3	0	0%	1.3	34.5%	10.3%	24.1%	0.0%	1.12	1.50	—
2024	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	8	29	10	3	0	0%	1.3	34.5%	10.3%	24.1%	0.0%	1.12	1.73	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	15	0	15	65	14	4	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	7.1%	9.5%	2.1%	2.93	3.74	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	15	0	15	65	14	4	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	7.1%	9.5%	2.1%	2.93	3.74	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	15	0	15	65	14	4	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	6.2%	15.4%	1.5%	2.93	2.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CWS	9	0	9	38	8	3	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	8.3%	13.2%	3.0%	4.35	4.35	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	19	0	20	84	18	7	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	8.5%	13.2%	3.0%	4.37	4.39	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	8.5%	13.2%	3.0%	4.37	4.39	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	8.5%	13.2%	3.0%	4.37	4.01	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	82	27	0%	1.1	21.7%	8.5%	13.2%	3.0%	4.37	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		21	0	23	94	21	8	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	8.1%	14.0%	1.4%	2.31	3.05	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		180	0	200	806	178	65	12	0%	1.1	22.1%	8.1%	14.0%	1.4%	2.31	3.05	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Clete Hartzog (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	21.5%	8.3%	3.0%	—	4.39	21.7%	13.2%	20	+0.04	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	91
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	90
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	90
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	86
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	85
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	85
Josh Lueke R 2011 · 3.24 FIP	26	SU	3.24	20.4%	8.5%	1.4%	.323	4.75	18.7%	12.4%	52	+1.51	2.29	191	85
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	85
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	84
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	84
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	83
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	83
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	83
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	83
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	83
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2011 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	22.1%	9.6%	1.5%	.253	3.18	22.9%	13.4%	218	-0.10	2.72	398	83
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	21.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.243	3.44	24.8%	17.1%	57	-1.01	3.44	198	83
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	653	82
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	82
Pedro Villarreal R 2014 · 3.51 FIP	26	SU	3.51	19.4%	9.7%	1.5%	.233	3.86	15.3%	11.4%	102	+0.35	3.32	116	82